Want to find the root of the Chargers’ recent troubles? Start at the top
By Doug Farrar | Shutdown Corner
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Many will blame head coach Norv Turner for the San Diego Chargers' Monday night collapse against the Denver Broncos, and that's fair enough. Some will blame quarterback Philip Rivers, and that's more than fair. When you throw four interceptions and give up two fumbles, and three of those picks come in the fourth quarter, it makes your opponent's rebound from a 24-point deficit, as the Denver Broncos engineered in their 35-24 win, that much easier. An equal share of blame could be set at the feet of the Chargers' defense, which makes sense -- no team scores 35 unanswered points in a second half, though it certainly looked at times like the Broncos were the only team on the field.
But if you want the root cause of the Chargers' decline, both in this game and over the last few years, you need look no further than the desk of Executive Vice-President and general manager A.J. Smith. Under Smith, who's been in charge of personnel for the team since 2003, the Chargers haven't made the playoffs since 2009, and the records have receded every year -- from 13-3 in 2009, to 9-7 in 2010, to 8-8 in 2011. San Diego stands at 3-3 after their loss to the Broncos, and they don't look like a team that will finish this year with a .500 record or better.
The answer to the obvious question -- why has this happened? -- can be found with just a cursory look at Smith's track record in the last few seasons. His last few drafts have provided little in terms of long-term elite talent, he's alienated many of the team's best free agents and veterans, and the inexplicable arrogance (it's only confidence if it works) in the face of his own questionable decisions defies logic at times.
When asked to explain the second-round choice of Michigan linebacker Jonas Mouton in the 2011 NFL Draft despite the fact that most people had Mouton with a third-day grade, Smith was typically succinct.
"I'm told I can't find one person who thought the linebacker we took in the second round wasn't a fifth- or sixth-round guy," he told Nick Canepa of the San Diego Union-Tribune. "Well, I've found one guy. Me. He's a second rounder here."
Sadly, Mouton had his first season wiped out by a shoulder injury, but he still hasn't started a single NFL game. Smith's frequent trade-ups in the draft so decimated the team's depth that in 2010, the Chargers posted the worst special teams DVOA (Football Outsiders' efficiency metric) since the 2000 Buffalo Bills. Special teams is about more than punters, kickers, and returners -- often, it's the best indicator of the talent residing on the bottom third of your roster.
In many ways, Smith's last few years with the Chargers seem similar to the decline and fall of the recent Indianapolis Colts empire. Like Smith, former Colts team president Bill Polian had a justified and legitimate reputation in the league based on the brilliant personnel work he'd done in the past. But a series of bad drafts, and the ultimate ideal that the man up top was more important than most of the guys on the field, set the Colts on the wrong path and closed their window before it had to be. The loss of Peyton Manning to injury was a killer, but the alarming lack of depth on the roster Polian had built really led to the Colts' demise. The 2008 New England Patriots went 11-5 without Tom Brady; the 2011 Colts went 2-14 without Manning.
Now, ask yourself -- how would the 2012 Chargers do without Rivers? The second half of this game showed us to a great degree. Another question -- where did Smith get his formerly impressive personnel acumen? With Polian, as the two men worked together to build the Buffalo Bills teams that went to four straight Super Bowls in the early 1990s.
Like Polian, Smith used to have the personnel equivalent of a 95-mile-per-hour fastball with movement. And like Polian at the end, there's an increasing sense that Smith is trying to get by with junk these days.
"Well, that's obviously as tough as it gets," a disheveled Turner said after the game. "Right now, we're not able to put together a complete game. At halftime, we talked about the things we had to do in the second half -- who you're playing against, and their style of offense. You know they're going to make some plays. Obviously, the mistakes we made with the ball just added to their energy. The group we have together in the locker room -- they haven't been together for a long time, but they're a resilient group. A lot of people will say, 'How will these guys respond from this?' or 'These guys can't respond from this,' but I have a lot of faith in this group.
"There's a lot of things we have to get fixed before we can play a complete game. And if someone wants to look around and make this about somebody, make it about me. I've got a lot of faith in the guys playing for us."