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*** OFFICIAL *** COVID-19 CoronaVirus Thread. Fresh epidemic fears as child pneumonia cases surge in Europe after China outbreak. NOW in USA (12 Viewers)

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Another article I read seemed to say none of them had Coronavirus. Only mild fevers then went away with Tylenol and none of them are from the Wuhan region.
Given the ability for this virus to transfer seemingly fairly easily, why would you not take every precaution? I wouldn't drive past the docks where one of these cruise ships are at let alone get this close to someone that has been identified with symptoms without being in level B hazmat protection but hey, that's me.

 
yes, because only fat people would do such a thing.
Making a demographic call based on the descriptive language and other clues, alongside actuarial tables and real world experience.  Plus fat people are just sicklier in general.  

Solid in my call here. I'll hang up and listen.

 
If this thing starts running through India, watch US companies start sweating profusely (including my employer). All this offshoring could come home to roost.
India will have much less chance of containing this, much less state conrtol and probably too "soft" to maintain quarantine in large cities

 
 not loading for me ('cannot display image')... anyone else?
Shows Taipei and mentions that warning system activated, apparently looking for a vector.
I searched for Taipei, coronavirus, alert but got no stories confirming that in the past 24 hours only this which is about Taiwanese stuck in Wuhan

 
TAIPEI (Taiwan News) — In a rare admission of the severity of the situation on the ground, a health official on Wednesday (Feb. 5) announced the mortality rate in Wuhan has reached 4.9 percent, more than twice the figure cited by the communist Chinese government.

Deputy Director-General of Medical Administration Bureau of National Health and Family Planning Commission of the PRC, Jiao Yahui, said on Wednesday that due to the lack of medical resources, the mortality rate in Wuhan has reached 4.9 percent. Meanwhile, the death rate for China as a whole is said to have remained at a steady 2.1 percent.
https://www.taiwannews.com.tw/en/news/3873016
 
I’m taking my mom on a cruise in a month (Celebrity), and a few days ago we received emails saying no one who has been in mainland China, Hong Kong, or Macau, including just transiting through the airports, in the 15 days before boarding would be allowed on.  We’re sailing in the Caribbean, which had given me comfort, but this latest incident with the ship out of NJ gives me pause.
Why is getting on a cruise ship any different than going to the mall? Or a hotel? Taking a land vacation at Disney? Going to an all inclusive resort in Mexico?

Any of those could subject you to the exact same types of people that would be on a cruise ship. 

I get it that cruise ships are great news stories for the networks but in reality, the same kind of things happen (people transmitting illnesses via airborne particles, touching contaminated door handles, etc) in any of those mentioned above on a daily basis but it doesn't make CNN.com. 

 
Something to keep in mind. Was reading about the whistleblower doctor. Said he contracted the disease from a patient around January 7. He died yesterday here, but February 7 in China. So that’s 31 days. Basically over 4 weeks from exposure to death. Said first systems were on January 10. Apparently this thing doesn’t get critical until around week 3. So seeing as the tens of thousands of confirmed cases in the last week have mostly not entered the 3 week mark (presumably), we really have no idea what the mortality rate is. The lack of high death rate in countries outside of China is being held up as a good sign. I’d presume very few of those cases have entered into the critical phase of the disease.

Also read that researchers are baffled by lack of reported cases in Thailand and Indonesia. There should be more. They say this could be related to a factor of transmission, but probably not. More likely it’s spreading and not being detected.

All of this leads me to the old adage that you should watch what people do, not what they say. China’s response to this outbreak and it’s massive economic impacts may be the leading indicator. It will be weeks before we know how widespread and how deadly.

This doesn’t necessarily portend a worse case scenario. It does mean that we can’t assume one based on what’s known.
Youre using a case study of one person to draw your conclusion.

 
Why is getting on a cruise ship any different than going to the mall? Or a hotel? Taking a land vacation at Disney? Going to an all inclusive resort in Mexico?

Any of those could subject you to the exact same types of people that would be on a cruise ship. 

I get it that cruise ships are great news stories for the networks but in reality, the same kind of things happen (people transmitting illnesses via airborne particles, touching contaminated door handles, etc) in any of those mentioned above on a daily basis but it doesn't make CNN.com. 
Much closer quarters.

 
This is weird. To make such a gaffe in Taiwan of all places is a bit on the nose.
We'll see whether the death rate outside China matches what we are being told or what we suspect

 
Much closer quarters.
Really? Is it?

I don't get any closer to people regardless if I'm standing in line at Disney for Space Mountain, in a crowded elevator at the Marriott Marquis in Times Square, or picking up a quick bite to eat at the shipboard buffet. 

Not sure that's a valid argument, at least for the ships that I have been on. 

 
Really? Is it?

I don't get any closer to people regardless if I'm standing in line at Disney for Space Mountain, in a crowded elevator at the Marriott Marquis in Times Square, or picking up a quick bite to eat at the shipboard buffet. 

Not sure that's a valid argument, at least for the ships that I have been on. 
ok

 
Did I miss something? I thought they were all being kept on board. 
I don't know about the suspected cases but if what I'm reading is correct they turned all the other passengers lose and they're readying the ship to go back out, it was supposed to be today but they've delayed for a day to get disinfected.  I hope the people doing the disinfecting have some semblance of protocol, the damn EMT's who picked them up did not, they were not wearing masks.

https://www.cnn.com/2020/02/07/us/coronavirus-cruise-ship-new-jersey/index.html

 
Really? Is it?

I don't get any closer to people regardless if I'm standing in line at Disney for Space Mountain, in a crowded elevator at the Marriott Marquis in Times Square, or picking up a quick bite to eat at the shipboard buffet. 

Not sure that's a valid argument, at least for the ships that I have been on. 
To me, the greater fear is the air circulation among the thousands of windowless cabins. 

 
Making a demographic call based on the descriptive language and other clues, alongside actuarial tables and real world experience.  Plus fat people are just sicklier in general.  

Solid in my call here. I'll hang up and listen.
the only description you had of the person was that they were coughing, sneezing, and blowing their nose.  From that you extrapolated not only that they were overweight, but so much so you disparage them as a hippo.

I have ended many friendships because the other party was bigoted, racist or homophobic. Welcome to that group of ex-friends. I always liked you but I find your attitude and actions towards me unacceptable and beyond social norms, even if I am fat.

 
Airplanes are far more disgusting and make you more susceptible to illnesses compared to cruise ships.

React!

 
Airplanes are far more disgusting and make you more susceptible to illnesses compared to cruise ships.

React!
Plot twist:  I have to take a couple of planes to get to and from the ship.

My concern with the cruise ship is not susceptibility to getting the virus; it's the risk of being quarantined on there for weeks as is happening on a few ships right now.  Sounds like a nightmare.

 
the only description you had of the person was that they were coughing, sneezing, and blowing their nose.  From that you extrapolated not only that they were overweight, but so much so you disparage them as a hippo.

I have ended many friendships because the other party was bigoted, racist or homophobic. Welcome to that group of ex-friends. I always liked you but I find your attitude and actions towards me unacceptable and beyond social norms, even if I am fat.


Dude, chill.  The hippo thing is a running joke in here if you've been following along.  Probably a bit over the line, yeah, but against a stranger that someone was around on a transit ride that we don't even know.

 
I flew 500k air miles over the last 3 years. I did manage to pick up a sniffle or two, but that’s the equivalent of something like 20 trips around the globe. If air travel weren’t pretty safe, I’d be perpetually sick. I’m not. Okay, I’m sick now and traveled last week, but it’s a sinus infection that probably had nothing to do with air travel.
Didn't say air travel wasn't "safe". Saying it's more disgusting than cruise ships. 

Your single example doesn't offset the countless examples of people getting sick from air travel.

 
fwiw, from the WSJ 3 days ago regarding air-travel and the coronavirus:

Coronavirus is a respiratory virus that is thought to be transmitted through tiny droplets excreted by coughing and sneezing. Research on other viruses has shown that on an airplane, you are at risk if you are within two or three rows of an infected person—basically the distance a droplet might travel.

Air on airplanes is generally isolated to specific zones—the air in your zone gets sucked in and recirculated in the same zone. In addition, most aircraft flying today pass recirculated air through a series of filters 20 to 30 times an hour. The filters used, called High-Efficiency Particulate Air, or HEPA, filters, are hospital-operating-room grade and capable of removing 99.9% of particulate such as bacteria, fungi, larger viruses and virus clumps, according to the CDC.

“The cabin air environment is not conducive to the spread of most infectious diseases,” the CDC says in a briefing on air travel.

The World Health Organization says its general recommendations for travelers apply to coronavirus:

* Frequently clean your hands by using alcohol-based hand rub or soap and water.

* When coughing and sneezing, cover your mouth and nose with flexed elbow or tissue, throw that tissue away immediately and wash hands.

* Avoid close contact with anyone who has a fever and cough.

* If you have a fever, cough and difficulty breathing, seek medical care early and share previous travel history with your health-care provider.

....

* Airline cleaning of airplanes is scant, so you may want to bring your own disinfecting wipes for public surfaces like tray tables and arm rests.

* If you do want to wear a face mask, you have to get something better than a regular paper surgical mask. Those masks, which are designed to stop your germs from getting out and infecting others, won’t stop the coronavirus from getting in, doctors say. You need a mask called an N95 respirator, which is thicker than a standard mask. Those masks are challenging to put on and wear for long periods.

* If someone near you is sneezing and coughing, ask the person to cover his or her mouth, and then ask a flight attendant to move you to an empty seat. Even a middle seat.
 
Buried in that twitter feed is some interesting info.  So if it gets in your CNS the death rate is 30%, which makes up the bulk of the fatalities, and this happens to 5% of people.  So the focus is on keeping it out of your CNS which is what some of the antiHIV-retrovirals aim to do.  I don't know where they pull that type of info from.  Autopsies?  

 
Didn't say air travel wasn't "safe". Saying it's more disgusting than cruise ships. 

Your single example doesn't offset the countless examples of people getting sick from air travel.
it's interesting though- right or wrong via the media, my and others here perception of it puts cruises as more likely to spread these than airplanes. they have many of the same of issues- proximity to lots of people in confined spaces... but cruises last longer, so at least at an intuitive guess seem like the proximity and chance for exposure becomes greater- along with virus having the time to progress through various phases. but it also may be that cruise ships are easier to localize and identify for the media and authorities in terms of spread vs airtravel that happens quicker and has passengers immediately moving on and away from any easy way to identify whether they've become ill or not. 

but both seem to have the same rules of spread and counteracting it. 

what I've read about that face mask that works sounds like it's uncomfortable and difficult to take on and off properly. 

 
Buried in that twitter feed is some interesting info.  So if it gets in your CNS the death rate is 30%, which makes up the bulk of the fatalities, and this happens to 5% of people.  So the focus is on keeping it out of your CNS which is what some of the antiHIV-retrovirals aim to do.  I don't know where they pull that type of info from.  Autopsies?  
sorry... CNS = ?

because I make a point of keeping away from Crosby Stills and Nash. 

 
what I've read about that face mask that works sounds like it's uncomfortable and difficult to take on and off properly. 
That's nonsense.   I don't even know why they say that in the WSJ article.   I have some reusable N95 masks.  I wore one when we had really bad wildfires here because we were inhaling ash.  They're just a mask with a filter and because they need to fit tight to work you need to adjust the straps.   Not exactly difficult.    

There are also studies that show N95 masks are no different as far as effectiveness from regular surgical masks.  Can't find the link, but I read it last week when I was reading about mask hoarding.   The CDC is advising Americans against buying masks--not because they aren't necessary or effective, but because they think that a bunch of people suddenly wearing masks will cause a panic.

 
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I have a bunch of surplus N95 masks. I get them from work when we get a new batch. I wore a few this summer when I was doing drywall work for 12 hours a day finishing some rooms in my basement. I wore them for several hours straight without a break. Hard to wear is bull####.

 
That's nonsense.   I don't even know why they say that in the WSJ article.   I have some reusable N95 masks.  I wore one when we had really bad wildfires here because we were inhaling ash.  They're just a mask with a filter and because they need to fit tight to work you need to adjust the straps.   Not exactly difficult.    
I read it elsewhere. and that it was thicker and more difficult to properly fit to your face and less comfortable to wear for long periods (harder to breath comfortably) relative to the paper versions.

do you disagree with that? I haven't really worn either, so I dunno. it's nonsense? so completely off base reporting?

 
I have a bunch of surplus N95 masks. I get them from work when we get a new batch. I wore a few this summer when I was doing drywall work for 12 hours a day finishing some rooms in my basement. I wore them for several hours straight without a break. Hard to wear is bull####.
I only reply to post the obligatory "Username checks out"

 
I read it elsewhere. and that it was thicker and more difficult to properly fit to your face and less comfortable to wear for long periods (harder to breath comfortably) relative to the paper versions.

do you disagree with that? I haven't really worn either, so I dunno. it's nonsense? so completely off base reporting?
They are thicker but I am a big guy that was doing physical labor so I was sweaty and occasionally breathing hard. I had zero issues breathing in an N95 even when they were partially clogged with drywall dust.

The likely issue is that they are more expensive and a bit harder to get due to demand.

 
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I read it elsewhere. and that it was thicker and more difficult to properly fit to your face and less comfortable to wear for long periods (harder to breath comfortably) relative to the paper versions.

do you disagree with that? I haven't really worn either, so I dunno. it's nonsense? so completely off base reporting?
Yeah, I think the government is trying to prevent a run on masks (too late).  The ones I have are actually designed to be used for running and other outdoor activities.   They are not difficult to put on or uncomfortable to wear.   

 
I used something like this during the wildfires here because the air quality was so bad.  We had ash in the air for about 7-10 days and when you went outside it actually stung your lungs when you breathed.   These are N99.  I bought mine after I met a guy that was out jogging wearing one and asked about it.

 
it's interesting though- right or wrong via the media, my and others here perception of it puts cruises as more likely to spread these than airplanes. they have many of the same of issues- proximity to lots of people in confined spaces... but cruises last longer, so at least at an intuitive guess seem like the proximity and chance for exposure becomes greater- along with virus having the time to progress through various phases. but it also may be that cruise ships are easier to localize and identify for the media and authorities in terms of spread vs airtravel that happens quicker and has passengers immediately moving on and away from any easy way to identify whether they've become ill or not. 

but both seem to have the same rules of spread and counteracting it. 

what I've read about that face mask that works sounds like it's uncomfortable and difficult to take on and off properly. 
One area of concern on a cruise ship rather than a plane would be if you go to the buffet.  They're self-serve, so you have literally hundreds of people using the same tongs and serving utensils in quick succession.  When a ship ends up with norovirus, one of the precautions they take is to have the staff serve at the buffets instead.  I wonder if they might proactively start doing that now due to corona.

 
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One area of concern on a cruise ship rather than a plane would be if you go to the buffet.  They're self-serve, so you have literally hundreds of people using the same tongs and serving utensils in quick succession.  When a ship ends up with norovirus, one of the precautions they take is to have the staff serve at the buffets instead.  I wonder if they might proactively start doing that now due to corona.
not to mention the people using the pools, saunas, etc., which i'm quite sure are not available on planes as of this post. 

 
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One area of concern on a cruise ship rather than a plane would be if you go to the buffet.  They're self-serve, so you have literally hundreds of people using the same tongs and serving utensils in quick succession.  When a ship ends up with norovirus, one of the precautions they take is to have the staff serve at the buffets instead.  I wonder if they might proactively start doing that now due to corona.
Disney cruises require every person to wipe down with a Lysol wipe or wash their hands when they come in the buffet hall. They have people at each entrance and they’ll stop you if you try to sneak by. Probably not foolproof but it seems to do pretty well. My wife researched some info on all the cruise lines and found they have way less reported incidents. 

 
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Disney cruises require every person to wipe down with a Lysol wipe or wash their hands when they come in the buffet hall. They have people at each entrance and they’ll stop you if you try to sneak by. Probably not foolproof but it seems to do pretty well. My wife researched some info on all the cruise lines and found they have way less reported incidents. 
The newest Celebrity ships have the hand-washing stations at the buffets, too.  And all their ships have the people squirting you with sanitizer when you come in.

ETA:  But none of that helps if you sanitize on the way in, then sneeze or cough in your hand after that.

 
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