Player Spotlight: Frank Gore (1 Viewer)

[Jason Wood]

2007 Player Spotlight Series

Over the course of the offseason, we will be evaluating a multitude of players at every fantasy position. One such way we go about that is through the Player Spotlight series. Think of the Spotlights as a permanent record on some of the more intriguing players for the upcoming season. Each Spotlight will be featured in an article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Frank Gore, RB, San Francisco 49ers

Player Page Link: Frank Gore Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide sustainable value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsBest of Luck and ENJOY!

 

[Blackjacks]

I think Gore is going to bust big time this year. This is a guy who had a great season last year but I'm not ready to put him in the top 5 due to one great year. I'm staying away from in every draft I'll be in this year.

Not as sold on SF as much as others either I guess. I think the loss of Norv Turner will really set this offense back. Add in the fact that Gore has had some serious injury problems in the past and I'll just stay away.

337 carries

1159 yards

6 td's

3.4 avg

38 catches

217 yards

5.7 avg

 

[dickey moe]

STUD

 

[FavreCo]

STUD

275-1500 15 TD's

 

[shadyridr]

Stud RB. Nothing not to like. Will get a ton of carries, all the goalline looks, ton of receptions, and plays behind a very good oline. Also the addition of Jackson and the development of Davis will stop 8 and 9 man fronts. I got him ranked currently as my RB4 ahead of LJ.

340 att, 1500 yds, 13 tds, 60 rec, 500 yds, 1 td

 

[Otis]

 

[weasel3515]

Sure hope you guys are right. I'm keeping him as my one franchise player over Westbrook (others being kept are LT, LJ, Alexander, Steven Jackson, Peyton Manning). Just hope he doesn't get hurt but I'm willing to risk it.

 

[Cerwin]

I think Gore's value will drop slightly this year as more teams will focus on the SF running game. He should remain top ten, but in the 6-10 range.

330 att

1150 yards rushing

8 TDs

45 rec

200 yards rec

1 td

 

[David Yudkin]

I think Gore is going to bust big time this year. This is a guy who had a great season last year but I'm not ready to put him in the top 5 due to one great year. I'm staying away from in every draft I'll be in this year.Not as sold on SF as much as others either I guess. I think the loss of Norv Turner will really set this offense back. Add in the fact that Gore has had some serious injury problems in the past and I'll just stay away.337 carries 1159 yards6 td's3.4 avg38 catches217 yards5.7 avg

Prior to last season, there had been 51 times when a RB had amassed 2000+ yards in a season. How did they do following season? Glad you asked . . .- 15 had another season with 2000+ yards- 20 had a season with at least 1800 yards- 28 had a season with at least 1600 yards- 30 had a season with at least 1500 yards- 35 had a season with at least 1375 yards (the numbers projected here)Of the rest, most of them did well when they played but got hurt. The projection of 1376 does not seem to have Gore missing any time, so essentially Gore's yardage per game would drop from 136.3 ypg to 86 ypg. That's 50 fewer yards per game and I have a hard time coming up with a scenario where that would happen. Gore may not match his totals from last season, but I would not expect him to fall off a cliff production wise.

 

[Keepers]

I think Gore is going to bust big time this year. This is a guy who had a great season last year but I'm not ready to put him in the top 5 due to one great year. I'm staying away from in every draft I'll be in this year.Not as sold on SF as much as others either I guess. I think the loss of Norv Turner will really set this offense back. Add in the fact that Gore has had some serious injury problems in the past and I'll just stay away.337 carries 1159 yards6 td's3.4 avg38 catches217 yards5.7 avg

Prior to last season, there had been 51 times when a RB had amassed 2000+ yards in a season. How did they do following season? Glad you asked . . .- 15 had another season with 2000+ yards- 20 had a season with at least 1800 yards- 28 had a season with at least 1600 yards- 30 had a season with at least 1500 yards- 35 had a season with at least 1375 yards (the numbers projected here)Of the rest, most of them did well when they played but got hurt. The projection of 1376 does not seem to have Gore missing any time, so essentially Gore's yardage per game would drop from 136.3 ypg to 86 ypg. That's 50 fewer yards per game and I have a hard time coming up with a scenario where that would happen. Gore may not match his totals from last season, but I would not expect him to fall off a cliff production wise.

So in other words:15 had more than 2000 yards5 had 1800-2000 yards8 had 1600-18002 had 1500-1600 yards5 had 1375-1500 yards16 had less than 1375 yards.

 

[David Yudkin]

I think Gore is going to bust big time this year. This is a guy who had a great season last year but I'm not ready to put him in the top 5 due to one great year. I'm staying away from in every draft I'll be in this year.Not as sold on SF as much as others either I guess. I think the loss of Norv Turner will really set this offense back. Add in the fact that Gore has had some serious injury problems in the past and I'll just stay away.337 carries 1159 yards6 td's3.4 avg38 catches217 yards5.7 avg

Prior to last season, there had been 51 times when a RB had amassed 2000+ yards in a season. How did they do following season? Glad you asked . . .- 15 had another season with 2000+ yards- 20 had a season with at least 1800 yards- 28 had a season with at least 1600 yards- 30 had a season with at least 1500 yards- 35 had a season with at least 1375 yards (the numbers projected here)Of the rest, most of them did well when they played but got hurt. The projection of 1376 does not seem to have Gore missing any time, so essentially Gore's yardage per game would drop from 136.3 ypg to 86 ypg. That's 50 fewer yards per game and I have a hard time coming up with a scenario where that would happen. Gore may not match his totals from last season, but I would not expect him to fall off a cliff production wise.

So in other words:15 had more than 2000 yards5 had 1800-2000 yards8 had 1600-18002 had 1500-1600 yards5 had 1375-1500 yards16 had less than 1375 yards.

Guys that missed significant time included Edge, TD, William Andrews, Hearst, Jamal Anderson, Priest, and Barry Foster.

 

[Keepers]

Guys that missed significant time included Edge, TD, William Andrews, Hearst, Jamal Anderson, Priest, and Barry Foster.

Agree there, but just saying it is clearer to break down the numbers for each range than saying above a certain amount since players are double, triple and even quadrably counted for ranges .. true we can all see that is the case but for casual observers who don't want to do the math it is deceptive.

 

[TheFanatic]

I think Gore's value will drop slightly this year as more teams will focus on the SF running game. He should remain top ten, but in the 6-10 range.

330 att

1150 yards rushing

8 TDs

45 rec

200 yards rec

1 td

Actually, I think that you are correct but that they increase he catches as the QB relies on him more in the passing game. The WR's have been completely been redone and Vernon Davis hasn't done anything but an Under Armor commercial (whcih I'm guessing he got paid a lot of money because that #### is expensive).DJax, Lelie and Battle at WR? DJax shows flashes of brilliance between time on the trainers table and dropped passes. Lelie? Hope a fresh start will prove he isn't a chump. Battle? Who knows, but 11.6 yards per reception last year isn't so good....

Young QB + unreliable WR's + RB with great hands = lots of looks at Gore in the flat. And he's the Goal line guy so his TD's should stay relatively high but that stat can fluctuate greatly. I think his rushing yards go down but his receiving yards go up:

280 carries for 1350 yards rushing 11 TD's

70 catches for 600 yards receiving 2 TD's

 

[Heh-Man]

Gore's a stud. Sure, the loss of Norv Turner is going to hurt his numbers, but outside of injury, I simply can't see him dropping into fantasy irrelevance.

293 carries, 1403 yards, 10 TDs

47 catches, 375 yards, 1 TD

 

[FreeBaGeL]

I think Gore is going to bust big time this year.

I'm on board as well. He loses Turner and has had injury problems his whole life.I realize it's impossible to predict injuries, but I just have a feeling about him this year, and I think his production will drop off some even when he's healthy.12 games206 carries900 yards rushing5 TDs35 catches350 yards receiving1 TD

 

[derek19]

I think Gore is going to bust big time this year.

I'm on board as well. He loses Turner and has had injury problems his whole life.I realize it's impossible to predict injuries, but I just have a feeling about him this year, and I think his production will drop off some even when he's healthy.12 games206 carries900 yards rushing5 TDs35 catches350 yards receiving1 TD

Prediciting any player getting hurt is not cool Anyone want to do a sig bet? Gore will finish in the top 5 in the NFL, not just NFC, in rushing yards. Last year he finished third behind LT2 and LJ but led the NFC. Any takers???

 

[Hook Em']

I just want to make sure I understand what some of you are saying. The niners made significant upgrades on Off with the depth they added on the o-line and adding DJax and drafting Hill, A Smith is going to have had another year under his belt, Gore solved his fumbling prob by week 7 last season, and all this adds to Gore being a bust? I know they lost Turner, but from what i understood, they are not changing the off playbook to much. I could see maybe the same stats this season or a slight drop/raise, but I cannot understand why people are thinking he is going to be a bust.

About his injuries, I think he proved last season that he can take a pounding, and keep on truckin. I don't think the niners would have paid him his cash money, if they had not done thorough and extensive testing on his knees. Just my opinion, but I think Gore is going to be just fine this season.

303 att

1595 yds

10 TD

5.2 ypc

52 rec

415 yds

2 TD

 

[thayman]

I just want to make sure I understand what some of you are saying. The niners made significant upgrades on Off with the depth they added on the o-line and adding DJax and drafting Hill, A Smith is going to have had another year under his belt, Gore solved his fumbling prob by week 7 last season, and all this adds to Gore being a bust? I know they lost Turner, but from what i understood, they are not changing the off playbook to much. I could see maybe the same stats this season or a slight drop/raise, but I cannot understand why people are thinking he is going to be a bust.About his injuries, I think he proved last season that he can take a pounding, and keep on truckin. I don't think the niners would have paid him his cash money, if they had not done thorough and extensive testing on his knees. Just my opinion, but I think Gore is going to be just fine this season.303 att1595 yds10 TD5.2 ypc52 rec415 yds2 TD

The Niners did make some improvements, but if Gore can't stay healthy then it really doesn't matter. I hope he will be fine, and if on the field he will be a stud. But you can't just toss out his injury history.

 

[crnerblitz]

Come on over for the big win and hop onboard Frank the Tank!

1900 TYD's

14 TD's

 

[Footballhead]

Norv Turner is being given more credit for Gore's performance than he deserves. Even Alex Smith's performance is attributed to him; but I looked at what SF did with the young guns maturing in their second and third year. What have Norv done since he coached Aikman, Irving, Emmit Smith and Novacek?

Gore = Stud = Repeat. He overcame the regular 1500-1600 yds hump required before players make a jump to 2K yds in his second season only.

I'm projecting 1600 yds on the ground, 14TD

400 yds on air, 4 TD

Edit to add: All that speculation regarding injury is a waste of time. Anybody can lose playing time, even those who never had an ACL.

 

[Guzalot]

In terms of production, he'll be a stud. In terms of fantasy value, he's overrated. I see 1,200 rush and 250 rec and 11 TD's. For a likely top 5 pick, he's a poor value.

 

[Mapmaker]

Gore is a strong sure handed RB and the first option in a young offence with basically a sophmore QB ... I think the coaching staff will compliment Gore with Robinson a little more than most seem to be predicting, not out of necessity but as a better utilization of the talented RB depth available ...

285/1265/9 - 64/490/3

 

[FreeBaGeL]

What have Norv done since he coached Aikman, Irving, Emmit Smith and Novacek?

Well, he did bring LaMont along for the only studly season of his career, as well as both of the most studly seasons of Ricky Williams' career the only 2 years Turner coached him.

 

[David Yudkin]

Here's the history on RBs the year after Turner left town:

Emmitt: 1484/381/22

SDavis: 1432/205/5

LT: 1683/489/15

Ricky Williams: Retired

Jordan: Got hurt

 

[KING]

sure it's hard to predict injury, BUT when they already have bad knees, and bad shoulders, you have to address it. i couldn't take gore as a top 5 pick. the niners have already come out saying they want to limit gore's carries. of course, we here that alot, but in this case i believe it. gore has had major surgery on both shoulders, and bot knees. either injured or healthy, i don't see over 320 carries. nor do i see him being able to sustain over 5 yards per carry.

295 1300 4.4 9 and 62 500 8.1 2

 

[Jason Wood]

I think Gore is going to bust big time this year. This is a guy who had a great season last year but I'm not ready to put him in the top 5 due to one great year. I'm staying away from in every draft I'll be in this year.Not as sold on SF as much as others either I guess. I think the loss of Norv Turner will really set this offense back. Add in the fact that Gore has had some serious injury problems in the past and I'll just stay away.337 carries 1159 yards6 td's3.4 avg38 catches217 yards5.7 avg

Prior to last season, there had been 51 times when a RB had amassed 2000+ yards in a season. How did they do following season? Glad you asked . . .- 15 had another season with 2000+ yards- 20 had a season with at least 1800 yards- 28 had a season with at least 1600 yards- 30 had a season with at least 1500 yards- 35 had a season with at least 1375 yards (the numbers projected here)Of the rest, most of them did well when they played but got hurt. The projection of 1376 does not seem to have Gore missing any time, so essentially Gore's yardage per game would drop from 136.3 ypg to 86 ypg. That's 50 fewer yards per game and I have a hard time coming up with a scenario where that would happen. Gore may not match his totals from last season, but I would not expect him to fall off a cliff production wise.

This gets back to my "2,000+ Yards from Scrimmage" study a few years ago that gave me the confidence in believing the Priest Holmes hype. Same rules worked for Tiki in subsequent years. Absent of regurgitating the study over again, the fact is, barring injury, backs with 2,000 yards from scrimmage in Year 1 have, on average, a lower rate of decline in Year N+1 than other backs. It's basically a foregone conclusion these guys will be fantasy factors absent injury.

 

[ImTheScientist]

5.4 yards per carry is SICK. I have him at 1.3 in non-ppr, I would even consider taking him @ 1.2. How do you not love his schedule.....

Sep 10 Arizona 10:15pm

Sep 16 @St. Louis 1:00pm

Sep 23 @Pittsburgh 1:00pm

Sep 30 Seattle 4:05pm

Oct 7 Baltimore 4:15pm

Week 6 BYE

Oct 21 @N.Y. Giants 1:00pm

Oct 28 New Orleans 4:15pm

Nov 4 @Atlanta 1:00pm

Nov 12 @Seattle 8:30pm

Nov 18 St. Louis 4:15pm

Nov 25 @Arizona 4:05pm

Dec 2 @Carolina 1:00pm

Dec 9 Minnesota 4:05pm

Dec 15 Cincinnati 8:15pm

Dec 23 Tampa Bay 8:15pm

For those of you who say he is not Top 5, I would love to see who you rank above him, along with where you would rank him in non-ppr

 

[kensat30]

300/1300/8, 50/400/2

Gore is a great player, but I really think he played above his head last year with Norv Turner making him the centerpiece of a bad offense. Gore is almost guaranteed to not reach a high TD level in '07, so you have to bank on another year of huge rushing and/or receiving totals to earn his current top5 ranking. I just don't see it again.

First he would have to repeat the incredible 5+ ypc year he had rushing the ball in '06. 5+ ypc on 300 carries is rare enough, but to do it in back to back seasons is a feat even for the all-time greats of the game. Gore is a dual threat, but I also think we will see his receiving drop a little bit as well due to the Alex Smith maturation process. Smith tried to look downfield more than his numbers would suggest last year, but he ended up scrambling to buy time and dumping to Gore because no one could get open. But this year he has new and developing downfield targets in Jackson, Davis, Lelie, and Hill.

Bottomline for me, the loss of Norv Turner as OC is a much bigger hit than many anticipate. The guy is a mastermind at offensive playcalling, especially for fantasy RB purposes, and I'm expecting a 20% decrease in effectiveness from the RB position this year. Gore should be good, and a solid #1 fantasy RB, but nowhere near the stud levels many are projecting.

 

[5Rings]

I don't see another 5.4ypc average this year.

That said, I do see an increase in TDs since a) he seemed to solve his fumbling problem as the goalline later in the year and the job will be his all season, b) there is no back on the roster who can be a goal line back (MRobinson is garbage), and c) an actual threat of a passing game in the red zone should open it up a bit more for him.

Yeah, Norv left. Yeah, Fwank got hurt at Miami. Could be an issue.

I still think he's a lock for 300 carries and double digit TDs. I think he'll catch less passes this year as VD matures and becomes Alex's main guy.

320-1340 yds, 12 tds. 40-380, 1td.

 

[ImTheScientist]

I don't see another 5.4ypc average this year.

That said, I do see an increase in TDs since a) he seemed to solve his fumbling problem as the goalline later in the year and the job will be his all season, b) there is no back on the roster who can be a goal line back (MRobinson is garbage), and c) an actual threat of a passing game in the red zone should open it up a bit more for him.

Yeah, Norv left. Yeah, Fwank got hurt at Miami. Could be an issue.

I still think he's a lock for 300 carries and double digit TDs. I think he'll catch less passes this year as VD matures and becomes Alex's main guy.

320-1340 yds, 12 tds. 40-380, 1td.

You think he drops from 5.4 yards per carry to 4.1

 

[BigSteelThrill]

I like Gore to be #3-#5. With LJ and Addai.

He has the spectre of durability issues hanging around him.

If you watch him you see an overly exciting runner who has amazing vision.

310 rushes

1450 yards

10 TDs

45 catches

350 yards

2 TD

I conclude he will miss a game or two and have those durability questions remain.

But his performance will lock him into the top 5 for several years hence.

Robinson and others will steal some of the heavy pounding and keep his TDs down.

His ceiling will continue to grow (exceptionally high) as long as the 49ers continue to improve.

 

[lionsroar]

320 for 1550 and 12 scores

55 for 500 and 1 score

another 2000+ season

 

[weasel3515]

Is anyone else worried about him losing goalline carries to Robinson, Hicks or anyone else like he did last year? I really hope he doesn't but I remember getting excited when the niners got down inside the 10 only to have Michael Robinson fail on three straight attempts and settle for a FG.

 

[5Rings]

Is anyone else worried about him losing goalline carries to Robinson, Hicks or anyone else like he did last year? I really hope he doesn't but I remember getting excited when the niners got down inside the 10 only to have Michael Robinson fail on three straight attempts and settle for a FG.

No

 

[BigSteelThrill]

Is anyone else worried about him losing goalline carries to Robinson, Hicks or anyone else like he did last year? I really hope he doesn't but I remember getting excited when the niners got down inside the 10 only to have Michael Robinson fail on three straight attempts and settle for a FG.

Worried isnt the right word. He scored 9 times despite losing them last year. For him to score a couple more and hit the 12 TD range would be just fine. Despite losing 5-8 more to the short yardage sponges. It may temper his value, but it doesnt ruin it at all.

 

[Hook Em']

Is anyone else worried about him losing goalline carries to Robinson, Hicks or anyone else like he did last year? I really hope he doesn't but I remember getting excited when the niners got down inside the 10 only to have Michael Robinson fail on three straight attempts and settle for a FG.

I would not worry about it. Here are his TD yardage: 4, 2, 32, 61, 12, 1, 2, 1What this shows is that he had the little fumble prob early on, and then fixed it, and was given the goaline carries towards the end of the season. Week 12: 12yd TDWeek 14: 1yd TDWeek 16: 2yd TD and 1yd TDSo i think these stats prove that he will get his short yardage carries.

 

[RD1967]

I think Gore is going to bust big time this year. This is a guy who had a great season last year but I'm not ready to put him in the top 5 due to one great year. I'm staying away from in every draft I'll be in this year.Not as sold on SF as much as others either I guess. I think the loss of Norv Turner will really set this offense back. Add in the fact that Gore has had some serious injury problems in the past and I'll just stay away.337 carries 1159 yards6 td's3.4 avg38 catches217 yards5.7 avg

You give Norv Turner far too much credit. A good O-COORD. Nolan is a smart dude. It will be ground and Pound, it would not suprise me in the least for Gore to Bust a Record this year Rushing.

 

[Blackjacks]

I think Gore is going to bust big time this year. This is a guy who had a great season last year but I'm not ready to put him in the top 5 due to one great year. I'm staying away from in every draft I'll be in this year.

Not as sold on SF as much as others either I guess. I think the loss of Norv Turner will really set this offense back. Add in the fact that Gore has had some serious injury problems in the past and I'll just stay away.

337 carries

1159 yards

6 td's

3.4 avg

38 catches

217 yards

5.7 avg

You give Norv Turner far too much credit. A good O-COORD. Nolan is a smart dude. It will be ground and Pound, it would not suprise me in the least for Gore to Bust a Record this year Rushing.

You give Gore way to much credit as well.1 good year, sorry not jumping on board.

 

[mlball77]

I like Gore's skill set a lot, but who doesn't? Turner leaving is a bit of a concern (directly) and injury history is as well. Plus, if Alex Smith regresses with Turner gone, the offense as a whole could be greatly adversely impacted... hurting Gore as well. Thats the wildcard here imo (indirect impact of Turner's departure).

Rushing Yards: 1350

Rushing TDs: 9

Recs: 50

Rec Yards: 400

Rec TDs: 1

 

[rzrback77]

I think that Frank Gore improved as the season went along last year and I believe that San Francisco will continue to improve this upcoming season. Chris Smith's summary of their offensive line sounded very good and their strength is in run blocking. I think that Alex Smith continues his improvement which could also help loosen up the defense some and allow Gore room.

Frank Gore 320 carries 1620 yards (5.06 ypc) 60 receptions for 450 yds and 12 total TDs

 

[Power Monster]

Freaking beast will roll:

Rush yds- 1400

Rush TDs- 13

Rec yds- 325

Rec- 55

Rec TDs-2

 

[shadyridr]

Quite simply, Frank Gore is

 

[Blackjacks]

Quite simply, Frank Gore is

Drafting a guy cause he is good on Madden always works out good for you during the year.

 

[ImTheScientist]

Frank Gore-RB-49ers Jun. 7 - 10:58 am et After claiming he plans to limit Frank Gore's carries to under 300, 49ers head coach Mike Nolan now says Gore could get 20-25 touches-per-game."I'm going for quality, not quantity," Nolan says. The Niners didn't add much backfield talent this offseason. Gore wants to break the single-season record for rushing yards and probably will need more than 300 carries to do it.Source: Santa Rosa Press Democrat

My pick at 1.2 will be Mr. Gore

 

[JimboJim]

I like Frank Gore, I really do. However, I don't think I'd ever give him more value than 90% of the numbers I predict for him due to his previous injury problems. He has torn ligaments in both of his knees, had both of his shoulders rebuilt and while he plays through pain, always seems to be dinged up.

I still believe he will produce this season, but not at the yardage rate of last year; that 5.4 YPC is just not consistently attainable.

If the 49ers are smart, they will limit him to around 300 carries and 50 or so receptions.

Prediction:

300 carries

1450 yards rushing

10 rushing TDs

50 receptions

400 yards receiving

1 receiving TD

 

[weasel3515]

Frank Gore-RB-49ers Jun. 7 - 10:58 am et After claiming he plans to limit Frank Gore's carries to under 300, 49ers head coach Mike Nolan now says Gore could get 20-25 touches-per-game."I'm going for quality, not quantity," Nolan says. The Niners didn't add much backfield talent this offseason. Gore wants to break the single-season record for rushing yards and probably will need more than 300 carries to do it.Source: Santa Rosa Press Democrat

My pick at 1.2 will be Mr. Gore

So you would take Gore over S.Jackson, LJ or Alexander? I am taking him at 1.2 because I'm in a keeper league and he's my top player and all of the aforementioned guys are already being kept. I like Gore a lot too but think he could fall near the end of the first round so if you could trade down I would so you can get another good RB in the second round.

 

[shadyridr]

Frank Gore-RB-49ers Jun. 7 - 10:58 am et

After claiming he plans to limit Frank Gore's carries to under 300, 49ers head coach Mike Nolan now says Gore could get 20-25 touches-per-game.

"I'm going for quality, not quantity," Nolan says. The Niners didn't add much backfield talent this offseason. Gore wants to break the single-season record for rushing yards and probably will need more than 300 carries to do it.

Source: Santa Rosa Press Democrat

My pick at 1.2 will be Mr. Gore

So you would take Gore over S.Jackson, LJ or Alexander? I am taking him at 1.2 because I'm in a keeper league and he's my top player and all of the aforementioned guys are already being kept. I like Gore a lot too but think he could fall near the end of the first round so if you could trade down I would so you can get another good RB in the second round.

No chance in hell. He is a top 5 pick in most drafts. MAYBE 6th after Westbrook.

 

[ImTheScientist]

1.2

 

[bspoppa]

I dont see why he would do much worse than last year if he stays healthy. The offense is not spectacular, but it still should be better than last year. Wide outs aren't great but DJax is an improvement over Bryant, Lelie might atleast add a little deep threat, and it Davis stays healthy he should impact as well.

Also the defense is much improved giving him 4th quarter carries he didn't have last season if they are winning or atleast within 1 score late.

300 for 1500 and 60 catches for 500, 12 tds

 

[cowpie]

I think Gore is going to bust big time this year. This is a guy who had a great season last year but I'm not ready to put him in the top 5 due to one great year. I'm staying away from in every draft I'll be in this year.Not as sold on SF as much as others either I guess. I think the loss of Norv Turner will really set this offense back. Add in the fact that Gore has had some serious injury problems in the past and I'll just stay away.337 carries 1159 yards6 td's3.4 avg38 catches217 yards5.7 avg

Prior to last season, there had been 51 times when a RB had amassed 2000+ yards in a season. How did they do following season? Glad you asked . . .- 15 had another season with 2000+ yards- 20 had a season with at least 1800 yards- 28 had a season with at least 1600 yards- 30 had a season with at least 1500 yards- 35 had a season with at least 1375 yards (the numbers projected here)Of the rest, most of them did well when they played but got hurt. The projection of 1376 does not seem to have Gore missing any time, so essentially Gore's yardage per game would drop from 136.3 ypg to 86 ypg. That's 50 fewer yards per game and I have a hard time coming up with a scenario where that would happen. Gore may not match his totals from last season, but I would not expect him to fall off a cliff production wise.

GREAT POST!!!! gore is in the same situaiton as tomlinson was at the beginning of his career.Good back, bad team that only has him to focus around. alot of rushes and a lot of recieving yards. gore had only 9tds last year and for a guy as good as him that has to go up. his YPC will go down, but he will still be a great back to have this year. He will be top 6320 rushes,1450 yards, 75 receptions 500 yards, 12 combined tds