Apologies and thanks in advance for trudging through the wall of text that follows!
I'm completely new to DFS...Playing NFL DFS on DraftKings. My ROI so far is -28% with a 32% win rate. I'm having a hard time figuring out if my cash game process/strategy is solid, and I just don't have enough data points to show it, or if I'm just way off base. I'm not concerned with tournaments - my exposure there is low and I know it's a crapshoot anyway. My cash game process is as follows:
Currently I'm considering dropping down to 3 lineups and playing them all equally...Not sure if I should go back to $5 games or stick to $2 or $3 to spread out my exposure to each opponent. Also debating whether all (or 2/3 of) my lineups should be exposed to elite players like Hopkins, Bell, etc.
Sorry again for the wall of text. Any advice is GREATLY appreciated! Thanks for reading!
I'm completely new to DFS...Playing NFL DFS on DraftKings. My ROI so far is -28% with a 32% win rate. I'm having a hard time figuring out if my cash game process/strategy is solid, and I just don't have enough data points to show it, or if I'm just way off base. I'm not concerned with tournaments - my exposure there is low and I know it's a crapshoot anyway. My cash game process is as follows:
- use a couple sites to calculate $/point, and create my player pool using guys that rank high, plus a small handful of other high priced players who just kill it week in week out (Bell, Hopkins, etc)
- I've been creating 5 cash game lineups to spread out amongst 45-50 contests
- I try to avoid having any stacks in my cash lineups
- I try to keep my exposure to my top player at ~50%, and then decreasing exposure for all other players at the same position down to about 10-20%
- lineup/exposure: https://www.dropbox.com/s/do96c4rmc6qvswr/Screenshot%202015-10-23%2009.42.04.png?dl=0
- lineup/exposure: https://www.dropbox.com/s/2t69xov9g2fx2ep/Screenshot%202015-10-23%2009.43.12.png?dl=0
- lineup/exposure: https://www.dropbox.com/s/gsswxh9pikrujug/Screenshot%202015-10-23%2008.43.01.png?dl=0
- results: https://www.dropbox.com/s/a2mnw5hley43nig/Screenshot%202015-10-21%2000.16.33.png?dl=0
Currently I'm considering dropping down to 3 lineups and playing them all equally...Not sure if I should go back to $5 games or stick to $2 or $3 to spread out my exposure to each opponent. Also debating whether all (or 2/3 of) my lineups should be exposed to elite players like Hopkins, Bell, etc.
Sorry again for the wall of text. Any advice is GREATLY appreciated! Thanks for reading!