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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (13 Viewers)

PGA Open Championship:  After Round 1:  Adding (.5 unit each)  Andy Sullivan +12500, Bill Haas +20000, Si Woo Kim +20000, Noren +3300 (1u)

 
L3 seasons Tigers 24-32 SU and 35-18-3 O/U in Sanchez's starts:
Runs < 5: 0-27 SU
Runs ≥ 5: 24-5 SU

Rest = 0: 15-30 SU (4-17 SU away)
Rest > 0: 9-2 SU 8±2 rpg (9-0 SU scoring > 5)

Runs ≤ 2: 3-15-1 O/U
Runs > 2: 32-3-2 O/U

 
I started reading a new book today called The Confidence Game. It explains the psychology of con artists and how they manipulate human emotions. I'm thru the first chapter and already paranoid as a mutha.

 
lumpy19 said:
Hmm so your opinion is that I should unload this bet
Click to expand...
Now that's more of a God vs science debate.

Floyd was -3000 in his last match, a true line not factoring the mental game would be closer to -1800 Floyd/+1350 Conor.  At that line I would bet the Floyd KO prop, or if I could only play straight I would would lay it on Conor.  At current odds the more I think about it the more I want to throw up on myself.  If I can get Floyd at -400 on fight night, I'm thinking that's a 50 star play.

I'm smarter about MMA, but I've been a boxing fan for a lot longer.  Conor is no joke and Floyd's record was not by accident, neither should be written off.

 
hooter311 said:
Now that's more of a God vs science debate.

Floyd was -3000 in his last match, a true line not factoring the mental game would be closer to -1800 Floyd/+1350 Conor.  At that line I would bet the Floyd KO prop, or if I could only play straight I would would lay it on Conor.  At current odds the more I think about it the more I want to throw up on myself.  If I can get Floyd at -400 on fight night, I'm thinking that's a 50 star play.

I'm smarter about MMA, but I've been a boxing fan for a lot longer.  Conor is no joke and Floyd's record was not by accident, neither should be written off.
Click to expand...
Think I'm just going to hang on to this Mayweather-500 ticket

 
I'd woken up feeling sorry for myself this morning, and the feeling of self-doubt persisted all day long until I heard Mambo Number Five come across the radio in the produce section of the grocery store. As I reached for a chilled, see-through carton of fresh-cut pineapple chunks I experienced what I am sure will prove to be life's most profound epiphany: There exist scores and scores and scores of beautiful women walking the sweet land in which we inhabit - many of whom are ovulating at the very moment I type this - and I thought to myself, "Oh yeah, that's right," as if I had temporarily forgotten.

 
then I got home to find that my skin rejuvenating, age defying, pineapple extract and colorburst complex black pineapple passion mega dark 30x bronzer came in the mail today so I'm thinking about catching a quick tan at the thing and then playing the twins over that's two for two on the pineapple today thank you

 
Also, our boy Bartolo Colon might be making the last start of his career next week against the Dodgers.

How ugly will it get? Will the Dodgers put Old Yeller down for good?!?!

@hooter311

 
Last edited by a moderator:
facook said:
Yep gotta bunch on NW over as well.  Also really like Colorado under 7.5 and Syracuse over 4.5

And Jets under 5 and Bears under 5.5 in NFL.
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Wow!  Jets under 5?  Under 4 is -180!

that Cuse schedule is tough.  Like the Colorado bet.

kicking myself for not betting more on NC State over 7.... it's -150 at some shops now

 
Since you are talking NCAAF season wins, I love betting these, its a hobby for me. I usually head out to Vegas to get the early lines (South Point). Some of these are at BOL/SB where they posted the opening CTG lines after they moved a bunch :). 

Here are some of my bets:

App St O9 (also +185 to win their conference, dead heat rules apply - no champ game)

Ball St O4

Baylor U8

CMU U7

Charlotte U4

Colorado U7.5

Connecticut U4

Col St O7.5

Florida Atlantic O4

Indiana O5.5

Marshall O5 (Phil Steele loves this one)

Mia-FL O8.5 

NC State O7

Nebraska O6 and U7.5

North Texas O4

Northwestern O7

Oregon St  U5.5

Pitt U7.5

SMU O5

Texas Tech U6

Toledo O8.5

TCU O7

UCF U7.5

Vandy U6

Virginia U5.5

Wake U5.5

Washington O9.5

Wisconsin O9.5

 
ArbyMelt said:
Since you are talking NCAAF season wins, I love betting these, its a hobby for me. I usually head out to Vegas to get the early lines (South Point). Some of these are at BOL/SB where they posted the opening CTG lines after they moved a bunch :). 

Here are some of my bets:

App St O9 (also +185 to win their conference, dead heat rules apply - no champ game)

Ball St O4

Baylor U8

CMU U7

Charlotte U4

Colorado U7.5

Connecticut U4

Col St O7.5

Florida Atlantic O4

Indiana O5.5

Marshall O5 (Phil Steele loves this one)

Mia-FL O8.5 

NC State O7

Nebraska O6 and U7.5

North Texas O4

Northwestern O7

Oregon St  U5.5

Pitt U7.5

SMU O5

Texas Tech U6

Toledo O8.5

TCU O7

UCF U7.5

Vandy U6

Virginia U5.5

Wake U5.5

Washington O9.5

Wisconsin O9.5
Click to expand...
https://youtu.be/oM-DNBEVDN4

 
I've been playing that Coors underdog -1 1/2 play since the break. Played it twice in the Pads series and lost. Might have a chance tonight.

 
hooter311 said:
Now that's more of a God vs science debate.

Floyd was -3000 in his last match, a true line not factoring the mental game would be closer to -1800 Floyd/+1350 Conor.  At that line I would bet the Floyd KO prop, or if I could only play straight I would would lay it on Conor.  At current odds the more I think about it the more I want to throw up on myself.  If I can get Floyd at -400 on fight night, I'm thinking that's a 50 star play.

I'm smarter about MMA, but I've been a boxing fan for a lot longer.  Conor is no joke and Floyd's record was not by accident, neither should be written off.
Click to expand...
I don't give McGregor any edge, mentally, in this fight. Mayweather's going to be completely comfortable in there. He's a smart enough boxer to know when he's in easy.

If I had to set a line against any sort of combat sports sharp for significant money, I'd make it -4000 Floyd/+1500 McGregor. 

 
hooter311 said:
Ian Poulter +8500                                          -3

Daniel Berger +9000                                      +4

Matthew Fitzpatrick +12000                          +2

Ross Fisher +12000                                     +2

Kevin Kisner  +12000                                   +1

Steve Stricker +14000                                  +2

Tony Finau +14000                                      +3

Soren Kjeldsen +14500                               +2

Peter Uihein +22500                                  +4

Gary Woodland +32500                             -1

Webb Simpson +35000                              +5
Click to expand...
Added after 1st:

Noren +3300   (1u)                      E

Sullivan +12500                         +5

Cut- Lowry, Molinari, Harman, Fox, Stanley, Cink, Steele, Bryan, Kim (1u), Haas, 

Accidently hit Kim twice, that was dumb.

Speith fan, but anything under +500 to win doesn't have value to me.  He's only hit the fairway 10 time the last two rounds.  At some point he's going to get bit.  Like Kuchar, Sergio, and Fowler outside of my tickets but will be holding tight for now.

Go get'em Gary!  325-1 sitting in T6.  Yeah baby!

 
I guess I'm a Pandora's Box of gambling. I am good enough to make money but people don't want to pay up. 

I am very angry and feel my best bet is to crush them and leave. Super soft F5 as you've seen.

-135 for an Astros team about to win the World Series. Are your ######ed.

 
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