You're right, I shouldn't have included the "maybe" as far as natural immunity waning. It's more a question of how much and if/when it reaches a point where you're in the ballpark of being back to where you started.
Yes, it's tough to totally understand what people are thinking. I'm weird in that I find people's thought processes interesting, so I've listened to what people at work who are willing to talk about this sort of thing have to say, and the vaccine hesitant/refuser types have some tendencies. There's a political aspect to it of course, but I think a lot of it comes down to personality. For instance, it's kind of surprising how many people just never go to the doctor ever : no checkups, just hope that injuries heal on their own, etc. Those types definitely seem much more likely to want to stay unvaccinated.
Yes, I can totally see how maddening that would be. I really appreciate you lending your expertise to the thread. I'm definitely guilty of not staying in my lane on this, but I've been following this from the beginning because it's such a central part of everyday life and I love looking at data and trying to solve problems. I spent a day in Spring 2020 merging case rates with latitude and average monthly temperature lol. I'm sure I'm not the only one who just can't stay away from the honeypot.
At the risk of beating a dead horse or unfairly Monday morning quarterbacking, I think my point on natural immunity is this. Someone who has a natural proclivity to not want to be vaccinated gets covid, wants to wait longer on vaccination.
Scenario A
Response : Well, you probably have some protection but we don't know how much. Also, we can't just take your word for it. We can run a test on you that will give us some idea about your immunity level for X dollars. It's not perfect, and we still recommend vaccination.
Scenario B
Response : Get vaccinated or you'll kill us all. [Repeat message in response to any pushback/questions]
Obviously that's hyperbole and kind of unfair, but my contention is that while Scenario B might get vaccination rates up faster, it's better for society as a whole to get closer to Scenario A. Of course, again, that's easy for me to say. I'm not manning an ER station, listening to 5G theories, or wrestling a spittle-flecked maskless lunatic on a plane.