Arizona - Hightower is becoming the RB to own , Haley is missed on offense - Fitz and Quan won't hurt to much but it will be felt. HIghtower is a great value play late. Warner could be a little over valued
Atlanta - Turner is looking every bit as good as any RB in NFL.. Ryan is looking like another Peyton. Falcons are a true rising team. Ryan might actually be a top 6 QB and a great value right now. I like Jenkings as a sneaky late pick.
Baltimore - Rice an McGahee are a deadlock despite the Rice lovin. McGahere is busting his ### off so don't expect a roll over. McGahee is actually a nice value play.
Buffalo - TO toe is hurt'n but he hates TC so it could be a mix. The toe might actually help push his value down to the 4th round where he represents a good buy low. He always gets double digit scores. Evans might actually be the better play. Noone on Buffalo has looked good though. I would stay away totally unless TO is there end of 4th or early 5th..
Carolina - Smith's shoulder was a concern and means he actually could fall to low 2nd early 3rd and be great value. But the real story is Dwill as he looks every bit as good as last season and has a chip on his shoulder. With Stewart still hurt'n Dwill could be an absolute MONSTER this year - only thing that will prevent 08 numbers is a murders row schedule. Even with that expect huge things. He is currently going late first all the way to mid second. at his adp he is a total steal as I can't think of 5 players more valuable.
Chicago - Only Olsen represents value here maybe Bennett late but as a 5th wr. I doi love Olsen though as maybe a top 3 - 5 TE this season and you should be able to snag him at 5-10 TE value.
Cincinnati -- Love 85 for value as he will produce better than his 4-5th round adp. Chris Henry and Cedric Benson. Henry IMO ends up starting and is their #1 red zone option as well as their big play deep threat. There is huge upside here and he can be had really late. Benson is a sneaky PPR rb as he won't wow you but a solid 1200 yd ru and 45 rec 400 yd rec with 8-9 scores might be a expected season here. His name though is making him fall to the 7th round and he is a potential 2nd RB.
llas
NY Giants Bradshaw looks great IMO might be the better runner and a nice value -- but I think the real value is with Hixon as I beleive that he will be the go to WR and a really nice 10 round and beyond get.
Washington - Portis gets it down every year yet keeps beign over looked becasue he isn't a sexy pick. I love getting Portis late 2nd early 3rd. A possibly sneaky value play is Devin Thomas - he has the tools just needs a chance. Moss will be solid. Campbell playing for his career might serve as a nice uber late back up QB. Cooley's lack of TD's in 08 is making him go later than he should as well.
Dallas - Crayton is a nice end of draft flyer , I think Roy is overated and Witten as the #1 TE might be as well being that he will be covered like a #1 WR. Romo will go becasue of his name but IMO there's a mess of over valuing the Dallas passing game. MBIII is a solid play in PPR but going about where he should.
Detroit - everything is going where it should.
Philadelphia -- Westy with McCoy and Vick might be a little over valued or it might help him stay healthy. Either way I think he is goinmg where he should at his age.. McNabb was a great value but Vick takes a little away there. So the real value here is Djack and he could be a monster with McNabb and him clicking I can see a less strong Steve Smith.
Minnesota - Sydney Rice could be a really great sleeper with everyone going after Harvin folks are sleeping on Rice. Rice has size and leaping ability no other WR on Minny has... I could see Rice turning into the most productive if he can keep Harvin relegated to the slot.
Green Bay - Driver has had a great camp and with Rodgers coming around his adp right now is terrific value. Cats out of the bag on Rodgers though
New Orleans - Everyone knows about Pierre but I think Payton wants Reggie still as his primary guy. Reggie I think is great value in PPR right now as I think he gets a little above 50% of the action and they don't pull him in the red zone either. Colston ranked 15th on here ??? wow If thats really his adp that would be insane value as Colston is Brees go to guy when healthy.
Tampa Bay - yuck stay away -- only KWIII has any true value here. Maybe Ward but nothing to write home about
San Francisco -- Gore looks great right now as does his back up. I think Morgan is the real value play a late wr that could a nice starting WR for your team all season.
Seattle I really think Housh might prove to be a a value play at 4th round adp. Hasselbeck might get tunnel vision here maybe him a PPR dynamo. I love Butler for value late as I really think he might end up starting soon. Nothing at RB maybe Forsett as a solid last round flyer.
ST Louis -- Avery is great value as he seems to be healing fast and might play week 2. He is there only true wr threat and will get many looks. Lauret Robinson is nice value really late.
Miami - Ronnie Brown even at round 3 is great value as he has top 5 RB talent especially in ppr. I think there is 2 soliud WR value with Ginn around rd 10 and Bess as a late fyler. Ginn IMO is going to breakout as a solid #3 wr.
New England - Maroney could prove a solid late play. Everything else is going about right - though I think Welker is a little over valued -- great player but not IMO a late 2nd round PPR pick - late 3rd yes.
Tennessee -- Starting to not like CJIII as much espeically as a top 7 overall pick. White has trimmed down and looks great as does Ringer. Lots of mouths to feeds here. I like White for value by far.. Gage is also solid value as a nice 12 - 15 round pick.
Houston - everyhting going where it should -- maybe Walter is a value buy
Indianapolis -- I love Addai as a sweet ppr value play. He is having a great camp and even with Brown looking good Addai is still the starter and will get 60-70% . Collie might be a sneaky deep sleeper.
San Diego - Chambers IMO is the best receiver they have and was injured all last season. He could be a nice value guy. Gates is over valued as is LT by a mile. Rivers is agreat but going where he should.
Cleveland -- James Davis will be starting by game 5 and will be one of the top ww picks of the season -- calling this now. Edwards will bounce back and really end up a sweet value play.
Pittsburgh - Sorry but Mendy is awful and very overated. Parker - rumors of his demise is very exaggerated. Parker might end up the RB value play. Holmes is over valued.
Jacksonville - Holt is having a nice camp and might have 1 more season in the sun -- at a 8th rd adp could be solid. Williamson is tering it up tough and might be a great last round guy but I have a feeling M. Walker keeps his job as when he played last year he looked really good.
Kansas City - Larry JOhnson having a great camp and at 6-7th round adp could be unreal non ppr value. Cassell is overated a little.
Oakland - LOve the value oif M. Bush or should say would love it but Raiders simply won't play him. Shame as he has alot of talent. Z. Miuller is a value guy and so is Chaz even with his injury -- the injuury will help you get him in the last round.
Denver - In PPR Royal has as much value as it gets for a little guy. 5-6th round might be solid value. Buckhalter represents soid value as he is their starter NOT Moreno at least not for maybe the first month of the season.
Atlanta - Turner is looking every bit as good as any RB in NFL.. Ryan is looking like another Peyton. Falcons are a true rising team. Ryan might actually be a top 6 QB and a great value right now. I like Jenkings as a sneaky late pick.
Baltimore - Rice an McGahee are a deadlock despite the Rice lovin. McGahere is busting his ### off so don't expect a roll over. McGahee is actually a nice value play.
Buffalo - TO toe is hurt'n but he hates TC so it could be a mix. The toe might actually help push his value down to the 4th round where he represents a good buy low. He always gets double digit scores. Evans might actually be the better play. Noone on Buffalo has looked good though. I would stay away totally unless TO is there end of 4th or early 5th..
Carolina - Smith's shoulder was a concern and means he actually could fall to low 2nd early 3rd and be great value. But the real story is Dwill as he looks every bit as good as last season and has a chip on his shoulder. With Stewart still hurt'n Dwill could be an absolute MONSTER this year - only thing that will prevent 08 numbers is a murders row schedule. Even with that expect huge things. He is currently going late first all the way to mid second. at his adp he is a total steal as I can't think of 5 players more valuable.
Chicago - Only Olsen represents value here maybe Bennett late but as a 5th wr. I doi love Olsen though as maybe a top 3 - 5 TE this season and you should be able to snag him at 5-10 TE value.
Cincinnati -- Love 85 for value as he will produce better than his 4-5th round adp. Chris Henry and Cedric Benson. Henry IMO ends up starting and is their #1 red zone option as well as their big play deep threat. There is huge upside here and he can be had really late. Benson is a sneaky PPR rb as he won't wow you but a solid 1200 yd ru and 45 rec 400 yd rec with 8-9 scores might be a expected season here. His name though is making him fall to the 7th round and he is a potential 2nd RB.
llas
NY Giants Bradshaw looks great IMO might be the better runner and a nice value -- but I think the real value is with Hixon as I beleive that he will be the go to WR and a really nice 10 round and beyond get.
Washington - Portis gets it down every year yet keeps beign over looked becasue he isn't a sexy pick. I love getting Portis late 2nd early 3rd. A possibly sneaky value play is Devin Thomas - he has the tools just needs a chance. Moss will be solid. Campbell playing for his career might serve as a nice uber late back up QB. Cooley's lack of TD's in 08 is making him go later than he should as well.
Dallas - Crayton is a nice end of draft flyer , I think Roy is overated and Witten as the #1 TE might be as well being that he will be covered like a #1 WR. Romo will go becasue of his name but IMO there's a mess of over valuing the Dallas passing game. MBIII is a solid play in PPR but going about where he should.
Detroit - everything is going where it should.
Philadelphia -- Westy with McCoy and Vick might be a little over valued or it might help him stay healthy. Either way I think he is goinmg where he should at his age.. McNabb was a great value but Vick takes a little away there. So the real value here is Djack and he could be a monster with McNabb and him clicking I can see a less strong Steve Smith.
Minnesota - Sydney Rice could be a really great sleeper with everyone going after Harvin folks are sleeping on Rice. Rice has size and leaping ability no other WR on Minny has... I could see Rice turning into the most productive if he can keep Harvin relegated to the slot.
Green Bay - Driver has had a great camp and with Rodgers coming around his adp right now is terrific value. Cats out of the bag on Rodgers though
New Orleans - Everyone knows about Pierre but I think Payton wants Reggie still as his primary guy. Reggie I think is great value in PPR right now as I think he gets a little above 50% of the action and they don't pull him in the red zone either. Colston ranked 15th on here ??? wow If thats really his adp that would be insane value as Colston is Brees go to guy when healthy.
Tampa Bay - yuck stay away -- only KWIII has any true value here. Maybe Ward but nothing to write home about
San Francisco -- Gore looks great right now as does his back up. I think Morgan is the real value play a late wr that could a nice starting WR for your team all season.
Seattle I really think Housh might prove to be a a value play at 4th round adp. Hasselbeck might get tunnel vision here maybe him a PPR dynamo. I love Butler for value late as I really think he might end up starting soon. Nothing at RB maybe Forsett as a solid last round flyer.
ST Louis -- Avery is great value as he seems to be healing fast and might play week 2. He is there only true wr threat and will get many looks. Lauret Robinson is nice value really late.
Miami - Ronnie Brown even at round 3 is great value as he has top 5 RB talent especially in ppr. I think there is 2 soliud WR value with Ginn around rd 10 and Bess as a late fyler. Ginn IMO is going to breakout as a solid #3 wr.
New England - Maroney could prove a solid late play. Everything else is going about right - though I think Welker is a little over valued -- great player but not IMO a late 2nd round PPR pick - late 3rd yes.
Tennessee -- Starting to not like CJIII as much espeically as a top 7 overall pick. White has trimmed down and looks great as does Ringer. Lots of mouths to feeds here. I like White for value by far.. Gage is also solid value as a nice 12 - 15 round pick.
Houston - everyhting going where it should -- maybe Walter is a value buy
Indianapolis -- I love Addai as a sweet ppr value play. He is having a great camp and even with Brown looking good Addai is still the starter and will get 60-70% . Collie might be a sneaky deep sleeper.
San Diego - Chambers IMO is the best receiver they have and was injured all last season. He could be a nice value guy. Gates is over valued as is LT by a mile. Rivers is agreat but going where he should.
Cleveland -- James Davis will be starting by game 5 and will be one of the top ww picks of the season -- calling this now. Edwards will bounce back and really end up a sweet value play.
Pittsburgh - Sorry but Mendy is awful and very overated. Parker - rumors of his demise is very exaggerated. Parker might end up the RB value play. Holmes is over valued.
Jacksonville - Holt is having a nice camp and might have 1 more season in the sun -- at a 8th rd adp could be solid. Williamson is tering it up tough and might be a great last round guy but I have a feeling M. Walker keeps his job as when he played last year he looked really good.
Kansas City - Larry JOhnson having a great camp and at 6-7th round adp could be unreal non ppr value. Cassell is overated a little.
Oakland - LOve the value oif M. Bush or should say would love it but Raiders simply won't play him. Shame as he has alot of talent. Z. Miuller is a value guy and so is Chaz even with his injury -- the injuury will help you get him in the last round.
Denver - In PPR Royal has as much value as it gets for a little guy. 5-6th round might be solid value. Buckhalter represents soid value as he is their starter NOT Moreno at least not for maybe the first month of the season.
I think this is the year Floyd and Nanee take an appreciable bite out of his PT (even if he's not injured). I expect Chambers to be let go at the end of this season. At best he's the 3rd option behind Gates and Jackson. I don't see him with tons of upside if you're drafting him in the middle rounds, I wouldn't reach for him. His ADP of around the 13th round gives a little room for value, not a ton.
Gates will be the #1 TE in FF this year, he's looking great in preseason. He's well worth his late 4th round ADP.
I think this is the year Floyd and Nanee take an appreciable bite out of his PT (even if he's not injured). I expect Chambers to be let go at the end of this season. At best he's the 3rd option behind Gates and Jackson. I don't see him with tons of upside if you're drafting him in the middle rounds.
I have him as #4 on that depth chart. Currently Denver wants Buck to start and work Moreno in and eventually have Moreno take over full time around week 6. Jordan is the #3 abnd a favorite of McD.. Hillis getting anything but spot duty is a streth. maybe Hillis is the FB and gets Shorties though. Moreno and Buck both run tough and are solid short yardage guys.
et-220-2 TDs-32nd against the runKan-104-3 TDs-30th against the run@GNB-121-1 TD-26th against the run@Oak-139-0 TDs-31st against the runCar-117-4 TDs-20th against the run@SD-120-0 TDs=11th against the runTam-152-1 TD-19th against the runStl-208-1 TD-29th against the runHis other games;@TB-42-0 TD-19th ATR@Car-56-0 TD-20th ATRChi-54-0 TD-5th ATR@Phi-58-0 TD-4th ATRNOR-96-1 TD-17th ATRDen-81-2 TD-27th ATR@Nor-61-1 TD-17th ATR@Min-70-1 TD-1st ATRLast year Turner only had four games against defenses in the top half of the league against the rush. Now granted you can only play the games they schedule but I think he feasted on weaker teams last year. This year his schedule is a lot harder. This is the schedule this year:Mia-10th ATRCar-20th ATR@NE-15th ATR@SF-13th ATRChi-5th ATR@Dal-12th ATR@Nor-17th ATRWas-8th ATR@Car-20th ATR@NYG-9th ATRTam-19th ATRPhi-4th ATRNor-17th ATR@NYJ-7th ATRBuf-22nd ATRSo last year they played four teams in the top half of the league against the run, and three in the top ten. This year they play ten teams ranked in the top half of the league, and six in the top ten. This year the worst team they play was ranked 22nd. Last year they played six teams ranked worse than that. The number of TDs against defenses in the bottom half of the league against the rush, 16. Number of TDs against teams in the top half of the league, 1. Now I know defensive rankings can change, teams jump up from year to year, and other teams slide. But this schedule is significantly harder than last year. I expect his rushing totals to drop to around 1400 to 1450, and TDs more in the range of 9 or 10. When you consider that he catches almost no passes his value drops considerably in PPR formats. So he is still a very good player, but a RB I would look at in the bottom half of the first round rather than at 4th where he is being drafted now.
I have him as #4 on that depth chart. Currently Denver wants Buck to start and work Moreno in and eventually have Moreno take over full time around week 6. Jordan is the #3 abnd a favorite of McD.. Hillis getting anything but spot duty is a streth. maybe Hillis is the FB and gets Shorties though. Moreno and Buck both run tough and are solid short yardage guys.
