..and for what it is worth with the low traffic anymore, here's a copy and paste on today's writeup:
Atlanta – Splitter is out. He has missed 15 games this season. In the 12 Muscala has played he has averaged 7 more minutes but only 13 FD points so he is not worth considering.
Boston – Crowder is a game-time call. He has yet to miss a game this season. On the road @ CLE, the math is staying away form the Celtics anyway. Marcus Smart is anoption on the team averaging 24-35 over the L14 and L28 in about 27 minutes and could pick up some extra if Crowder is out. The best option on the team is probably Evan Turner. He has been trending up averaging over 6 more FD points over the L14 and L7 versus both the L28 and Year. If he gets to start AND gets more minutes, he would be a good option. @CLE is tough though.
Charlotte – The Hornets are taking a little less of my time with Al out a while now, Zeller back, Lamb back, and Lin ok. The most important piece is Walker who looks like he should also play today. I’m giving him, MKG, and Batum a small subjective subtraction for MKG, another offensive threat, being in there and all healthy. In the 2 games they have played together with MKG, Walker has scored only 28,26 and Batum 18,21.
Chicago – Shoot me if I put in Portis again. You have to if Pau is out, right? Recall Noah and Mirotic are out. One of the best and deepest frontcourts a month ago in the Bulls might be down to Gibson and Portis starting. If so, they would both be great values. Oh, and Butler was a late scratch infuriating the DFS world last game and is also questionable. With no Gasol, Butler would be a great play as well, but you have to be nervous about him being limited if he plays.
Here’s the math – In two games Pau has missed, Noah averaged 36 and he’s now out. Portis averaged 18 and would take the start, and Butler averaged a healthy 49 the hard way with a 23,76.
E’ Moore scored a 39 last game so the DFS world will jump on him. He’s had some other games with over 30 minutes where he didn’t do much so not a slam dunk there but probably as good a risk as Portis if Butler ends up missing.
For now, I am posting projections with only Mirotic out.
Dallas – JJB a small bump with Harris out. Keep an eye on DWill. JJB goes to 28 if he is out.
Denver – D.Arthur is probably out. There have been mixed results in the 4 games he has missed with smaller guys getting more minutes. Recently though, it’s been all Jokic who has 5 of the last 7 under not only $200 but under $150CPP. He’s gotten 25+ minutes in the last 4 games and only struggled vs UTA. With CHI frontcourt possibly a mess, he’s a very strong play today.
Indiana – Mahinmi to miss again. He has missed 8 games. In those, Turner is averaging 30 vs. his normal 19 with an average increase of 10 minutes. Hill 26 vs. 20 in +6 and Allen 19 vs. 15 in +2. In the L6 missed in 2016, Turner has averaged 34 in +14 minutes.
Memphis – Matt Barnes is questionable against NY. I think it would be smart by Memphis to not have him show up at all. Coach Fisher would be preoccupied on his cell phone trying to figure out where he is….or isn’t. LOL.
Miami – Tyler Johnson out. If you look at L4, Deng, Winslow, and Wade are up but Whiteside missed 3 of those as well. Green is back and maybe healthy – he is my favorite choice to uptick but the math isn’t showing it yet so I’m leaving it alone.
Whiteside came off the bench and put up a ridiculous 33 FD points in only 17 minutes last game vs. DAL. He’s coming off the bench again today and I would be too nervous to use any of these replacement type guys with such unknown minutes even against CHA.
Milwaukee – Mayo and Henson probably out vs. UTA, the #1 defense in the L28 by FAR! Don’t play a Buck today.
Orlando – Aaron Gordon was off his mark last game. That is going to help keep his cost down. He’s still starting and enjoying 10 more minutes per game over his yearly average. I’m leaving in a subjective +4 to put him at 25, still below his L14 and L7.
San Antonio – Duncan and Ginobili out. In 12 Duncan has missed, Marjanovic averages 20, LA 28, and West 19. They are about the same just looking at the 6 games missed in 2016. Math is not expecting any good plays on road @ DAL. However, those 2 account for 45 FD points per game so some of those points need to go to others. I think Kawhi may go 40+.
Sacramento – Rondo and Cousins probable.