Maurice Drew next year? Top 5-8? (1 Viewer)

[(HULK)]

I like MJD's story as much as the next guy but you need to learn to temper enthusiasm in fantasy football. It's awesome if you burned a late pick on MJD last year...in fact congratulations. However, I would be wary of spending a 1st round pick on a RB who is going to be in a committee. Just my opinion though.

Lets not forget that Taylor is 31.I think its gonna break out like this for the JAX RBs.MJD: 55% of the carriesFT: 35%Others: 10%MJD will be a solid back this year.Anyone know the strength of schedule against the rush for Jax this year?

 

[(HULK)]

2007 Schedule

Date Opponent Time/Result SIRIUS Radio

Away Home

Sep 9 Tennessee 1:00pm

Sep 16 Atlanta 1:00pm

Sep 23 @Denver 4:05pm

Week 4 BYE

Oct 7 @Kansas City 1:00pm

Oct 14 Houston 1:00pm

Oct 22 Indianapolis 8:30pm

Oct 28 @Tampa Bay 4:05pm

Nov 4 @New Orleans 1:00pm

Nov 11 @Tennessee 1:00pm

Nov 18 San Diego 1:00pm

Nov 25 Buffalo 1:00pm

Dec 2 @Indianapolis 1:00pm

Dec 9 Carolina 1:00pm

Dec 16 @Pittsburgh 1:00pm

Dec 23 Oakland 1:00pm

Dec 30 @Houston 1:00pm

 

[kensat30]

Is Fred Taylor still considered the starter like last year? I have a hard time seeing MJD as an elite fantasy RB without even 50% of the carries. The guy looks like an end-zone magnet, but last year has to be considered fluky. Also consider that the run game in Jacksonville was an absolute monster last year averaging over 5+ ypc as a group. Both Taylor and MJD were over five. It's very realistic to consider that Jacksonville will be a whole lot less efficient on the ground this coming season.

 

[TheFanatic]

Is Fred Taylor still considered the starter like last year? I have a hard time seeing MJD as an elite fantasy RB without even 50% of the carries. The guy looks like an end-zone magnet, but last year has to be considered fluky. Also consider that the run game in Jacksonville was an absolute monster last year averaging over 5+ ypc as a group. Both Taylor and MJD were over five. It's very realistic to consider that Jacksonville will be a whole lot less efficient on the ground this coming season.

I hear that, but just because a team has a great season running the ball doesn't mean that they won't do it again. See the Rams from 99 and the next couple of years. Or KC the last 4-5 years. The question I would ask is, "has the personnel on the Jags line changed from last year?" I honestly don't know the answer. Maybe someone else can look that one up.Also, the argument that MJD has a nose for the endzone but how can he be expected to score that many TD's again? Well, last I checked Fred pulls himself at the goal line for the most part. MJD gets a large chunk of those carries. Sure if he gets tackled on the 1 after a 50 yard run Taylor will get the carry but MJD gets most of the goal line touches which leads me to believe that his TD's, while inflated last year, aren't going to drop a ton. I don't see a 50% drop like many are guessing. 25% would be a closer mark, but that's still double digit TD's. And finally, MJD is the future of the Jags running game. Do you really think the Jags are going keep him a part timer all year? I think as the season rolls on MJD will garner a higher percentage of the touches making him money during the playoff stretch for his fantasy owners....