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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (8 Viewers)

facook said:
<_<
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afternoon guys coming back to the pack - if he stays only 3 back going to the weekend I will not complain.  To be E after being -3 at one point is a disappointment. But you know what is not disappointing? - working from home and watching golf all day while on calls etc. 

 
Angry Beavers said:
afternoon guys coming back to the pack - if he stays only 3 back going to the weekend I will not complain.  To be E after being -3 at one point is a disappointment. But you know what is not disappointing? - working from home and watching golf all day while on calls etc. 
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I'm cheap.  Not subscribing to this peacock thing.

 
kevzilla said:
Circa Millions Week 1 picks: 2-3. Day job in no immediate jeopardy. Week 2 picks:

ATL +4.5

SF -6.5

MIA +5.5

MIN +3

HOU +7
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Top 5 picks in order were PHI PK, KC -8.5, ARI -6.5, SF -6.5, GB -6 so you avoided all those and could gain some ground on the majority with a good week. 

My picks were PHI PK, CAR +8.5, GB - 6, KC -8.5, SEA -4 so mostly favorites and nothing that would separate me from the pack. 

 
I have two free $50 bets I have to use tomorrow and I am still wondering what would be the best picks to stick them on. 

GB and KC seems to be the obvious ones I am guess 

 
mquinnjr said:
facook said:
SMU over 68.5

Not exactly sure how I feel about NTX offense, but I’m confident their defense is trash. The offense wasn’t great with Fine last year, so maybe there won’t be as much of a drop off as expected, with Littrel taking over the play calling duties. We’ll find out more this week! The offense did put up 8.4 YPP on Baptist while TT only put up 6.6. They seemed to have a nice running game, albeit against Baptist, and want to focus on that from coaches quotes, but they also take a ton of deep shots. Bean throws an ugly ball, but he was mostly effective. NTX really cranked up the tempo in their first game playing 4 seconds faster than LY, despite the 14% run increase from LY, all while playing in a blow-out win. SMU’s defense is nothing special, so I think they can score some here. 

After their less than stellar performance against Texas State, SMU will be excited to fine tune the offense and put up a hefty number. This is just the opponent to do it against, as I think North Texas defense has tons of holes. Texas State’s defense turns out to be pretty damn competent as well. In my Texas State write-up, I mentioned that they only gave up 2 big plays in the 2h vs UTSA. If it wasn’t for those, they only gave up 1.65 YPP after making adjustments for the 2h, as I suspected they didn’t know what to expect from UTSA’s new offense in the 1h. Spavital has recently confirmed my suspicions with some quotes in an article. Well, I went back and watched the highlights of that 2h. Texas State should’ve pitched a shut out. On the first of those long plays, Texas State had great penetration into the backfield and it looked like McCormick was stuck behind the line for a loss of 5 or so, but he found a seam and busted it for 58. On the other, Texas State should’ve intercepted the pass, but the WR took it away from him for a gain of 44. The final 7 points came on a pick 6. This makes me even more bullish on the Texas State play this week.

Anyway, enough about Texas State. There should be tons of plays here, SMU is gonna hang a number, and I think North Texas offense is competent enough to keep up. Even if not, the 2h should provide opportunities for them to score on SMU’s back-ups. This feels like this is gonna be a loose game with lots of fireworks. Should be perfect weather in Denton.

52-27 Mustangs.
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This from the guy?
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Jeez.

 
facook said:
SMU over 68.5

Not exactly sure how I feel about NTX offense, but I’m confident their defense is trash. The offense wasn’t great with Fine last year, so maybe there won’t be as much of a drop off as expected, with Littrel taking over the play calling duties. We’ll find out more this week! The offense did put up 8.4 YPP on Baptist while TT only put up 6.6. They seemed to have a nice running game, albeit against Baptist, and want to focus on that from coaches quotes, but they also take a ton of deep shots. Bean throws an ugly ball, but he was mostly effective. NTX really cranked up the tempo in their first game playing 4 seconds faster than LY, despite the 14% run increase from LY, all while playing in a blow-out win. SMU’s defense is nothing special, so I think they can score some here. 

After their less than stellar performance against Texas State, SMU will be excited to fine tune the offense and put up a hefty number. This is just the opponent to do it against, as I think North Texas defense has tons of holes. Texas State’s defense turns out to be pretty damn competent as well. In my Texas State write-up, I mentioned that they only gave up 2 big plays in the 2h vs UTSA. If it wasn’t for those, they only gave up 1.65 YPP after making adjustments for the 2h, as I suspected they didn’t know what to expect from UTSA’s new offense in the 1h. Spavital has recently confirmed my suspicions with some quotes in an article. Well, I went back and watched the highlights of that 2h. Texas State should’ve pitched a shut out. On the first of those long plays, Texas State had great penetration into the backfield and it looked like McCormick was stuck behind the line for a loss of 5 or so, but he found a seam and busted it for 58. On the other, Texas State should’ve intercepted the pass, but the WR took it away from him for a gain of 44. The final 7 points came on a pick 6. This makes me even more bullish on the Texas State play this week.

Anyway, enough about Texas State. There should be tons of plays here, SMU is gonna hang a number, and I think North Texas offense is competent enough to keep up. Even if not, the 2h should provide opportunities for them to score on SMU’s back-ups. This feels like this is gonna be a loose game with lots of fireworks. Should be perfect weather in Denton.

52-27 Mustangs.
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Awesome work right here ! Thanks for passing this one along 

 
Locks of the week 🤑

SF/NYJ u42.5, DET/GB o47.5, LAR/PHI o46, ATL/DAL o52, WAS/ARI u46.5 & NO/LVR u51.5

LAR -1.5, BUF -5.5, MIN ML, GB -5.5, BAL -6.5 & KC -8.5

GB PK, BUF PK, MIN +9, KC -2.5 & BAL -1

GB PK, BUF PK, MIN +9, NYG +11.5, KC -2.5 & BAL -1.5

MIN +9, BUF PK, GB PK, KC -2.5, BAL -1.5 & SEA +1.5

Rodgers o267.5yds, Roethlisberger o252.5yds, Mahomes o2.5 TDs, Gurley o56.5yds & Kyle o30.5yds (also bet individually)

Hayden Hurst 1st TD +1700

Gallup 1st TD +1100

Russell Wilson 1st TD +2200

Tyler Lockett 1st TD +1100

 
facook said:
I think the ones I've posted he's 6-1 (one cancelled).  As long as he keeps winning I'll keep posting.
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Please do.  Didn’t have my on my own personal card (save Marshall, outright!) this week so I tailed.  Nice write ups.

cant wait for SEC To start next week

 
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