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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (13 Viewers)

Tried to coach up a younger better as to why teasing through 0 and teasing a total (over) are both bad ideas.

the student is now the teacher.

 
Taking a very long shot on Chris Avalos +3500. (boxing)

This fight is pure horse####. Avalos is far less talented, running on fumes, and has no business being in the ring with Santa Cruz. Santa Cruz has split two really good fights with Carl Frampton, but opted against a rubber match because Frampton wanted a home game in Belfast. So instead he's fighting a guy who is like three steps below.

He'll get no love if it goes the distance, the crowd will be against him, the only hope is that something goes haywire. 

 
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lumpy19 said:
Dak o20.5 comp

chris o42.5 rushing

fitz +1(-150) fantasy points over dez

CJ +8.5fp over Zeke

Fitz -5.5 rec yards over Dez

Dak o32.5 att

CJ x2 +1/2 rushing yards over Zeke

Palmer u1/2 rushing yards

Witten o4.5 rec
Click to expand...
Fitting finish to a really crappy weekend

 
Dortmund +110 - Draw no Bet

Crisitano Ronaldo has done well vs Bundesliga teams but odd stat here is that Real Madrid has never won at Dortmund in previous 6 attempts.

 
I'm heavy on porto/Monaco o2.5 -135

Porto is in trouble after a disappointing home loss to what was supposed to be the weakest team in the group...they will be fighting for their CL life today.

 
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comfortably numb said:
I'm heavy on porto/Monaco o2.5 -135

Porto is in trouble after a disappointing home loss to what was supposed to be the weakest team in the group...they will be fighting for their CL life today.
Click to expand...
Puh Puh Puh Puh PORRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRTOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO GOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLOVER

 
got_nugs said:
Puh Puh Puh Puh PORRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRRTOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO GOLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLOVER
Click to expand...
:goodposting:

 
Alert!  The Scott Spreitzer 5% $2 Tuesday Shocker of the Week is Northern Illinois +12.5 at SDSU this week.  Do with that what you will. :)

ETA Currently +11.

 
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Three NCAA matchups this week featuring coaches that typically like to score a lot of points against each other: Fedora/Johnson, Kingsbury/Gundy, and Calhoun/Davie.

 
New Mexico looking at a week off 7-1 O/U L8. During the same time Air Force after a conference loss 10-3-3 O/U. New Mexico started out 4-0 to the under so maybe there's value in the number. Plus the two coaches are a combined 366 points in five games against each other.

 
So I've heard my good personal friend Gill Alexander say a few times, "You will never go broke fading Supercontest consensus picks.....there's another way to deal with consensus picks ....if you're cagey about it there is a way to actually make them work for you and I'm not necessarily talking about the entire pool of things."   I know that sounds vague, but he's said a few times that there is another way to analyze Supercontest picks besides just fading the top 5 picks to make money.  Anyone have any clue?  I've googled a bunch with no luck.  

 
Ohio state -29.5

I honestly thought this was a 1H line when i saw it. 

RU lost their best DB against Nebraska. I have a hard time seeing RU put up more than 10.

 
CBB right around the corner, wanted to get a few futures in, my bets are below

1001Kentucky+1000

1002North Carolina+1200

1003Louisville+1600

1004Villanova+2500

1005Florida+2500

1006Wichita State+2000

1007Duke+500

1008Kansas+1400

1009West Virginia+3300

1010Gonzaga+2500

1011Arizona+1000

1012Oregon+3300

1013Michigan State+700

1014Virginia+5000

1015Saint Mary's+5000

1016Xavier+8000

1017Minnesota+8000

1018Notre Dame+6600

1019Butler+6600

1020SMU+10000

1021Miami Florida+5000

1022Michigan+4000

1023UCLA+4000

1024Cincinnati+8000

1025Baylor+6600

1026Indiana+5000

1027Florida State+8000

1028Oklahoma+8000

1029Purdue+5000

1030Seton Hall+8000

1031USC+2800

1032Missouri+2000

1033South Carolina+10000

1034Arkansas+10000

1035Alabama+4000

1036Auburn+12500

1037Memphis+50000

@Frostillicus

 
CL tomorrow

You will hardly see Bayern +241 this much of a dog. I have to jump on it. The smart bet is to take them getting 1/2 goal for -130 but I'm an idiot. There is a little trouble in the Neymar paradise and perhaps BM can get and stay ahead in France.

Also like Benfica +118 a good deal on the road in Switzerland.  Basel is in 4th place in their league and while benfica is in 3rd they will probably win their league and they typically advance in CL group stage. 1pt may not be enough as they are looking at back to back games with ManU. They need 3pta here and are the better team.

 
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Vegas golden knights have first home preseason game-

@stevecarprj: Knights offering a 51/49 raffle instead of the usual 50/50 because they say the odds are better in Vegas. Clever.

 
facook said:
analyze Supercontest picks besides just fading the top 5
Click to expand...
wasn't Saints top five consensus versus bottom five consensus or something like that. have heard this method is a good early-season fade

 
I like Jets/Jags over. Not pulling the trigger yet, but Jets consecutive home/home after a division matchup. That's been a good over the L17 seasons. And then the Jags coming back from overseas..

 
ChainsawU said:
wasn't Saints top five consensus versus bottom five consensus or something like that. have heard this method is a good early-season fade
Click to expand...
Interesting.  Wouldn't that mean taking the Panthers and fading the Saints though, as part of fading the top 5?

 
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