Official 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Thread (1 Viewer)

[Grahamburn]

All Hillsborough County shelters are open as of 8 am. Wow

Already closed schools. The overreaction seems to get worse every year.

Also, can someone explain why people buy up bottled water like they’re going to be stuck in a desert apocalypse?

Great question. We have a lot of supplies at home. Just waiting for flight and then I’ll take care of the house. Should be interesting to see what my newly transplanted Illinois neighbors are up to. I also wonder how many front doors with 4 sandbags around them I’ll see in my neighborhood.

I'll be honest....I don't get the sandbag thing. Here, you are limited to 5 or 10 depending on location. I can't, for the life of me, figure out what that's going to help.

Tampa does flood something awful. If you're in one of those spots a few sandbags isn't going to do much good.

 

[E Street Brat]

All Hillsborough County shelters are open as of 8 am. Wow

Already closed schools. The overreaction seems to get worse every year.

Also, can someone explain why people buy up bottled water like they’re going to be stuck in a desert apocalypse?

Great question. We have a lot of supplies at home. Just waiting for flight and then I’ll take care of the house. Should be interesting to see what my newly transplanted Illinois neighbors are up to. I also wonder how many front doors with 4 sandbags around them I’ll see in my neighborhood.

Honestly didn't even know this thing was around until Friday at the Sam's club as people bought up all the water in the entire place. We have a lot more transplants than we used to. I'm sure they're all terrified.

Most of the daily storms we get at 4:00 in the afternoon are worse than these hurricanes. But, give it a name and put it on tv and everyone loses their minds.

Hopefully some of the covid NY refugees will be scared enough to go back.

 

[E Street Brat]

All Hillsborough County shelters are open as of 8 am. Wow

Already closed schools. The overreaction seems to get worse every year.

Also, can someone explain why people buy up bottled water like they’re going to be stuck in a desert apocalypse?

Great question. We have a lot of supplies at home. Just waiting for flight and then I’ll take care of the house. Should be interesting to see what my newly transplanted Illinois neighbors are up to. I also wonder how many front doors with 4 sandbags around them I’ll see in my neighborhood.

I'll be honest....I don't get the sandbag thing. Here, you are limited to 5 or 10 depending on location. I can't, for the life of me, figure out what that's going to help.

Tampa does flood something awful. If you're in one of those spots a few sandbags isn't going to do much good.

If/When TB takes a direct hit. Forcing a strong surge up the Bay. It will make the NO Katina flood look like a kiddie pool.

 

[Osaurus]

All Hillsborough County shelters are open as of 8 am. Wow

Already closed schools. The overreaction seems to get worse every year.

Also, can someone explain why people buy up bottled water like they’re going to be stuck in a desert apocalypse?

Great question. We have a lot of supplies at home. Just waiting for flight and then I’ll take care of the house. Should be interesting to see what my newly transplanted Illinois neighbors are up to. I also wonder how many front doors with 4 sandbags around them I’ll see in my neighborhood.

I'll be honest....I don't get the sandbag thing. Here, you are limited to 5 or 10 depending on location. I can't, for the life of me, figure out what that's going to help.

Tampa does flood something awful. If you're in one of those spots a few sandbags isn't going to do much good.

We’re east of I-75 at a slightly higher elevation southeast of Tampa (Riverview). There’s one road and when it floods, it impacts about 20 homes at the north end of the neighborhood. It’s road runoff when the ditches can’t take any more water.

 

[Capella]

All Hillsborough County shelters are open as of 8 am. Wow

Already closed schools. The overreaction seems to get worse every year.

Also, can someone explain why people buy up bottled water like they’re going to be stuck in a desert apocalypse?

Great question. We have a lot of supplies at home. Just waiting for flight and then I’ll take care of the house. Should be interesting to see what my newly transplanted Illinois neighbors are up to. I also wonder how many front doors with 4 sandbags around them I’ll see in my neighborhood.

Honestly didn't even know this thing was around until Friday at the Sam's club as people bought up all the water in the entire place. We have a lot more transplants than we used to. I'm sure they're all terrified.

Most of the daily storms we get at 4:00 in the afternoon are worse than these hurricanes. But, give it a name and put it on tv and everyone loses their minds.

You’re underselling this quite a bit. I mean, I undersell hurricanes and even I don’t compare it to an afternoon storm. Irma wasn’t as bad as feared and still wrecked a lot of trees and lines and some unstable homes.

 

[Osaurus]

Has the Pinellas exodus started yet?

 

[Grahamburn]

All Hillsborough County shelters are open as of 8 am. Wow

Already closed schools. The overreaction seems to get worse every year.

Also, can someone explain why people buy up bottled water like they’re going to be stuck in a desert apocalypse?

Great question. We have a lot of supplies at home. Just waiting for flight and then I’ll take care of the house. Should be interesting to see what my newly transplanted Illinois neighbors are up to. I also wonder how many front doors with 4 sandbags around them I’ll see in my neighborhood.

Honestly didn't even know this thing was around until Friday at the Sam's club as people bought up all the water in the entire place. We have a lot more transplants than we used to. I'm sure they're all terrified.

Most of the daily storms we get at 4:00 in the afternoon are worse than these hurricanes. But, give it a name and put it on tv and everyone loses their minds.

You’re underselling this quite a bit. I mean, I undersell hurricanes and even I don’t compare it to an afternoon storm. Irma wasn’t as bad as feared and still wrecked a lot of trees and lines and some unstable homes.

Granted, I'm in central Florida so it's not typically so bad for us. Irma WAS brutal. But, it was still just some down trees and people were without power for a few days. The unstable homes, yeah, you may want to get out of those but they get torn up in the bad thunderstorms too. But, ultimately, as long as you're not a bozo a hurricane is not going to kill you. This is Irma's direct death toll:

The report said seven happened on the U.S. mainland: In Florida, two people died when their tent became submerged in freshwater flooding, one man fell in a canal while checking on his boat during the hurricane, and a gust of wind caused one man to fall and hit his head after opening his front door during the storm. Falling trees were blamed for two deaths in Georgia and one in South Carolina.

Usually people freak out and they become a nothing burger. Closing schools three days early? That's ridiculous. You hunker down. It's gone in a few hours.

 

[Capella]

All Hillsborough County shelters are open as of 8 am. Wow

Already closed schools. The overreaction seems to get worse every year.

Also, can someone explain why people buy up bottled water like they’re going to be stuck in a desert apocalypse?

Great question. We have a lot of supplies at home. Just waiting for flight and then I’ll take care of the house. Should be interesting to see what my newly transplanted Illinois neighbors are up to. I also wonder how many front doors with 4 sandbags around them I’ll see in my neighborhood.

Honestly didn't even know this thing was around until Friday at the Sam's club as people bought up all the water in the entire place. We have a lot more transplants than we used to. I'm sure they're all terrified.

Most of the daily storms we get at 4:00 in the afternoon are worse than these hurricanes. But, give it a name and put it on tv and everyone loses their minds.

You’re underselling this quite a bit. I mean, I undersell hurricanes and even I don’t compare it to an afternoon storm. Irma wasn’t as bad as feared and still wrecked a lot of trees and lines and some unstable homes.

Granted, I'm in central Florida so it's not typically so bad for us. Irma WAS brutal. But, it was still just some down trees and people were without power for a few days. The unstable homes, yeah, you may want to get out of those but they get torn up in the bad thunderstorms too. But, ultimately, as long as you're not a bozo a hurricane is not going to kill you. This is Irma's direct death toll:

The report said seven happened on the U.S. mainland: In Florida, two people died when their tent became submerged in freshwater flooding, one man fell in a canal while checking on his boat during the hurricane, and a gust of wind caused one man to fall and hit his head after opening his front door during the storm. Falling trees were blamed for two deaths in Georgia and one in South Carolina.

Usually people freak out and they become a nothing burger. Closing schools three days early? That's ridiculous. You hunker down. It's gone in a few hours.

Yea I’m not worried about dying but I am worried about being out of power for a few days. Hence, we outta here. I’m not going without AC.

 

[E Street Brat]

Usually people freak out and they become a nothing burger. Closing schools three days early? That's ridiculous. You hunker down. It's gone in a few hours.

Closing the schools early is to get them prepped to be used as shelters.

 

[culdeus]

The satellite presentation of Ian has improved this morning. Deep convection has increased within the inner core during the past several hours, with an expanding central dense overcast noted in recent satellite imagery.
The latest SHIPS-RI probabilities continue to highlight the high likelihood of this scenario, with a 73 percent chance of a 35-kt wind speed increase in 24 h and a 79 percent chance of a 45-kt increase in 36 h.
The combination of strong VWS and drier mid-level air will induce weakening thereafter, but Ian is expected to remain at or near major hurricane strength as it passes near the west-central coast of Florida on Wednesday and Thursday.
This track brings the center of Ian close to the west-central coast of Florida during the middle of the week. An even greater concern is the slower forward motion that is forecast during this period... This would likely prolong the storm surge, wind, and rainfall impacts along the affected portions of the west coast of Florida, although the roughly shore-parallel track still makes it difficult to pinpoint exactly what locations will experience the most severe impacts.

 

[ZADO]

All Hillsborough County shelters are open as of 8 am. Wow

Already closed schools. The overreaction seems to get worse every year.

Also, can someone explain why people buy up bottled water like they’re going to be stuck in a desert apocalypse?

Great question. We have a lot of supplies at home. Just waiting for flight and then I’ll take care of the house. Should be interesting to see what my newly transplanted Illinois neighbors are up to. I also wonder how many front doors with 4 sandbags around them I’ll see in my neighborhood.

I'll be honest....I don't get the sandbag thing. Here, you are limited to 5 or 10 depending on location. I can't, for the life of me, figure out what that's going to help.

Tampa does flood something awful. If you're in one of those spots a few sandbags isn't going to do much good.

We’re east of I-75 at a slightly higher elevation southeast of Tampa (Riverview). There’s one road and when it floods, it impacts about 20 homes at the north end of the neighborhood. It’s road runoff when the ditches can’t take any more water.

Im 30 minutes south of you in Palmetto

 

[culdeus]

Currently forecast by NHC to move roughly as fast as someone could bicycle between Wed 8AM and Thurs 8AM off the coast of Tampa, also forecasting a 10 foot storm surge. Buried in this report is the fact that because the storm will be present for a pair of tides, this will make the flooding situation unlike anything Tampa has seen before. It's not clear right now just how close it will get to Tampa but even without a landfall or even Cat 1 winds it's going to be really wet.

 

[culdeus]

Precip forecast site to use

Models: GFS — Pivotal Weather

View GFS weather model forecast map image for Total QPF in Continental US on pivotalweather.com.

www.pivotalweather.com

Can adjust this to add up X hours of rain fall.

 

[Gawain]

Lived through Sandy flooding on South shore of LI and my two sandbags kept my door from giving in and were the difference between two inches and two feet of water in my apartment.

 

[Mjonirs3]

"Already closed schools. The overreaction seems to get worse every year."
"Most of the daily storms we get at 4:00 in the afternoon are worse than these hurricanes. But, give it a name and put it on tv and everyone loses their minds."
The overreaction and hype does get worse every year. I attribute a lot of that to the movement of people to these regions. Charleston has gotten so crowded that the extra days are needed to evacuate those that need to get out. It is true, more times than not, these don't live up to the hype. But, let them not warn people and another Hugo hit, and it could be ugly. The locals know enough to know what to do, the hype is for the new people.

"I'll be honest....I don't get the sandbag thing. Here, you are limited to 5 or 10 depending on location. I can't, for the life of me, figure out what that's going to help."
People do go crazy for the sandbags. Where I was until last year, there is flooding during high tides and heavy rains. We would put sandbags at the two spots that could possibly get some water, both entry points to our garage. Never had a problem. Actually a few years back, I bought empty sandbags online, and a container for my back yard to store sand. I emptied the sand from the sandbags into that, and moving forward, just filled my own as needed.

"Also, can someone explain why people buy up bottled water like they’re going to be stuck in a desert apocalypse?"
This I don't get. But I also don't get people buying cases of water as a routine either. For storm prep, I keep several empty milk containers in my garage, and fill them with water as a storm approaches. It is good to have in case there is a problem with the local water, or its pumping. After Hugo we had a boil water advisory for about a week. We also will fill the tubs for water to flush the toilets if needed.

Basically, if you are going to live in an area that has these storms, have some basic supplies stored. Keeps you out of the madness of the stores.

 

[The Commish]

"Already closed schools. The overreaction seems to get worse every year."
"Most of the daily storms we get at 4:00 in the afternoon are worse than these hurricanes. But, give it a name and put it on tv and everyone loses their minds."
The overreaction and hype does get worse every year. I attribute a lot of that to the movement of people to these regions. Charleston has gotten so crowded that the extra days are needed to evacuate those that need to get out. It is true, more times than not, these don't live up to the hype. But, let them not warn people and another Hugo hit, and it could be ugly. The locals know enough to know what to do, the hype is for the new people.

"I'll be honest....I don't get the sandbag thing. Here, you are limited to 5 or 10 depending on location. I can't, for the life of me, figure out what that's going to help."
People do go crazy for the sandbags. Where I was until last year, there is flooding during high tides and heavy rains. We would put sandbags at the two spots that could possibly get some water, both entry points to our garage. Never had a problem. Actually a few years back, I bought empty sandbags online, and a container for my back yard to store sand. I emptied the sand from the sandbags into that, and moving forward, just filled my own as needed.

"Also, can someone explain why people buy up bottled water like they’re going to be stuck in a desert apocalypse?"
This I don't get. But I also don't get people buying cases of water as a routine either. For storm prep, I keep several empty milk containers in my garage, and fill them with water as a storm approaches. It is good to have in case there is a problem with the local water, or its pumping. After Hugo we had a boil water advisory for about a week. We also will fill the tubs for water to flush the toilets if needed.

Basically, if you are going to live in an area that has these storms, have some basic supplies stored. Keeps you out of the madness of the stores.

We're gonna have to give you a tutorial on how to use the "highlight and quote/reply" function GB

 

[Mjonirs3]

We're gonna have to give you a tutorial on how to use the "highlight and quote/reply" function GB

I've used it, it just looked too cumbersome with the multiple quotes in there.

What I would really like is for FBG to fix my main account so I can use it.

 

[rustycolts]

All Hillsborough County shelters are open as of 8 am. Wow

Already closed schools. The overreaction seems to get worse every year.

Also, can someone explain why people buy up bottled water like they’re going to be stuck in a desert apocalypse?

Great question. We have a lot of supplies at home. Just waiting for flight and then I’ll take care of the house. Should be interesting to see what my newly transplanted Illinois neighbors are up to. I also wonder how many front doors with 4 sandbags around them I’ll see in my neighborhood.

I'll be honest....I don't get the sandbag thing. Here, you are limited to 5 or 10 depending on location. I can't, for the life of me, figure out what that's going to help.

During Donna I remember my dad using all our towels by the doors and some of our clothes but no sand bags.

 

[rustycolts]

Already closed schools. The overreaction seems to get worse every year.

They are closing them early in Lake to prepare them in case they are needed for shelters.

 

[Wingnut]

There are evac zones all around us but we're not in one, we're just east of I-75. We were gonna stay put regardless. My biggest worry is losing power, but we'll deal with it if it happens.

Stay safe, my fellow Florida/Tampa Bay peeps!

 

[Grahamburn]

Already closed schools. The overreaction seems to get worse every year.

They are closing them early in Lake to prepare them in case they are needed for shelters.

Yes. I know.

 

[Kal El]

I’m out of the current cone of doom, but my in-laws are in Lakeland. They should be okay, we weathered Irma there a few years ago, and the eye went right over the house. Still, if they want, they can come down here. My main beef is that I have solar panels, but the inspections are taking their sweet time, so I couldn’t use them yet if I needed.

 

[Captain Cranks]

I think it was about 3 years ago we had a similar scare in Tampa that ended up only a Cat 1. Seeing your windows bow is scary AF. Can't imagine what a 3/4 would feel like.

 

[rustycolts]

I wonder if this one will suck all the water out of Tampa before it hits and then push it back with a fury. Those were strange pictures when that happened before. I think it was with Michael.

 

[CGRdrJoe]

All Hillsborough County shelters are open as of 8 am. Wow

Already closed schools. The overreaction seems to get worse every year.

Also, can someone explain why people buy up bottled water like they’re going to be stuck in a desert apocalypse?

The overreaction We've ramped up numbers in the surrounding areas of Tampa for Ian, by all accounts the Coast Guard is expecting this to cause a decent amount of havoc. I haven't seen us ramp up before a Hurricane like this in a few years

 

[culdeus]

I wonder if this one will suck all the water out of Tampa before it hits and then push it back with a fury. Those were strange pictures when that happened before. I think it was with Michael.

Irma, I think.

It's possible it happens twice, this time.

 

[culdeus]

This thing is looking to weaken it's windfield before landfall, the strength of this thing is in the rain. Could be looking at flooding that has never been seen before in some areas north of Tampa specifically. Those expecting a wind storm with a guy leaning into huge gusts and shouting blue shed are going to be disappointed.

 

[Wingnut]

Got a fresh keg in the kegerator, grabbed a loaf of bread, some doritos, and a big box of cheez-its.

We're ready.

 

[E Street Brat]

I wonder if this one will suck all the water out of Tampa before it hits and then push it back with a fury. Those were strange pictures when that happened before. I think it was with Michael.

Irma TB

Sarasota Bay

 

[Osaurus]

Got a fresh keg in the kegerator, grabbed a loaf of bread, some doritos, and a big box of cheez-its.

We're ready.

I’m coming over, right?

 

[E Street Brat]

Got a fresh keg in the kegerator, grabbed a loaf of bread, some doritos, and a big box of cheez-its.

We're ready.

I’m coming over, right?

See ya there

Hurricane Cornhole 2022

 

[NorvilleBarnes]

This will be my first hurricane as a homeowner.

 

[Galileo]

I think it was about 3 years ago we had a similar scare in Tampa that ended up only a Cat 1. Seeing your windows bow is scary AF. Can't imagine what a 3/4 would feel like.

Well, we are at Cat 2 now and it is expected to strengthen further. Very likely this is a 3, possibly 4, before Florida landfall.

 

[Captain Cranks]

This will be my first hurricane as a homeowner.

Which county are you in?

 

[Kal El]

I think it was about 3 years ago we had a similar scare in Tampa that ended up only a Cat 1. Seeing your windows bow is scary AF. Can't imagine what a 3/4 would feel like.

Well, we are at Cat 2 now and it is expected to strengthen further. Very likely this is a 3, possibly 4, before Florida landfall.

The early signs that it’s getting close, aside from the obvious rain and increasing wind, you’ll feel the pressure in your ears drop.

 

[Captain Cranks]

It's time like these when I appreciate not buying a property on the gulf or bay. We almost bought a house on the water in Apollo Beach last year. I'd be sweating bullets with a 10 foot storm surge looming.

 

[Desert_Power]

This projected inundation map is interesting. I don't know the area well, but I think this looks like it would cover an air force base and airport?

 

[gump]

This projected inundation map is interesting. I don't know the area well, but I think this looks like it would cover an air force base and airport?

That’s MacDill, which served as HQ in Desert Storm…and is ‘rumored’ to have a hurricane deflector, since one hasn’t hit direct since the base was built.

And those islands below ‘Tampa’ are the Jeter/Brady neighborhoods…

 

[Osaurus]

It's time like these when I appreciate not buying a property on the gulf or bay. We almost bought a house on the water in Apollo Beach last year. I'd be sweating bullets with a 10 foot storm surge looming.

Great area. I go to a dog park there often. I don’t think storm surge will treat the area kindly, but South Tampa will be far worse.

 

[Captain Cranks]

And those islands below ‘Tampa’ are the Jeter/Brady neighborhoods…

I just read yesterday Jeter's mansion was purchased for $22m and they're going to tear it down so they can build three houses there.

 

[gump]

And those islands below ‘Tampa’ are the Jeter/Brady neighborhoods…

I just read yesterday Jeter's mansion was purchased for $22m and they're going to tear it down so they can build three houses there.

It’s on 3 lots…the house was not attractive…

 

[ChiefD]

This projected inundation map is interesting. I don't know the area well, but I think this looks like it would cover an air force base and airport?

That’s MacDill, which served as HQ in Desert Storm…and is ‘rumored’ to have a hurricane deflector, since one hasn’t hit direct since the base was built.

And those islands below ‘Tampa’ are the Jeter/Brady neighborhoods…

What is a hurricane deflector for those of us less knowledgeable about such things?

 

[culdeus]

This projected inundation map is interesting. I don't know the area well, but I think this looks like it would cover an air force base and airport?

That’s MacDill, which served as HQ in Desert Storm…and is ‘rumored’ to have a hurricane deflector, since one hasn’t hit direct since the base was built.

And those islands below ‘Tampa’ are the Jeter/Brady neighborhoods…

What is a hurricane deflector for those of us less knowledgeable about such things?

It's a stupid joke about Tampa never getting hit with a big hurricane. Also called the Tampa shield.

 

[culdeus]

Live stream super cut. https://twitchtheater.tv/v=zLwbwHKl-xw/v=qYuhzlVYz4o/v=ilXbFYJ-d-A/v=rxBBRLWF0mM

 

[fantasycurse42]

All Hillsborough County shelters are open as of 8 am. Wow

Already closed schools. The overreaction seems to get worse every year.

Also, can someone explain why people buy up bottled water like they’re going to be stuck in a desert apocalypse?

Great question. We have a lot of supplies at home. Just waiting for flight and then I’ll take care of the house. Should be interesting to see what my newly transplanted Illinois neighbors are up to. I also wonder how many front doors with 4 sandbags around them I’ll see in my neighborhood.

Honestly didn't even know this thing was around until Friday at the Sam's club as people bought up all the water in the entire place. We have a lot more transplants than we used to. I'm sure they're all terrified.

Most of the daily storms we get at 4:00 in the afternoon are worse than these hurricanes. But, give it a name and put it on tv and everyone loses their minds.

Hopefully some of the covid NY refugees will be scared enough to go back.

If we leave, your property values plummet, so careful what you wish for.

 

[fantasycurse42]

Tropical Tidbits

Tropical weather and Atlantic hurricane information, analysis, and forecasts by Levi Cowan.

www.tropicaltidbits.com

Good insight on here, but slightly lagged.

 

[fantasycurse42]

Still hopeful on a shift more into the panhandle, but the models have def trended East all day and the euro GFS have converged a little. Waiting on this 11pm update, but looking pretty ****ty.

Really hopeful for a move west. My home insurance jumped 55% this year, a catastrophic storm in Tampa and I don’t even want to think about what happens to property insurance for Floridians afterwards.

 

[fantasycurse42]

Basically, if you are going to live in an area that has these storms, have some basic supplies stored. Keeps you out of the madness of the stores.

Isn’t Tampa one of those areas that is rarely hit?

 

[Capella]

Basically, if you are going to live in an area that has these storms, have some basic supplies stored. Keeps you out of the madness of the stores.

Isn’t Tampa one of those areas that is rarely hit?

100 years for a direct. Maybe a 101?

 

[E Street Brat]

It's time like these when I appreciate not buying a property on the gulf or bay. We almost bought a house on the water in Apollo Beach last year. I'd be sweating bullets with a 10 foot storm surge looming.

Great area. I go to a dog park there often. I don’t think storm surge will treat the area kindly, but South Tampa will be far worse.

Lots of low ground in upper Tampa Bay as well. Like Safety Harbor and Oldsmar.

The average depth in TB is only like 12 foot.