GiantsI know week 2 is Bender approved plays, but here are initial leans for over reactions:
Colts +3 EV
Cards +13.5
Fins +17.5
Steelers -3.5
GB -2.5
Bengals PK
Falcons PK
Browns -2.5
is that the straight up margin or ats margin? if it's the straight up margin (Dolphins) then they cover the next game about 57% of the time. if that -34.5 is the previous spread margin (Dolphins + Browns) it's about a 50/50 shot at covering next week. fwiw, the +17 on the Dolphins is the most points any team has received in your situation in database history, and teams receiving DD on the spread covered 64% and 13-3-1 ATS L17Record of NFL teams that lost by 34.5 or more the following week
I think Arizona gets smokedI know week 2 is Bender approved plays, but here are initial leans for over reactions:
Colts +3 EV
Cards +13.5
Fins +17.5
Steelers -3.5
GB -2.5
Bengals PK
Falcons PK
Browns -2.5
Non-conference road game. Baltimore might lay another smack down.I think Arizona gets smoked
Yeah I took Texans +7 earlier. Brees and Payton have been real bad weeks 1 and 2 last few years.the only thing I'm worried about, and Suzy Colbert just mention, the Saints' lost their L5 openers - the fact it's kinda well-documented. not sure how it bodes, but opposing teams 7-1 L8 season openers vs the Saints, scoring 17,29,31,35,37,40,42,48 points per game (35±9) versus Saints' defense in those 8 games..
HOU touchdowns scored over 2 -170
HOU touchdowns scored over 3½ +315
It’s 18 now and im asking because ive already backed NE and wanted to know how historically bad a spot this was. I'm aware of the (bad) football history in Miami, was curious about the betting one.ChainsawU said:is that the straight up margin or ats margin? if it's the straight up margin (Dolphins) then they cover the next game about 57% of the time. if that -34.5 is the previous spread margin (Dolphins + Browns) it's about a 50/50 shot at covering next week. fwiw, the +17 on the Dolphins is the most points any team has received in your situation in database history, and teams receiving DD on the spread covered 64% and 13-3-1 ATS L17
so you're definitely onto something with Miami there, and Pats are historically terrible ATS in Miami - I can tell you that without even looking it up. Even so..
I don't claim to "know" what BB is thinking, but looking at Pats games and remembering how I've bet them the past couple seasons, it's probably going to be hot AF in Miami and Belichick will want to knock them the #### out early in the 1H so they can throttle down and rest as much as possible in the 2H, get out of town and prepare to focus on the Jets in W3. That's what I think, and can't imagine they'd be putting any energy running the score up any more than they have to in the second half. I've seen BB do that exact thing before. Just myIt’s 18 now and im asking because ive already backed NE and wanted to know how historically bad a spot this was. I'm aware of the (bad) football history in Miami, was curious about the betting one.
Broncos -117Since 1989 Broncos 45-7 at home in the first three weeks of the season.
I will be very interested to see how much the Bears miss Fangio as DC. I think it is a significant loss.
I just realize he Denver HC this seasonIs there a worse time for struggling Mitch Trubisky to face former Bears defensive coordinator Vic Fangio? Probably not. There’s a nagging suspicion that the Broncos new head coach, having seen Trubisky every day in practice the previous two seasons, will have his defense perfectly set up to negate Mitch’s strengths and prey on his weaknesses.
This is why my fantasy D is Denver this year, as much as possible. Gonna turn Von Miller and Brad Chubb into 2 Khalil Macks.I just realize he Denver HC this season
Gonna need a stat correction on Watson pleaselumpy19 said:Watson o268.5
Duke o33.5 rushing 2x u42.5 1x
Hou +7.5 -125
Renfrow o3
Flacco u253.5
facook said:Open 2 Team Teaser (ties push) Pleaser tp 6½ pts NFL
Pending 9/9/19 10:15pm NFL Football 481 Denver Broncos -9½ * vs Oakland Raiders
+660
facook said:Raiders under 17.5 +126
Got Broncs look-ahead +1.5 week 2. Sorry.
MeThis is why my fantasy D is Denver this year, as much as possible. Gonna turn Von Miller and Brad Chubb into 2 Khalil Macks.
What are we doing as a society? Football should be 7 days a week, this is ridiculous.When’s Maction start?
https://imgflip.com/i/3a6wtvWhat are we doing as a society? Football should be 7 days a week, this is ridiculous.
Nobody's saying every team has to play every day. Just every 7th day for each team.What are we doing as a society? Football should be 7 days a week, this is ridiculous.
whit a minute did somebody on the broncos get injured last night? I'm seeing +125 now. Why did I pay 17 cents and get no points!Got Broncs look-ahead +1.5 week 2. Sorry.
I think it’s because Joe Flacco stayed healthywhit a minute did somebody on the broncos get injured last night? I'm seeing +125 now. Why did I pay 17 cents and get no points!
I have said the following in week 3 of the NCAAF season in every single FFAWT thread for the last 9 years. There are 130 D1 teams. ESPN 2, ESPN u, Fox 2, CBS Sports etc are all begging for content. There is absolutely no way in hell the SunBelt shouldn’t sign a contract to have one conference game every Tue and for MW or CUSA to not do the same on Wed. Doesn’t have to play the whole slate. Just one game.What are we doing as a society? Football should be 7 days a week, this is ridiculous.
For real, other D1 sports don't only play on Fri and sat, c'mon NCAAI have said the following in week 3 of the NCAAF season in every single FFAWT thread for the last 9 years. There are 130 D1 teams. ESPN 2, ESPN u, Fox 2, CBS Sports etc are all begging for content. There is absolutely no way in hell the SunBelt shouldn’t sign a contract to have one conference game every Tue and for MW or CUSA to not do the same on Wed. Doesn’t have to play the whole slate. Just one game.
you think the kids playing for Troy and So Miss would rather play Sat on local cable or tonight on ESPN 2?
I’ll say this - the letter the lawyer wrote was excellent. If he was into rapemof this chick she sure liked him enough to follow him around for 3 years.Finally some more AB news
Weeelll....I might have SLIGHTLY overvalued Fangio and Flacco. I took Denver D/ST in several leagues. 0 points. Against the Raiders. :gunshot:ChainsawU said:whit a minute did somebody on the broncos get injured last night? I'm seeing +125 now. Why did I pay 17 cents and get no points!