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*** OFFICIAL *** COVID-19 CoronaVirus Thread. Fresh epidemic fears as child pneumonia cases surge in Europe after China outbreak. NOW in USA (25 Viewers)

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California going back into lock down. Goal is to try and reduce spread back down to moderate levels by end of December as it takes a few transmission cycles to snowball change things. I only caught the end of a news broadcast for this but that was my take. Also multiple task forces are working with the public and the presidential transition team to get prepped for the vaccine logistics. 

 
Can you share any first hand insight on this one?  I thought I had read somewhere that the military was going to assist with logistics but it's been a while and I might be misremembering things.
The short answer is that everyplace will have a different plan. I am not aware of any distribution plan in NoVA that requires active military or National Guard support. It is a possibility, so I will not discount it.

In NoVA we will have a number of Points of Distribution (PODs). There are two types of POD, open and closed. The closed POD is an internal distribution plan such as a hospital vaccinating all of their own staff and possibly direct family of staff. Another example is the military on a base vaccinating everyone on that base that work or reside there.

Open PODs are set up to vaccinate the public, whether targeted groups or not. Health Districts coordinate both sets and train personnel for closed PODs. Health Districts generally only set up and man the Open PODs. The plan here will most likely be finalized to start with a closed POD to vaccinate employees of the Health District, then will soon move to Open PODs at select locations. With the amount of people that need to be vaccinated, the PODs will likely be drive thru at locations that can handle heavy incoming traffic without impeding the flow of traffic on a main road. School parking lots, shopping mall parking lots, etc. 

There will also likely be targeted community efforts with walk through PODs set up in gymnasiums and the like. It will be an effort that spans weeks and months.

 
How do you suggest dealing with someone very close to you that questions the numbers/deaths as they continue to rise? I want to fly off the handle but that would be pointless and just further the divide. How do I present facts to a person who thinks the numbers of COVID cases have been artificially inflated, wonders what happened to the flu all of a sudden and questions all the deaths attributed to COVID?

Really struggling with this.
Unfortunately, a person like that won't believe the facts - mainstream media and all that. I'd carry on with life and minimize contact until this cools down.

 
That’s why I think the concept of herd immunity is very dangerous.  This isn’t like measles or chicken pox. This is like influenza.  You can get it again, the virus will mutate some, and the vaccine is only good for a period of time. 
We don't know for sure, but SARS-CoV-2 doesn't seem as prone to big mutations as influenza.

 
Just received an email that our company will be partnering with HHS to help give the COVID vaccine. The current timeline we’ve been given is Phase 1 in mid-to-late December which will be high risk patients done at offsite clinics (mass immunization events). Phase 2 will follow in January with rollout to pharmacies similar to flu shots.

 
ABC World News Tonight just interviewed medical professionals who had people on their literal deathbeds, on the verge of passing away, swearing "this can't be happening because COVID is a hoax." I mean, I don't even know what to say. "Wow" doesn't even begin to cover it. I cant imagine being that devoid of logic and reason.

 
Orange County, CA - along with many other counties in California - are going back to shudown mode (Purple Tier 1).  Not surprising.

 
This is probably as close as any of us have come to witnessing Darwinism in person.  I mean quite literally people who are willing to believe conspiracy theories and eschew science are dying because of it.

If there’s one thing this election cycle and virus has taught me is that I want to make sure my children learn how to evaluate argumentation and understand cognitive biases and logical fallacies. I simply can’t trust that they will know how to handle multiple different presentations of facts from different competing world views simultaneously.

 
This is probably as close as any of us have come to witnessing Darwinism in person.  I mean quite literally people who are willing to believe conspiracy theories and eschew science are dying because of it.

If there’s one thing this election cycle and virus has taught me is that I want to make sure my children learn how to evaluate argumentation and understand cognitive biases and logical fallacies. I simply can’t trust that they will know how to handle multiple different presentations of facts from different competing world views simultaneously.
My kids have no problem sorting through the distortion. They just believe anything Mr. Beast says. Ain’t YouTube wonderful?

 
yeah, NJ is going into lockdown again. Indoor gatherings reduced to 10 people max. Outdoor to 150.

Just so freaking tired of this. Gonna be a LONG freaking winter.

 
yeah, NJ is going into lockdown again. Indoor gatherings reduced to 10 people max. Outdoor to 150.

Just so freaking tired of this. Gonna be a LONG freaking winter.
NJ is under a 10pm curfew for indoor dining and drinking as of last Thursday. My town is considering an 8pm curfew for both.

 
South and North Dakota now leading with two things: 

1) The highest COVID mortality rate in the world 
2) The lowest mask useage rate in America in October. 

Lends credence to theory that initial viral load impacts severity, and the masks/distancing are behind the diminished severity of cases.

SD Nurse "Patients spend dying moments insisting the virus isn't real"
Sadly with friends and family in SD it’s been hard to watch for awhile. I’ve seen several people go straight from posting memes mocking COVID to posting hospital updates about family members. They are doing nothing to try and slow it with little chance of that changing. They just don’t care.

 
Sadly with friends and family in SD it’s been hard to watch for awhile. I’ve seen several people go straight from posting memes mocking COVID to posting hospital updates about family members. They are doing nothing to try and slow it with little chance of that changing. They just don’t care.
Saw the same thing on facebook after a high school classmates dad died from Covid.  His daughter posted that "dad was a gambler and was going to live his life".  He was only 66 and I guess he lost.

 
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To say some positive points about ND. 
Highest test rate then any state. 
Is going to distant learning in schools. Canceling high school sports. Now have a mask mandate. 
 

Dragged their feet on another lockdown for sure but I’ve been impressed with the testing at least.  I could get tested every day with ease if I wanted to.  
 

https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/states-comparison/testing-state-totals-bypop

 
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To say some positive points about ND. 
Highest test rate then any state. 
Is going to distant learning in schools. Canceling high school sports. Now have a mask mandate. 
 

Dragged their feet on another lockdown for sure but I’ve been impressed with the testing at least.  I could get tested every day with ease if I wanted to.  
 

https://coronavirus.jhu.edu/testing/states-comparison/testing-state-totals-bypop
The sad reality is that these smaller (population) rural states are setup perfectly to avoid huge COVID outbreaks if they just took it seriously and that’s why many didn’t get hit hard until the third spike. But then when it gets into the small communities, it takes over because there are limited resources that everyone has to use.

 
The sad reality is that these smaller (population) rural states are setup perfectly to avoid huge COVID outbreaks if they just took it seriously and that’s why many didn’t get hit hard until the third spike. But then when it gets into the small communities, it takes over because there are limited resources that everyone has to use.
Somewhat agree. I wouldn’t say there are limited resources. The smaller population lends itself to needing less resources.  
See the example of having the most test in ND comped to the entire country  

With the smaller populations the swings positive and negative will be much more dramatically. 

 
beer 30 said:
How do you suggest dealing with someone very close to you that questions the numbers/deaths as they continue to rise? I want to fly off the handle but that would be pointless and just further the divide. How do I present facts to a person who thinks the numbers of COVID cases have been artificially inflated, wonders what happened to the flu all of a sudden and questions all the deaths attributed to COVID?

Really struggling with this.
You don't....you just point out that for what they are believing to be true literally thousands of people have to be in the know and keeping their mouths shut.  That's about all you can do.  You can also ask what their sources of belief are and ask them if it's concerning to them that virtually none of them are in the medical field.  After that, you dump it and move on.

 
mr roboto said:
This is probably as close as any of us have come to witnessing Darwinism in person.  I mean quite literally people who are willing to believe conspiracy theories and eschew science are dying because of it.

If there’s one thing this election cycle and virus has taught me is that I want to make sure my children learn how to evaluate argumentation and understand cognitive biases and logical fallacies. I simply can’t trust that they will know how to handle multiple different presentations of facts from different competing world views simultaneously.
This should probably be another thread but how do actually teach something like this?

 
Somewhat agree. I wouldn’t say there are limited resources. The smaller population lends itself to needing less resources.  
See the example of having the most test in ND comped to the entire country  

With the smaller populations the swings positive and negative will be much more dramatically. 
Resources was probably the wrong word to use, I meant that the small community likely has one grocery store, bank, etc that everyone has to use.

 
This should probably be another thread but how do actually teach something like this?
I’m sure there’s curriculum on logic and reason and argumentation. I have been listening to a lot of podcasts on mindfulness they talk a lot about cognitive biases as well.

 
You don't....you just point out that for what they are believing to be true literally thousands of people have to be in the know and keeping their mouths shut.  That's about all you can do.  You can also ask what their sources of belief are and ask them if it's concerning to them that virtually none of them are in the medical field.  After that, you dump it and move on.
Yea I know...all of it. Was hoping there was some low hanging fruit I could point said person to that might help sway them off their stance. There isn't, i know this so guess I'm just going to ignore the nonsense and not make a big deal about it. Blissful ignorance I guess. Thanks for the responses crew  :thumbup:

 
This should probably be another thread but how do actually teach something like this?
I think the first thing you do is teach them what it means when we say "three sides to every story...your side, my side and the truth"...then work from there.  It's part of the upbringing.  I don't know how many conversations we've had this election cycle that started with one of my kids asking if a particular ad on tv was "true" or not.

 
I mean, when my 8 year old listens to an ad and says "that doesn't sound right" it should tell us how bad/dishonest these ads are yet adults seem to go all in on them.  That's probably enough...don't want to get kicked out of the FFA  :lol:  

 
Not to get this thread too side tracked, but alot of the disbelief by some is due to their observations previously of both the "experts" and MSM being wrong.  While others will believe these sources until they are proven wrong.  Those that do not believe in the seriousness of Covid are those that have become extremely cynical with both sources of information. 

I fall in the cynical category to a degree, but I do not immediately dismiss what they have stated.  I am a scientist but have a history degree that has really helped me analyze and evaluate sources of information on Covid and knew back in February how serious this could become.  The last ten years is just littered with MSM looking for click bait rather than informative reporting.  But I was raised on fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice and shame on me for allowing it a second time.  I think many were brought up with the same belief system, they feel foolish following a source they cannot trust.  This is why the CDC and somewhat the WHO public positions that changed (especially related to mask wearing) have such resistance.  And thus the lack of cooperation with proper advice. 

Unfortunately this will be a long winter, everyone stay safe.

 
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New Orleans has announced there will be no Mardi Gras parades for 2021. I think it's really the only decision they could've made, and I'd be willing to bet it was made a long time ago and they just didn't announce it until now, when krewes really needed to have a decision on whether or not they needed to prepare.  Sad times. 

 
Not to get this thread too side tracked, but alot of the disbelief by some is due to their observations previously of both the "experts" and MSM being wrong.  While others will believe these sources until they are proven wrong.  Those that do not believe in the seriousness of Covid are those that have become extremely cynical with both sources of information. 

I fall in the cynical category to a degree, but I do not immediately dismiss what they have stated.  I am a scientist but have a history degree that has really helped me analyze and evaluate sources of information on Covid and knew back in February how serious this could become.  The last ten years is just littered with MSM looking for click bait rather than informative reporting.  But I was raised on fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice and shame on me for allowing it a second time.  I think many were brought up with the same belief system, they feel foolish following a source they cannot trust.  This is why the CDC and somewhat the WHO public positions that changed (especially related to mask wearing) have such resistance.  And thus the lack of cooperation with proper advice. 

Unfortunately this will be a long winter, everyone stay safe.
Fool me...

 
Not to get this thread too side tracked, but alot of the disbelief by some is due to their observations previously of both the "experts" and MSM being wrong.
Also by "health experts" and MSM telling people that they are evil for sitting alone on sparsely-populated beaches, but attending mass protests is totally safe and a-okay.

 
Also by "health experts" and MSM telling people that they are evil for sitting alone on sparsely-populated beaches, but attending mass protests is totally safe and a-okay.
But they were wearing masks! Well except when they pulled them down to scream or spit at police. And during mugshots. 

And plenty of other times. 

And i love the beach camera angles. 

 
I am just across the county border in Columbia Co.  Not surprising- teams from Waunakee and other towns come here to practice (I am assuming stricter rules in Dane?).  My son was going to the rec center here a little bit until that started happening more and more.   This county by county thing is dumb as hell. 
Agreed hate the county by county stuff.  We couldn't have a bar league softball/volleyball seasons in Dane County yet all the surrounding counties they were having tournaments, operating like a normal summer.  And yes local teams are traveling for sports activities.  I have an acquaintance in Mount Horeb who's daughter plays club volleyball...they have a tournament in the Dells this upcoming weekend.  People are so dumb.

 
Terminalxylem said:
We don't know for sure, but SARS-CoV-2 doesn't seem as prone to big mutations as influenza.
I don't know if I quite agree with this.  For those of whom are not aware of my stance (I've stated it here in this thread, and I've stated it in the stock/cydy thread--I like many scientists and biologists (Bret Weinstein for one) am of the belief that covid-19 was a result of some sort of lab leak from gain-of-function research gone wrong with coronaviruses and I personally believe that there is a good chance that it can mutate fairly quickly and substantially because of this. 

Let's just look at a macro time line--and evaluate this.  We have a disease that apparently allegedly naturally jumped from a bat to a human--which is a very large evolutionary jump if it occured naturally.  Almost instantly--that same disease became very successful at jumping from human to human--literally another huge evolutionary step.   A few months later--the disease was successfully able to go from humans to minx--and then back to humans again--another typically large evolutionary step.  We're talking about a disease that has literally went from being successful in plaguing bats, to then plaguing humans, to then mutating to plague minx, and then able to go from plaguing minx to humans back again--all in about 1 year.     Keep in mind--I'm not trying to say this to frighten people--but I am trying to say that this disease is doing a lot of things quickly that we didn't expect it to.    

 
Not to get this thread too side tracked, but alot of the disbelief by some is due to their observations previously of both the "experts" and MSM being wrong.  While others will believe these sources until they are proven wrong.  Those that do not believe in the seriousness of Covid are those that have become extremely cynical with both sources of information. 

I fall in the cynical category to a degree, but I do not immediately dismiss what they have stated.  I am a scientist but have a history degree that has really helped me analyze and evaluate sources of information on Covid and knew back in February how serious this could become.  The last ten years is just littered with MSM looking for click bait rather than informative reporting.  But I was raised on fool me once, shame on you, fool me twice and shame on me for allowing it a second time.  I think many were brought up with the same belief system, they feel foolish following a source they cannot trust.  This is why the CDC and somewhat the WHO public positions that changed (especially related to mask wearing) have such resistance.  And thus the lack of cooperation with proper advice. 

Unfortunately this will be a long winter, everyone stay safe.
True to an extent, but some of the misinformation is a function of learning how we deal with a novel infection. As a scientist, you surely understand the process of hypothesis generation and revision based on available evidence, but not everyone realizes the state of the science is constantly subject to change. There weren’t any covid “experts” at the beginning of the pandemic, only historical public health guidance which hadn’t been rigorously tested, and assumptions based on other infections. It’s hard to be too dogmatic given those circumstances, and easy to understand when mistakes are made.

IMO politics has played a much bigger role in derailing our pandemic response.

 
I don't know if I quite agree with this.  For those of whom are not aware of my stance (I've stated it here in this thread, and I've stated it in the stock/cydy thread--I like many scientists and biologists (Bret Weinstein for one) am of the belief that covid-19 was a result of some sort of lab leak from gain-of-function research gone wrong with coronaviruses and I personally believe that there is a good chance that it can mutate fairly quickly and substantially because of this. 

Let's just look at a macro time line--and evaluate this.  We have a disease that apparently allegedly naturally jumped from a bat to a human--which is a very large evolutionary jump if it occured naturally.  Almost instantly--that same disease became very successful at jumping from human to human--literally another huge evolutionary step.   A few months later--the disease was successfully able to go from humans to minx--and then back to humans again--another typically large evolutionary step.  We're talking about a disease that has literally went from being successful in plaguing bats, to then plaguing humans, to then mutating to plague minx, and then able to go from plaguing minx to humans back again--all in about 1 year.     Keep in mind--I'm not trying to say this to frighten people--but I am trying to say that this disease is doing a lot of things quickly that we didn't expect it to.    
what about the studies that were done early on (March/April) that determined it had a natural structure, which wouldn't be the case if it was lab-made? (tl;dr: If lab made, it would have had a nearly identical structure to a known coronavirus. Their findings proved it to be a new structure.)

 
Also by "health experts" and MSM telling people that they are evil for sitting alone on sparsely-populated beaches, but attending mass protests is totally safe and a-okay.
This line is oft repeated, but I’ve not heard or seen any infectious disease clinician or public health official take this stance. Did you have any particular “health expert” in mind?

Same goes for solo beach-going - they’ve been off limits because people tend to congregate.

 
what about the studies that were done early on (March/April) that determined it had a natural structure, which wouldn't be the case if it was lab-made? (tl;dr: If lab made, it would have had a nearly identical structure to a known coronavirus. Their findings proved it to be a new structure.)
Watch this. It’s worth the 20 minutes- I promise you. The scientific community at large is incentivized to say its natural because if it becomes established that a pandemic that caused more death and economic destruction than a nuclear bomb was a result of mistakes in scientific research— science could lose all future funding.  When was the last time a disease naturally evolved quickly enough in a year to jump into several new species and then be super successful in spreading within those species instantly?  Nature generally doesn’t work that quickly. 

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=zQLF4DUSXGs&t=798s

 
I don't know if I quite agree with this.  For those of whom are not aware of my stance (I've stated it here in this thread, and I've stated it in the stock/cydy thread--I like many scientists and biologists (Bret Weinstein for one) am of the belief that covid-19 was a result of some sort of lab leak from gain-of-function research gone wrong with coronaviruses and I personally believe that there is a good chance that it can mutate fairly quickly and substantially because of this. 

Let's just look at a macro time line--and evaluate this.  We have a disease that apparently allegedly naturally jumped from a bat to a human--which is a very large evolutionary jump if it occured naturally.  Almost instantly--that same disease became very successful at jumping from human to human--literally another huge evolutionary step.   A few months later--the disease was successfully able to go from humans to minx--and then back to humans again--another typically large evolutionary step.  We're talking about a disease that has literally went from being successful in plaguing bats, to then plaguing humans, to then mutating to plague minx, and then able to go from plaguing minx to humans back again--all in about 1 year.     Keep in mind--I'm not trying to say this to frighten people--but I am trying to say that this disease is doing a lot of things quickly that we didn't expect it to.    
Mutations occur in all viruses to different degrees. Most are point mutations in the genetic code, occur randomly and have little clinical significance. Only when the mutation improves viral fitness (ability to replicate) and virulence is it concerning. 

Influenza, unlike many other viruses, easily combines strains from multiple species, swapping entire genes for structural proteins in the process. Such “antigenic shift” is unusual in other viruses, including coronavirus. This mechanism largely accounts for flu’s propensity to evade our immune system and cause pandemics.

It appears SARS-CoV-2 mutates more slowly than flu, and is far less likely to recombine big swaths of its RNA between species. I’m not saying it can’t happen, but an immunologically distinct flavor of covid evolving quickly is far less likely than flu.

 
Watch this. It’s worth the 20 minutes- I promise you. The scientific community at large is incentivized to say its natural because if it becomes established that a pandemic that caused more death and economic destruction than a nuclear bomb was a result of mistakes in scientific research— science could lose all future funding.  When was the last time a disease naturally evolved quickly enough in a year to jump into several new species and then be super successful in spreading within those species instantly?  Nature generally doesn’t work that quickly. 

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=zQLF4DUSXGs&t=798s
Can we chill with the hyperbole? And both SARS and MERS had animal cross vectors.  That even leaves out bird, swine flus, mad cow, etc.  Nature has a way of ####### with humans in particular.  

 
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Watch this. It’s worth the 20 minutes- I promise you. The scientific community at large is incentivized to say its natural because if it becomes established that a pandemic that caused more death and economic destruction than a nuclear bomb was a result of mistakes in scientific research— science could lose all future funding.  When was the last time a disease naturally evolved quickly enough in a year to jump into several new species and then be super successful in spreading within those species instantly?  Nature generally doesn’t work that quickly. 

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=zQLF4DUSXGs&t=798s
I don't watch much news type stuff on YouTube, but I'll see if I can find anything reputable that I can read about it, thanks

 
Can we chill with the hyperbole? And both SARS and MERS had animal cross vectors.  That even leaves out bird, swine flus, mad cow, etc.  Nature has a way of ####### with humans in particular.  
I don’t need to be told to chill by a dude that earlier was claiming that hippos would kill more people than covid. You haven’t been exactly right up to this point

 
This just seems to be what I hear from anyone that spends 2-3hrs a day on facebook.

Facebook Karen: We want to have a wedding but the {insert something here} won't let us.

Facebook Chad: JuST CalL IT A Pr0teZt loaoozlo111!
Well, they're sort of right.  A whole lot people who should have known better set their credibility on fire this summer because of politics.

Obviously the answer is that you should skip the wedding and also skip the protests.  

 
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