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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (3 Viewers)

gussy said:
CBB

Nebraska +8

Sounds like no McIntosh for NW. Pardon has given the Huskers fits the last few years but this year the Huskers have 3 bodies they
can throw at him. I think this years Husker team is more talented than NW, Wildcats are playing off campus, students are still gone
for the holidays, Huskers need a road win before traveling to Purdue. I'll also be on Huskers on the ML.
Click to expand...
Northwestern sucks this year. Just get Lindsey and/or Law in foul trouble early. I'm on Neb +8.5 as well. 

BMac is supposedly day to day, we shall see. MRI was clean. I'll root for a 3 point NU (Northwestern) win.

 
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gussy said:
CBB

Nebraska +8

Sounds like no McIntosh for NW. Pardon has given the Huskers fits the last few years but this year the Huskers have 3 bodies they
can throw at him. I think this years Husker team is more talented than NW, Wildcats are playing off campus, students are still gone
for the holidays, Huskers need a road win before traveling to Purdue. I'll also be on Huskers on the ML.
Click to expand...
Line just jumped to 9.5. Weird. I wouldn't lay that with a healthy BMac. Just read BMac is out a few days to a few weeks depending on how he reacts to treatment, so probably out tonight.

 
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ArbyMelt said:
Line just jumped to 9.5. Weird. I wouldn't lay that with a healthy BMac. Just read BMac is out a few days to a few weeks depending on how he reacts to treatment, so probably out tonight.
Click to expand...
I've got it at 7.5 at the one local I just looked at.

Huskers +315

 
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College Basketball ATS 

Best
Portland St 10-1
South Alabama 10-1
Central Michigan 7-1
William & Mary 6-1

Worst
UNC Wilmington 0-10
Gardner Webb 0-4
SIU Edwardsville 1-10
Vanderbilt 1-9

 
Small sample size, but since 2005, teams in the same division meeting in the playoffs where the total is lined b/2 40-60; the under hits 75% (9-3-1)

 
Happ (wis)OVER7.5r

Happ (wis)OVER16.5p

Johnson (ind)UNDER12.5p

Johnson (ind)UNDER2 made 3

Morgan (ind)OVER14.5p

Morgan (ind)UNDER7.5r

Blueitt (x)OVER5.5r

Martin (but)UNDER6.5r

 
Teased Jax and KC for this NFL weekend.

Totes square parlayed all the faves this NFL weekend.  @Tiger Fan could you run a diagnostic on how often all home faves win on Wildcard weekend so I know that I'm gonna lose this bet?  The ONLY road team I can see maybe winning is Atlanta but I love the Rams so I'm going with it.

 
facook said:
Teased Jax and KC for this NFL weekend.

Totes square parlayed all the faves this NFL weekend.  @Tiger Fan could you run a diagnostic on how often all home faves win on Wildcard weekend so I know that I'm gonna lose this bet?  The ONLY road team I can see maybe winning is Atlanta but I love the Rams so I'm going with it.
Click to expand...
Since 2004, Home favorites on WC Weekend hit at 56.4% (22-17-1) for a 9.6% ROI.  They went 4-0 last year and 3-0 in 2011 & 2012.   There's a shot!

 
swirvenirvin said:
Frank Reich

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=KxKstTgOFQ4
Click to expand...
15 years old....game didn't sell out so it wasn't on tv for me.  Mom made me go shopping with her, we listened on the radio in our 1985 k5 blazer.  When we got to the mall we went into Sears and from the car to the mall it went from 35-3 to 35-17....I parked myself in front of a radio in Sears and listened to van Miller going nuts as the Bills tied it at 38.  They kicked the winning fg while we were in the car on the way home.  Had to wait for the 6 o'clock news to see highlights.

 
Tiger Fan said:
Since 2004, Home favorites on WC Weekend hit at 56.4% (22-17-1) for a 9.6% ROI.  They went 4-0 last year and 3-0 in 2011 & 2012.   There's a shot!
Click to expand...
When the spread closes at 1.5 or above for the home favorite, it jumps to 61.1% (22-14-1) for a 19% ROI.  Barring something insane, all games should finish in that range

 
matt ryan/falcons:

  • 7-1 O/U postseason
  • 7-0 O/U L7 pacific time zone
  • 18-5 O/U NFC West (9-2 O/U away)
*Ryan/Falcons 13-1 O/U NFC West after W10 sdql

 
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ChainsawU said:
Ron Rivera career 20-5-2 O/U artificial surface
Click to expand...
Rivera 21-6-2 O/U artificial surface:

  • 2-3 O/U last week of reg season
  • 1-0 O/U playoffs
  • 10-0 O/U getting more than 5 on the spread
NFC South:

  • 6-1 O/U Superdome
  • 2-5 O/U Atlanta
 
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