*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (20 Viewers)

[swirvenirvin]

First half under 2nd half over seems like a good play on these stupid games

 

[Angry Beavers]

Happy i was stuck in meetings all morning. Saved me from that 1st half over fiasco.

 

[Stuart Ullman]

I did just hit the 1H over on Air Force / UNLV. Air Force are used to waking up early.

Go points!   

 

[swirvenirvin]

Over!!!!!

 

[swirvenirvin]

are player props still down at BOL?

 

[Stuart Ullman]

Parlay:       

Q1 - Rockets -1

Q1 - Raptors -1.5    

Grabbing these at ML for reduced odds makes more sense in hindsight

 

[lumpy19]

euro pga sharma fade(tourney)

lahiri -135

grillo -110

 

[swirvenirvin]

wind supposed to be picking up later in the day for golf tomorrow.  Would be wise to find matchups with early guys vs late guys

 

[Stuart Ullman]

2H - Rockets / Bucks O103.5

 

[swirvenirvin]

bucknell gonna be a trendy pick

 

[TheGooRoo]

wind supposed to be picking up later in the day for golf tomorrow.  Would be wise to find matchups with early guys vs late guys

Does a 2-4 mph wind difference matter to pros?  Double digits I could see, but I'd be surprised if a few mph really matters.  Also, assuming its a 2 and very possibly a 4 day event, the guy with the wind advantage day 1 might be on the wrong end of the stick in the other days.  Just not feeling an edge with that one.

 

[swirvenirvin]

Does a 2-4 mph wind difference matter to pros?  Double digits I could see, but I'd be surprised if a few mph really matters.  Also, assuming its a 2 and very possibly a 4 day event, the guy with the wind advantage day 1 might be on the wrong end of the stick in the other days.  Just not feeling an edge with that one.

was looking at day 1 stuff only.. most are paired pretty closely though  Found a few with an hour or so difference

 

[TheGooRoo]

was looking at day 1 stuff only.. most are paired pretty closely though  Found a few with an hour or so difference

Gotcha. I thought all day 1 matchups had same tee times?

 

[lumpy19]

Gotcha. I thought all day 1 matchups had same tee times?

They usually do but different sites offer different matchups, specifically on round stuff bookmaker usually has their own lines and everyone else usually has the same lines with 5dimes offering a combination of both.

 

[swirvenirvin]

soooo many basketball games

 

[lumpy19]

Finau -160 over tiger(tournament)

 

[lumpy19]

soooo many basketball games

this weekend better than next weekend IMO

 

[Frostillicus]

Ohio State +7000 at Bovada is good value.

 

[swirvenirvin]

felling good about those 6 1st half overs today.  Today is the day

 

[swirvenirvin]

Ohio State +7000 at Bovada is good value.

good value, but I think they struggle in tournament, wont have them going past first weekend

 

[Frostillicus]

good value, but I think they struggle in tournament, wont have them going past first weekend

Wouldn't surpise me, especially if they're a 4-5 seed.  But a team with a top 20 defense and a player who can take over a game on offense is interesting, and at +7000?

 

[lumpy19]

Wouldn't surpise me, especially if they're a 4-5 seed.  But a team with a top 20 defense and a player who can take over a game on offense is interesting, and at +7000?

Did you see what Devin(challenge) did this week?

 

[Frostillicus]

Did you see what Devin(challenge) did this week?

No I haven't watched it yet.

 

[lumpy19]

No I haven't watched it yet.

Get on it

 

[Good Posting Judge]

:reported:

 

[swirvenirvin]

here come those overs

 

[Good Posting Judge]

RIP X-22: https://www.cardschat.com/news/rip-paul-magriel-backgammon-legend-known-as-x-22-dies-at-71-59717

http://www.nolandalla.com/remembering-paul-magriel/

 

[comfortably numb]

Arsenal + 1/2 

Atl Madrid -1.5

 

[lumpy19]

Finau -160 over tiger(tournament)

WTF dude

 

[Stuart Ullman]

NBA tonight, yo! Be there or be square (bump)

 

[Good Posting Judge]

Bobcats more 3's +3.5 

 

[Stuart Ullman]

Q1 - Hornets ML -165

 

[Stuart Ullman]

That's so dumb, I initially wanted Q1 over in case "Brooklyn didn't score that money points". 

 

[Frostillicus]

That's so dumb, I initially wanted Q1 over in case "Brooklyn didn't score that money points".

#### the Nets.

Please in no way take this as a criticism or attack or anything because I am simply legitimately curious - do you factor in anything other than who the better team is when you make the quarter bets?

 

[Frostillicus]

UCF/ECU u 128

Miami/UNC u 152

 

[Stuart Ullman]

Please in no way take this as a criticism or attack or anything because I am simply legitimately curious - do you factor in anything other than who the better team is when you make the quarter bets?

I factor in venue, starters, schedule, etc. I put my money in the right place and let the chips fall where they do.

This particular one was frustrating because the line was -160 and I normally never take chalk lines like that.

So to lose on that and not even at -110 odds was a shot to the ego. 

Q1 - Warriors / Spurs O54.5

 

[Frostillicus]

I factor in venue, starters, schedule, etc. I put my money in the right place and let the chips fall where they do.

This particular one was frustrating because the line was -160 and I normally never take chalk lines like that.

So to lose on that and not even at -110 odds was a shot to the ego. 

Q1 - Warriors / Spurs O54.5

Do you factor in anything like 1st quarter performance this season?  I'm curious because I don't know if there's any correlation to future performance there.  Like, are there "1st quarter teams" who out perform game expectations in the first quarter and then tail off as the game goes on?

 

[Stuart Ullman]

Do you factor in anything like 1st quarter performance this season?  I'm curious because I don't know if there's any correlation to future performance there.  Like, are there "1st quarter teams" who out perform game expectations in the first quarter and then tail off as the game goes on?

After you bet them for awhile, you get a good feel on the teams. Q1 you're comparing starters against starters. Kind of like F5 in MLB.

The real trick to covering any spreads are finding motivated teams. 76ers, Raptors, Trailblazers, and Rockets are playing with intensity.

Easy to bet on teams that are playing their hardest.      

 

[The Ref]

WTF dude

If you think that's not good I suggest you avoid looking at the European tour scoreboard

 

[Frostillicus]

Get on it

That was brutal.

 

[lumpy19]

If you think that's not good I suggest you avoid looking at the European tour scoreboard

Yeah sharma dropped a 64 on us....at least grillo is still ahead of him 

 

[lumpy19]

We had a good run tyrod

 

[lumpy19]

Can't believe the browns.just traded the 2017 ROY

 

[comfortably numb]

We had a good run tyrod

Wow, bills got a 3rd?

 

[facook]

 

 

[facook]

Eff it, here are some picks to fade:

Nova -8

Duke -4

Nevada -3

UCLA +6

Pelicans +4

Oregon +3

Southern Utah +7.5

Steve Austin -7 (BMOC play)

 

[swirvenirvin]

xaiver be dumb 

 

[got_nugs]

So I was handed an envelope full of $3800 tonight.  That's different.

 

[Dan Lambskin]

So I was handed an envelope full of $3800 tonight.  That's different.

Go on...

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Or wait is FSU trying to recruit you?