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*** OFFICIAL *** FFA WAGERING THREAD - Merry Christmas!!! (7 Viewers)

facook said:
Sportsbooks will pay ****51% tax rate****, highest of any multi-operator market   :jawdrop:

Gotta think -110 juice won't be around long at that tax rate.
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I believe Pa books are paying 30some percent and 10 million per license 

Doesn’t seem to bother them at all 

 
Cowboysfan8 said:
You think they’re going to juice everything up higher than everyone else? 

Not likely

But yeah, I guess we will see 
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Probably not all of them, it does seem like DK or FD would be same juice state to state (although I think they do shade lines depending on what teams are popular in what location).  But I think the smaller ones could bump the juice to increase profits.  And I definitely could see them giving much worse splits on money lines because it's tougher for the casual fan to identify.  It's already happening in books in other states, including Montana, Colorado, and Oregon where I am.

ETA: and increase holds on futures markets as well.

 
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facook said:
Probably not all of them, it does seem like DK or FD would be same juice state to state (although I think they do shade lines depending on what teams are popular in what location).  But I think the smaller ones could bump the juice to increase profits.  And I definitely could see them giving much worse splits on money lines because it's tougher for the casual fan to identify.  It's already happening in books in other states, including Montana, Colorado, and Oregon where I am.

ETA: and increase holds on futures markets as well.
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I’ll have to look close at this, i live on the Ind/Mich line.

Anyone bet on these NFL award props?  I have Cupp for MVP at very long odds.  Usually it’s shaded to the QBs.

 
FairWarning said:
I’ll have to look close at this, i live on the Ind/Mich line.

Anyone bet on these NFL award props?  I have Cupp for MVP at very long odds.  Usually it’s shaded to the QBs.
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What # did you get?  I see 100-1 on one of my sites.  Another only has qb's listed. :D

 
FairWarning said:
100/1.  Also played Burrow 85/1 and Henry 40/1 (loser)
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Nice.  I think he's a true long shot but who knows?  If you can find an "Offensive Player of the Year" he's got to be a good shot at that.

I'm sitting on Burrow 66-1 (decent value), Brady 9-1 (good value) and Lamar 20-1 (good value).  If I could hit Lamar that would about break me even from my other crappy futures. lol

 
facook said:
Nice.  I think he's a true long shot but who knows?  If you can find an "Offensive Player of the Year" he's got to be a good shot at that.

I'm sitting on Burrow 66-1 (decent value), Brady 9-1 (good value) and Lamar 20-1 (good value).  If I could hit Lamar that would about break me even from my other crappy futures. lol
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Kupp was chalk on the OPOY, -110.  

Angry Beavers- Ohio will eventually get legal sports wagering.  As a Bears fan, I teased Pitt with the Brownies next week.  

 
Angry Beavers said:
if OH would get legalized sports wagering............. 

Bears +7 - all day............. 
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If it's similar to PA or some of these other states you'll be stoked.  If it's like Oregon with "State lottery runs one legal app with bad lines, bad practices, and taxes wins but doesn't give tax credits on losses" you'll stick with the internet.

 
Tuesday College plays for ya'll to fade n get rich:

Kentucky +1 (COLLEGE HOOOOOOPS!!!!!!)

Eastern Michigan -6/over 61 MACtion

Western Michigan over 62 MACtion

Betting unders in Tues/Wed MACtion is a mortal sin

 
facook said:
Keep firing bro.  You were riding the trend, not going against it.  Zero shame in that.  I'll tail you if you will please keep posting.

I need the help.  :D  
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Don't think I've posted a winning pick yet and just got my ### kicked on Sunday so that may not work out so well

 
Raging weasel said:
Don't think I've posted a winning pick yet and just got my ### kicked on Sunday so that may not work out so well
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There is just something about posting....

Saturday I was like 11-2.  Posted my 2 favorite remaining plays.  0-2.  Only 2 losers the rest of the day.  I could have posted ANYTHING ELSE and at worst gone 1-1.  Ugh.

 
facook said:
There is just something about posting....

Saturday I was like 11-2.  Posted my 2 favorite remaining plays.  0-2.  Only 2 losers the rest of the day.  I could have posted ANYTHING ELSE and at worst gone 1-1.  Ugh.
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Yep

I don’t post plays anymore because it’s like auto jinx 

 
New place. Big yard. Pretty flowers - rose bushes blooming around the perimeter beds. Pecan trees, happy squirrels. Good stuff. Then, growing almost dead center among the healthy St. Augustine, I just took down three ugly "shrubs" that turned out to be stumps. Tree stumps. Someone cut down 3 trees and left the stumps. How do I get them outta here.

 
Already considering:

1. Dig them up with a shovel/sharpshooter

2. Pull them out with my car and a tow strap

Feels like there's a smarter option. Never done this before.

 
ChainsawU said:
New place. Big yard. Pretty flowers - rose bushes blooming around the perimeter beds. Pecan trees, happy squirrels. Good stuff. Then, growing almost dead center among the healthy St. Augustine, I just took down three ugly "shrubs" that turned out to be stumps. Tree stumps. Someone cut down 3 trees and left the stumps. How do I get them outta here.
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Not sure why you picked this thread for that question. 

If under 8 inches across you may be able to dig/chop them out Best bet is to rent or hire a stump grinder for anything bigger.

 
facook said:
facook said:
facook said:
The world's biggest mush (not me, a DIFFERENT huge mush) announced he was playing this same angle Friday.  I'm tempted to go 2X over 41 and pray for a nice middle.  :mellow:
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Seriously this guy....I will post his play to fade each Friday.  It's unbelievable.
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Just found out he was on AZ -6.5 last night.  Grrr...

He is on Cincinnati -10.5 Sunday.  Would really have to hold my nose to take Mike White and the Jets, so may just stay away.
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This dude did not have a play for Sunday, but I am FURIOUS I missed that he played Najee Harris over 82.5 yards last night.  Grrrrr.....

 
I am thinking IND -3  (110) may be a good bet tonight. Joker suspended, Michael Porter Jr out. Not sure who is going to score for Denver. 

The under was 213 and now has dropped to 205.5--both these teams play slow, but Denver is going to have go small and play up tempo to stay in this thing, so might not be a bad place to go with the over.  I want to see if it is going to go even further down.

I did a IND win/Sabonis double/double parlay at +125. 

 
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Courtjester said:
I am thinking IND -3  (110) may be a good bet tonight. Joker suspended, Michael Porter Jr out. Not sure who is going to score for Denver. 

The under was 213 and now has dropped to 205.5--both these teams play slow, but Denver is going to have go small and play up tempo to stay in this thing, so might not be a bad place to go with the over.  I want to see if it is going to go even further down.

I did a IND win/Sabonis double/double parlay at +125. 
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Well this was a bet I was glad to lose. Go Nuggets!!

 
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