swampdog
Footballguy
Another view point on how this weeks games plays out.
Swamp
Carolina vs. Arizona.....
Seven of the last eight playoff games with an O/U line set at fewer than 39 points have finished OVER the total. This from Vegas Insider, means the Carolina vs. Arizona should bet the overs (39).
Balt vs. Pitt
Next.............But both meetings this year have been decided by 20 points each (20-point win by Baltimore in September and 20-point win by Pittsburgh in November). Pittsburgh finished 5-1 SU against playoff teams this year while Baltimore was 1-6 against teams with winning records. Pitt vs. Balt. this is the point I like, Bet Pitt to win and give the points
Next.............Indianapolis (-3.5, 49) vs. Cincinnati – Sunday, 1:00 PM EST
Indy ran away with the AFC South by winning five of the final six games, those wins coming against teams with a combined record of 25-55 – none against playoff participants. In fact, only two of their 11 wins came against playoff teams this season, but one of those wins was against the Bengals back in Week 7. The Colts are led by the NFL’s No. 1 passing offense behind star QB Andrew Luck. Luck finished with 40 pass TD and 16 INT and tossed for 300+ pass yards in 10 of 16 games this season. He’ll be going against a Cincinnati pass-defense that has really played well of late. The Bengals have held the last three quarterbacks they’ve faced to just 236 pass YPG with 4 pass TD allowed with 8 INT. Much is made of Cincinnati’s recent struggles in the postseason headlined by concerns about QB Dalton’s weak play. Dalton has just 1 pass TD and 6 INT in three career playoff games, failing to lead the Bengals to a postseason victory in three appearances. Indy, can beat bad teams but they struggle against good D, and Cincy D is playing well lately. And yes, Indy stepped all over Cincy in week 7, but the final score didn't tell the whole story. Cincy wasn't playing well prior to that game and wasn't using Hill much at RB (4 for 15 yards), and Indy was playing well and had some unusual plays (like Allens and Bradshaws TD's). Also "The teams were a combined 0 for 14 on third-down conversions in the first half, marking the first time that's happened in the same game since Cincinnati and Jacksonville did it Sept. 30, 2012, according to STATS. ..." I say the bet is Cincy straight up, don't take the points, they will win.
Detroit vs. Dallas
Next........Perhaps the most integral part of Dallas’ success this season was its offensive line, widely viewed as the best in the NFL. They’ll have their hands full against this Detroit defense that ranked 1st against the run, 2nd in total yards allowed, and 3rd in points allowed. This defense got some very good news that star DT Ndamukong Suh won his appeal. I like the unders in this game, Dallas is in for a surprise on how good the D really is and the referees will swallow their whistles. Bet the unders
Swamp
Carolina vs. Arizona.....
Seven of the last eight playoff games with an O/U line set at fewer than 39 points have finished OVER the total. This from Vegas Insider, means the Carolina vs. Arizona should bet the overs (39).
Balt vs. Pitt
Next.............But both meetings this year have been decided by 20 points each (20-point win by Baltimore in September and 20-point win by Pittsburgh in November). Pittsburgh finished 5-1 SU against playoff teams this year while Baltimore was 1-6 against teams with winning records. Pitt vs. Balt. this is the point I like, Bet Pitt to win and give the points
Next.............Indianapolis (-3.5, 49) vs. Cincinnati – Sunday, 1:00 PM EST
Indy ran away with the AFC South by winning five of the final six games, those wins coming against teams with a combined record of 25-55 – none against playoff participants. In fact, only two of their 11 wins came against playoff teams this season, but one of those wins was against the Bengals back in Week 7. The Colts are led by the NFL’s No. 1 passing offense behind star QB Andrew Luck. Luck finished with 40 pass TD and 16 INT and tossed for 300+ pass yards in 10 of 16 games this season. He’ll be going against a Cincinnati pass-defense that has really played well of late. The Bengals have held the last three quarterbacks they’ve faced to just 236 pass YPG with 4 pass TD allowed with 8 INT. Much is made of Cincinnati’s recent struggles in the postseason headlined by concerns about QB Dalton’s weak play. Dalton has just 1 pass TD and 6 INT in three career playoff games, failing to lead the Bengals to a postseason victory in three appearances. Indy, can beat bad teams but they struggle against good D, and Cincy D is playing well lately. And yes, Indy stepped all over Cincy in week 7, but the final score didn't tell the whole story. Cincy wasn't playing well prior to that game and wasn't using Hill much at RB (4 for 15 yards), and Indy was playing well and had some unusual plays (like Allens and Bradshaws TD's). Also "The teams were a combined 0 for 14 on third-down conversions in the first half, marking the first time that's happened in the same game since Cincinnati and Jacksonville did it Sept. 30, 2012, according to STATS. ..." I say the bet is Cincy straight up, don't take the points, they will win.
Detroit vs. Dallas
Next........Perhaps the most integral part of Dallas’ success this season was its offensive line, widely viewed as the best in the NFL. They’ll have their hands full against this Detroit defense that ranked 1st against the run, 2nd in total yards allowed, and 3rd in points allowed. This defense got some very good news that star DT Ndamukong Suh won his appeal. I like the unders in this game, Dallas is in for a surprise on how good the D really is and the referees will swallow their whistles. Bet the unders