What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

Matt Cassel, QB, Kansas City Chiefs (1 Viewer)

Jason Wood

Zoo York
2011 Player Spotlight Series

One of Footballguys best assets is our message board community. The Shark Pool is, in our view, the best place on the internet to discuss, debate and analyze all things fantasy football. In what's become an annual tradition, the Player Spotlight series is a key part of the preseason efforts. As many of you know, we consider the Player Spotlight threads the permanent record for analyzing the fantasy prospects of the player in question. This year, we plan to publish more than 140 offensive spotlights covering the vast majority of expected skill position starters.

With the labor uncertainty, there are more unanswered questions entering the summer than usual. The good news is that gives us some more time to discuss the merits of players without having to react (or overreact) to the smallest bits of news about a slight injury in practice, or coach speak. We'll have plenty of time for that when it comes (we hope).

In the meantime, as always we will post a list of players to be discussed each week. Those threads will remain open for the entire preseason, and should be a central point to discuss expectations for the player in question. Importantly, analysis done in the first week of posting will be part of the permanent record in two ways. 1) At the end of the week, we will tally the projections into a consensus. 2) We will select a number of pull quotes from forum contributors who make a compelling statement or observation. Both the projections and pull quotes will be part of a published article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Matt Cassel, QB, Kansas City Chiefs

Player Page Link: Matt Cassel Player Page

Each article will include:

[*]Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member

[*]Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads

[*]FBG Projections

[*]Consensus Member Projections

The Rules

In order for this thread to provide maximum value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

[*]Focus commentary on the player (or players) in question, and your expectations for said player (or players)

[*]Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"

[*]Avoid redundancies or :popcorn: ... this should be about incremental analysis or debate

While not a requirement, we strongly encourage you to provide your own projections for the player (players):

Projections should include:

[*]For QBs: Attempts, Completions, Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Attempts, Rush Yards, Rush TDs

[*]For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs

[*]For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs

Now let's get on with the conversation! We look forward to your contributions and let me offer a personal thanks in anticipation of the great debate and analysis.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
I'm looking at Cassel's average from the last two years and thinking that is about what I should expect in 2011. I'd like to think he can build upon a very solid 2010, but with Weiss gone I am not so optimistic and expect a slight regression. Although admittedly, the addition of Baldwin this year could be nice with Bowe and Moeaki (and of course Charles out of the backfield).

Comps: 268

Attempts: 470

Yards: 3040

TDs: 23

INTs: 11

Rush Yds: 150

Rush TDs: 0

 
In 2010, the Chiefs faced the easiest schedule in the NFL. Cassel feasted on poor pass defenses, facing eight of the bottom 10. His numbers against them were very impressive.

However, against the top 22 defenses in the league (seven games), his numbers were: 102-201 (50.7 percent), 1,067 yards (152.4 yards per game), 5 TDs, 6 INTs, QB rating of 62.1.

In 2011, he'll be facing the most difficult pass defense schedule. Add that to a run-first offense, and I think he’s very much a sell-high.

I don’t think he’s terrible, and having a WR corps consisting of Bowe, Bowe’s drops, and Cast of Extras doesn’t do anyone any favors. Baldwin adds a very necessary infusion of talent, which might help Cassel's league-worst deep ball completion percentage. Still, I don’t believe he’s going to make any sort of jump, and quarterbacks that routinely put up 17-30-200 1-0 days don’t win you championships.

Completions: 237

Attempts: 448

Passing Yards: 3178

Passing TDs: 20

Passing INTs: 16

 
Last edited by a moderator:
I have always been skeptical of strength of schedule predictions in May. Especially this year with an unknown CBA, there could be a lot of players moving to new teams this offseason. I don't see Cassel improving on last years numbers, but I don't see him regressing either. The loss of Weiss could have an effect but a stronger and healthier receiving core will help offset the loss of OC.

 
'KCitons said:
Especially this year with an unknown CBA, there could be a lot of players moving to new teams this offseason.
I think it's exactly the opposite. I expect a lot more bark than bite when/if free agency comes to pass. Some high profile players may move, like Kolb and Hasselbeck, but the longer this takes, the m ore difficult it will be for players to learn a new system. The players know that a short term deal under those conditions will hurt their numbers and their payday, and the teams won't want to spend a ton of money for a guy who won't be a huge upgrade right away. Deals will still get done, but players will be more valuable to their current teams than they are on the free agent market, so I'd expect a little less movement.
 
I can see some validity to your point. But the fact remains, no one knows. I think this year has been one of the more interesting years in a long time. I think the depth of QB, RB, and WR in the draft, along with the lack of depth at areas like LB, and the CBA has really made this a difficult year to handicap.

Just my opinion. Time will tell.

 
I am not a huge Cassel or Todd Haley fan and I expect a downturn in KC this season. I do beleive that they outperformed expectations a year ago against some of the lesser teams in the NFL and will not have nearly that much luck in 2011. I also think that the AFC West will continue to improve as KC slides back. I think that Fox and Elway will be a good fit in Denver and the Chiefs will be looking up at their division mates beginning this year.

I see a regression of the passing stats for Cassel based on the above as well as the fact that he loses his OC. If they get started off on the wrong foot, I could see a real implosion that could include Cassel losing his job. I will stay very far away from this QB and most of KC as well.

Cassel 16 gms 440 att 240 comp 54.5% 2860 yds 6.5 ypa 20 TDs 14 ints 30 rushes 120 yards and no TDs

 
I think Cassel is a little underated in the NFL and in fantasy circles. The guy has shown he can play as he led NE to an 11 win season and he took the Chiefs to the playoffs last year. He's not going to be mistaken for Joe Montana but there's been a lot worse than Matt Cassel. I don't love the idea that his schedule is not as favorable as last year but you can't just go off of that and predict the guy is going to have an off year. The Chiefs have a solid running game to keep defenses guessing as to what's coming and the defense gives up enough points to where KC has to pass to stay in it. With Bowe finding his form last year, a young TE who should move forward and a new WR in the draft, I look for the Chiefs passing game to be just fine.

3200 yards passing for 21 Td's and 14 INT

150 yards rushing and zero Td's

 
'Iwannabeacowboybaby! said:
I think Cassel is a little underated in the NFL and in fantasy circles. The guy has shown he can play as he led NE to an 11 win season and he took the Chiefs to the playoffs last year. He's not going to be mistaken for Joe Montana but there's been a lot worse than Matt Cassel. I don't love the idea that his schedule is not as favorable as last year but you can't just go off of that and predict the guy is going to have an off year. The Chiefs have a solid running game to keep defenses guessing as to what's coming and the defense gives up enough points to where KC has to pass to stay in it. With Bowe finding his form last year, a young TE who should move forward and a new WR in the draft, I look for the Chiefs passing game to be just fine.3200 yards passing for 21 Td's and 14 INT150 yards rushing and zero Td's
You are predicting a 6 td drop and 7 int. increase. I would hate to see your numbers for him if you didn't like his situation.
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top