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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (29 Viewers)

I'm only making one small parlay this weekend. I realized that I let betting take a lot of the enjoyment out of football this year which isn't good. 

I hope you guys crush this weekend 👍

 
We've got a SB squares pool started in GMTAN.

40 entry

quarters 500/500/500/500

final 2000

Go here http://www.footballsquaresonline.com/game/483685

password is MoMoney

 
i just cant bring myself to take Clev +9.5--I know it is real popular right now, but  I am afraid this team just gets smashed.

I am targeting Hunt overs--- o 2.5 rec +108 and o 32.5 rush yd -110. Thinking revenge game against his old team. 

 
Courtjester said:
i just cant bring myself to take Clev +9.5--I know it is real popular right now, but  I am afraid this team just gets smashed.

I am targeting Hunt overs--- o 2.5 rec +108 and o 32.5 rush yd -110. Thinking revenge game against his old team. 
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Down to 8.5 some places...enough money that they aren't afraid to put it into the teaser window which is interesting.  I played it at +10, but afraid you might be right about KC smashing them.  I also played Mahomes over 2.5 tds and KC over 33 TT as a bit of a hedge/middle opportunity.  Could lose all 3, but I just don't see Cleveland stopping KC's offense, especially with Reid off a bye.  Would not surprise me to see KC start slow after not playing starters the last 2 weeks, a la the Texans game last year.  If that happens I'll play KC moneyline at -120 or better if I can get it.  One last bit of motivation for them that I might be making up: An eff you to the rest of the league for not interviewing/hiring Bienemy again.  "You don't want me as your coach?  Look what kind of offense I can produce."

 
facook said:
Down to 8.5 some places...enough money that they aren't afraid to put it into the teaser window which is interesting.  I played it at +10, but afraid you might be right about KC smashing them.  I also played Mahomes over 2.5 tds and KC over 33 TT as a bit of a hedge/middle opportunity.  Could lose all 3, but I just don't see Cleveland stopping KC's offense, especially with Reid off a bye.  Would not surprise me to see KC start slow after not playing starters the last 2 weeks, a la the Texans game last year.  If that happens I'll play KC moneyline at -120 or better if I can get it.  One last bit of motivation for them that I might be making up: An eff you to the rest of the league for not interviewing/hiring Bienemy again.  "You don't want me as your coach?  Look what kind of offense I can produce."
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Didn't start slow.

 
facook said:
Down to 8.5 some places...enough money that they aren't afraid to put it into the teaser window which is interesting.  I played it at +10, but afraid you might be right about KC smashing them.  I also played Mahomes over 2.5 tds and KC over 33 TT as a bit of a hedge/middle opportunity.  Could lose all 3, but I just don't see Cleveland stopping KC's offense, especially with Reid off a bye.  Would not surprise me to see KC start slow after not playing starters the last 2 weeks, a la the Texans game last year.  If that happens I'll play KC moneyline at -120 or better if I can get it.  One last bit of motivation for them that I might be making up: An eff you to the rest of the league for not interviewing/hiring Bienemy again.  "You don't want me as your coach?  Look what kind of offense I can produce."
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Really couldn't have played this any worse.

 
facook said:
Yep the concussion killed it.  May not have gotten there anyway with all the friggin field goal kicking.
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That killed me with the Bills-Ravens game yesterday. Why did both teams keep trying long field goals on fourth and shortish?

 
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Earlier this week I had NBA DeAndre Hunter points at 14.5---he got 14. 

Need to take a couple days and come back stronger and focus on one or two sports instead of this shotgun approach I have been using. 

 
Courtjester said:
Need to take a couple days and come back stronger and focus on one or two sports instead of this shotgun approach I have been using. 
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I screwed up royally today.

LOVED Leveon Bell under rushing and under rushing and receiving.

Got greedy and parlayed them with Godwin and Thomas overs

 
Early leans for tomorrow.

ORL: 110
NYK: 105

MIN: 117
ATL: 121

DET: 110
MIA: 121

SAS: 124
POR: 117

PHX: 114
MEM: 94

MIL: N/A
BKN: N/A

DAL: 108
TOR: 106

HOU: 114
CHI: 115

GSW: 127
LAL: 130

 
lumpy19 said:
I had 16.5

Not sure I’ve ever misread 4 games like this, getting absolutely crushed.
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Glad not alone.. Probably worst weekend in a looooong time for me😔

To be fair I think I had the Bills Balt game, just didnt expect John Brown to have 30% of the targets.   Thought Singletary wouldnt get any run but also thought it would be Allen running like the previous week.

 
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swirvenirvin said:
Glad not alone.. Probably worst weekend in a looooong time for me😔

To be fair I think I had the Bills Balt game, just didnt expect John Brown to have 30% of the targets.   Thought Singletary wouldnt get any run but also thought it would be Allen running like the previous week.
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MVS and Lazard burned me game 1, can’t believe rams got beat deep

beasely no show burned me in game two, I expected a lot of diggs focus(thankfully passed on his unders), Allen rushing hurt, andrews with 11 targets and only 4 rec

mahomes rushing, Chubb dropping 50 passes, njoku stealing from hooper, Kelce over 86.5 and 90.5 my only real win for the weekend.

kamara rushing on tb def, 18 carries, didn’t see that coming, Godwin rec yards, cook getting 5 rec but still not getting 30 yards!? Brees o34.5 att and he gets 34

 
Already took Buffalo +3 - if somehow Mahomes doesn't go you would have to think that line comes down. 

For the NFC - Since the NFL switched to its current divisional forma teams that won the first meeting in a season are 55-39 in postseason rematches (58.5%). This favors the Buccaneers, who beat the Packers (38-10) during the regular season. and now you get 4 points............... leaning Bucs +4

Looking forward to dissecting this during the week

 
Phillies are currently +900 to win the NLE (worst in division). I dont necessarily think they're going to win, but I do think they're going to re-sign JTR and add a couple arms in the next few weeks, so I believe there's good value at the current price. 

 
The cardboard cutouts of fans in the stands was a very poor idea. Felt very patronized by that. Felt very condescending, a trait I usually rely on to generate my red flags, help me separate the wheat from the chaff, etc.. once I saw it I avoided MLB games like local news. Wasn't right.

 
ChainsawU said:
The cardboard cutouts of fans in the stands was a very poor idea. Felt very patronized by that. Felt very condescending, a trait I usually rely on to generate my red flags, help me separate the wheat from the chaff, etc.. once I saw it I avoided MLB games like local news. Wasn't right.
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:loco:  

 
 I've also got a bit on Mitch Marner O0.5 goals (+208) but that's mostly to put some extra interest on the Leafs game since I'll be watching.

He's scored in two straight games and is playing an obscene amount of ice - 23:46 is his lowest of the season.

 
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