*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (8 Viewers)

[Dan Lambskin]

Blindly bet all the overs for this weekends AAFL games

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Blindly bet all the overs for this weekends AAFL games

 

[ChainsawU]

over/under is above 152 and the spread is double digits

season	games	OU
2018	281	120-159-2 (-1.17, 43.0%)
2017	277	134-141-2 (-0.21, 48.7%)
2016	316	144-165-7 (0.26, 46.6%)
2015	239	115-124-0 (-0.33, 48.1%)
2014	37	17-18-2 (-0.18, 48.6%)
2013	150	70-78-2 (-0.95, 47.3%)
2012	13	8-5-0 (1.46, 61.5%)
2011	47	25-21-1 (1.15, 54.3%)
2010	52	27-25-0 (1.35, 51.9%)
2009	70	31-38-1 (-1.29, 44.9%)
2008	90	39-51-0 (-0.61, 43.3%)
2007	103	39-58-6 (-5.12, 40.2%)
2006	76	33-43-0 (-4.34, 43.4%)

 

[swirvenirvin]

season games OU
2018 281 120-159-2 (-1.17, 43.0%)
2017 277 134-141-2 (-0.21, 48.7%)
2016 316 144-165-7 (0.26, 46.6%)
2015 239 115-124-0 (-0.33, 48.1%)
2014 37 17-18-2 (-0.18, 48.6%)
2013 150 70-78-2 (-0.95, 47.3%)
2012 13 8-5-0 (1.46, 61.5%)
2011 47 25-21-1 (1.15, 54.3%)
2010 52 27-25-0 (1.35, 51.9%)
2009 70 31-38-1 (-1.29, 44.9%)
2008 90 39-51-0 (-0.61, 43.3%)
2007 103 39-58-6 (-5.12, 40.2%)
2006 76 33-43-0 (-4.34, 43.4%)

How only 37 games in 2014 but 150 in 2013 and 239 in 2015

 

[mquinnjr]

Went sixers heavy -4, -4.5 live. Starters in save Embiid.

 

[got_nugs]

5-0

Holy ####### #### chain.  There should be a statue of you holding that almanac somewhere. That’s sick Chico.

 

[mquinnjr]

Blindly bet all the overs for this weekends AAFL games

Genuinely asking, weren't unders hitting at an incredible rate in the XFL due to how disorganized the teams were? Only way I can think to cap the inaugural games of a new league.

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Genuinely asking, weren't unders hitting at an incredible rate in the XFL due to how disorganized the teams were? Only way I can think to cap the inaugural games of a new league.

No idea.  I just did it for fun

Spurrier is one of the coaches though, hope he lights it up

 

[gussy]

Pucks:

Stars/Yotes FP U1.5 (-120) 2U

Hoops:
Purdue -10.5 (2U) It's up to 12 now. I don't think it matters, I see no way Nebraska stays close unless they all of a sudden decide they care.
Michigan -6.5
LSU -3
Marquette -1.5
Tennessee -11
UVA -1.5
Fullerton -5.5

 

[NREC34]

I doubled my account on the super bowl but college basketball continues to kill me. Let’s go Temple (-2)

 

[Zero103]

1st half overs NBA

Thunder over 122

Hornets over 117

Magic over 113

 

[Dan Lambskin]

@ChainsawU

Buddy sent me this..... can you put this one through the chainsaw o meter?

“I have been observing a trend in the college basketball unders.

I have noticed that anytime an over/under is above 152 and the spread is double digits(the greater the spread the better), the under tends to hit more often than not.”

Trying this out today, although I though the number was 150

anyway of course the Miami UNC game has a 93 point 2h and goes to OT

 

[derek245583]

How do people feel about Sportsbook to Coinbase cashouts?

Is that ok?

 

[Dan Lambskin]

How do people feel about Sportsbook to Coinbase cashouts?

Is that ok?

I think you’re supposed to use another wallet in between with Coinbase 

not sure about Gemini

 

[derek245583]

I think you’re supposed to use another wallet in between with Coinbase 

not sure about Gemini

I have heard that.

Any recommendations?

 

[Dan Lambskin]

I have heard that.

Any recommendations?

I’ve always just used blockchain wallet as the intermediary 

 

[ChainsawU]

How only 37 games in 2014 but 150 in 2013 and 239 in 2015

 

[ChainsawU]

maybe has something to do with:

How to Query: Use with caution: NCAABB Database is in beta testing.
Some team names are not entered consistently.

 

[The Man With No Name]

Belmont/Morehead St.  total was 158. First half they scored 90

 

[facook]

Welp, I now know I am not a gambling addict.  Spent Tues-Fri in Vegas for a conference.  Spent about 60 minutes total in the book and went 3-3 on $20 college hoops games.  Didn't bet a single other thing (although if they actually took NHL 1P bets I'da played those quite a bit).  So really I'm just a FOOTBALL gambling addict.  Kinda makes me sad, is all.

 

[swirvenirvin]

maybe has something to do with:

yeah that much of a delta dont make sense

 

[facook]

AAF gettin some things right. No tv timeouts and challenges are excellent. No running to the sideline AND you can hear the replay official tell the field ref what’s up.  Listen up, NFL.

 

[Dan Lambskin]

Hmmm yeah maybe under was the way to go

 

[The Man With No Name]

She is 61 years old https://pbs.twimg.com/media/DybnWX3UwAAPMer.jpg:large

 

[swirvenirvin]

Birmingham Iron ML

Have to bet vs Hackedouche right?

 

[The Ref]

Birmingham Iron ML

Have to bet vs Hackedouche right?

I just had to google this to see what soccer leauge they were in.

 

[gussy]

Pucks:

Devils/Canes FP O1.5 (-130)
Avs/Bruins O6 (-110)

CBB:

Houston -5
Niagara +6.5

 

[Angry Beavers]

Tailing @gussy on the 1P over

Also NBA 76'ers - 3 1Q EV:  Found this elsewhere:  "...but the better bet might be to take Philly in specific quarters like the first, when that revamped starting five will get the majority of minutes together. Against the Nuggets, they won the first quarter by 10 points, lost the second by 10, won the third quarter by one, and won the fourth by six.

That’s especially intriguing given that the Lakers have typically started off games slowly, posting a -4.3 Net Rating in first quarters. Philly, on the other hand, is the third-best first-quarter team this season with a +8.4 point differential."

Why you ask - cause it is the 1st Sunday without NFL... only 207 days to go...........

 

[lumpy19]

Finally made it, last Sunday without NFL or NASCAR, Daytona 500 next week!!

 

[TheGooRoo]

Finally made it, last Sunday without NFL or NASCAR, Daytona 500 next week!!

I got good news, there's Nascar in less than an hour.

 

[regularguy]

I got good news, there's Nascar in less than an hour.

I'm hardly playing anything in this crapshoot.  How about you?  I threw a bit on Kurt at 25/1 and played a couple of DFS lineups.

 

[TheGooRoo]

I'm hardly playing anything in this crapshoot.  How about you?  I threw a bit on Kurt at 25/1 and played a couple of DFS lineups.

No science behind it but played Kes over harvick.

 

[regularguy]

No science behind it but played Kes over harvick.

May not be much science to go on for awhile with the rule changes taking effect after the always unpredictable Daytona race.  It should create some opportunities though as we see who adjusts quickest.

 

[lumpy19]

I got good news, there's Nascar in less than an hour.

Damnit, had no idea

 

[regularguy]

Damnit, had no idea

Wish I had no idea.  Livid now after how that unfolded when I thought my Kurt ticket had a great shot with the next restart.  Jimmie wrecked the field but was just ahead of Kurt for 1st. Red flag for rain and now race called.   

 

[Wine Thief]

This right here is legit mediocre wagerable football i'm seeing huh?

 

[Dan Lambskin]

This right here is legit mediocre wagerable football i'm seeing huh?

Needs more scoring or I may be done 

 

[swirvenirvin]

Hackenburg!

 

[facook]

This right here is legit mediocre wagerable football i'm seeing huh?

Needs more scoring or I may be done 

Don’t have to watch it to make $ off it. 

 

[ChainsawU]

Ducks by DD

-7 +109

 

[facook]

Cincy Iowa Oregon Over... :gunshot:

 

[facook]

AAF totals gonna be mid-30s next week.

 

[parasaurolophus]

I love when live betting provides an opp to hedge with a big fat middle. Had a five teamer with the notre dame/GT under as the last leg. Was able to hedge mid-game for a massive middle so i won them both. 

 

[parasaurolophus]

Teams i need to avoid: pistons, hornets, gonzaga, louisville, mich st, virginia tech

 

[gussy]

Monday Pucks:

Caps in regulation (-120)

Monday Hoops:

Baylor -4
Norfolk St. PK
Beth-Cookman -4
UNCC -12
APB -1.5
Jackson St/Southern U125
Miss Valley St/Bama St. U139.5

 

[parasaurolophus]

I like Kansas over TCU tonight. I have an image in my mind of UNC vs Oregon final 4 game. KU just dominating offensive boards down the stretch and pulling out a close one. 

also taking

Lawson over 10.5 boards.

under 149

 

[lumpy19]

I know there are a few of us who have setup new accounts at some of the easier sites to beat after being cut.  I'd recommend tightening up your alias game, the sites are getting very good at identifying alias accounts.

I think I'm probably done with new accounts until I get a better plan, luckily I have 6 months to figure that out.

 

[mquinnjr]

AAF totals gonna be mid-30s next week.

Overs. Offenses will click eventually, hitting overs if they set them there.

 

[facook]

Overs. Offenses will click eventually, hitting overs if they set them there.

Of COURSE I posted that after 3 straight unders and the 4th game starting slow...and then going over.  GAWD I'm Joe P.

 

[modogg]

i just bet the China Basketball Association

XinJiang Flying Tigers -6.5     2 units 

i think the game is in a few hours. beat that suckers!!