What's new
Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums

This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!

*** Official 2012-13 Hot Stove Thread (1 Viewer)

'TobiasFunke said:
'Dr. Awesome said:
'the moops said:
'Good said:
'Please See Mine said:
Mike Adams reportedly signs with the Phil's for 3/18m.

My link
A lot of people say "Moneyball only works for so long, then other teams figure out what you're doing." Well, not all teams. Yuck.
It's 2/12 with a vesting option, FWIW, and the requirements are not gimmes.
Adams' deal includes a club option for 2015 that would become guaranteed at $6 million if he has 65 games pitched in 2014. His 2015 salary would become guaranteed at $6.5 million if he has 120 games pitched in 2013 and 2014 combined, with at least 60 in 2014.
Phillies' bullpen completely killed them last year. I realize that bullpen pitchers are highly variable, but it seems like it is worth the risk.
Even if he stays healthy, I still don't think that's a great move. He's average. :shrug:
Are you only looking at his 2012 season?Because he has pretty damn awesome otherwise.
Sure, but looking at a guy in his mid 30's it's not unreasonable to think his stuff may be slipping. His 4 seam dropped by nearly 1.5 mph last season. Fewer swings at his pitches and a higher contact rate as well. It's entirely possible it was just a one year fluke. Or he is regressing but not quite as quickly as last year indicated. But it does appear he's lost what made him good and he's going to be just an arm. I wouldn't be thrilled with the signing were I a Phillies fan as I don't think it's going to address their bullpen need.
Also looked like a pitcher who moved from Petco to Arlington.
This. He leaves a lot of balls up and to me went from an elite reliever to just a good one.
 
'TobiasFunke said:
'Dr. Awesome said:
'the moops said:
'Good said:
'Please See Mine said:
Mike Adams reportedly signs with the Phil's for 3/18m.

My link
A lot of people say "Moneyball only works for so long, then other teams figure out what you're doing." Well, not all teams. Yuck.
It's 2/12 with a vesting option, FWIW, and the requirements are not gimmes.
Adams' deal includes a club option for 2015 that would become guaranteed at $6 million if he has 65 games pitched in 2014. His 2015 salary would become guaranteed at $6.5 million if he has 120 games pitched in 2013 and 2014 combined, with at least 60 in 2014.
Phillies' bullpen completely killed them last year. I realize that bullpen pitchers are highly variable, but it seems like it is worth the risk.
Even if he stays healthy, I still don't think that's a great move. He's average. :shrug:
Are you only looking at his 2012 season?Because he has pretty damn awesome otherwise.
Sure, but looking at a guy in his mid 30's it's not unreasonable to think his stuff may be slipping. His 4 seam dropped by nearly 1.5 mph last season. Fewer swings at his pitches and a higher contact rate as well. It's entirely possible it was just a one year fluke. Or he is regressing but not quite as quickly as last year indicated. But it does appear he's lost what made him good and he's going to be just an arm. I wouldn't be thrilled with the signing were I a Phillies fan as I don't think it's going to address their bullpen need.
Also looked like a pitcher who moved from Petco to Arlington.
This. He leaves a lot of balls up and to me went from an elite reliever to just a good one.
Well the hope is that he gets back from his injury and returns to form. Sure some of the numbers look a little bad but his BB/9 rate was lower than his '10 season numbers. Looking at his pitch trax, his leaving the fastball up seemed to be a new development last year so perhaps it was a result of his injury, but in an unexpected twist, his ground ball rate actually went up. That is one thing Phillies execs actually hope stays up b/c the Bank can see long flies go out. The two biggest concerns are that his swing rate on pitches outside the zone dropped so that might be a combo of the fastball losing some velocity but his secondary pitches might have also been affected a bit. But his BABIP was also abnormally high at 327 so if that drops, his numbers should improve. I disagree that the Phillies made a huge mistake and apparently the Nats were willing to pay more for a closer role but he wanted to be a setup man. :confused: The biggest reason why this might be any type of mistake was opportunity cost. For a team trying to operate on a budget, $6 million could be the difference between Cody Ross/Pagan or Scott Hairston and Vernon Wells. And while Phillies fans hated their bullpen last year, they actually weren't that bad, especially once they got rid of Qualls. So I don't think Adams is a terrible move in itself but would the Phillies be a better team with no added relievers (or a cheaper one) and Cody Ross or Scott Hairston/Adams?

 
Why on earth is pittsburgh trading hanrahan? I understand hes just a closer but a team that hopes to compete THIS year that has very little margin for error trading their stud closer makes little sense.

 
Why on earth is pittsburgh trading hanrahan? I understand hes just a closer but a team that hopes to compete THIS year that has very little margin for error trading their stud closer makes little sense.
Teams like Pittsburgh need to put certain aspects of their team together with sticky tack and glue, bullpen is usually the best area to try to do that. If they can move Hanrahan for a player or 2 that can help them this year at positions that are more difficult to piece together cheaply it's the right move.
 
Mac is right. Even without Hanrahan, they have a pretty good bullpen. He'll be gone at the end of the year anyways. Also, the pirates are not a legitimate contender this year even with the hammer

 
What do you think the Pirates are competing for this year? They're at least 1-2 years away.
Theyve been close the last two years before fizzling out and they signed martin and liriano. Youre kidding yourself if you dont think they have playoff aspirations especially with two wild cards. And then they go and trade their second most important player?
 
Why on earth is pittsburgh trading hanrahan? I understand hes just a closer but a team that hopes to compete THIS year that has very little margin for error trading their stud closer makes little sense.
Teams like Pittsburgh need to put certain aspects of their team together with sticky tack and glue, bullpen is usually the best area to try to do that. If they can move Hanrahan for a player or 2 that can help them this year at positions that are more difficult to piece together cheaply it's the right move.
Well, i had just assumed theyd be trading him for prospects and not players that would help them this year. Maybe im wrong
 
Shady, honestly I think the way the Pirates performed in the first half of the past 2 seasons was a facade. The cards were falling right but over a 162 game season, they're not a playoff contender yet. Their future rides on 2 young pitchers who will be up in 2014

 
Why on earth is pittsburgh trading hanrahan? I understand hes just a closer but a team that hopes to compete THIS year that has very little margin for error trading their stud closer makes little sense.
Teams like Pittsburgh need to put certain aspects of their team together with sticky tack and glue, bullpen is usually the best area to try to do that. If they can move Hanrahan for a player or 2 that can help them this year at positions that are more difficult to piece together cheaply it's the right move.
Well, i had just assumed theyd be trading him for prospects and not players that would help them this year. Maybe im wrong
Heard Sands may be heading Pittsburgh's way. :shrug:
 
Why on earth is pittsburgh trading hanrahan? I understand hes just a closer but a team that hopes to compete THIS year that has very little margin for error trading their stud closer makes little sense.
Teams like Pittsburgh need to put certain aspects of their team together with sticky tack and glue, bullpen is usually the best area to try to do that. If they can move Hanrahan for a player or 2 that can help them this year at positions that are more difficult to piece together cheaply it's the right move.
Well, i had just assumed theyd be trading him for prospects and not players that would help them this year. Maybe im wrong
Heard Sands may be heading Pittsburgh's way. :shrug:
Sands was hitless in his Boston career
 
Why on earth is pittsburgh trading hanrahan? I understand hes just a closer but a team that hopes to compete THIS year that has very little margin for error trading their stud closer makes little sense.
Teams like Pittsburgh need to put certain aspects of their team together with sticky tack and glue, bullpen is usually the best area to try to do that. If they can move Hanrahan for a player or 2 that can help them this year at positions that are more difficult to piece together cheaply it's the right move.
Well, i had just assumed theyd be trading him for prospects and not players that would help them this year. Maybe im wrong
Just saw the deal, Sands is entering a put up or shut up year. Always liked his potential, just have obvious doubts about him realizing it given Pittsburgh's poor development program. Maybe he'll bring enough along from elsewhere...
 
Why on earth is pittsburgh trading hanrahan? I understand hes just a closer but a team that hopes to compete THIS year that has very little margin for error trading their stud closer makes little sense.
Teams like Pittsburgh need to put certain aspects of their team together with sticky tack and glue, bullpen is usually the best area to try to do that. If they can move Hanrahan for a player or 2 that can help them this year at positions that are more difficult to piece together cheaply it's the right move.
Well, i had just assumed theyd be trading him for prospects and not players that would help them this year. Maybe im wrong
Just saw the deal, Sands is entering a put up or shut up year. Always liked his potential, just have obvious doubts about him realizing it given Pittsburgh's poor development program. Maybe he'll bring enough along from elsewhere...
I wonder if the Pirates could have gotten Sands plus additional pieces from the Dodgers at the 2012 deadline if they'd been willing to deal Hanrahan then. LA needed relief help and traded two decent prospects for Brandon League at the end of July. The Pirates still thought they were in the playoffs hunt but they collapsed in August.
 
Define, inevitable. Swisher to the Tribe for 4/56. Ugh. Still have $ to spend to get a starter if they can't facilitate a trade using Asdrubal. Expect Santana/Swisher/Reynolds to be the DH platoon.

 
No one I see reporting 70 mill, probably 4/56 with a team option maybe.

Swisher is exactly what the Indians needed although you have to wonder why they didn't try to give some of that to Choo and keep him around instead. Indians have some serious pitching issues but they'll hit.

 
No one I see reporting 70 mill, probably 4/56 with a team option maybe.Swisher is exactly what the Indians needed although you have to wonder why they didn't try to give some of that to Choo and keep him around instead. Indians have some serious pitching issues but they'll hit.
http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/8774649/nick-swisher-cleveland-indians-agree-4-year-deal-source
A source told ESPN that Swisher agreed to a four-year, $56 million contract that also includes a $14 million option for a fifth season that will "easily vest, making the potential total value of the contract $70 million.
 
No one I see reporting 70 mill, probably 4/56 with a team option maybe.Swisher is exactly what the Indians needed although you have to wonder why they didn't try to give some of that to Choo and keep him around instead. Indians have some serious pitching issues but they'll hit.
http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/8774649/nick-swisher-cleveland-indians-agree-4-year-deal-source
A source told ESPN that Swisher agreed to a four-year, $56 million contract that also includes a $14 million option for a fifth season that will "easily vest, making the potential total value of the contract $70 million.
So a team option where Swisher will just have to be breathing to vest? I need to get his agent, ####### brilliant.
 
No one I see reporting 70 mill, probably 4/56 with a team option maybe.Swisher is exactly what the Indians needed although you have to wonder why they didn't try to give some of that to Choo and keep him around instead. Indians have some serious pitching issues but they'll hit.
The Tribe was better off dealing Choo for Bauer and spending for Swisher. It's not a big overpay for now. We'll see where he is in four years.
 
No one I see reporting 70 mill, probably 4/56 with a team option maybe.Swisher is exactly what the Indians needed although you have to wonder why they didn't try to give some of that to Choo and keep him around instead. Indians have some serious pitching issues but they'll hit.
The Tribe was better off dealing Choo for Bauer and spending for Swisher. It's not a big overpay for now. We'll see where he is in four years.
I like Swisher, he's a good clubhouse guy and he gets on base. For that team he hits 3rd or 5th, they could do a lot worse.
 
No one I see reporting 70 mill, probably 4/56 with a team option maybe.Swisher is exactly what the Indians needed although you have to wonder why they didn't try to give some of that to Choo and keep him around instead. Indians have some serious pitching issues but they'll hit.
The Tribe was better off dealing Choo for Bauer and spending for Swisher. It's not a big overpay for now. We'll see where he is in four years.
I like Swisher, he's a good clubhouse guy and he gets on base. For that team he hits 3rd or 5th, they could do a lot worse.
Plus, you can always count on some ####### GM nowadays taking Swish (and most of the contract) when he hits 35 or 36.Now, if only the Injuns could swing a deal with the Cards for Assdribble. Cards do have young starters to deal (Kelly and Rosenthal).
 
Breakdown on Swisher's deal: $11 million 2013; $15 mill 2014, $15 mill 2015; $15 mill 2016 and vesting option $14 mill for 2017.
Good luck, Tribe fans. This guy is maddening to root for.
I doubt they'll have to worry about his October swoons.
I think he is a great clubhouse guy, but you can get a great clubhouse guy for far cheaper, like a Johnny Gomes. But I do see what Francona is trying to do. Indians are a young ball club, they need some veterans in the clubhouse to show the young guys how to be a professional. And Swish isn't a horrible hitter.
 
I agree swisher and bauer is better than choo. But 70mil for a solid 32yr old outfielder who is not a difference maker is tough to swallow.

 
Swisher is one of the most consistent OFers in the league

Other than his brutal 08, his OPS+ has been between 120 and 129 every year going back to 06

It's actually uncanny when you look at it...You can pencil him in for 150 games, around 25 homers, about 85RBIs with good On Base skills

He's a switch hitter and can play OF and 1B if needed and isn't a complete liability out there

I know the poor postseasons have poisoned him in a lot of Yankee fans eyes, but I understand why the Indians found him attractive

I agree that there was a slight overpay there, but it's not an absurd contract

 
Last edited by a moderator:
Has anyone posted the rumors that Napoli's physical has cast his signing in doubt?http://www.dallasnews.com/sports/texas-rangers/headlines/20121222-national-writer-mike-napoli-s-hip-the-cause-of-red-sox-s-consternation-questions-mounting-about-deal.ece
Moops thinks this is the deal of the century, guessing he'll be disappointed when Napoli plays 43 games next year. Then again as a Yanks, Red Sox and Twins fan maybe he'll be able to adjust fire and forget about the Sux failures. :shrug:
 
Moops thinks this is the deal of the century, guessing he'll be disappointed when Napoli plays 43 games next year. Then again as a Yanks, Red Sox and Twins fan maybe he'll be able to adjust fire and forget about the Sux failures. :shrug:
My brother has been a Yankees fan for the past 15 years or so despite growing up a Jays fan and living ~an hour from Toronto. Unsurprisingly this offseason he's miraculously become a Blue Jays fan again...
 

Users who are viewing this thread

Back
Top