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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (51 Viewers)

I’ve been big on Dallas so far this year and I got them -1 before last week’s games for this week’s game at New England 

Now the line is up to 4. Any thoughts on if I should take NE +4 and try to middle it? I like the essentially risk-free chance to double up but doubt the Pats cover. So maybe bet half as much on the Pats as I have on Dallas -1?

 
The_Man said:
I’ve been big on Dallas so far this year and I got them -1 before last week’s games for this week’s game at New England 

Now the line is up to 4. Any thoughts on if I should take NE +4 and try to middle it? I like the essentially risk-free chance to double up but doubt the Pats cover. So maybe bet half as much on the Pats as I have on Dallas -1?
Click to expand...


I did the same, we got a nice bet there.

I'd only middle if I'd take that side independently, as if I had nothing on the other side.  As of now I would not bet NE +4 in a vacuum, so I'm standing pat on the Cowboys -1.

 
ChainsawU said:
espn still garbage right? haven't been keeping up or watching much sports. you didn't have to make that the entire halftime show though
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Yes they are a joke for the most part.  A lot of earnestness thrown around, meanwhile they are all feverishly searching their memory banks for the emails/texts/tweets that could end in the same result for them.  Sinless casting the first stones, and all that.

 
Was shocked this morning that I lost my parlay of Colts +7.5 /under 46.5. Went to bed late 3rd qtr score was 22-3. Would've been much angrier if I had watched it happen.

 
The_Man said:
I’ve been big on Dallas so far this year and I got them -1 before last week’s games for this week’s game at New England 

Now the line is up to 4. Any thoughts on if I should take NE +4 and try to middle it? I like the essentially risk-free chance to double up but doubt the Pats cover. So maybe bet half as much on the Pats as I have on Dallas -1?
Click to expand...
I just dont like this game either way.  im staying away.  and dallas has treated me right all year.

 
Brady played very poorly on Thursday night last year.  Speculation his old body needed more time to recover between games.  I played Eagles +7 small last night.

 
West Brom -150 (England: EFL Championship): The -150 was at Fanduel, it's a little more expensive other places. 

If you want to reduce the juice you could parlay it with "Both Teams to Score" = No - I think they can get a clean sheet today. I haven't done this myself, still pondering. I'll probably throw a smaller amount at the combo, though. Just takes one set piece mishap to screw this part up, however.

 
McBokonon said:
West Brom -150 (England: EFL Championship): The -150 was at Fanduel, it's a little more expensive other places. 

If you want to reduce the juice you could parlay it with "Both Teams to Score" = No - I think they can get a clean sheet today. I haven't done this myself, still pondering. I'll probably throw a smaller amount at the combo, though. Just takes one set piece mishap to screw this part up, however.
Click to expand...
parlayed 

 
McBokonon said:
West Brom -150 (England: EFL Championship): The -150 was at Fanduel, it's a little more expensive other places. 

If you want to reduce the juice you could parlay it with "Both Teams to Score" = No - I think they can get a clean sheet today. I haven't done this myself, still pondering. I'll probably throw a smaller amount at the combo, though. Just takes one set piece mishap to screw this part up, however.
Click to expand...


🤜🤛

 
The_Man said:
I’ve been big on Dallas so far this year and I got them -1 before last week’s games for this week’s game at New England 

Now the line is up to 4. Any thoughts on if I should take NE +4 and try to middle it? I like the essentially risk-free chance to double up but doubt the Pats cover. So maybe bet half as much on the Pats as I have on Dallas -1?
Click to expand...
McCarthy on the road - Jones has looked competent;  Depends upon how much you like Dallas here - the risk free double up is always tempting until your original bet wins, the addtional bet loses and you hate yourself. :shrug:

 
Hit first 2 teaser legs(Cal,Syra) just need Mich St (+1.5) to cash

Have a profit boosted parlay of-

Auburn,Ariz St,Texas, Georgia (-21.5) and BC(+3)

$2/$85.53

Don't know much about NHL but out $5 on Red Wings and over 5.5

 
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I played Braves F5.  Fried has been excellent every since the All Star break.  Dodgers pitching is a little bit off schedule after Games 4 and 5 in DS.  I think LAD win the series, but I think Atlanta can hang Game 1.

 
$50 to win $300 on steelers to get td on this drive.

nailed my parlay,JAX and AZ to WIN.  $40 to win $250.  Woot!

 
Started with $200 in DK.  Cashed out $200.  $266 plus about $100 in bets still in account.

House money now babay  :banned:

 
KGB said:
Started with $200 in DK.  Cashed out $200.  $266 plus about $100 in bets still in account.

House money now babay  :banned:
Click to expand...
I did the math.  Between all 8 AZ books currently open (with a couple more still to come) I’m now playing with $2600 in house money after taking advantage of all the promos. I’ve withdrawn about half and will run with the rest. I took everything out of Unibet because it’s terrible in every conceivable way. I also have nothing in Twinspires, Wynn, or BetMGM because I generally don’t like them or their bonuses aren’t really geared towards me. I actually think BetMGM is pretty solid and might move some cash back in there. Favorites, in order, are: Caesar’s->Draftkings->Barstool->Fanduel.

I have referral codes for those if you want them. They all have some sort of new customer bonus.

 
TheGreatOne said:
Early bird NBA:

Nets / Bucks O236, -110

Lakers -3, -110

 

Parlay to accelerate winnings.
Click to expand...


ADDING:

Q1 - Nets / Bucks O59.5, -115

James Harden O25.5, -115

Giannis Antekekoumpo O30.5, -120

 
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Great work today on the NBA slate. Even bigger day tomorrow with an 11 game slate.

Nets/Bucks O236, -110 (L)
Lakers -3, -110 (L)

Q1 - Nets/Bucks O59.5, -110 (W)
Giannis O30.5 points, -110 (W)
James Harden O25.5, -110 (L)

2-3 (40%)

 
Wednesday, October 20th, 2021
NBA Leans
 

7:10PM
1H - Pacers / Hornets O113.5, -110
Bulls / Pistons O218, -110 (BUNKER BUSTER!!!)

7:40PM
Q1 - Raptors / Wizards U57, -110

7:40PM
Knicks ML, -125

9:10PM
Thunder / Jazz U221, -110

10:10PM
Kings / Blazers O235, -110 (BUNKER BUSTER!!!)
Nuggets +6, -110
1H - Nuggets / Sun U114, -110

Go heaviest on the BUNKER BUSTERS, they make good parlay anchors. Everything else should hit at about 60% to 65% so use your best discretion to make that percentage even higher.

 
I don't know much about gambling but I do know that one football player can not move a line 7 points, college or pro.

Can any of you link an article for me that says as much?  I would love to end this "debate" I'm in.  I mean, the very best players don't move lines half that much, right?

 
Harry Frogfish said:
I don't know much about gambling but I do know that one football player can not move a line 7 points, college or pro.

Can any of you link an article for me that says as much?  I would love to end this "debate" I'm in.  I mean, the very best players don't move lines half that much, right?
Click to expand...
30 seconds of googling tells me otherwise, but it’s arbitrary :shrug:

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.actionnetwork.com/nfl/2018-nfl-quarterback-spread-betting-value-vegas-aaron-rodgers-tom-brady/amp

https://www.thelines.com/how-many-points-quarterback-betting-line/

 
Harry Frogfish said:
Thanks, I'll check those out.  I mean, the guy is saying Derrick Henry is worth a touchdown in a line.  No F'n way.
Click to expand...


No.  Russ Wilson, ARodg, maybe Brady if his backup is terrible are worth a TD.

Saints are -5.5 at Seattle.  If Russ was healthy it'd be Seahawks -2.5 or -3 imo.

 
Wednesday, October 20th, 2021
NBA Leans
 

7:10PM
1H - Pacers / Hornets O113.5, -110 ✅
Bulls / Pistons O218, -110 (BUNKER BUSTER!!!) ❌

7:40PM
Q1 - Raptors / Wizards U57, -110 ✅

7:40PM
Knicks ML, -125 ✅

9:10PM
Thunder / Jazz U221, -110 ✅

10:10PM
Kings / Blazers O235, -110 (BUNKER BUSTER!!!) ✅
Nuggets +6, -110 ✅
1H - Nuggets / Sun U114, -110 ✅

2H - Kings / Blazers O113.5, -110  (BUNKER BUSTER!!!) ✅

9-1

THAT'S WHAT I DO!!!

 
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McBokonon said:
I did the math.  Between all 8 AZ books currently open (with a couple more still to come) I’m now playing with $2600 in house money after taking advantage of all the promos. I’ve withdrawn about half and will run with the rest. I took everything out of Unibet because it’s terrible in every conceivable way. I also have nothing in Twinspires, Wynn, or BetMGM because I generally don’t like them or their bonuses aren’t really geared towards me. I actually think BetMGM is pretty solid and might move some cash back in there. Favorites, in order, are: Caesar’s->Draftkings->Barstool->Fanduel.

I have referral codes for those if you want them. They all have some sort of new customer bonus.
Click to expand...
Sweet, post em!

Thanks!

 
Tomorrow is just a 3 game slate though which is a lot tougher to succeed on than on an 11 game slate.

1.) There's less to choose from.
2.) There's less room for error.


I usually like to bet 1 game on short slates and consider it a "day of rest".

 
KGB said:
Started with $200 in DK.  Cashed out $200.  $266 plus about $100 in bets still in account.

House money now babay  :banned:
Click to expand...
So, I have won like 80% or something of my moneyline bets and lost almost all of my player bets.

Got killed on all player stuff during in game the other night.

I cashed out my orginal and now just have $32 from $450 before the game :(

With that being said.

LOVE the titans money line and maybe even outright with those odds.  :banned:

 
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