Player Spotlight: Terry Glenn (1 Viewer)

[Jason Wood]

2007 Player Spotlight Series

Over the course of the offseason, we will be evaluating a multitude of players at every fantasy position. One such way we go about that is through the Player Spotlight series. Think of the Spotlights as a permanent record on some of the more intriguing players for the upcoming season. Each Spotlight will be featured in an article on the main website.

Thread Topic: Terry Glenn, WR, Dallas Cowboys

Player Page Link: Terry Glenn Player Page

Each article will include:

Detailed viewpoint from a Footballguys staff member
Highlighted member commentary from the message board threads
FBG Projections
Consensus Member ProjectionsThe Rules

In order for this thread to provide sustainable value, we ask that you follow a few simple guidelines:

Focus commentary on the player in question, and your expectations for said player
Back up your expectations in whatever manner you deem appropriate; avoid posts that simply say "I hate him" or "He's the best"
To be included in the final synopsis and consensus outlook, you MUST provide projections for the playerProjections should include (at a minimum):

For QBs: Passing Yards, Passing TDs, Ints, Rush Yards, Rush TDs
For RBs: Rushes, Rushing Yards, Rush TDs, Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDs
For WRs & TEs: Receptions, Receiving Yards, Receiving TDsBest of Luck and ENJOY!

 

[Phlash]

Terry Glenn is getting up there in age. Last years 1000+ yard season was very solid, but I am unsure as to whether he can keep that production up. Still, he should be a solid #2 for the Cowboys, and a great #3 for your fantasy team.

60/800/5

 

[redman]

I didn't like how much he dropped off when Romo got into the lineup. I think it's because, as the speedster of the group, he was deep a lot and Romo is better suited to pass to guys running the timing and crossing patterns, like Witten and TO, than to go deep. That was a big part of why he was getting rid of the ball faster and not getting shellacked in the pocket like Bledsoe.

I think he's still a good fantasy play, but not like what he was for the first part of 2006 with Bledsoe.

65/975/6

 

[KING]

age, and the loss of the big tuna will hurt glenn. not that 33 is old, but you just never know what you're going to get with him.

59 867 14.7 5

 

[shadyridr]

Glenn will have his occassional big game (2 or 3 TDs, 150 yds). He seems to do it once every year. But with Romo perhaps declining a bit and Barber and Owens stealing most of the TDs I dont think he will be consistent enough to take early. Id say at best a WR3.

65 rec, 900 yds, 5 tds, 60 rush yds, 1 td

 

[Maurile Tremblay]

I like the Cowboys passing offense in general a lot this year, and Glenn is nearly their WR1b to Owens' WR1a except around the goal line.

72 rec, 1077 yards, 5 TDs / 3 rushes, 17 yards, 0 TDs

 

[Iwannabeacowboybaby!]

I think Terry Glenn has been a solid acquisition to the team for a couple of years. But when I think back, it was Bill Parcells bringing him in and Bledsoe throwing him the ball. A couple of important things to note was that Bledsoe was familiar with T. Glenn from years past and so was Bill Parcells.

That's not the case now. I think Terry Glenn is still a solid player, but I don't think there's a great connection between he and Romo. In fact, Patrick Crayton will eat into his numbers as he progresses as a WR as far as targets are concerned.

60 receptions 850 yards and 6 td's

 

[Michael Fox Fan]

I didn't like how much he dropped off when Romo got into the lineup.

I don't understand this comment.Without Romo:

5 games, 25 catches, 337 yards, 3 TDs ==> 10.34 fantasy points per game (assuming no PPR)

With Romo:

10 games, 45 catches, 710 yards, 3 TDs ==> 8.9 fantasy points per game (no PPR)

Game by game:

Bledsoe is starting:

Week 1: 4 catches, 81 yards, 0 TD

Week 2: 6 catches, 94 yards, 1 TD

Week 3: bye

Week 4: 5 catches, 54 yards, 2 TD

Week 5: 5 catches, 61 yards, 0 TD

Week 6: 5 catches, 47 yards, 0 TD

Romo takes over

Week 7: 4 catches, 41 yards, 0 TD

Week 8: 4 catches, 52 yards, 0 TD

Week 9: 3 catches, 26 yards, 1 TD

Week 10: did not play

Week 11: 6 catches, 78 yards, 0 TD

Week 12: 4 catches, 89 yards, 2 TD

Week 13: 4 catches, 52 yards, 0 TD

Week 14: 8 catches, 150 yards, 0 TD

Week 15: 5 catches, 96 yards, 0 TD

Week 16: 1 catch, 17 yards, 0 TD

Week 17: 6 catches, 109 yards, 0 TD

So Glenn had a bad week 16 against Philly, and may have gone out early in week 9 (since he sat out week 10). I really don't see a major difference in his stat line.....basically he had fewer TDs with Romo....but 5 games with Bledsoe is a pretty small sample size, I would argue statistically insignificant.

The biggest reasons I worry about Glenn: 1) new head coach, 2) injury history, 3) advancing age, 4) too many other offensive weapons.....TO, Barber, Jones, Witten.

Edit to add: I'm too lazy to look it up, but would be curious to see if Glenn was targeted more/less with Bledsoe vs. Romo.

2nd edit: Redman, despite my comments above I liked your projections!

I expect 63 catches, 925 yards, 5 TDs.

But as a reluctant Glenn owner, I hope for more.

 

[Ridgelake]

For predictions of Glenn, go back and take a look at Alvin Harper's production when he was with Dallas. Jason Garrett is installing the same passing offense that Norv Turner used in Dallas with Aikman, Irvin, Harper, and Novacek.

Romo = Aikman

TO = Irvin

Glenn = Harper

Witten = Novacek

Thats to say that Glenn will be the deep threat with TO doing a bunch of skinny posts and deep ins. Glenn will likely have a very high YPC. Perhaps lead the league in this stat.

There's also the injury risk. Glenn has been largely healthy the last 2 years. My gut tells me he's not likely to repeat that this year. I've been one of Glenn's biggest supporters the last couple of years. But I've got a bit of a negative feeling about this year.

Assuming he's healthy, I'd see expect something like 50/950/6.

 

[rzrback77]

Even though Bill Parcells is gone, the Cowboys should probably operate under the "Don't fix it if it ain't broke" theory. T Owens, T Glenn, and Witten should all prosper in 07 for the Cowboys.

Terry Glenn will continue to surprise, even at 33 and with a new coach.

100 targets 62 catches for 900 yards and 5 TDs.

 

[Ministry of Pain]

I would think Glenn will still post about 3.5-4 receptions a week.

56 receptions, 750 yds, 5TD

 

[SSOG]

I always hate drafting aging WRs when those WRs have always been reliant on their speed. The big problem is that speed seems to disappear very quickly and seemingly without warning. This season, both Glenn (33) and Galloway (36) fit that description. The problem? Well, they've both fit that description for the last two years, too, and the two have finished 5th, 15th, 12th, and 20th during that span.

I've looked for some signs, any signs, that Glenn might be losing a step. Watching him in games last year, I didn't see any visible signs that he was slowing. Looking at the statistics, his ypc has remained superlative, only twice dipping below 14.5 ypc (never since 2000). During the last three seasons, he has the first, second, and sixth best ypcs of his career, so he's still performing at a remarkably high level. His catch% last year was 64%, which is positively sterling for a guy typically used as a deep threat. To look at some more complex numbers, his yards per target for the last three seasons are 9.5, 9.6, and 10.3- which is truly remarkable. Among WRs with 100+ targets, only Reggie Wayne posted a higher yards per target (9.6) than Glenn's 9.5 last year (Lee Evans was third with 9.4)... and Bledsoe/Romo are no Peyton Manning. Terry Glenn isn't just playing at a high level, Terry Glenn is playing at an elite level, an All Pro level. While it seems ridiculous to suggest that a WR whose game is predicated on speed is actually better at 33 than he was at 26, that is exactly what has happened here. In fact, it could be argued that Terry Glenn, not Terrell Owens, is Dallas's best receiver (Owens is very good in the red zone, but a lot of his numbers are simply a result of quantity of targets- he averaged 7.8 yards per target and had 13 targets inside the 10 yard line compared to Glenn's 7). Owens is marginally better in the red zone, but Glenn is significantly better outside of it.

Now, certain realities aren't going to change, so Glenn is not without his downsides. There's always the chance that he ages suddenly and without any warning whatsoever, although I doubt the likelihood of that. There remains the fact, as well, that Owens isn't going to change his stripes- he's going to continue to demand the ball at every opportunity, which will always keep Glenn's targets low. Still, Glenn is a very reliable veteran who is an elite receiver playing the best football of his career. His per-target numbers are so obscene (and have been that way for so long) that he'll likely present great value even with limited targets... and if his targets increase for any reason at all (say, Owens gets suspended or injured)... then look out, because Glenn could very easily become the surprise WR stud of 2007.

65/1040/7

 

[Mapmaker]

Glenn wasn't able to score a TD after week 12 last season, a 6 game stretch that brought to a close a good years FF production with a yawn instead of a roar.

I feel theres just too many options in the Dallas offence not named Glenn to think Terry will be anything more than an average WR3 for most FF managers this coming season, Owens, Crayton, Witten, Fasano, Jones and TD monster Barber will all be looking for their share of the pie and I think Glenn will have a hard time equaling the numbers he put up under Parcells the past few seasons.

54/840/5

 

[finnref]

any Dallas homers have news on Glenn. Will his knee problems be significant and will Crayton take over?

 

[whodeywhodey]

any Dallas homers have news on Glenn. Will his knee problems be significant and will Crayton take over?

Terry Glenn-WR-Cowboys Aug. 29 - 4:29 pm et Terry Glenn (knee surgery) isn't confident he'll play in the season opener.He sounds very questionable to practice Saturday, the date Dallas set for Glenn to return. Glenn says "with the grace of God" he'll be a go for Week 1.Source: Dallas Morning News