If we got to the point of this thing canceling a season, you can bet there WOULD spring a viable alternative league in this country and fast from that pool of available talent. And thats where things get interesting. 4.4. vs. 4.5 guys and the relative skill IS noticable. Its why the XFL failed after a HUGE ratings start. The quality of the ball STUNK. College is the worst example to use regarding player loyalty. Its entirely school/coach driven due to the turnover. As for why there's never been a viable alternative to the NFL, the market simply has been served by what's existed. But I would also submit, leagues have also all made the mistake of trying to grow too fast too soon. But tell me this, if you have Dave Ragone quarterbacking for the New England Patriots versus Tom Brady quarterbacking for the Boston Stranglers in the 2012 season opener, I don't think you'll find the number of laundry rooters you expect.
If Brady is playing in a 25,000 seat dump and not on network TV then plenty of people will be rooting for Ragone. I agree with your statement about the other leagues attemtping to grow too fast. That doesn't work when you don't have the capital availabe that the current owners/league has amassed and brought to the table.How many Kurt Warners are out there? Excluding that argument, half the league could be replaced with talent not playing with zero drop off. There are thousands that didn't catch the right break or have the pedigree to get into the league. In some cases catching the right coaching can make or break a players career.
Well, we're arguing in circles somewhat, extrapolating unlikely hypotheticals, but it does speak to the player value. And you can bet, what we are discussing is NOT something the NFL wants the least bit of momentum to get behind.But considering things... If you stuck to football hotbeds and/or underserved markets and promised players, I don't know, 80 percent of profit outside of operational costs as an initial model, or crafted some mode of player ownership for the league and did a 20 team league of:New YorkDallasDCPhilyLAOrlandoBirminghamHoustonSeattleTorontoBostonPittsburghClevelandMilwaulkeeChicagoPortland/SeattleDenverKansas CityOakland/San FranAnd then were able to through a smaller talent pool of available guys, see a Drew Brees throwing to Andre Johnson, or put Polamalu and Revis in the same secondary lets say, and then sprinkle in your Grudens, Cowhers, Billicks and other high profile coaches on the sidelines and maybe you get Madden out there announcing. In a very quick time, you've established a very visible assemblage of people. I don't doubt there are folks brighter than I drafting plans for just such a venture. Drafting plans doesn't mean committing cash, but boy if you struck when the iron was hot, AND were able to make a power play on the "salary capped" rookies coming out in the draft, the NFL suddenly has a big problem on his its hands.