Terminalxylem
Footballguy
Honestly, I don’t see another few weeks as earth shattering, though I’d love a good economic analysis of keeping largely shut down through June vs. May, for example. Seems like rapid tests are already being distributed, production of PPE and ventilators ramped up, etc. Hiring infection control and training/repurposing healthcare workers shouldn’t take too long either.Understood for most of these, as its somewhat what we've been told for weeks. Where we disagree is on the solution. In a perfect world we would have all those things you say we need (widespread testing, contact tracing, stockpiling PPE, Ventilators, training). I think we can we can probably stockpile the supplies. However, how long do you think we need to be patient for widespread testing (for both active cases and immunity) and the infrastructure to contact trace effectively? I don't think we have that much time. If we skip robust testing and contact tracing, can we maintain regional hospital capacity while relaxing shut downs by continuing some level of social distancing and PPE use? Obviously your plan is much more fool proof, but is squarely on the very conservative side of the argument and will keep the country staled much longer.
There are a ton of variables in the equation, so it’s hard to be definitive. But the decision should be data-driven rather than arbitrary.
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