I've taken off my bib and will sub in for
@Ramsay Hunt Experience to preview the Super Eagles of Nigeria.
They're the only CAF qualifier that's making a return trip to the finals, but the past four years have seen more downs than ups. They've been through a couple of coaching changes, dealt with the tragic death of Big Boss Stephen Keshi, stumbled in the group stage in AFCON 2016 and got jobbed in the abbreviated AFCON 2017 qualifiers.
The Super Eagles turned it around under well-traveled German manager Gernot Rohr and roared through their WC qualifiers. They finished top of tough group with Algeria, Cameroon and Zambia even though they forfeited their game at Algeria for fielding a suspended player. It seems strange to follow that with the observation that their federation is in good shape but I'll say it anyways. Nigerian oil billionaire Benedict Peters pumped a lot of money into the FA so the Super Eagles have avoided the usual disputes about bonuses and travel arrangements in their run-up. The players have reportedly already received their bonus money. I'd rather read stories about their kit selling out than the players organizing a strike in an airport lounge.
Nigeria has the seventh largest population on Earth and large emigrant communities throughout Europe, so there's always depth of talent. Piecing it together into a cohesive unit is where it gets tricky. They're sending the youngest side to the tournament with almost complete turnover from Brazil 2014.
John Obi Mikel is the skipper and an essential part of the team. He plays in a freer role for Nigeria than he ever did at Chelsea. He played at the sharp end of a midfield triangle in a 4-2-3-1 but is able to drop to help holding midfielders Joel Obi (Torino) and Ogenyi Onazi (Trabanspor). Onazi had a poor game against England and will be challenged by Wilfred Ndidi (Leicester) in his return from injury.
Nigeria's defense looked shaky at times in their last few friendlies, especially on set pieces. Their normal #1 Carl Ikeme (Wolves) missed the entire season following a leukemia diagnosis so the Super Eagles will turn to either Ikechukwu Ezenwa (famous for bouncing on his butt after goals) or 19 year old Francis Uzoho (Deportivo). Uzoho played against both ENG and CZE and made some nice saves but also a number of errors. He's the likely starting keeper but it wouldn't be totally surprising if Rohr turns to more experienced hands at some point. The central defense partnership of German-born Leon Balogun and Dutchman William Troost-Ekong (Bursaspor) will be critical to the Super Eagles' chances. They've been dubbed the "Oyinbo Wall" in reference to their mixed heritage and the local slang word for Caucasians. Balogun will join Premiership club Brighton next season (it still is odd to have Brighton in the Premier League).
Rohr experimented with a 3 man backline in the second halves of their last two friendlies. In both cases, the team was more effective after the switch. They also played 3-5-2 in their win over Argentina last December. Nigeria has plenty of athletes to play a press. They pressed the Czechs aggressively and mostly effectively. But they'll have to be closer to perfection in Russia; better sides may punish the Super Eagles for any lapses.
There's a nice set of attacking options even though goals haven't been coming lately. Alex Iwobi and Victor Moses are household names if mostly for the company they keep. Moses' versatility is useful on the left side. He featured on almost all set pieces so he could be a good fantasy play if he's classified as a MID. Odion Ighalo scored a lot of goals for Watford until he didn't. He's regained his goal scoring form since moving to China. Kelechi Iheanacho and Ahmed Musa will also be familiar to Premier League anoraks. I think there's enough talent to score some goals if they get quality changes. They're most dangerous on the counterattack but had good stretches of possession in a driving rain against CZE.
I realistically don't expect them to advance like they did in Brazil. Their inexperience will likely betray them against better organized opponents but there's always hope in a short tournament. So allow me to dream a bit. Their schedule works in their favor because they won't play Argentina until the last group game. If ARG has clinched by then, the Super Eagles could slip through against a weakened side. From there, maybe they can avoid France in the round of 16 and make it to the quarters. I think that's their absolute best case scenario though. I'm afraid Pele's best hope to get his prediction right will be to live another four years. His second best hope is probably Senegal
SOAR SUPER EAGLES