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What makes you say Goodwin isn't a natural receiver? The talk all summer long from the coaching staff and local writers during camp and preseason was how impressed they were with his hands and how surprised they were with his route running.
Reggie Wayne was 6' 1" 198lbs coming into the NFL, and ran a 4.45 40yd. Robert Woods is 6' 0" 201 lbs, and ran a 4.42 40yd. They were both the best route runner & most NFL-ready WR in their draft class. Wayne was the 30th pick in the draft, Woods was 41st. They really couldn't be much more similar.
You are probably right (i.e. you've laid out the most likely scenario). But there's always a degree of magnitude to be considered with any "most likely" case and in this instance, I don't think it's a high degree. Goodwin has ELITE speed and decent hands. If his hands and routes further develop, look out. He overall game reminds me of a young Steve Smith, but with better top end speed. He still has a way to go to be anything like a prime Steve Smith, but it took Smiffy three years to do that himself, so some patience may be needed here. That said, he's about as far from a prime Smith as Woods is from a prime Wayne, so we'll see who actually steps up. Both will need Manuel to ascend as well to really hit their stride.
Don't underestimate the time that Manuel and Goodwin have had to work together in practice and on the field lately. The homerun ability is documented and there's no denying Goodwin's upside. Even when Johnson/Woods return, Goodwin isn't going to fade away. He's got some serious wheels and good hands, just starting to put it together. I'd rather have him safely rostered, even if only on my bench over some steady eddies like Brian Hartline for instance. Going into the fantasy playoffs, you need the most explosive lineup. The picture on Goodwin may solidify between now and then, and your confidence level my shoot up by then. But if you don't grab him now cheap off the wire, you will be never know.
The playoff schedule does look decent, If I was up against a superior opponent in Fantasy I would consider firing him up as a WR3 over someone like Steve Smith in a bad matchup (return yardage league). Higher ceiling.
Buffalo's base formation is 3 WR with Stevie Johnson in the slot. Goodwin only has to jump TJ Graham to be a starter, and that shouldn't be an issue.Gargoylez said:
Ted Ginn was startable as a WR3 in my return leagues his first 3 years, but his # of returns has gone down a lot since then. I think Goodwin could be better than Ginn though in standard scoring. Ginn is on pace for Career highs in yds and touchdowns with about 700/5 this year. Goodwin is already at 261/3 in very limited action. Either way, I guess I wouldn't want to rely on either in the championship game though...good comparison. Maybe a Santana Moss type ceiling for Goodwin? And of course that is being very generous since Moss had some really nice seasons.
Ginn has stone hands and no idea how to run any route except the go. Goodwin is a much better receiver.
GOOD! It makes absolutely no sense why he wasn't worked in as a consistent part of the offense once he flashed back in week 11...it's not like the Bills have a great WR core that would block him from playing time.
Since his breakout game, all he's had is a minor calf strain that happened in practice last week. He lost time on the field because Johnson and Woods got healthy and pushed him back down the depth chart. No reason that he shouldn't have been seeing as much time on the field as those two.
and I like Streater.
