I know a lot of people here are bearish on the long-term prospects for the USD. Other than metals, what else are you doing to mitigate some risk? I'm starting to take a position in VIPSX, Vanguard's Inflation Protected Securities Fund. I'm also holding some Australian dollars through an EverBank CD. I started out in the hole on that one but it's been rising back steadily to about break-even again.
Just curious what others are trying.
Inverse treasury funds ( RRPIX RYJUX ) might be worth a look. I just have them on my radar for now... I'll probably take a harder look whenever inflation begins to pick up steam.
I would recommend staying away from the inverse treasury funds for now. Inflation is probably coming but not for another 1-2 years. Deflation is the name of the game now. Unemployment rate is rising and income levels are coming down. Add in the fact that prices are deflating at an annual rate of 4%,
personal savings rate has gone from -1% to 7%, and housing has not found solid ground and it will be awhile before the Fed starts raising rates, probably 2011. I actually think treasuries are an attractive play right now especially if you have exposure to equities. Take a look at TLT, the 20 year treasury ETF currently yielding 4.31%, or IEF, the 7-10 year treasury ETF currently yielding around 3.90%. Treasuries have gotten beat up lately with this run up in the market. If there is a pull back in the market treasuries should give you some appreciation on top of the yield.
One stat that I keep looking at is that over the past 50 years during recessions the 10 year treasury yield has always bottomed when the unemployment rate peaked. The 10 year treasury yield was at 2% back in December and is now around 3.60%. I don't see the unemployment rate peaking until at least next year. If history stays true we will see the 10 year treasury back down towards 2% before this is over.