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Official Donald Trump for President thread (4 Viewers)

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HellToupee said:
@realdonaldtrump should rise above @hillaryclinton's personal attacks and focus on setting out his plan for America.
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Ok let's consider this because let's face it Farage did actually just potentially transform the EU by winning a big election, it has two parts to it.

1. DJT should rise above personal attacks. - Not gonna happen.

2. DJT should focus on his plan. - I'm not sure he actually has a plan but if he has one I don't think he himself is aware of it.

 
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Joe Summer said:
"You have 38 days to make every dream you ever dreamed for your country come true"

That's some crazy psychological stuff right there. "Vote for me and I will literally MAKE EVERY DREAM COME TRUE".
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[Blews out]...

 
Two hours before vice presidential candidates debate, @GOP's website declares Mike Pence the winner. 

 
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cstu said:
Joe Summer said:
"You have 38 days to make every dream you ever dreamed for your country come true"

That's some crazy psychological stuff right there. "Vote for me and I will literally MAKE EVERY DREAM COME TRUE".
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I'll take "Things a cult leader says" for $1000, Alex.
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It's probably the type he has to says to get women to let him fk them.  I think he literally wants to fk America. 

 
RBM said:
I posted it assuming one of you salivating idiots would run to discredit it, and you were first man up....
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So, basically you admit to postig something, hoping for a reaction...or, trolling?

Hmm, i thought you Trump guys frowned upon such things...also the namecalling again, youball whine about that a lot too.

Psst, there was no salivating, just a simple response laughing at quoting a Rasmussen poll.

 
Coeur de Lion said:
Trump's Big League Truth Team... JFC  :lmao: -- and you know the rubes are lapping that nonsense right up.
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What's scary is that if you go to #BigLeagueTruth there are a bunch of Trumpettes saying Kaine is delusional, ill-tempered, seriously unhinged, a schizo off his meds, etc.

Amazing level of cognitive dissonance going on.

 
cstu said:
Can a math person tell me how Hillary can be favored in most battleground states, some by a large margin, and still only have a 75% chance of winning?

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
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If you scroll down on that page to see the winding road graphic where the states are aligned in order of likelihood of going either direction, you'll see that the state most likely to push her over 270 right now is Colorado. And their site has her at 78% to win Colorado. Plus many of the battleground states are highly correlated to one another (if she loses ground nationally she loses ground in most of the battleground states).

 
in NC we have elections for Gov and Sen.  Both are R.  The D challengers are leading by between 2-5 pts.  I think this state turns blue this year and I think Trump will have this effect in other races.

 
cstu said:
Can a math person tell me how Hillary can be favored in most battleground states, some by a large margin, and still only have a 75% chance of winning?

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo
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It's a question of correlation.  Silver explains it here in the context of highlighting the importance of North Carolina.

Long story short, if Trump comes back to win, say, Michigan, it would greatly increase his chances of winning several other states in the Great Lakes region, not only because he'd likely be outperforming current polls nationally but also because Michigan and Wisconsin and Ohio and Pennsylvania and even Minnesota are similar demographically. 

So for example if Clinton is 75% to win three different battleground states that Trump needs to win, the chance of Trump winning all three is not 1.5% (25% x 25% x 25%).  It's much much higher than that, because if the 25% chance hits in one state, whatever happened to give him that win would change the odds significantly on the other two. If those three states are similar demographically (say the Great Lakes states) it shoots up even more; if they're different (say Ohio, North Carolina and Florida) then there's less correlation and thus a Trump win in one doesn't necessarily mean a massive shift in the odds for the other two.

 
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TobiasFunke said:
It's a question of correlation.  Silver explains it here in the context of highlighting the importance of North Carolina.

Long story short, if Trump comes back to win, say, Michigan, it would greatly increase his chances of winning several other states in the Great Lakes region, not only because he'd likely be outperforming current polls nationally but also because Michigan and Wisconsin and Ohio and Pennsylvania and even Minnesota are similar demographically. 

So for example if Clinton is 75% to win three different battleground states that Trump needs to win, the chance of Trump winning all three is not 1.5% (25% x 25% x 25%).  It's much much higher than that, because if the 25% chance hits in one state, whatever happened to give him that win would change the odds significantly on the other two. If those three states are similar demographically (say the Great Lakes states) it shoots up even more; if they're different (say Ohio, North Carolina and Florida) then there's less correlation and thus a Trump win in one doesn't necessarily mean a massive shift in the odds for the other two.
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You could have just said SKEWING

 
Pence probably won the debate last night, he came off as the grown up in the room and undoubtedly looked better that Kaine did. That said, I still think that Kaine probably accomplished his goals -- namely, to continue to highlight all of the ridiculous stuff that Trump has said, for which there s no possible defense.

Knowing what Pence is, though, I really would love to punch him in the face. He screwed over Indiana in order to pander to the religious right and TEA Party nuts, and set up his moment in the national spotlight. Of course, he likely threw it all away by letting himself be tied to Trump, but his brand or religion first social conservatism would never stand a chance nationally regardless. Can't wait until he goes away for good.

 
Pence looked pretty good last night but kinda scary.  He definitely puts his faith before all else and if he were ever elected POTUS I don't doubt he'd try to get RvW repealed and do his best to return us a nation run on christian values.

F That.

 
Soootch said:
I wish he would've taken the basket of deplorables thing head-on: "Ask yourself what type of person supports a candidate who calls women fat pigs, insults Mexicans, says we need to ban Muslims, we should withdraw from NATO......"

That stupid issue keeps coming up and most intelligent people know it was a correct statement. It wasn't politically correct, so Trump supporters should welcome it as a refreshing bit of candor since they hate political correctness so much.
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100% agree. Of course the Trumpkins get their panties in a bunch over it, but it's true. If you're supporting Trump, you are either a bigot, or you are OK with your guy using political rhetoric to pander to bigots, and either way, you are garbage. I actually think that the Democrats have been treating this as a "normal" political race far too much, and that is a mistake. Hillary sucks, but she is very clearly the only grown up at this particular rodeo. Trump is just a bad joke.

 
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