Fantasy Football - Footballguys Forums
This is a sample guest message. Register a free account today to become a member! Once signed in, you'll be able to participate on this site by adding your own topics and posts, as well as connect with other members through your own private inbox!
*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (3 Viewers)
- Thread starter The Ref
- Start date
facook
Footballguy
Sorry bud, -110/-120 depending where you get it. Put both bets in the slip, and the scroll down in bet slip till you see "Teasers". Not knowing saved you $ tonight.
Angry Beavers
Footballguy
Who schedules an interview at 5 pm in your time zone.. on a Friday? It is literally interview #5, this one with the CEO. I am pretty sure I am the front runner but am nervous about this and not sure why. Anyway, we fading Colorado again this week? I think so, probably anyway.
facook
Footballguy
Trojans D gives me pause. That back door will be wide open for Sanders to score late TD and finish inside the #. Staying away.
I hope the Beavs win, but I think Utah keeps it close tonight. THAT D is for real.
Good luck with your (weirdly times) interview. Go get em!
Raging weasel
Footballguy
USC -17
Penn St -22
Tulane -17
I'll/Purdue under 58
+4.5 teaser on FD at +350
Penn St -22
Tulane -17
I'll/Purdue under 58
+4.5 teaser on FD at +350
Raging weasel
Footballguy
I like the Kentucky pick
ChainsawU
Footballguy
When you buy cheap gas in Virginia you're gonna run into the best whites. I made a new friend because I have a little bit of pink in my hair, been growing it out, and a chunky, slicked-back, pink-paired lesbian came up to me next to the 12 packs of Yoo-Hoo and was like,
"They call me PINKY!" And I was like what's up, Pinky. Then I looked past her black eyeliner and she was like, "They also call me a *****!" Then some gentleman almost bought the wrong lottery tickets. So after he gave them back, he left, and I bought them instead. I just scratched them. And guess what. I won 'em all, pal. Five bucks and another lottery ticket.
"They call me PINKY!" And I was like what's up, Pinky. Then I looked past her black eyeliner and she was like, "They also call me a *****!" Then some gentleman almost bought the wrong lottery tickets. So after he gave them back, he left, and I bought them instead. I just scratched them. And guess what. I won 'em all, pal. Five bucks and another lottery ticket.
When I was a young man, there was a capper named SwirvinIrvin and he used to post NFL player props. ********it, he was the best. We would all tail him.
GooRoo, GoodPostingJudge, and Jess were there too. Course we're all old men now. Anywho, this one's for Swirve's back and AngryBeavers' newfound Bachelor life.
Jaguars -3, -110
Calvin Ridley TD, +155
Trevor Lawrence O234.5 passing, -113
Desmond Ridder U182.5, -113
Bijan Robinson O66.5, -113
Trevor Lawrence U13.5, -113
Calvin Ridley O66.5, -113
Christian Kirk O52.5, -113
Evan Engram U4.5 receptions, -102
Kyle Pitts O3.5 receptions, +118
I also like the over but it's so low, it leads me to believe Falcons will struggle on offense. Or vice versa and I get reverse swept.
GooRoo, GoodPostingJudge, and Jess were there too. Course we're all old men now. Anywho, this one's for Swirve's back and AngryBeavers' newfound Bachelor life.
Jaguars -3, -110
Calvin Ridley TD, +155
Trevor Lawrence O234.5 passing, -113
Desmond Ridder U182.5, -113
Bijan Robinson O66.5, -113
Trevor Lawrence U13.5, -113
Calvin Ridley O66.5, -113
Christian Kirk O52.5, -113
Evan Engram U4.5 receptions, -102
Kyle Pitts O3.5 receptions, +118
I also like the over but it's so low, it leads me to believe Falcons will struggle on offense. Or vice versa and I get reverse swept.
facook
Footballguy
Sheesh. Thank God for live betting.
facook
Footballguy
When I was a young man, there was a capper named SwirvinIrvin and he used to post NFL player props. ********it, he was the best. We would all tail him.
GooRoo, GoodPostingJudge, and Jess were there too. Course we're all old men now. Anywho, this one's for Swirve's back and AngryBeavers' newfound Bachelor life.
Jaguars -3, -110
Calvin Ridley TD, +155
Trevor Lawrence O234.5 passing, -113
Desmond Ridder U182.5, -113
Bijan Robinson O66.5, -113
Trevor Lawrence U13.5, -113
Calvin Ridley O66.5, -113
Christian Kirk O52.5, -113
Evan Engram U4.5 receptions, -102
Kyle Pitts O3.5 receptions, +118
I also like the over but it's so low, it leads me to believe Falcons will struggle on offense. Or vice versa and I get reverse swept.
'Sup Em? Missed you bud.
facook
Footballguy
Jimmy G out.
facook
Footballguy
When I was a young man, there was a capper named SwirvinIrvin and he used to post NFL player props. ********it, he was the best. We would all tail him.
GooRoo, GoodPostingJudge, and Jess were there too. Course we're all old men now. Anywho, this one's for Swirve's back and AngryBeavers' newfound Bachelor life.
Jaguars -3, -110
Calvin Ridley TD, +155
Trevor Lawrence O234.5 passing, -113
Desmond Ridder U182.5, -113
Bijan Robinson O66.5, -113
Trevor Lawrence U13.5, -113
Calvin Ridley O66.5, -113
Christian Kirk O52.5, -113
Evan Engram U4.5 receptions, -102
Kyle Pitts O3.5 receptions, +118
I also like the over but it's so low, it leads me to believe Falcons will struggle on offense. Or vice versa and I get reverse swept.
FTR I'm with you on Jags -3. If they can't cover that vs. a Div II qb, Peterson should stay in London until Halloween (they play there next week too).
Also where the hell is @gussy
Agreed. I like that it's tucked away at 9:30AM EST. Most public bettors will be sleeping. It's like reverse Monday Night Football.
The square bet is the winning bet because the public won't be awake to blindly bet the favorite and the sharps will be too busy outsmarting themselves and betting Falcons.
I think Atlanta will have success running the ball, but so will Jacksonville. Ridder is very bad and could be hilariously bad given the circumstances. If I'm Jacksonville, I'm stacking the ******** box for 60 minutes. Head Coach knows this too which explains why the total is so low. I can just see Jacksonville getting ahead 10+ and forcing Atlanta into obvious passing situations of which they will fail mightily.
When I was a young man, there was a capper named SwirvinIrvin and he used to post NFL player props. ********it, he was the best. We would all tail him.
GooRoo, GoodPostingJudge, and Jess were there too. Course we're all old men now. Anywho, this one's for Swirve's back and AngryBeavers' newfound Bachelor life.
Jaguars -3, -110
Calvin Ridley TD, +155
Trevor Lawrence O234.5 passing, -113
Desmond Ridder U182.5, -113
Bijan Robinson O66.5, -113
Trevor Lawrence U13.5, -113
Calvin Ridley O66.5, -113
Christian Kirk O52.5, -113
Evan Engram U4.5 receptions, -102
Kyle Pitts O3.5 receptions, +118
I also like the over but it's so low, it leads me to believe Falcons will struggle on offense. Or vice versa and I get reverse swept.
FTR I'm with you on Jags -3. If they can't cover that vs. a Div II qb, Peterson should stay in London until Halloween (they play there next week too).
Agreed. I like that it's tucked away at 9:30AM EST. Most public bettors will be sleeping. It's like reverse Monday Night Football.
The square bet is the winning bet because the public won't be awake to blindly bet the favorite and the sharps will be too busy outsmarting themselves and betting Falcons.
I think Atlanta will have success running the ball, but so will Jacksonville. Ridder is very bad and could be hilariously bad given the circumstances. If I'm Jacksonville, I'm stacking the ******** box for 60 minutes. Head Coach knows this too which explains why the total is so low. I can just see Jacksonville getting ahead 10+ and forcing Atlanta into obvious passing situations of which they will fail mightily.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Respect.
Cowboysfan8
Footballguy
Pitts o3.5
Ridley o5.5
+315
Ridley o5.5
+315
Cowboysfan8
Footballguy
And the game is only on espn+ ?
Raging weasel
Footballguy
Jags -3
Atl +10.5
Under 48.5
Ridley over 68.5 rec
+800
Atl +10.5
Under 48.5
Ridley over 68.5 rec
+800
Raging weasel
Footballguy
Uggh, that pick6 probably tanks my parlay
Sides and props from early games. REALLY like that Buccs / Saints under. That's my largest play from the early games.
Steelers -3, -110
Panthers ML, +175
Titans ML, +130
Buccaneers / Saints U40.5, -110 (BUNKER BUSTER!!!)
Josh Allen O268.5, -110
Kirk Cousins U279.5, -110
Ja'Marr Chase O86.5, -110
Terry McLaurin O49.5, -110
Kenneth Gainwell O28.5, -110
Tyler Higbee long rec U13.5, -122
Steelers -3, -110
Panthers ML, +175
Titans ML, +130
Buccaneers / Saints U40.5, -110 (BUNKER BUSTER!!!)
Josh Allen O268.5, -110
Kirk Cousins U279.5, -110
Ja'Marr Chase O86.5, -110
Terry McLaurin O49.5, -110
Kenneth Gainwell O28.5, -110
Tyler Higbee long rec U13.5, -122
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Yeah but you broadcast that early game then nobody's able to watch church.
Wingnut
Footballguy
Even with Carr starting for NO?
The turf scares me as it turns players like Chris Olave into Stretch Armstrong.
But there was some goofy stat I read about Saints defense. They have held their past 10 opponents under 20 or less points (https://www.nfl.com/news/saints-def...lowing-fewer-than-20-points-to-10-games-in-mo).
Both sides are very talented on the defensive side of the ball. Haven't checked to see where public money is at, but this is one I don't want to overthink / talk myself out of. I think Kamara will struggle first game back, him and R White will average under 4.0.
I know it sounds silly but sometimes it's about "feel". The current line is wrong, real total will be around 32 to 36 points but they can't realistically post that as the total as it throws their entire market out of whack. This could be one of those "No TD scored all game" bet opportunities. Neither team's QB or RB are world beaters. Should be a puntfest if your book offers props on that.
Intrinsically I know the line is wrong. It's either instinct or my brain is picking up on a pattern its seen previously.
As to answer your actual question directly, a gimpy Derek Carr = More rushing attempts for New Orleans. I think his health offsets what he will bring efficiency wise.
FairWarning
Footballguy
Denver TT over 24.5
Raging weasel
Footballguy
Pitt/Hou under 48.5
Vikings -4.5
Chargers -4.5
Denver ML
+703
Vikings -4.5
Chargers -4.5
Denver ML
+703
That seems like a lot of points. Granted it is the Bears, but a line like that makes it seem like you'd be getting a top flight offense not one lead by Russell Wilson.
Agree on under. Vikings scares me but I understand the risk. Same with Chargers one of those two teams will win but not cover.
If you want to get really crazy:
Justin Fields 70+ rushing, +132
Justin Fields 80+ rushing, +188
Justin Fields 90+ rushing, +270
Justin Fields 100+ rushing, +370
He hit those marks with regularity last year. So we know these outcomes are possible, if not likely. That is to say it's unlikely for him not to have had a big game on the ground. He's due.
Then, you look and see that Denver gave up 700 yards last week and it looks like it's ripe for Justin Fields to run around like an *******.
He can't pass the ball and the Bears are underdogs, so opportunity should be there.
FairWarning
Footballguy
Bears have allowed 25+ 13 straight games, and have all four starting DBs out. Denver can score in garbage time also, bears can’t.
I was aware of that Bears stat, I wonder what the opposing team TT O/U record was during that time? Had to be a 70 to 80% bet.
Either way, I'll be rooting for you.
Best of luck to everyone! I've got some business tax returns to prepare while watching the games. You know, work I was supposed to do on Friday that can't not be done by Monday morning.
Also, one more $250 slammer. All the guys in this game thread LOVE Philly.
The line moved from +9 to +8.5. Vegas is up to something. These guys would take Philly at -10 to -13 the way they are talking. Yet Vegas set the line at -9 and it's moving to the Commanders? Public fade all day.
Redskins +9, -120 (BUNKER BUSTER!!!)
The line moved from +9 to +8.5. Vegas is up to something. These guys would take Philly at -10 to -13 the way they are talking. Yet Vegas set the line at -9 and it's moving to the Commanders? Public fade all day.
Redskins +9, -120 (BUNKER BUSTER!!!)
titusbramble
Footballguy
Anytime TD scorer lucky 63:
Henry -120
Javonte -105
ARich +150
Achane +162
Jefferson -110
Hurts -120
Henry -120
Javonte -105
ARich +150
Achane +162
Jefferson -110
Hurts -120
Wingnut
Footballguy
Line moved to WAS +7.5 at Bovada
FairWarning
Footballguy
want to be on the same side of late moves.Also, one more $250 slammer. All the guys in this game thread LOVE Philly.
The line moved from +9 to +8.5. Vegas is up to something. These guys would take Philly at -10 to -13 the way they are talking. Yet Vegas set the line at -9 and it's moving to the Commanders? Public fade all day.
Redskins +9, -120 (BUNKER BUSTER!!!)
want to be on the same side of late moves.Also, one more $250 slammer. All the guys in this game thread LOVE Philly.
The line moved from +9 to +8.5. Vegas is up to something. These guys would take Philly at -10 to -13 the way they are talking. Yet Vegas set the line at -9 and it's moving to the Commanders? Public fade all day.
Redskins +9, -120 (BUNKER BUSTER!!!)
Yes sir!! 7-0 Redskins lead. Gotta love it when things "make sense".
Did a bunch of sharp money pile on Washington right before gametime? That was very strange. #notsure
Anywho, here is my card for afternoon games:
49ers -14, -120 (BUNKER BUSTER!!!)
Cowboys -5.5, -110 (BUNKER BUSTER!!!)
Brock Purdy U6.5 rush, -110
Justin Herbert U281.5, -110
Nothing too crazy. Lots of upsets earlier today, I think the favorites cover comfortably but not sold on Chargers.
49ers -14, -120 (BUNKER BUSTER!!!)
Cowboys -5.5, -110 (BUNKER BUSTER!!!)
Brock Purdy U6.5 rush, -110
Justin Herbert U281.5, -110
Nothing too crazy. Lots of upsets earlier today, I think the favorites cover comfortably but not sold on Chargers.
ChainsawU
Footballguy
that last drive in Philly
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Maybe they can get a win versus a non-division opponent.So did I.I thought Wash was gonna do it to 'em today
ChainsawU
Footballguy
Man, last week I was sleeping. Just napping on a weekday. And I heard,
"Park Ranger!" and I woke up and was staring into the eyes of a beautiful, Asian park ranger with a gun. It was a girl. A woman. With a holstered sidearm. Anyway, everything was fine, I just wasn't displaying my hang tag. So she wrote me one by hand. Because they forgot to give me one. She was hot like Khalyla Kuhn. I don't know if she is Asian or what. But I can tell you, she is something. She came by the next day for no reason but to apologize. And now, it's been a couple weeks and I'm back, and guess who comes sniffing around again in her California sunglasses like she knows me. Friendly, bro. A little bit more than happy if you known what I mean. Bro. I might've caught Lyme disease AND Asian Fever bro.
"Park Ranger!" and I woke up and was staring into the eyes of a beautiful, Asian park ranger with a gun. It was a girl. A woman. With a holstered sidearm. Anyway, everything was fine, I just wasn't displaying my hang tag. So she wrote me one by hand. Because they forgot to give me one. She was hot like Khalyla Kuhn. I don't know if she is Asian or what. But I can tell you, she is something. She came by the next day for no reason but to apologize. And now, it's been a couple weeks and I'm back, and guess who comes sniffing around again in her California sunglasses like she knows me. Friendly, bro. A little bit more than happy if you known what I mean. Bro. I might've caught Lyme disease AND Asian Fever bro.
Raging weasel
Footballguy
Whew, can't believe the Broncos came back to win.
