Ministry of Pain
Footballguy
I have been doing a few mock drafts and it is interesting to see how things shake out. Let's look at the # selection and what options are going to be open.Let's look at Pick #1 and go out a few rounds. We will look at a 12 team league with 6 points all TD, and 1 pt per 10rush/10rec/25pass and a 3 point bonus for 100yds for RB/WR and 300 yds QB...fair enough? We will draft for 1QB/1RB/2WR/1Flex/TEreq and see what happens.Let's start with what would be picks 1.01, 2.12, 3.01, 4.12, 5.01 and so on.If you have 1.01 in a re-draft I see no other option than LT2 really. We could argue that ShAlex is a good pick or if Holmes is healthy but all kidding aside and whether the Chargers have a difficult schedule or not LT2 scores a lot points. It's a safe pick if nothing else with little risk and that's what you want with this pick.2.12 Now when the turn comes back around in all likelihood 2 QBs will be off the board, and Moss, Owens, Harrison, Holt, and probably Chad Johnson will be gone. If any of those top5 WR are available I think the right move is to nab one of them. Now of the RB that would be available are these group...Westbrook, CMart, Steven Jackson, Lamont Jordan, Tatum Bell. After that are guys like Ronnie Brown and C.Williams who I like a lot but are a bit of a reach here. QB is out of the question in my mind when there might not be a QB taken after McNabb for another full 2 rounds...it just does not make sense to push Trent Green or Marc Bulger here.At TE you would have to take TGonzo either with this pick or the 3.01 and I don't think anyone will do that. Going back to WR you have guys like Joe Horn, Reggie Wayne, Javon Walker, Andre Johnson, Darrell Jackson. Gathering this info I would be inclined to take 1 more RB and of the RB that we mentioned I think CMart and yes Tatum Bell would be your best options. CMart would be a conservative pick and Tatum Bell would be a gamble but with Tomlinson already in your backfield and the knowledge that ALL DENVER RB seem to succeed than Bell becomes an option. You will have to back him up later with someone like QGriffin but that will be much later in the draft. At the 3.01 you will want a WR in my opinion as the tlent and opps will drop off big time b4 you pick again. You could take Steven jackson and have your 3 RB but remember ina flex lineup you only have to start 1 RB if you so desire and it helps big time when you play in 12+ team leagues. Of the WR here I would pass on Wayne as I think some of his TD will get re-distributed this year...just a hunch. Joe Horn is usually money but he is aging...I like Javon Walker because he is young, will get a ton of catches, and the other young up and coming all star...Andre Johnson just simply does not get enough touches or looks to be taken quite this early.1.01 LT22.12 Tatum Bell?3.01 Javon Walker? This looks pretty good so far.4.12 When this thing comes back around it looks like Michael Bennett, Cedric Benson, Warrick Dunn, Fred Taylor, Duce, and Deshaun are the RB up on the board. I think Dunn would make a great #3 RB...in fact you might even be able to rethink that 2.12 pick and take another WR...like if CJ had fallen to you and couple him with Walker...grab DUnn coming back around in the 4th.At QB you will find Bulger Green, and KC available...only McNabb, Manning, and Culpepper would be gone going by mock drafts...however many of you might have people that will take a QB in the 4th round b4 you pick and that will only help the sharks with more RB and WR to choose from.At WR you find Steve Smith and Drew Bennett perhaps, and than Boldin, COles, Porter, and Driver. If you have Walker than you don't want Driver. Boldin is a gamble but I really like him. Porter has never lived up to billing. Smith is coming off a big injury, Bennett scares me...hmmmm...The WR at this spot do not look that great...Boldin might have the most upside to me.At TE Witten, Crumpler, Heap, and Shicke are all expected to go off the board b4 the turn comes around again. You might consider a TE here...which one? Gates and Gonzo will be long gone.1.01 LT22.12 Tatum Bell3.01 Javon Walker4.12 Warrick Dunn5.01 Whitten/Crumpler/Heap? Boldin?6.12...At RB you are looking at guys like T.Henry, J.Bettis, T.Jones, TJ Duckett? None of that looks good to me and all the more reason to try and squeeze 3 RBs out of the 1st 4-5 rounds if it is logical.WR...Bruce, Mason, CHambers, Branch...I like what I am seeing at WR here and would be inclined to perhaps grab 2 of these WR and feel alright about passing on Boldin back in round 5 say. 1.01 LT22.12 Tatum Bell3.01 Javon Walker4.12 Warrick Dunn5.01 Jason Witten6.12 Derrick Mason7.01 Chris ChambersOK, let's fast forward to 8.12...my thinking will be to grab 2 QBs at 8 and 9.8.12 QB: 1st of all you might be the last team to take a QB...so let's assume that the top 11 are off the board. You have Carson Palmer, A.Brooks, Delhomme, Brees, Pennington, Leftwich, Carr, McNair, Griese, Warner...I mean really you have a lot of QBs to pick from. Griese is getting a lot of hype on these boards and I would like to have him as my QB2...you will probably be able to get him in the end of the 10th but if you really want him you might have to take him here.Would a Palmer/Brooks combo be bad? Palmer sees the Ravens and Steelers twice...ouch ouch ouch. I'll take Brooks and Griese here. Let's check the other positions real quick...only WR to me would be an option unless you want to get a backup RB early. At RB...you would not need to take QG if that is the backup till about the 16th round...Clarett is going in the 12th but many of us share the view he is a project at best right now so why burn a pick on a backup here.At WR...TJ Housh, Santana Moss, Keen McCardell and Eddie Kennison are all on the board right here. I would take 1 of them and put them on your roster. Roll the dice that Griese will be there in the 10th.1.01 LT2 RB2.12 Tatum Bell RB3.01 Javon Walker WR4.12 Warrick Dunn RB5.01 Jason Witten TE6.12 Derrick Mason WR7.01 Chris Chambers WR8.12 Aaron Brooks QB9.01 Moss/McCardell? WR10.12 Brian Griese QBIs this a good lineup? A great one? A terrible one? We will start to examine the slots one by one and figure which teams have the most opps for talent to fall to them at which slots. Do you need to trade up in the 1st round...down...or out of the 1st? Thoughts, Comments, Criticisms, all wlecome. I work now during the day so I can really only update this after 9PM Pacific. That's assuming I don't make a pit stop at Commerce to play Hold'em...
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