This. He leaves a lot of balls up and to me went from an elite reliever to just a good one.'TobiasFunke said:Also looked like a pitcher who moved from Petco to Arlington.'Dr. Awesome said:Sure, but looking at a guy in his mid 30's it's not unreasonable to think his stuff may be slipping. His 4 seam dropped by nearly 1.5 mph last season. Fewer swings at his pitches and a higher contact rate as well. It's entirely possible it was just a one year fluke. Or he is regressing but not quite as quickly as last year indicated. But it does appear he's lost what made him good and he's going to be just an arm. I wouldn't be thrilled with the signing were I a Phillies fan as I don't think it's going to address their bullpen need.'the moops said:Are you only looking at his 2012 season?Because he has pretty damn awesome otherwise.'Good said:Even if he stays healthy, I still don't think that's a great move. He's average.'Please See Mine said:It's 2/12 with a vesting option, FWIW, and the requirements are not gimmes.A lot of people say "Moneyball only works for so long, then other teams figure out what you're doing." Well, not all teams. Yuck.Phillies' bullpen completely killed them last year. I realize that bullpen pitchers are highly variable, but it seems like it is worth the risk.Adams' deal includes a club option for 2015 that would become guaranteed at $6 million if he has 65 games pitched in 2014. His 2015 salary would become guaranteed at $6.5 million if he has 120 games pitched in 2013 and 2014 combined, with at least 60 in 2014.![]()
Well the hope is that he gets back from his injury and returns to form. Sure some of the numbers look a little bad but his BB/9 rate was lower than his '10 season numbers. Looking at his pitch trax, his leaving the fastball up seemed to be a new development last year so perhaps it was a result of his injury, but in an unexpected twist, his ground ball rate actually went up. That is one thing Phillies execs actually hope stays up b/c the Bank can see long flies go out. The two biggest concerns are that his swing rate on pitches outside the zone dropped so that might be a combo of the fastball losing some velocity but his secondary pitches might have also been affected a bit. But his BABIP was also abnormally high at 327 so if that drops, his numbers should improve. I disagree that the Phillies made a huge mistake and apparently the Nats were willing to pay more for a closer role but he wanted to be a setup man.This. He leaves a lot of balls up and to me went from an elite reliever to just a good one.'TobiasFunke said:Also looked like a pitcher who moved from Petco to Arlington.'Dr. Awesome said:Sure, but looking at a guy in his mid 30's it's not unreasonable to think his stuff may be slipping. His 4 seam dropped by nearly 1.5 mph last season. Fewer swings at his pitches and a higher contact rate as well. It's entirely possible it was just a one year fluke. Or he is regressing but not quite as quickly as last year indicated. But it does appear he's lost what made him good and he's going to be just an arm. I wouldn't be thrilled with the signing were I a Phillies fan as I don't think it's going to address their bullpen need.'the moops said:Are you only looking at his 2012 season?Because he has pretty damn awesome otherwise.'Good said:Even if he stays healthy, I still don't think that's a great move. He's average.'Please See Mine said:It's 2/12 with a vesting option, FWIW, and the requirements are not gimmes.A lot of people say "Moneyball only works for so long, then other teams figure out what you're doing." Well, not all teams. Yuck.Phillies' bullpen completely killed them last year. I realize that bullpen pitchers are highly variable, but it seems like it is worth the risk.Adams' deal includes a club option for 2015 that would become guaranteed at $6 million if he has 65 games pitched in 2014. His 2015 salary would become guaranteed at $6.5 million if he has 120 games pitched in 2013 and 2014 combined, with at least 60 in 2014.![]()
The biggest reason why this might be any type of mistake was opportunity cost. For a team trying to operate on a budget, $6 million could be the difference between Cody Ross/Pagan or Scott Hairston and Vernon Wells. And while Phillies fans hated their bullpen last year, they actually weren't that bad, especially once they got rid of Qualls. So I don't think Adams is a terrible move in itself but would the Phillies be a better team with no added relievers (or a cheaper one) and Cody Ross or Scott Hairston/Adams?Teams like Pittsburgh need to put certain aspects of their team together with sticky tack and glue, bullpen is usually the best area to try to do that. If they can move Hanrahan for a player or 2 that can help them this year at positions that are more difficult to piece together cheaply it's the right move.Why on earth is pittsburgh trading hanrahan? I understand hes just a closer but a team that hopes to compete THIS year that has very little margin for error trading their stud closer makes little sense.
He'll be a free agent after this seasonWhy on earth is pittsburgh trading hanrahan? I understand hes just a closer but a team that hopes to compete THIS year that has very little margin for error trading their stud closer makes little sense.
who do they have to replace him?Why on earth is pittsburgh trading hanrahan? I understand hes just a closer but a team that hopes to compete THIS year that has very little margin for error trading their stud closer makes little sense.
Theyve been close the last two years before fizzling out and they signed martin and liriano. Youre kidding yourself if you dont think they have playoff aspirations especially with two wild cards. And then they go and trade their second most important player?What do you think the Pirates are competing for this year? They're at least 1-2 years away.
Grilli will close apparentlywho do they have to replace him?Why on earth is pittsburgh trading hanrahan? I understand hes just a closer but a team that hopes to compete THIS year that has very little margin for error trading their stud closer makes little sense.
Well, i had just assumed theyd be trading him for prospects and not players that would help them this year. Maybe im wrongTeams like Pittsburgh need to put certain aspects of their team together with sticky tack and glue, bullpen is usually the best area to try to do that. If they can move Hanrahan for a player or 2 that can help them this year at positions that are more difficult to piece together cheaply it's the right move.Why on earth is pittsburgh trading hanrahan? I understand hes just a closer but a team that hopes to compete THIS year that has very little margin for error trading their stud closer makes little sense.
Heard Sands may be heading Pittsburgh's way.Well, i had just assumed theyd be trading him for prospects and not players that would help them this year. Maybe im wrongTeams like Pittsburgh need to put certain aspects of their team together with sticky tack and glue, bullpen is usually the best area to try to do that. If they can move Hanrahan for a player or 2 that can help them this year at positions that are more difficult to piece together cheaply it's the right move.Why on earth is pittsburgh trading hanrahan? I understand hes just a closer but a team that hopes to compete THIS year that has very little margin for error trading their stud closer makes little sense.

Sands was hitless in his Boston careerHeard Sands may be heading Pittsburgh's way.Well, i had just assumed theyd be trading him for prospects and not players that would help them this year. Maybe im wrongTeams like Pittsburgh need to put certain aspects of their team together with sticky tack and glue, bullpen is usually the best area to try to do that. If they can move Hanrahan for a player or 2 that can help them this year at positions that are more difficult to piece together cheaply it's the right move.Why on earth is pittsburgh trading hanrahan? I understand hes just a closer but a team that hopes to compete THIS year that has very little margin for error trading their stud closer makes little sense.![]()
They have to have a deal in place for Upton, right? That is a ton of outfielders.I didn't see this one coming. Cody Ross to Arizona 3/$26M. The Diamondbacks' baffling off-season continues.
Just saw the deal, Sands is entering a put up or shut up year. Always liked his potential, just have obvious doubts about him realizing it given Pittsburgh's poor development program. Maybe he'll bring enough along from elsewhere...Well, i had just assumed theyd be trading him for prospects and not players that would help them this year. Maybe im wrongTeams like Pittsburgh need to put certain aspects of their team together with sticky tack and glue, bullpen is usually the best area to try to do that. If they can move Hanrahan for a player or 2 that can help them this year at positions that are more difficult to piece together cheaply it's the right move.Why on earth is pittsburgh trading hanrahan? I understand hes just a closer but a team that hopes to compete THIS year that has very little margin for error trading their stud closer makes little sense.
I wonder if the Pirates could have gotten Sands plus additional pieces from the Dodgers at the 2012 deadline if they'd been willing to deal Hanrahan then. LA needed relief help and traded two decent prospects for Brandon League at the end of July. The Pirates still thought they were in the playoffs hunt but they collapsed in August.Just saw the deal, Sands is entering a put up or shut up year. Always liked his potential, just have obvious doubts about him realizing it given Pittsburgh's poor development program. Maybe he'll bring enough along from elsewhere...Well, i had just assumed theyd be trading him for prospects and not players that would help them this year. Maybe im wrongTeams like Pittsburgh need to put certain aspects of their team together with sticky tack and glue, bullpen is usually the best area to try to do that. If they can move Hanrahan for a player or 2 that can help them this year at positions that are more difficult to piece together cheaply it's the right move.Why on earth is pittsburgh trading hanrahan? I understand hes just a closer but a team that hopes to compete THIS year that has very little margin for error trading their stud closer makes little sense.
Ah yes, the Billy Beane strategy. Big fan of this shtick.i would trade every "proven closer" my team ever developed.
Is jerry sands any good?Trading Sands to rent a fat closer is brutal.
He's raked in the minors. Some of that is Las Vegas-inflated, but he has power. Not sure why you'd give up a guy like that for one year of a closer who wasn't that good last year.Is jerry sands any good?Trading Sands to rent a fat closer is brutal.
Boston's bullpen was really bad.He's raked in the minors. Some of that is Las Vegas-inflated, but he has power. Not sure why you'd give up a guy like that for one year of a closer who wasn't that good last year.Is jerry sands any good?Trading Sands to rent a fat closer is brutal.
I heard 5/70Define, inevitable. Swisher to the Tribe for 4/56. Ugh. Still have $ to spend to get a starter if they can't facilitate a trade using Asdrubal. Expect Santana/Swisher/Reynolds to be the DH platoon.
http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/8774649/nick-swisher-cleveland-indians-agree-4-year-deal-sourceNo one I see reporting 70 mill, probably 4/56 with a team option maybe.Swisher is exactly what the Indians needed although you have to wonder why they didn't try to give some of that to Choo and keep him around instead. Indians have some serious pitching issues but they'll hit.
A source told ESPN that Swisher agreed to a four-year, $56 million contract that also includes a $14 million option for a fifth season that will "easily vest, making the potential total value of the contract $70 million.
So a team option where Swisher will just have to be breathing to vest? I need to get his agent, ####### brilliant.http://espn.go.com/mlb/story/_/id/8774649/nick-swisher-cleveland-indians-agree-4-year-deal-sourceNo one I see reporting 70 mill, probably 4/56 with a team option maybe.Swisher is exactly what the Indians needed although you have to wonder why they didn't try to give some of that to Choo and keep him around instead. Indians have some serious pitching issues but they'll hit.A source told ESPN that Swisher agreed to a four-year, $56 million contract that also includes a $14 million option for a fifth season that will "easily vest, making the potential total value of the contract $70 million.
The Tribe was better off dealing Choo for Bauer and spending for Swisher. It's not a big overpay for now. We'll see where he is in four years.No one I see reporting 70 mill, probably 4/56 with a team option maybe.Swisher is exactly what the Indians needed although you have to wonder why they didn't try to give some of that to Choo and keep him around instead. Indians have some serious pitching issues but they'll hit.
I like Swisher, he's a good clubhouse guy and he gets on base. For that team he hits 3rd or 5th, they could do a lot worse.The Tribe was better off dealing Choo for Bauer and spending for Swisher. It's not a big overpay for now. We'll see where he is in four years.No one I see reporting 70 mill, probably 4/56 with a team option maybe.Swisher is exactly what the Indians needed although you have to wonder why they didn't try to give some of that to Choo and keep him around instead. Indians have some serious pitching issues but they'll hit.
Plus, you can always count on some ####### GM nowadays taking Swish (and most of the contract) when he hits 35 or 36.Now, if only the Injuns could swing a deal with the Cards for Assdribble. Cards do have young starters to deal (Kelly and Rosenthal).I like Swisher, he's a good clubhouse guy and he gets on base. For that team he hits 3rd or 5th, they could do a lot worse.The Tribe was better off dealing Choo for Bauer and spending for Swisher. It's not a big overpay for now. We'll see where he is in four years.No one I see reporting 70 mill, probably 4/56 with a team option maybe.Swisher is exactly what the Indians needed although you have to wonder why they didn't try to give some of that to Choo and keep him around instead. Indians have some serious pitching issues but they'll hit.
Good luck, Tribe fans. This guy is maddening to root for.Breakdown on Swisher's deal: $11 million 2013; $15 mill 2014, $15 mill 2015; $15 mill 2016 and vesting option $14 mill for 2017.
I doubt they'll have to worry about his October swoons.Good luck, Tribe fans. This guy is maddening to root for.Breakdown on Swisher's deal: $11 million 2013; $15 mill 2014, $15 mill 2015; $15 mill 2016 and vesting option $14 mill for 2017.
I think he is a great clubhouse guy, but you can get a great clubhouse guy for far cheaper, like a Johnny Gomes. But I do see what Francona is trying to do. Indians are a young ball club, they need some veterans in the clubhouse to show the young guys how to be a professional. And Swish isn't a horrible hitter.I doubt they'll have to worry about his October swoons.Good luck, Tribe fans. This guy is maddening to root for.Breakdown on Swisher's deal: $11 million 2013; $15 mill 2014, $15 mill 2015; $15 mill 2016 and vesting option $14 mill for 2017.
But he smiles a lot!!!70mil for a solid 32yr old outfielder who is not a difference maker is tough to swallow.
Moops thinks this is the deal of the century, guessing he'll be disappointed when Napoli plays 43 games next year. Then again as a Yanks, Red Sox and Twins fan maybe he'll be able to adjust fire and forget about the Sux failures.Has anyone posted the rumors that Napoli's physical has cast his signing in doubt?http://www.dallasnews.com/sports/texas-rangers/headlines/20121222-national-writer-mike-napoli-s-hip-the-cause-of-red-sox-s-consternation-questions-mounting-about-deal.ece

My brother has been a Yankees fan for the past 15 years or so despite growing up a Jays fan and living ~an hour from Toronto. Unsurprisingly this offseason he's miraculously become a Blue Jays fan again...Moops thinks this is the deal of the century, guessing he'll be disappointed when Napoli plays 43 games next year. Then again as a Yanks, Red Sox and Twins fan maybe he'll be able to adjust fire and forget about the Sux failures.![]()
550 PAs is not an easily vested optionOption vests with 550 PAs in 2016 and a passed physical
It's about as easy as a vesting option gets IMO'dparker713 said:550 PAs is not an easily vested option'Tremendous Upside said:Option vests with 550 PAs in 2016 and a passed physical

Grady Sizemore hasn't had 550 PAs since 2008. Pronk hasn't had 550 since 2007.It's about as easy as a vesting option gets IMO'dparker713 said:550 PAs is not an easily vested option'Tremendous Upside said:Option vests with 550 PAs in 2016 and a passed physical![]()