What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

My Stock Value Strategy Starts Now (4 Viewers)

Made a killing on AMED again today. Sold the options yesterday for about a $1200 profit. Bought back in later in the day on a dip, and sold again this morning for about another $1500 profit. KennyL = :goodposting:
Just swing traded another $800AMED = too easy.
In the interest of transparency, I sold all my AMED options on Friday for a nice bundle of profit, and sold off half of the underlying I owned. Still have a mid-sized position, but I agree with some that it'll stall a bit before moving through $40. I still like it long term, but there could be some choppiness getting through $40.
 
By the way, I rebought into PRGN at $4.048 this morning (2500 shares). Looking to unload again at $4.248.

 
exph up huge the last couple days. Good thing I bought some a few weeks ago before Scottrade stopped letting people buy it for some reason.

 
i hate looking at my stupid shares of HEB everyday. Die HEB die.
Thats what i say about the last 2000 shares of neomedia i have. Value = 8.00. HAHAHAAHAHAA. I had like 30k at one point and sold most of it for a 1cent per share loss. I just wanted to let the rest die of natural causes or see if it could be resucitated. Its choosing the afterlife i believe. On a positive note, i'm hoping somebody, anybody.....got in on the casinos when i called the floor on them. LVS and MGM, along with WYNN have been absolute monsters. I hope some of you caught some of that action. If not, I don't think the ride is over. 25 for LVS and 20 for MGM i think are easily attainable by years end. Option numbers continue to look good (steady and strong call/put ratios for a while now).
 
In for 800 GGN @ $13.59.
.14 per share dividend received today. +$112.00 YTD +$9392.12Currently at $14.17 per share.

Looking forward to next months .14 dividend for holding on August 14. :thumbup:
GD it. Due to some unforeseen expenses(like HTF can a wife and 2 kids cost so much) I just sold 200 shares at $13.94. +$63.00 YTD +$9455.12I get my company dividend twice a year half in March & half in August. I almost made it. I hate when business sucks. :) :lmao: :wall:
Three more dividend dates announced:
The distribution for October 2009 will be payable on October 23, 2009 to common shareholders of record on October 16, 2009.

The distribution for November 2009 will be payable on November 20, 2009 to common shareholders of record on November 13, 2009.

The distribution for December 2009 will be payable on December 17, 2009 to common shareholders of record on December 14, 2009

Link

Plus you still have the September dividend open:

The distribution for July 2009 will be payable on July 24, 2009 to common shareholders of record on July 17, 2009.

The distribution for August 2009 will be payable on August 24, 2009 to common shareholders of record on August 17, 2009.

The distribution for September 2009 will be payable on September 23, 2009 to common shareholders of record on September 16, 2009.
Link
$15.59 close today :capella:
 
Quiet in here today.
Good move on the fcg. Picked up a few shares last week myself.
Yeah so far so good. :thumbup: The recent run up in spot price didn't really move the futures, it just closed the gap a little. I'm happy for the 7% discount I picked up, but the real money will come if the supply gets burnt up this winter and the price heads back up to $5 or over.I'm happy I got in when i did, but I think the real move is still months out.
 
Quiet in here today.
Good move on the fcg. Picked up a few shares last week myself.
Yeah so far so good. :sadbanana: The recent run up in spot price didn't really move the futures, it just closed the gap a little. I'm happy for the 7% discount I picked up, but the real money will come if the supply gets burnt up this winter and the price heads back up to $5 or over.I'm happy I got in when i did, but I think the real move is still months out.
What do you think a good entry point would be here? Trying to add some for my IRA
 
I'm in all cash here since yesterday midday. I was hoping for some drops today, but everything seems to be up or flat.

 
Sold off 1/2 of my PRGN yesterday at 4.25. I'm gonna sit on the rest for a while. Hopefully it will climb up to 5.00 range after it's announced that the dilution is ovah.

 
These shippers are bad news. They have good fundamentals on a per share basis, and then voila, they sneak more shares out there, making all the per share ratio data worthless. You think you're buying a stock with a P/E of 4.0, but in reality it just became a 7.0 P/E. These shippers don't give a rat's ### about their shareholders.Maybe down the road these stocks will once again be worthwhile, but it's tough to do your homework, thoroughly examine the fundamentals and then have someone throw you a sinkerball.I've been buying Terra Industries (TRA), Joy Global (JOYG), Atwood Oceanics (ATW), Netease.com (NTES) & American Dairy (ADY). I jump in and out. A couple of others I have small positions in are Innophos Holdings (IPHS), Alcon (ACL), Alcoa (AA) & Fuqi International (FUQI). All have great fundamentals, and quite a few are in great technical stages.
FUQI, JOYG and TRA are all in full breakout, as all three broke through key resistance today.
 
I don't hold any shippers, but I thought this article was an interesting read:

"The biggest and most secretive gathering of ships in maritime history lies at anchor east of Singapore. Never before photographed, it is bigger than the U.S. and British navies combined but has no crew, no cargo and no destination - and is why your Christmas stocking may be on the light side this year"

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/moslive/ar...l#ixzz0RCWrU8Uy

 
Quiet in here today.
Good move on the fcg. Picked up a few shares last week myself.
Yeah so far so good. :goodposting: The recent run up in spot price didn't really move the futures, it just closed the gap a little. I'm happy for the 7% discount I picked up, but the real money will come if the supply gets burnt up this winter and the price heads back up to $5 or over.

I'm happy I got in when i did, but I think the real move is still months out.
What do you think a good entry point would be here? Trying to add some for my IRA
I have to say that I am not sure. I'm happy I started my posistion last week, but ~50% of my $$ is still in cash and i don't plan to come off that stance until we get though the fall. It's hard to have that stance and say it' time to buy new stocks. That said I do like Nat gas right now long term and I'll look to slowly build my posistion.I think gas is up 52 weeks from now. But It could be 5%-10% down two weeks from now.

 
Quiet in here today.
Good move on the fcg. Picked up a few shares last week myself.
Yeah so far so good. :goodposting: The recent run up in spot price didn't really move the futures, it just closed the gap a little. I'm happy for the 7% discount I picked up, but the real money will come if the supply gets burnt up this winter and the price heads back up to $5 or over.

I'm happy I got in when i did, but I think the real move is still months out.
What do you think a good entry point would be here? Trying to add some for my IRA
I have to say that I am not sure. I'm happy I started my posistion last week, but ~50% of my $$ is still in cash and i don't plan to come off that stance until we get though the fall. It's hard to have that stance and say it' time to buy new stocks. That said I do like Nat gas right now long term and I'll look to slowly build my posistion.I think gas is up 52 weeks from now. But It could be 5%-10% down two weeks from now.
Thanks, I am being more conservative in my moves since I cleared out most of my fun money for a down payment on a house and only have a small IRA to trade with and it is obviously longer term.
 
any of you guys use a good stock screener? I've tried many over the years but I haven't found one I truly love to use. The one I find best is Nasdaq.com's screener, because it's the only one I've found that lists the stocks with all the info requested (so I can cut/paste into a SS) and also has ROIC, which is a key metric for me. But it's too clunky.

Anyone have any good ones to share that can at least list all the info requested (rather than just listing the stocks which meet the screen) and also has ROIC as a choice? Thanks.

 
I got in AEZS at 1.18 this morning, wondering how long I should hold on. I definitely plan to sell by end of day, but am hoping for another run up before then.

 
These shippers are bad news. They have good fundamentals on a per share basis, and then voila, they sneak more shares out there, making all the per share ratio data worthless. You think you're buying a stock with a P/E of 4.0, but in reality it just became a 7.0 P/E. These shippers don't give a rat's ### about their shareholders.Maybe down the road these stocks will once again be worthwhile, but it's tough to do your homework, thoroughly examine the fundamentals and then have someone throw you a sinkerball.I've been buying Terra Industries (TRA), Joy Global (JOYG), Atwood Oceanics (ATW), Netease.com (NTES) & American Dairy (ADY). I jump in and out. A couple of others I have small positions in are Innophos Holdings (IPHS), Alcon (ACL), Alcoa (AA) & Fuqi International (FUQI). All have great fundamentals, and quite a few are in great technical stages.
FUQI, JOYG and TRA are all in full breakout, as all three broke through key resistance today.
JOYG continues its upward run, hitting $47.10 a few minutes ago. TRA also exceeds my $34 target price, now at $35.60.
 
Ladies and Gentlemen. I submit to you all a fact of life. If you ever wanted to go to Europe, Asia, or any other foreign country - now is the time to do it. In two years, you won't be able to afford it anymore. The USD came close to breaking a 76 handle. That is flat out awful. Gold and Silver and the rest of the commodities have been on a tear.

We will see some resistance at 75. If we break that it's 71.30.

Consider this for a moment. The USD recent high is right around the S&P500 low, on March 10th of this year. Since March 10th. the S&P 500 has picked up 31.5%. Now obviously that's a good thing, if you had $100 it's now $131.50. Now consider the USD impact to said earnings. Against a world basket of currencies the USD that you made are now 14.6% less then it was on March. In other words, the $131.50 is really only worth ~$112 if you took it out into the rest of the world. Granted, a 12% gain is better then none - but not the outright rebound story everyone is talking about.

If the USD slips to a 71 handle as some say it will (without an advance in the S&P - I'm willing to admit that this is unlikely) the gain in real terms reduces to 4% down from 12%.

Now the real question becomes can you still buy the same amount of goods with our 31.5% gain in the market domestically. We already know the answer internationally. Anyone actually think the reported CPI index gains are capturing the real inflation %? Are the feign countries that produce a lot of our goods going to settle for payment that's reduced by 15% or greater? They are going to start to raise prices to compensate - and that is going to cause the cost of goods to rise here.

In other words - this is and has been a dollar weakness rally. And it would appear that Inflation will be a real problem in the years to come.

My two cents - sorry if this comes out as a rant.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Ladies and Gentlemen. I submit to you all a fact of life. If you ever wanted to go to Europe, Asia, or any other foreign country - now is the time to do it. In two years, you won't be able to afford it anymore. The USD came close to breaking a 76 handle. That is flat out awful. Gold and Silver and the rest of the commodities have been on a tear.We will see some resistance at 75. If we break that it's 71.30. Consider this for a moment. The USD recent high is right around the S&P500 low, on March 10th of this year. Since March 10th. the S&P 500 has picked up 31.5%. Now obviously that's a good thing, if you had $100 it's now $131.50. Now consider the USD impact to said earnings. Against a world basket of currencies the USD that you made are now 14.6% less then it was on March. In other words, the $131.50 is really only worth ~$112 if you took it out into the rest of the world. Granted, a 12% gain is better then none - but not the outright rebound story everyone is talking about.If the USD slips to a 71 handle as some say it will (without an advance in the S&P - I'm willing to admit that this is unlikely) the gain in real terms reduces to 4% down from 12%.Now the real question becomes can you still buy the same amount of goods with our 31.5% gain in the market domestically. We already know the answer internationally. Anyone actually think the reported CPI index gains are capturing the real inflation %? Are the feign countries that produce a lot of our goods going to settle for payment that's reduced by 15% or greater? They are going to start to raise prices to compensate - and that is going to cause the cost of goods to rise here. In other words - this is and has been a dollar weakness rally. And it would appear that Inflation will be a real problem in the years to come.My two cents - sorry if this comes out as a rant.
I couldn't agree more about inflation. We've discussed the potential issues with funds like GLD here. Does anyone have an opinion on something like Vanguard's Inflation Indexed Securities Fund (VIPSX)? I was looking at that some as well. I own a little but was thinking of taking that up a good bit.
 
I don't hold any shippers, but I thought this article was an interesting read:

"The biggest and most secretive gathering of ships in maritime history lies at anchor east of Singapore. Never before photographed, it is bigger than the U.S. and British navies combined but has no crew, no cargo and no destination - and is why your Christmas stocking may be on the light side this year"

Read more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/home/moslive/ar...l#ixzz0RCWrU8Uy
Thanks for the read, siffoin.I just liquidated my FREE shares at a nice loss, and my PRGN shares at a nice gain. I'm out of shippers!

 
Ladies and Gentlemen. I submit to you all a fact of life. If you ever wanted to go to Europe, Asia, or any other foreign country - now is the time to do it. In two years, you won't be able to afford it anymore. The USD came close to breaking a 76 handle. That is flat out awful. Gold and Silver and the rest of the commodities have been on a tear.We will see some resistance at 75. If we break that it's 71.30. Consider this for a moment. The USD recent high is right around the S&P500 low, on March 10th of this year. Since March 10th. the S&P 500 has picked up 31.5%. Now obviously that's a good thing, if you had $100 it's now $131.50. Now consider the USD impact to said earnings. Against a world basket of currencies the USD that you made are now 14.6% less then it was on March. In other words, the $131.50 is really only worth ~$112 if you took it out into the rest of the world. Granted, a 12% gain is better then none - but not the outright rebound story everyone is talking about.If the USD slips to a 71 handle as some say it will (without an advance in the S&P - I'm willing to admit that this is unlikely) the gain in real terms reduces to 4% down from 12%.Now the real question becomes can you still buy the same amount of goods with our 31.5% gain in the market domestically. We already know the answer internationally. Anyone actually think the reported CPI index gains are capturing the real inflation %? Are the feign countries that produce a lot of our goods going to settle for payment that's reduced by 15% or greater? They are going to start to raise prices to compensate - and that is going to cause the cost of goods to rise here. In other words - this is and has been a dollar weakness rally. And it would appear that Inflation will be a real problem in the years to come.My two cents - sorry if this comes out as a rant.
Interesting. I'm going to need an education on currencies.Due to the possibility of the "trader tax" being implemented, I've begun to dip into the Forex markets. Only trading the Euro/USD on hourly trend changes and scalping for 100 pips....getting 2-3 trades per week. As a strategy...so far it's a "home run." However since labor day there has been only one trend UP! (meaning USD is falling with no end in sight).As such I've obviously noticed the correlation between the $ dropping and the US markets rising...especially in trading the SP500 & DOW futures...to the point where I'm adjusting my trading of the futures trades in relation to the Euro/USD hourly trend.I'm agreeing with you that something is rotten...and inflation probably looms. There will be other consequences too..what I'm not sure. I'm trying to figure out how to best manage various "what-ifs" for not only the short term but also the long term. Up to and including setting up trading business outside of the US. It makes me nauseous even thinking about it.
 
I am all out of FREE. Had over 13000 shares at one point.

Total Profit after fees = $109.40

Just glad to get out at this point.

 
Last edited by a moderator:
On a positive note, i'm hoping somebody, anybody.....got in on the casinos when i called the floor on them. LVS and MGM, along with WYNN have been absolute monsters. I hope some of you caught some of that action. If not, I don't think the ride is over. 25 for LVS and 20 for MGM i think are easily attainable by years end. Option numbers continue to look good (steady and strong call/put ratios for a while now).
I just read this article.http://www.businessweek.com/investor/conte...ampaign_id=yhoo

Does that scare you any?

 
Well I'll be. I've had a limit sell in on FREE for weeks now at my original purchase price and about a quarter of it filled today. Hopefully it can pop back up a little bit so I can unload the rest.

Despite a small pop, my HEB shares continue to be dead in the water.

 
On a positive note, i'm hoping somebody, anybody.....got in on the casinos when i called the floor on them. LVS and MGM, along with WYNN have been absolute monsters. I hope some of you caught some of that action. If not, I don't think the ride is over. 25 for LVS and 20 for MGM i think are easily attainable by years end. Option numbers continue to look good (steady and strong call/put ratios for a while now).
I just read this article.http://www.businessweek.com/investor/conte...ampaign_id=yhoo

Does that scare you any?
Scare?? No, not really. Concern might be a better word. I'm not familiar with the author Gene Marcial very much. Is he generally bearish or bullish? At end of article disclaimer said he had no vested interest at the time of release. He might still have an agenda he is pushing. I do think that a good percent of MGM's recent runup is due to shorts covering. They seem to have gotten their debt situation looking better. Also, looking at the comments at the end of the article, it appears a few others believe it is a short squeeze. Laughing that one of them was named Jim Cramer. I'm feeling confident about the numbers i mentioned above, even with what could be a bad october. As with any holding, gotta stay on top of it and be prepared to hold, sell, or buy more.
 
Anyone have thoughts on a gold bubble bust anytime soon?

There's an inverse ETF: UltraShort Basic Materials ProShares (SMN), that I'd like to purchase right before the aforementioned bust.

 
Quadruple witching day is near.......it wouldn't shock me to see JOYG have a "climax breakout" and come close to its 52w high of $56, before faltering and dropping back to its 10-week line.

I think I'm gonna add more to my 1,000 share position this morning.

NEW YORK -- Options traders bucked conventional wisdom and sought positions in contracts that expire in a matter of days.

Although September options expire on Friday, traders proved willing to buy the short-term contracts in several companies, including Joy Global and Eastman Kodak.

In Joy Global, which makes heavy equipment for the mining industry, traders scooped up September calls that convey the right to buy the stock for $44. The contracts are priced at $1.50 and make money if Joy Global rises above $45.50 before Friday. The shares closed at $45.15, up 4.3% on a day when industrial stocks had some strength.

Traders in these cases could be preparing for an increase in volatility on Friday, a day of "quadruple witching" in which stock-index futures, stock-index options, stock options and single stock futures all expire.

"It's very rare to see opening positions with only three days left to expiration," said Michael Schwartz, chief options strategist at Oppenheimer & Co. "The only answer would be that they expect a surge to the upside because of an imbalance to the buy side on quadruple-witching Friday."

 
Well I'll be. I've had a limit sell in on FREE for weeks now at my original purchase price and about a quarter of it filled today. Hopefully it can pop back up a little bit so I can unload the rest.Despite a small pop, my HEB shares continue to be dead in the water.
FREE is on a tear the last few days. Got out of the rest of my position at the open and now it's moved above $2.
 
Jesus have I made a lot of money the past 3 weeks.

:goodposting: PRGN

Where is Dow 8000 dump everything guy? Dow will be over 10k by tommrow.

 
Still holding steady with my original shares of PRGN and FREE ... was a little anxious after the recent dip, but willing to ride this momentum for a while. PRGN divvy last week was also a nice little bonus.

Any ShipperGuys have particular short-term price targets in mind for these? I'm interested in holding most of my PRGN through 5.00, FREE to 2.25 ... then letting a smaller amount ride for the longer term.

 
ameritrade keepin a brother down this morning
Anyone else having trouble logging on to Ameritrade? They have a security question coming up now when I try to log in that is blocking me. On the phone now holding waiting for Customer Service. Never had to hold before when I called in.
 
If TRMA drops below $6.50, it is a good time to get in. They received a bunch of new contracts at the end of Q1, had a great Q2 and their best quarters are traditionally 3 and 4. They have some debt which is holding this stock down but the outlook for this company going forward is very positive.$8 is a conservative estimate of where this stock will be by end of Q3.
Didn't even take the quarter to hit $8. $8.08 now.This is all I got.
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top