Hot Sauce Guy
Footballguy
Absolutely rational approach.I get your argument. You are a Davis believer. I am not as much but he does have upside. Diggs still there and any team I have Davis wouldn't be a starter and probably isn't going to become that any time soon anyways so I'd rather take the 1st and swing for the fences as I don't believe Davis is a swing. He will never be a WR1 on a fantasy team. Comes down to how much you value picks and any WR (many of them available) that isn't even a WR2 right now is probably not worth a 1st in a deep draft.
Upside is king though and I have been guilty of holding a player I like and see talent in because of what I think they can become. Nothing wrong with your thinking. We just vary in our beliefs on Davis (maybe 1st rounders too). I like to take shots in the 1st considering I got Jaylen Waddle and Justin Jefferson at 8 the last 2 years, give me that chance over Gabe Davis all day.
And honestly I’m not that far off on Davis from you either. I am aware of Diggs presence. I am also aware of Diggs age, and the ages of the other BUF WRs.
I’m rebuilding for 2023 and beyond, so as I've said before, team context also matters. If Davis has indeed locked up the WR2 role in BUF, he very well may be starting for me. But then, my cupboard is relatively bare.
so with a lack of human assets and a boatload of picks for 2023, ii don’t see how a 1.11 & 1.12 pick in 2022 would help me more than the upside of Davis might. Especially in a year where I see about 10 year-one NFL starters and only 4 are WR. And one of them should be there for me at 1.08 In superflex.
So all things considered, I’m holding. And regardless, no one in my league is offering me a package like that anyway, so it is truly just a thought experiment.