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My gut (not brain) tells me.... (Wild prediction thread) (1 Viewer)

@Anarchy99

You’re making a good narrative and a lot of solid points, especially points 2-100. The flaw though is that you skip past the first and most important point, which is that Mac Jones sucks. And by sucks I mean, he is the worst possible decent starting QB. He is Andy Dalton circa 10 years ago. He looks ok, has moments, is somewhat capable, and holds a team hostage by presenting as just good enough to make you think you don’t have a QB problem, when in fact that’s the biggest QB problem you could ever have. You’d be better off having a QB everybody agrees is terrible because then you can move on.

Blame the very valid point of ridiculous OC choice last year if you like. I’m skipping to the finish line, which is that Mac Jones still sucks. I will die a thousand deaths about it.
 
@Anarchy99

You’re making a good narrative and a lot of solid points, especially points 2-100. The flaw though is that you skip past the first and most important point, which is that Mac Jones sucks. And by sucks I mean, he is the worst possible decent starting QB. He is Andy Dalton circa 10 years ago. He looks ok, has moments, is somewhat capable, and holds a team hostage by presenting as just good enough to make you think you don’t have a QB problem, when in fact that’s the biggest QB problem you could ever have. You’d be better off having a QB everybody agrees is terrible because then you can move on.

Blame the very valid point of ridiculous OC choice last year if you like. I’m skipping to the finish line, which is that Mac Jones still sucks. I will die a thousand deaths about it.
Look, I get it. Mac Jones will never be confused with Patrick Mahomes. Maybe his ceiling is peak Andy Dalton. Dalton had double digit wins and went to the playoffs 4 seasons in a row. He was probably a Top 12-15 QB in that time frame. I'm guessing BB is a better coach than Marvin Lewis, and I think it's also fair to say the NE defense is better than the Bengals was.

Again, I am not trying to make a case that Mac Jones deserves to be in a conversation with Tom Brady, but the early winning Patriots teams rolled out Brady on training wheels. Brady was somewhere in that Top 12-15 years in the early part of his career.

Clearly Jones has to play closer to how he did in 2021 than in 2022 for the Pats to do much of anything. Given the strength of the division and the conference, he likely needs to play better than that. "Better than 2021" probably gets Jones in that QB12-15 range like Dalton and Brady were at a similar age. I am not saying Jones is that player right now, but I think he stands a shot at being able to fall in that range. IF (and that is a very big IF) Jones is in that range, the defense is Top 3-5, and with a legit coaching staff this year, NE should be a playoff contender and in almost all of their games (no matter who is on their schedule).

Tom E. Curran is one of the most respected beat guys and has covered NE for 25 years. He was asked last week what he saw going on with the team. He said the practices have been run like they were in the prime Brady years. Everyone has bought in, they are very efficient, everyone is on the same page again, there has been a lot of unity and hardly any discord, and he mentioned that they are already further along IN JULY than they were the past 4 offseasons (which includes the final Brady year) by the start of the season. Maybe he's had too much Kool Aid, but he was asked if things go right, how many wins would the Pats get. His answer was 15. Everyone had a good laugh until it was clear he wasn't kidding. He said if everything clicked, that could happen. He explained that he doesn't see that happening and there will be weaknesses and reasons why they won't approach that, but he has been steadfast in his assessment all off season that this is an 11-12 win team, no matter what Vegas has their over / under at (which I believe is 7.5 wins). He insists that that is a winning lottery ticket and that people should put down whatever money they can afford on the OVER. Like I said, that's one person's opinion (clearly out on an island), but it is a very informed opinion. He's not the type to put forth hot takes for clicks.
 
Ridley will be a top 5 overall WR, he's going to take Trevor with him and win Baalke executive of the year.

Another Jacksonville related one but Bigsby will take a higher percentage of snaps and touches in games ETN is fully healthy then Charbonnet will in games that Walker is fully healthy.

Kenny Pickett will triple his TD passes.

Gibbs will end up with over 80 receptions and possibly overtake Barkley's 91 for most receptions by a rookie RB in history.

Speaking of records Cooper Kupp will head into the final week of the season needing 12 or more receptions to pass Michael Thomas for most receptions in a season. He'll get it.

Kareem Hunt will sign in an advantageous spot and be a top 20 fantasy RB.
 
Hunter Henry sets a career high in receiving yards

Mecole Hardman has more yards from scrimmage than Kadarius Toney

Jeff Wilson leads the Dolphins in rushing

3 quarterbacks each start multiple games for Tampa

Kyler Murray is a top 5 fantasy QB over the second half of the season

Kendre Miller is ranked as a top 15 dynasty back at the end of the season
 
Like the title states... A fun one to revisit at season's end.
So, we’re already planting flags, but with our guts?
:oldunsure:

My gut flag says:
• Rashod Bateman leads all BAL receivers (including Andrews) in FF scoring. Is a WR2 for FF rosters
You're going to die on that hill I see :shades:

Just don't see it with OBJ and Flowers added. Andrews will be the big dog and the other 3 will end up in the 700 yard range. Good for Lamar passing stats but no Ravens WR worth owning
 
My gut says Elijah Mitchell stays healthy all season which negatively effects CMC for fantasy. Shanahan uses Mitchell and Jordan to lighten the CMC load. CMC still finishes top 5/7 but not worth a top 3 overall pick.
 
MY gut tells me...

Calvin Ridley and Daniel Jones will be top five fantasy players at their respective positions.

Derek Carr will drive The Saints deep into the playoffs.

The Bills and Cowboys will underperform their preseason expectations,The Bills by a little,The Cowboys by a lot.

The Bengals and Forty-Niners will meet in The Super Bowl.

Aaron Rogers will be watching the playoffs from a mushroom farm.
 
Daniel Jones will continue to thrive against terrible defenses and absolutely implode against good/great ones. He will miss games with a vague "injury" that's really a benching. The second sentence is my gut, the first is my brain.

Keenan Allen plays the Lamb role in the SD offense and finishes as a top 10 wr.

Dallas implodes and McCarthy is ousted after the season. Jerry Jones will hire another retread at coach and the team won't be good until he officially takes a step back from running the team.

Goff turns back into a pumpkin and Det goes back to losing.

Gannon is one and done in Az

A big name player will get suspended for gambling and the NFL will change the rule to only forbid gambling on NFL games.

Stevenson enters next season as a top 3 dynasty pick.

Derek Henry is cooked. Tennessee drafts one of the top qbs in next year's draft.

Three qbs play multiple games for SF. They make the playoffs anyway.

Finally - Jefferson is the no1 wr and somehow is more valuable in fantasy than he already is.
 
Gut statement::: New Orleans offense scores Top 4 in league & they take NFC South title (not major I know) but defense is bottom 10 and all games are fantasy valuable.

Panthers 2024 Pick will be Top 3 for Chicago

TB starts 1-5 & QB Mayfield will yield the position to Trask by week 6
For that to happen I guess Young would be a major bust. I really hope not, he's very likable, seems so smart, I want to see him succeed.
 
Gut statement::: New Orleans offense scores Top 4 in league & they take NFC South title (not major I know) but defense is bottom 10 and all games are fantasy valuable.

Panthers 2024 Pick will be Top 3 for Chicago

TB starts 1-5 & QB Mayfield will yield the position to Trask by week 6
For that to happen I guess Young would be a major bust. I really hope not, he's very likable, seems so smart, I want to see him succeed.
Likable is good for chemistry but physical skill when you play “grown up” league football is different than what he faced in college. I think he can be reasonable QB but not Top 10 level but with growing pains rookie year, I don’t see him being special (3 win season likely)
 
Like the title states... A fun one to revisit at season's end.
So, we’re already planting flags, but with our guts?
:oldunsure:

My gut flag says:
• Rashod Bateman leads all BAL receivers (including Andrews) in FF scoring. Is a WR2 for FF rosters
You're going to die on that hill I see :shades:

Just don't see it with OBJ and Flowers added. Andrews will be the big dog and the other 3 will end up in the 700 yard range. Good for Lamar passing stats but no Ravens WR worth owning
He’s the best WR on the team. the ghost of OBJ and what “might be” of Flowers tiny self (5’9” 183) don’t concern me in the slightest.

It’s an easy hill to live on, frankly since Bateman has shown flashes and his injuries are not likely to recur. 6’1”, 200, and runs a sub 4.4 40. He’s far and away the best built and most capable WR on the team. And they’re expected to pass more.

So yes - I’ll happily reside on the most logical hill in Baltimore.
 
Like the title states... A fun one to revisit at season's end.
So, we’re already planting flags, but with our guts?
:oldunsure:

My gut flag says:
• Rashod Bateman leads all BAL receivers (including Andrews) in FF scoring. Is a WR2 for FF rosters
You're going to die on that hill I see :shades:

Just don't see it with OBJ and Flowers added. Andrews will be the big dog and the other 3 will end up in the 700 yard range. Good for Lamar passing stats but no Ravens WR worth owning
He’s the best WR on the team. the ghost of OBJ and what “might be” of Flowers tiny self (5’9” 183) don’t concern me in the slightest.

It’s an easy hill to live on, frankly since Bateman has shown flashes and his injuries are not likely to recur. 6’1”, 200, and runs a sub 4.4 40. He’s far and away the best built and most capable WR on the team. And they’re expected to pass more.

So yes - I’ll happily reside on the most logical hill in Baltimore.
I like Bateman, I honestly do, but you're making an argument based on potential and upside and nothing that has actually happened on the field. He's has a limited number of flashes and a concerning inability to stay on the field dating back to his final year at Minnesota.

I also think you are underselling OBJ and/or Zay Flowers. OBJ will be almost two years removed from his injury and his worst season was still better than Bateman's best. Both of them seem to profile as precise route runners in the short & intermediate game and could become high confidence safety blankets for Lamar.

That hasn't been Bateman's profile thus far. Particularly last season he was a down field guy.

Also Mark Andrews is still the alpha in the receiving game in Baltimore.

Despite what I said up thread I do think Bateman could easily lead the WR corps but with all the other targets I could also easily see that add up to 850 & 6.
 
Like the title states... A fun one to revisit at season's end.
So, we’re already planting flags, but with our guts?
:oldunsure:

My gut flag says:
• Rashod Bateman leads all BAL receivers (including Andrews) in FF scoring. Is a WR2 for FF rosters
You're going to die on that hill I see :shades:

Just don't see it with OBJ and Flowers added. Andrews will be the big dog and the other 3 will end up in the 700 yard range. Good for Lamar passing stats but no Ravens WR worth owning
He’s the best WR on the team. the ghost of OBJ and what “might be” of Flowers tiny self (5’9” 183) don’t concern me in the slightest.

It’s an easy hill to live on, frankly since Bateman has shown flashes and his injuries are not likely to recur. 6’1”, 200, and runs a sub 4.4 40. He’s far and away the best built and most capable WR on the team. And they’re expected to pass more.

So yes - I’ll happily reside on the most logical hill in Baltimore.
I like Bateman, I honestly do, but you're making an argument based on potential and upside and nothing that has actually happened on the field. He's has a limited number of flashes and a concerning inability to stay on the field dating back to his final year at Minnesota.

I also think you are underselling OBJ and/or Zay Flowers. OBJ will be almost two years removed from his injury and his worst season was still better than Bateman's best. Both of them seem to profile as precise route runners in the short & intermediate game and could become high confidence safety blankets for Lamar.

That hasn't been Bateman's profile thus far. Particularly last season he was a down field guy.

Also Mark Andrews is still the alpha in the receiving game in Baltimore.

Despite what I said up thread I do think Bateman could easily lead the WR corps but with all the other targets I could also easily see that add up to 850 & 6.
Hey, I have my gut and you got yours. We’re planting gut flags in here. This is a judgement free zone.
 
Like the title states... A fun one to revisit at season's end.
So, we’re already planting flags, but with our guts?
:oldunsure:

My gut flag says:
• Rashod Bateman leads all BAL receivers (including Andrews) in FF scoring. Is a WR2 for FF rosters
You're going to die on that hill I see :shades:

Just don't see it with OBJ and Flowers added. Andrews will be the big dog and the other 3 will end up in the 700 yard range. Good for Lamar passing stats but no Ravens WR worth owning
He’s the best WR on the team. the ghost of OBJ and what “might be” of Flowers tiny self (5’9” 183) don’t concern me in the slightest.

It’s an easy hill to live on, frankly since Bateman has shown flashes and his injuries are not likely to recur. 6’1”, 200, and runs a sub 4.4 40. He’s far and away the best built and most capable WR on the team. And they’re expected to pass more.

So yes - I’ll happily reside on the most logical hill in Baltimore.
I like Bateman, I honestly do, but you're making an argument based on potential and upside and nothing that has actually happened on the field. He's has a limited number of flashes and a concerning inability to stay on the field dating back to his final year at Minnesota.

I also think you are underselling OBJ and/or Zay Flowers. OBJ will be almost two years removed from his injury and his worst season was still better than Bateman's best. Both of them seem to profile as precise route runners in the short & intermediate game and could become high confidence safety blankets for Lamar.

That hasn't been Bateman's profile thus far. Particularly last season he was a down field guy.

Also Mark Andrews is still the alpha in the receiving game in Baltimore.

Despite what I said up thread I do think Bateman could easily lead the WR corps but with all the other targets I could also easily see that add up to 850 & 6.
Hey, I have my gut and you got yours. We’re planting gut flags in here. This is a judgement free zone.
Fair. That's what the thread is about. I absolutely let previous conversations about Bateman in other threads drive my response.

OBJ 1,300 & 8 in 2023!!!
 
I'll just stick with some guys I roster, and one I don't.

My gut tells me Kendre Miller is the best all-around RB in New Orleans and crushes it. After redshirting this year.

My gut tells me that Garrett Wilson is a top five PPG guy at WR. I think he's that good.

My gut tells me that Ezekiel Elliott is totally finished in the league whether he signs somewhere or not. There's no RB2 juice to be had there.

My gut also tells me DJ Chark has become a guy you sign for veteran depth and nothing more.

I hope I'm wrong about three of these.
 
Michael Mayer has the rare rookie TE breakout year, reminding teams why he was originally thought to be a first round pick.
 
Like the title states... A fun one to revisit at season's end.
So, we’re already planting flags, but with our guts?
:oldunsure:

My gut flag says:
• Rashod Bateman leads all BAL receivers (including Andrews) in FF scoring. Is a WR2 for FF rosters
You're going to die on that hill I see :shades:

Just don't see it with OBJ and Flowers added. Andrews will be the big dog and the other 3 will end up in the 700 yard range. Good for Lamar passing stats but no Ravens WR worth owning
He’s the best WR on the team. the ghost of OBJ and what “might be” of Flowers tiny self (5’9” 183) don’t concern me in the slightest.

It’s an easy hill to live on, frankly since Bateman has shown flashes and his injuries are not likely to recur. 6’1”, 200, and runs a sub 4.4 40. He’s far and away the best built and most capable WR on the team. And they’re expected to pass more.

So yes - I’ll happily reside on the most logical hill in Baltimore.
I like Bateman, I honestly do, but you're making an argument based on potential and upside and nothing that has actually happened on the field. He's has a limited number of flashes and a concerning inability to stay on the field dating back to his final year at Minnesota.

I also think you are underselling OBJ and/or Zay Flowers. OBJ will be almost two years removed from his injury and his worst season was still better than Bateman's best. Both of them seem to profile as precise route runners in the short & intermediate game and could become high confidence safety blankets for Lamar.

That hasn't been Bateman's profile thus far. Particularly last season he was a down field guy.

Also Mark Andrews is still the alpha in the receiving game in Baltimore.

Despite what I said up thread I do think Bateman could easily lead the WR corps but with all the other targets I could also easily see that add up to 850 & 6.
Hey, I have my gut and you got yours. We’re planting gut flags in here. This is a judgement free zone.
Fair. That's what the thread is about. I absolutely let previous conversations about Bateman in other threads drive my response.

OBJ 1,300 & 8 in 2023!!!

Flowers will be the most productive WR in BAL this season and beyond.
3 flags planted. let's see..
 
Darnold ends up being the starting QB in SF
Elijah Moore is the Browns WR1 by the end of the season
Henry is hurt or traded and Spears will be a league winner in the FF playoffs
Gabe Davis is healthy and has the year we all expected him to have last year
Howell is a top 15 FF QB
 
Gut statement::: New Orleans offense scores Top 4 in league & they take NFC South title (not major I know) but defense is bottom 10 and all games are fantasy valuable.

Panthers 2024 Pick will be Top 3 for Chicago

TB starts 1-5 & QB Mayfield will yield the position to Trask by week 6
For that to happen I guess Young would be a major bust. I really hope not, he's very likable, seems so smart, I want to see him succeed.
Likable is good for chemistry but physical skill when you play “grown up” league football is different than what he faced in college. I think he can be reasonable QB but not Top 10 level but with growing pains rookie year, I don’t see him being special (3 win season likely)
I’m a huge fan and will cheer for him except against the titans. But top 10 as a rookie especially on the panthers would be a ridiculous expectation.
 

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