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NFC Championship GB@Seattle (2 Viewers)
- Thread starter seahawk 17
- Start date
Sabertooth
Footballguy
Not sure why you think this. Lacy should thrive in this.
Sabertooth
Footballguy
If anything I would think slippery conditions might help slowing down the pass rush.
Because people forget down the stretch the Packers have had one of the best running games in the NFL. Now the biggest thing is we can't have a repeat of Buffalo where the receivers dropped literally 800% more passes than normal (average is 1 per game they dropped 8 in that game with a easy Jordy Nelson TD dropped as well).
Alex P Keaton
Footballguy
5dimes is 8.5 and was 8 like 30 min ago.
Team Smokin'
Footballguy
Got ya, wonder if this game could get to 11? 10.5 is the biggest underdog to win a NFC Championship Atlanta over Minnesota.
ImTheScientist
Footballguy
Yup.... I'm guessing the weather plus the smart peeps are playing a role in that movement
ImTheScientist
Footballguy
FYI all..... It's pretty windy here. Not wet though.... Looking like just wind today
The line isn't moving another 2 points in the last 5 hours before game time. It nosed up to 8 because of the weather forecast being clearer (clearer as in we know for sure the conditions will be bad). That's most likely where it will stay. It's not going to 10.
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Its at 9 1/2 right now
EDIT : WHOOPS! lol somehow my view got switched up and I was just seeing the line if I wanted to bid in at 9 1/2
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The General
Footballguy
Good time to get some final predictions out there.
Hawks 27 - GB 20
Hawks 27 - GB 20
seahawk 17
Footballguy
RW likes to loft a few, usually to Kearse. I could see a gust of wind making for an easy INT for GB.
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seahawk 17
Footballguy
Really, where? I see 8 at all the Vegas casinos and you can still get 7.5 at the Mirage as of 11:05 EST today.
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If I were betting the game which I'm not I wouldn't be using illegal off shore sites but suit yourself.
Dan Lambskin
Footballguy
MarcO
Footballguy
Seahawks win 4x as many home games when the weather is poor...
http://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2015/01/will-weather-help-seahawks.html?m=1
Sabertooth
Footballguy
Packers 26-20
Sabertooth
Footballguy
They don't get To play Lindley or Kaepernick today though.
biju
Footballguy
Where are the stats to back up 4x homes games won because of the weather being poor? Last time I looked the Seahawks rarely lose to begin with so not sure how you get the 4x as many home games? Are we going back to 1990 or something to get that?
Like your high school math teacher would say, "show your math"
(*Note: For those Seahawks fans who can't follow my argument and think I am disrespecting them - I am actually trying to figure out how a team that basically never loses at home can be 4x more likely to win a home game because of bad weather)
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Think I found it in another link in that article:
17-4 w/ precipitation vs 42-25 w/o
.810 vs .630
So ya not 4x more likely to win? Equate that 17-4 record out over 67 games (same as good weather) its 54-13 over that time vs the 42-25 record they have in good weather, which is more like a 2x likelihood if you don't take into account the strength of schedule on both sides of the column.
biju
Footballguy
The Patriots are the #13 defense, the Cowboys are the #19. The Lions are the #2 defense and you lost to them on the road.
Ok, I'll take that.
ETA: By DVOA those are #11, #22, and #3 respectively just to get an advanced metric in there.
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Hooper31
Footballguy
No idea why people fixate on stats like this. Don't remember who said it earlier this postseason, but you have to know that most of those games were played by different players and coaches. Those guys aren't coming out of retirement.
Can't wait for the game, if the Packers win its a big success and everyone will celebrate it but if they lose its something that was supposed to happen when playing at Seattle. On the flip side there is no upside for the Seahawks if they win it was expected and its all about repeating whereas if the lose it will be a HUGE loss for the franchise.
If we are going there remind me who they beat again worth anything on offense? Week 3 is the last time?..... So ya.....
Exactly... Again I didn't bring up the stat it was posted by someone else in the article that the Seahawks are 4x more likely to win with bad weather. I pulled it out to point to the fact that it really doesn't matter.
biju
Footballguy
Mr.Pack
Footballguy
Mr.Pack
Footballguy
Mr.Pack
Footballguy
Even Packer fans???
That's odd, they must not be reading this thread or listening to the sports media.
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biju
Footballguy
Hey Packer fans. I get that you're all about trying to take the "disrespect" angle, the "no way they can win" angle, and the "who has Seattle beat" angle. I really understand it. I remember last year when everyone said it was a lock for the Broncos to win it all. It sucks.
If you do manage to pull it out, congrats. I'll come back by for some crow later tonight (I'm going to the game so I'll be offline shortly). I'm hoping for a great game and it was fun with the banter this week. Cheers.
If you do manage to pull it out, congrats. I'll come back by for some crow later tonight (I'm going to the game so I'll be offline shortly). I'm hoping for a great game and it was fun with the banter this week. Cheers.
Hooper31
Footballguy
Maybe once, or twice. I get that for a quick laugh. But over and over and over again? Do yourself a favor and go listen to a CD of your daughter. You'll smile and feel better. GL today.
Mr.Pack
Footballguy
Did you tell him he's wasting his time by going today?
That Seattle is a LOCK today?
The General
Footballguy
You have a some type of inferiority complex going on. Seattle is the favorite to win but upsets happen all the time. Should be a great game.
Mr.Pack
Footballguy
And QB's always say rainy conditions favor the passing game because the WR's know where they are going, but the DB's don't. Also, the DLine has a tough time getting a push in these conditions.
biju
Footballguy
That makes more sense on grass than turf, I believe, where it is easier to slip or just lose footing. It's weird that this (not your assertion, just the general knowledge--I'm not positive either) isn't more establish knowledge around here.
MaxThreshold
Footballguy
It's not you we're really concerned about as you're not the one shooting your mouth off. You and most of the Hawks fans are respectable here.
I think we're all waiting for HE WHO SHALL NOT BE NAMED to show up if the Hawks lose.
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The General
Footballguy
Weather update! Just flew over the stadium which was pretty cool, no rain, sun breaks actually. Pretty thick clouds all around. Was crazy bumpy and is pretty windy at airport which is about 20 miles south. Don't think weather should be too much of an issue unless the wind really gets crazy.
biju
Footballguy
This reminds me of a quote from Bad Santa: "#### in one hand and wish in the other; see which one fills up first."
biju
Footballguy
Correct. No rain right now but still getting a few gusts. Honestly, I hope it calms down and we get good weather.
All right everyone: enjoy the game! I'm off to the stadium to drink a few beers and get prepared to yell.
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