AAABatteries
Footballguy
Mecklenburg went 62-32 to Clinton. If it stays close to that this time around then it looks like McCready wins.
It is only part of Mecklenburg county (the whitest and wealthiest parts)Mecklenburg went 62-32 to Clinton. If it stays close to that this time around then it looks like McCready wins.
Which is pretty remarkable. Lived there 20+ years of my life. It's never been close......Going to be really close.
Not this part of the countyMecklenburg went 62-32 to Clinton. If it stays close to that this time around then it looks like McCready wins.
And it won’t be close to 62 - favoring Bishop now as the % is closer to 54.Mecklenburg went 62-32 to Clinton. If it stays close to that this time around then it looks like McCready wins.
Just to make sure I understand your point - the county spans multiple districts? If so everybody ignore my posts!Not this part of the county
Jumped to 76% and got better for Bishop. If I'm reading it correctly.And it won’t be close to 62 - favoring Bishop now as the % is closer to 54.
Correct. Trump won this district. And this should not be remotely closeJust to make sure I understand your point - the county spans multiple districts? If so everybody ignore my posts!
I was just referring to the county - unless the Wiki page I looked at was wrong.Correct. Trump won this district
Bishop looks like he will take it - still trying to figure out if Mecklenberg is in two districts. @The CommishJumped to 76% and got better for Bishop. If I'm reading it correctly.
Right. The district is only in part of the county. South and east party..... richest, whitest partI was just referring to the county - unless the Wiki page I looked at was wrong.
Yes. They separated out the wealthiest part of the county from the restBishop looks like he will take it - still trying to figure out if Mecklenberg is in two districts. @The Commish
His lead is growing and the gap in Mecklenburg is narrowing. Here.Bishop looks like he will take it - still trying to figure out if Mecklenberg is in two districts. @The Commish
Right. The district is only in part of the county. South and east party..... richest, whitest part
Gotcha - I was just looking at full county so no way for me to know. Assuming all the other counties are entirely in that district the the R/D split seemed to move toward the D around 3-4% I think. Don’t know what would be typical during a special election.Yes. They separated out the wealthiest part of the county from the rest
Yep - it’s over based on what Commish and Slap said.3,800 votes now.
And trump won that part of the district which looks like it's going to go blueYes. They separated out the wealthiest part of the county from the rest
That's a good thing..... let him ignore that the rich white people voted for the Dem.Bishop will win. And Trump will take credit and feel vindicated about making the 2020 campaign all about illegal immigration. Sigh
It already has, mathematically.And trump won that part of the district which looks like it's going to go blue
These people are still voting for Trump and people like Trump...it’s depressing.That's a good thing..... let him ignore that the rich white people voted for the Dem.
It'll be ok....These people are still voting for Trump and people like Trump...it’s depressing.
They JUST voted for the Dem........ today. McCready won that area by a good amount (13 points). Bishop gets the seat because of the rural vote...... not the rich white peopleThese people are still voting for Trump and people like Trump...it’s depressing.
Are you suggesting that this part of the county went blue but will go red in 2020? Your reply to Commish is confusing to me.These people are still voting for Trump and people like Trump...it’s depressing.
He's depressed.Are you suggesting that this part of the county went blue but will go red in 2020? Your reply to Commish is confusing to me.
I try to not let politics affect my mood but I would think that the result tonight is not good news for Trump.He's depressed.
Same here...I try to not let politics affect my mood but I would think that the result tonight is not good news for Trump.
Surprise!I try to not let politics affect my mood but I would think that the result tonight is not good news for Trump.
I meant reality - not whatever delusion he’s telling himself and his supporters.
Why they wonI try to not let politics affect my mood but I would think that the result tonight is not good news for Trump.
This is about ~ flipping 1100 votes or turning out another 2200.His lead is growing and the gap in Mecklenburg is narrowing. Here.
Once in a while I do.I try to not let politics affect my mood but I would think that the result tonight is not good news for Trump.
This has got to be what Trump’s diplomats and other administration officials go through. Soooo the plan is: Trump will do it. He’ll campaign in every close district and state on the eve of the election. That’s the plan. They don’t even know if he’s helping or hurting but oh hell yes he’s parachuting in.
Once in a while I do.
I’m depressed that rural people vote for Trump. I’m depressed that anyone would vote for a guy like Bishop with that terrible message. I like rural people. I don’t understand how they could be so afraid of illegal immigrants, how they could buy into this nonsense and hate that the President peddles. It’s terribly depressing to me.
No idea what your point is, but, my point at the time was that he was simply headed to victory. And I was right.This is about ~ flipping 1100 votes or turning out another 2200.
Observationally Dems still haven’t figured out the suburban/rural turnout. And I think that was a problem in 2016 too, but I think they know it and they seem to be working at it.
There were 2-3 races like this in red districts/states in 2017-18 and they presaged what happened in the midterms.
Yep, different point. Good link though, thanks.No idea what your point is, but, my point at the time was that he was simply headed to victory. And I was right.
Please explain. Because Twitter said so? County was split and was just 10% of the votes. Union was the huge number. Of course I dont understand the specifics or demographics. @The Commish?
Wasserman is the US House editor for the Cook Report.Please explain. Because Twitter said so? County was split and was just 10% of the votes. Union was the huge number. Of course I dont understand the specifics or demographics. @The Commish?
Ah, ok. Union sounds pretty rural.Wasserman is the US House editor for the Cook Report.
Maybe Commish can explain the demos of the area better, I take it Robeson is pretty rural. It looks real rural to me. so I think that's the challenge. Apparently the Dems did much better in suburban areas but that didn't make up a failure to turn out the vote in rural areas.
Robeson county is incredibly rural. There are no urban areas at all. That county is always one that is going to go GOP. The only question is by how much. I'm not sure the point of the tweet but if there was a larger than normal turnout, then my guess is they are trying to say the GOP "base" is motivated? Not sure. If so, that's a pretty "water is wet" sort of statement. There should be no question that both bases are motivated. The only question is who's well is deeper and who's going to be able to turn out the vote?Please explain. Because Twitter said so? County was split and was just 10% of the votes. Union was the huge number. Of course I dont understand the specifics or demographics. @The Commish?
I doubt that would hold if Sanders of Warren were the nominee. You know how scared these banker types are of them...Robeson county is incredibly rural. There are no urban areas at all. That county is always one that is going to go GOP. The only question is by how much. I'm not sure the point of the tweet but if there was a larger than normal turnout, then my guess is they are trying to say the GOP "base" is motivated? Not sure. If so, that's a pretty "water is wet" sort of statement. There should be no question that both bases are motivated. The only question is who's well is deeper and who's going to be able to turn out the vote?
Personally, I don't see how a county like this means much in general election. There's no question it will turn out for the GOP but with the EC in place it voting 70% vs 60% GOP isn't going to matter all that much given the county's population.
There were two things that seemed to be rather shocking to me in this race:
1. That it was a race at all and won by approx 2 points. That's quite unreal to me.
2. That the whitest, richest suburb of Charlotte voted the way they did. Trump won that portion of the district in 2016. Last night the Dem won by 13 points. And that area has a TON of voters in it. In a general election, 1-2 points could equal thousands of votes.
My
I'd really like to see a breakdown via exit polls. I agree with you, but I also know that area is driven by the soccer moms just as much as the banker types. It's hard to say what last night really means without being able to dig deeper, but it certainly gave me pause as an observer. This is an area that has been DEEP RED for decades....like, "Dems, don't even bother here, you're wasting your time/money" RED.I doubt that would hold if Sanders of Warren were the nominee. You know how scared these banker types are of them...