Gawain
Footballguy
There's some great discussion in the dynasty value thread about looking at Kareem Hunt through predictive data.
For instance, the history of RB's that go for 1,000 yards and were drafted third round or later isn't great. http://pfref.com/tiny/Oj1wR
However, the history of RB's that run for over 1,200 yards (75 yards/game) their first season gives a more positive career trend. http://pfref.com/tiny/9YOt8
Any thoughts of what data analysis is actually relevant aside, how far back in NFL history do we think impacts the thoughts?
There are 45 guys that played in at least 8 games and went for 75+ Y/G their rookie season since 1950. Is Alan Ameche germane to a discussion about Kareem Hunt? What about Curt Warner?
http://pfref.com/tiny/p1axh
You go too far back and the game isn't representative. You eliminate too many guys and you don't have a sample that's significant.
For instance, the history of RB's that go for 1,000 yards and were drafted third round or later isn't great. http://pfref.com/tiny/Oj1wR
However, the history of RB's that run for over 1,200 yards (75 yards/game) their first season gives a more positive career trend. http://pfref.com/tiny/9YOt8
Any thoughts of what data analysis is actually relevant aside, how far back in NFL history do we think impacts the thoughts?
There are 45 guys that played in at least 8 games and went for 75+ Y/G their rookie season since 1950. Is Alan Ameche germane to a discussion about Kareem Hunt? What about Curt Warner?
http://pfref.com/tiny/p1axh
You go too far back and the game isn't representative. You eliminate too many guys and you don't have a sample that's significant.
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