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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (4 Viewers)

got_nugs said:
Gator QBs are bad.  Jacoby Brisket is a Gator QB.
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calm and collected the whole game. actually threaded the needle more than a couple times. the game plan was for him to let his supporting cast pick him up. the D came through for the most part - just a momentary stroke of luck on the 45 yard Cards TD. Cards should have finished with 3 points. receivers and running backs dropped some key passes too. never should have been in that position in OT but now it looks like he "lost the game"

 
John Bender said:
Anti-overreaction Week 2 time.  

These are just my takes on what the public is thinking - if you are a non-homer and disagree, feel free to chime in.  

Ignore the lines (sounds dumb, but this is how we've always done it here) and just bet against popular public pleb sentiment:

Texans @ Bengals: Public says "Both these teams suck" - No play

Bills @ Panthers: "Bills are ok, Panthers are ok and probably better".  Both teams pooped on terrible teams last week. Would lean Bills if anything but No Play

Bears @ Buccaneers: "Bears played pretty well last week and might be a scrappy/sleeper team".  Small play on Buccaneers (but it's hard because they have no public perception after not playing last week...so half unit?)

Vikings @ Steelers: "Vikings are going to be really good."  "Steelers almost lost to the Browns."  The only problem here is, when doing these in past years, we tried to ignore the very public teams (Steelers, Cowboys, Patriots, Packers).  I still think this qualifies as a strong Steelers bet.

Cardinals @ Colts: "The Colts are the worst team in the NFL." I wish they were playing against a better team though because the Cardinals also looked like ####.  I think Colts for a half unit but I don't like this one.  In fact, it's more a no play than anything else.

Patriots @ Saints: "Patriots Defense Sucks, Saints Defense sucks so Brady is going to shred them."  What to do, what to do.  Personally I'm going to take the Saints, but not because of the anti public perception take.

Browns @ Ravens: How much credit are the Browns getting for last week and being a play away from winning outright?  I don't think they should get any.  However, the Ravens dumped on the Bengals. I wish the Browns had gotten bombed on because they would be an easy play this week.  So I think this is a No play

Eagles @ Chiefs:  Both teams looked fantastic.  No play

Titans @ Jaguars: I feel like the Titans should be a strong play in this line of thinking based on Week 1 results, but I also feel like they're going to be a heavy public favorite as it is with ARob out for the year and the perception that the Raiders are one of the best teams in the AFC and that's who the Titans lost to.  Thread, help steer me in the right direction here but I think Titans is still one of the strongest plays of the week.

Jets @ Raiders: "Jets Suck." "Raiders are one of the best teams in the AFC". This is going to hurt, but  Jets is the strongest play of the week

Dolphins @ Chargers: I don't think there's a definitive enough public take on the Chargers to make a play here vs a team that didn't play week 1.  No play

Cowboys @ Broncos: "Cowboys looked good, especially their defense."  "Broncos almost blew it to the Chargers at home."  Strong play Broncos (also I cheated here, Denver is getting points at home too vs an already public team that had a great Week 1 performance?)

49ers @ Seahawks: "49ers sucks": 49ers (small though here, Seahawks lost too)

Redskins @ Rams: "Rams looked really good. ZOMG Sleeper team!" - Redskins easy

Packers @ Falcons: Both teams won, and Falcons seemed to win more easily than the game score indicated.  No play

Lions @ Giants: Too early to say but the public perception is going to lean heavily that the G Men are in Shambles.  Lions looked pretty good.  This is almost definitely a Lions play but we have until Monday night to decide and watch the status on OBJ

1/2 Unit: Buccaneers, 49ers

1 Unit: Steelers, Titans, Jets, Broncos, Redskins

Jets and Broncos are the 2 strongest IMO
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Unreal.  My only regret is stupid YugeAss Chain talking me off the Niners and onto the terrible effing Seahawks.

 
This Dallas game is killing me, I have bets on Siemien +20.5 vs prescott and thomas -5.5 vs dez, terrible game situation for those bets

 
Poor chargers

0-2

and realistically could end up 0-8

KC , PHI, @NYG, @OAK, DEN, @NE 

Not sure if they can present some good value getting points going forward or will be soon to be imploding 

 
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