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Official Hillary Clinton 2016 thread (5 Viewers)

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[Indictment's] never going to happen. 

I've always believed that Hillary was going to win this thing. But the speech was a turning point, because now she might win in a landslide, meaning that the Senate could turn and the House- who knows? This could be a very big deal. I realize not for you, since you see little difference between the two parties and candidates. But most people don't feel that way, thankfully. The Republican party has been taken over by extremists and they need to be defeated- badly. (And it's important for the health of this nation for Trump to be completely repudiated.) 
For someone who has publicly admitted on these boards several times he hasn't really followed this story or know any pertinent details--that you're too "bored" to be bothered by any of it--this is a transparently foolish thing to believe, unless it is for the express purpose of self-delusion.

 
Come on cobalt- forget about me and what I've read or haven't read. Do you REALLY, deep down, think she's going to be indicted? Do you? Be honest. 
Yes. I believe there is a greater likelihood of indictment than not.  The evidence is overwhelming that she broke several egregious laws and put national security in harm's way.  Regardless of intent.   I've made several bets with this factored in.

Let me clarify, I believe the FBI will recommend indictment.  Whether AG Lynch will move forward is another matter.  But, the facts being what they are now--never mind what we don't know yet that the FBI has yet to release--will yield indictment recommendation.

 
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That's never going to happen. 

I've always believed that Hillary was going to win this thing. But the speech was a turning point, because now she might win in a landslide, meaning that the Senate could turn and the House- who knows? This could be a very big deal. I realize not for you, since you see little difference between the two parties and candidates. But most people don't feel that way, thankfully. The Republican party has been taken over by extremists and they need to be defeated- badly. (And it's important for the health of this nation for Trump to be completely repudiated.) 
The sourcing of the speech was spectacular work.  I don't know who has/hasn't seen this video:

https://www.facebook.com/hillaryclinton/videos/1158234167566444/

But it's one of her campaign's best so far.  

If she keeps up this sort of work, and Trump continues to be dumber than anyone could have thought possible, I'll be eating my words about Clinton losing to Trump in the GE.  This last week or so has gone a long way to easing my mind on that issue.

 
Yes. I believe there is a greater likelihood of indictment than there is that she isn't.  The evidence is overwhelming that she broke several egregious laws and put national security in harm's way.  Regardless of intent.   I've made several bets with this factored in.
OK. Well, no offense, but I think that YOU'RE the one deluding yourself. 

Put it this way- if it appeared at all likely that this was going to happen, Barack Obama would have insisted long since that Hillary get out of the race. At this point, she cannot be replaced, either before or after the election, without total chaos which would give Donald Trump a very good chance of winning. This would have happened months ago. 

 
OK. Well, no offense, but I think that YOU'RE the one deluding yourself. 

Put it this way- if it appeared at all likely that this was going to happen, Barack Obama would have insisted long since that Hillary get out of the race. At this point, she cannot be replaced, either before or after the election, without total chaos which would give Donald Trump a very good chance of winning. This would have happened months ago. 
I think it's interesting you think Trump being in the race has an effect on the indictment decision. Obama & Lynch are affected by politics in the indictment decision? Welcome aboard.

 
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Yes. I believe there is a greater likelihood of indictment than not.  The evidence is overwhelming that she broke several egregious laws and put national security in harm's way.  Regardless of intent.   I've made several bets with this factored in.

Let me clarify, I believe the FBI will recommend indictment.  Whether AG Lynch will move forward is another matter.  But, the facts being what they are now--never mind what we don't know yet that the FBI has yet to release--will yield indictment recommendation.
I don't expect Comey to actually issue a recommendation of indictment but instead to give his findings to Lynch and let her make a decision.

 
I think it's interesting you think Trump being in the race has an effect on the indictment decision. Obama & Lynch are affected by politics in the indictment decision? Welcome aboard.
I don't, and that's not what I wrote. I believe that IF Hillary was going to be indicted over this, Obama would have already asked her to step aside from the campaign. But I did not suggest that either he, Lynch, or Comey would override indicting her if they thought she deserved to be indicted. 

 
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OK. Well, no offense, but I think that YOU'RE the one deluding yourself. 

Put it this way- if it appeared at all likely that this was going to happen, Barack Obama would have insisted long since that Hillary get out of the race. At this point, she cannot be replaced, either before or after the election, without total chaos which would give Donald Trump a very good chance of winning. This would have happened months ago. 
No offense, but you haven't looked into this much, so I'm not sure how credible your opinion is in this matter.

 
I don't, and that's not what I wrote. I believe that IF Hillary was going to be indicted over this, Obama would have already asked her to step aside from the campaign. But I did not suggest that either he, Lynch, or Comey would override indicting her if they thought she deserved to be indicted. 
The investigation is not complete, he can't do that unless he considers the political implications.

 
The investigation is not complete, he can't do that unless he considers the political implications.
Let me repeat myself. If there was a CHANCE of Hillary's indictment over this, President Obama would have gone to Hillary several months ago, possibly a year ago, and said, "Hillary, I'm being told this is a serious investigation and that there is a chance you committed some crimes here and the FBI may charge you. I have no idea if this is going to happen, and I'm not going to interfere with the process. But if you are our nominee, and you get indicted by the FBI, that will be a disaster for the party and our chances of keeping the White House. So I need you to withdraw from the campaign, right now."

The fact that this conversation never took place tells me there will be no indictment. 

 
Except that what I wrote has nothing to do with the specifics of wrongdoing, or lack of wrongdoing. It has everything to do with the politics. 
Yes, but what the President knew months ago is likely different than what he knows now.  As you said, it's too late for him to intervene.  And, if there is still a chance she won't be indicted, the better political move is to ride this out and hope/pray she skates by.  Nothing to be gained by bumping her now, as opposed to a month or so from now when the findings are crystal clear and from an authoritative source.

 
Let me repeat myself. If there was a CHANCE of Hillary's indictment over this, President Obama would have gone to Hillary several months ago, possibly a year ago, and said, "Hillary, I'm being told this is a serious investigation and that there is a chance you committed some crimes here and the FBI may charge you. I have no idea if this is going to happen, and I'm not going to interfere with the process. But if you are our nominee, and you get indicted by the FBI, that will be a disaster for the party and our chances of keeping the White House. So I need you to withdraw from the campaign, right now."

The fact that this conversation never took place tells me there will be no indictment. 
:lmao:  So many things wrong with this fantasy.  Good gracious.

 
Let me repeat myself. If there was a CHANCE of Hillary's indictment over this, President Obama would have gone to Hillary several months ago, possibly a year ago, and said, "Hillary, I'm being told this is a serious investigation and that there is a chance you committed some crimes here and the FBI may charge you. I have no idea if this is going to happen, and I'm not going to interfere with the process. But if you are our nominee, and you get indicted by the FBI, that will be a disaster for the party and our chances of keeping the White House. So I need you to withdraw from the campaign, right now."

The fact that this conversation never took place tells me there will be no indictment. 
Wait, how do you know this conversation never took place?  Are you assuming that if it had, she'd have stepped aside?

 
That's never going to happen. 

I've always believed that Hillary was going to win this thing. But the speech was a turning point, because now she might win in a landslide, meaning that the Senate could turn and the House- who knows? This could be a very big deal. I realize not for you, since you see little difference between the two parties and candidates. But most people don't feel that way, thankfully. The Republican party has been taken over by extremists and they need to be defeated- badly. (And it's important for the health of this nation for Trump to be completely repudiated.) 
It's Trump.  She will be (or better be) winning in a landslide anyway.  Oh, and for the billionth time, the parties are very different.  There are multiple ways to be terrible.....there's a difference.

 
Let me repeat myself. If there was a CHANCE of Hillary's indictment over this, President Obama would have gone to Hillary several months ago, possibly a year ago, and said, "Hillary, I'm being told this is a serious investigation and that there is a chance you committed some crimes here and the FBI may charge you. I have no idea if this is going to happen, and I'm not going to interfere with the process. But if you are our nominee, and you get indicted by the FBI, that will be a disaster for the party and our chances of keeping the White House. So I need you to withdraw from the campaign, right now."

The fact that this conversation never took place tells me there will be no indictment. 
Obama actions thus are that of a man who has been told that the FBI's investigation is mainly for show and that no indictment is likely to come from it. 

This all stems from Republican attacks over Benghazi and the investigation will be 4 years in September.  If anything were going to come of out this is would have happened by now, not a few months before the election.

 
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Wait, how do you know this conversation never took place?  Are you assuming that if it had, she'd have stepped aside?
Because I believe that if this conversation had taken place and Hillary refused to step aside Obama would have made that public and disavowed her

 
Obama actions thus are that of a man who has been told that the FBI's investigation is mainly for show and that no indictment is likely to come from it. 

This all stems from Republican attacks over Benghazi and the investigation will be 4 years in September.  If anyone were going to come of out this is would have happen by now, not a few months before the election.
Exactly. 

 
These were the betting related stats I could find on Hillary:

2016 US PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION - NEXT PRESIDENT OF THE UNITED STATES
Odds as of June 2 at Bovada

Hillary Clinton -220
Donald Trump +190
Bernie Sanders +1600

So, now may be the time to get in on Bernie? That seems to be the best EV given Hillary gets indicted?

 
OK. Well, no offense, but I think that YOU'RE the one deluding yourself. 

Put it this way- if it appeared at all likely that this was going to happen, Barack Obama would have insisted long since that Hillary get out of the race. At this point, she cannot be replaced, either before or after the election, without total chaos which would give Donald Trump a very good chance of winning. This would have happened months ago. 


I don't, and that's not what I wrote. I believe that IF Hillary was going to be indicted over this, Obama would have already asked her to step aside from the campaign. But I did not suggest that either he, Lynch, or Comey would override indicting her if they thought she deserved to be indicted. 


Except that what I wrote has nothing to do with the specifics of wrongdoing, or lack of wrongdoing. It has everything to do with the politics. 


OK guys, there's no way to agree on this and it's pointless anyhow. Let's see what happens. 
Great, agreed.

 
Your nuance isn't significant enough to making a distinction between your position and his :shrug:    
It's a pretty big "nuance". I don't believe that Obama would ever interfere with an FBI or Justce Department decision. I do think he'd interfere in the election, and there's nothing wrong in that at all IMO. 

 
By asking Hillary to withdraw her candidacy several months ago. 
And, to be clear, it is your contention that (a) Obama knew the full extent of the problem months ago and (b) Hillary would acknowledge criminal behavior and (c) that she would just play lap dog to Obama, ceding to his request?

 
He has a higher favorability rating than either of the two candidates, which is remarkable after eight years as president. He can also help a lot with turnout in minority communities; African-American voters staying home this year after big turnout numbers recently has always been a central part of the argument about where Trump can gain on McCain and Romney's numbers. I think he'll be out in force.
To be fair, I think that, in this particular instance, it says more about the two candidates than Obama.

 
By asking Hillary to withdraw her candidacy several months ago. 
Hillary might not withdraw if she's indicted, what are you talking about?

Cstu may be right. Agnew was told to step down in October 71, but he was a VP. But he also says the investigation is just 'for show.'

Constantly different things are said:

- Obama BOTH knows what the score is and KNEW it back in October.

- But Obama is NOT lying when in two different 60 Minutes appearances he said he knew nothing about the case.

And:

- 'There is no criminal investigation.'

- 'Let's not judge, let the investigation play out.' [you just now above]

- 'The investigation is a sham.' [very next post]

- 'When the investigation is done and there's no indictment you can be SURE the DOJ has been ethical and honest and no political influence has been involved and hey you know it's gold because Comey was involved.'

>>> It basically just depends what ends you want out of this in the particular convo at hand.

 
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To be fair, I think that, in this particular instance, it says more about the two candidates than Obama.
Sure. But he's running about +5 on the favorability polling.  That plus the turnout thing I think means he's a key asset. The key to winning in November for Clinton is making the map and demographics look as much like 2008 and 2012 as possible (while also taking advantage of the increasing % of minority voters). Obama obviously helps with that.

 
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I don't, and that's not what I wrote. I believe that IF Hillary was going to be indicted over this, Obama would have already asked her to step aside from the campaign. But I did not suggest that either he, Lynch, or Comey would override indicting her if they thought she deserved to be indicted. 
So you don't believe Obama?   Obama has clearly stated he does not talk to Lynch or Comey about the investigation so he would have no way of knowing.  

 
So you don't believe Obama?   Obama has clearly stated he does not talk to Lynch or Comey about the investigation so he would have no way of knowing.  
Doesn't need to talk to them directly - he can get inside information from other people.

 
That's never going to happen. 

I've always believed that Hillary was going to win this thing. But the speech was a turning point, because now she might win in a landslide, meaning that the Senate could turn and the House- who knows? This could be a very big deal. I realize not for you, since you see little difference between the two parties and candidates. But most people don't feel that way, thankfully. The Republican party has been taken over by extremists and they need to be defeated- badly. (And it's important for the health of this nation for Trump to be completely repudiated.) 
Reason I asked you to be less Trolly is because I'm warming to this.  Please don't ruin it.  

Though I believe she should and very well may be indicted, and is an horrific choice.  Just better than Trump.

 
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Let me repeat myself. If there was a CHANCE of Hillary's indictment over this, President Obama would have gone to Hillary several months ago, possibly a year ago, and said, "Hillary, I'm being told this is a serious investigation and that there is a chance you committed some crimes here and the FBI may charge you. I have no idea if this is going to happen, and I'm not going to interfere with the process. But if you are our nominee, and you get indicted by the FBI, that will be a disaster for the party and our chances of keeping the White House. So I need you to withdraw from the campaign, right now."

The fact that this conversation never took place tells me there will be no indictment. 
Maybe the conversation took place and maybe she told him to sod off.

Do you think this conversation would have happened on live TV? Or why are you so sure of it not happening?

 
Because I believe that if this conversation had taken place and Hillary refused to step aside Obama would have made that public and disavowed her
Great idea! Obama should have trashed the only strong democratic nominee publicly, right? What could have gone wrong (other than a sure Trump win)?

Such a stupid idea.

 
Except that what I wrote has nothing to do with the specifics of wrongdoing, or lack of wrongdoing. It has everything to do with the politics. 
So in a little bit we get to find out whether this nation is still a nation of laws or a nation of men.  In that sense the outcome of this is a profound indicator of where this country is.

 
Great idea! Obama should have trashed the only strong democratic nominee publicly, right? What could have gone wrong (other than a sure Trump win)?

Such a stupid idea.
Hello, Warrior.  I see you have been out of the country for a year and would like to take this time to introduce you to a candidate by the name of "Bernie Sanders" who is currently leading in national polls versus Donald Trump. 

 
Your nuance isn't significant enough to making a distinction between your position and his :shrug:    
It's a pretty big "nuance". I don't believe that Obama would ever interfere with an FBI or Justce Department decision. I do think he'd interfere in the election, and there's nothing wrong in that at all IMO. 
Willing to bet others have responded down post from here, but I have to ask.  You think Hillary would bail from her life long dream if Obama asked (months ago by the way)?

 
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