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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (8 Viewers)

question:  bovada overpaid on a payoff by a factor of 10x.   do they adjust it?  they've already credited it into my account.   

 
Northern Voice said:
:excited:

So, I basically piggy back on a couple analytic models but last year I hit on 51% of bets... but because of model favouring underdogs, I ended up +26% cash wise for the year 17-18. 

I don't really know what goes down in this thread, should I post what I'm wagering on, knowing I may well be 50/50 on any given bet?  But + EV overall....?
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This post gets 3 likes? I hit 4 in a row yesterday, 3 bets at plus money.

Zero likes, not even a "good job". Trash.

 
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Last 5 thread bets: 

-110 (loser), +475 (winner), -110 (winner), EVEN (winner), +225 (winner)

Not to mention, I also posted how to win at +200 betting on the Dodgers to win in 3-4 games instead of taking them to win series are -213.

I'm going to be 4-0 on plus money bets in the last 48 hours. Radio silence. But some guy posts that he goes 50% on his plus money bets.

Oh yeah, that guy rules! Let's bet a 35 point spread and take the Braves!!!

:thumbdown:

 
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NREC34 said:
Let’s go Astros!!!

need you to win by 2 runs, boys
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Both pitchers have been lit up by the opposing team this year. I took runs. It's possible for either team to throw up 9 runs, imo.

Cleveland gonna be playing like this is an elimination game.

 
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App State-Arkansas State could be a prequel of the Sun Belt Championship game. And both teams are keenly aware of that.
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Since 2016 Arkansas State has gone 19-4-1 to the under when they have more than 5 days off before their next game. sdql

 
I literally did the same exact thing yesterday at better odds. Trash.

I hope Miami comes back and covers the spread.

 
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Stanford is looking at a lot of rest, 12 days before their next game and I think they turn it up in that spot. sdql

Stanford o24 -110
Stanford 1H o13 -105
Utah/Stanford o45 -108

 
Last couple seasons when leading at the half, Gators usually always get outscored in the 3Q. Should've taken LSU -105 for the 3Q but got afraid.

 
Stuart Ullman said:
Of course it is, GPJ. You're a genius and you also don't get half the recognition you deserve. Not that you care, because I know you make a healthy amount of supplemental income off all this.

You've probably won about 70% of all the punchy, fighty plays you post in here.
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The only person who comes here for recognition is you bro, which is why your upset. Relax a little.

 
gussy said:
The only person who comes here for recognition is you bro, which is why your upset. Relax a little.
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I really don't care about recognition. But when I'm doing exceptional things and watching everyone else slapping high fives over things that are less impressive, I'm going to say something.

Really, it's fine. I'm on great run. If these guys want to celebrate mediocrity, that's on them. If they don't like me, ####, I'll give them plenty of reason not to.

Because all I've done for years is bust my butt to be the best I can be. Some dude comes in and hits one plus money line and he's the man. Over it.

 
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Stuart Ullman said:
I really don't care about recognition. But when I'm doing exceptional things and watching everyone else slapping high fives over things that are less impressive, I'm going to say something.

Really, it's fine. I'm on great run. If these guys want to celebrate mediocrity, that's on them. If they don't like me, ####, I'll give them plenty of reason not to.

 Because all I've done for years is bust my butt to be the best I can be. Some dude comes in and hits one plus money line and he's the man. Over it.
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Half the people in here have you blocked because of your douchebaggery. Try being a helper instead of an arrogant pretend frat boy and you'll be fine.
Congratulations on the run. I haven't paid much attention to it. Sorry. All I really noticed was that you continued to bet on preseason sporting events and
##### when you lost.

 
gussy said:
Half the people in here have you blocked because of your douchebaggery. Try being a helper instead of an arrogant pretend frat boy and you'll be fine.
Congratulations on the run. I haven't paid much attention to it. Sorry. All I really noticed was that you continued to bet on preseason sporting events and
##### when you lost.
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Then that shows you how incompetent they are to have a 60% bettor blocked. Really, they're awful.

Those are the same guys that gave me #### when I was a loser. Now I'm a winner, "oh we have him blocked". They're just trash as human beings.

I wouldn't follow the plays they post if you gave me free money to do it. I'm better than them, so why do I care if they don't want to learn from me?

 
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Stuart Ullman said:
Then that shows you how incompetent they are to have a 60% bettor blocked. Really, they're awful.

Those are the same guys that gave me #### when I was a loser. Now I'm a winner, "oh we have him blocked". They're just trash as human beings.
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I legitimately don't know how many guys come here to get picks. Honestly. I think if Goo posts anything everybody pretty much plays it.
When Swirve was posting props everyone played them. When Rud posts defensive player props people play them. I just don't think most
guys here come here to tail. I think sometimes guys come here to validate their thoughts. When Hooter posts UFC I guess people tail. I
rarely tail anyone. That's now why I'm here. I post some of my plays, in case anyone cares. Mostly I'm here to see what other people are thiniking
and to see pics of Chains girlfriends.

 
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