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Players you were really right/wrong about so far (1 Viewer)

Ghost Rider

Footballguy
Injuries are part of the equation, so they are no excuse for a player not performing.

Players I was really right about so far:

Chris Johnson (I didn't think he'd be this bad, but laughed at him going for around $40 in most auctions)

Matthew Stafford (again, didn't think he'd be this average, but thought there was no way he'd throw for 40+ and 5,000 again)

Ryan Mathews (too injury-prone to rely on at RB1)

Steven Ridley (consistency will be a #####, but he's had two great weeks thus far)

Alfred Morris (got him for 3 or 4 bucks in numerous auctions)

Greg Zuerlein (I was laughed at in a chat of an online auction for getting the Rams kicker..who's laughing now?)

Players I was really wrong about so far:

Fred Jackson (damn injuries)

Antonio Gates (am kicking myself for buying the "this is the healthiest he has been in years" preseason hype)

AJ Green (I wasn't sure he'd be good enough to justify what most were paying for him; I was dead wrong)

Jamaal Charles (wasn't sure he'd be the same after that kind of injury)

Peyton Hillis (thought he'd be a really solid RB3..whoops)

 
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Right

Roddy White

Flacco

Torrey Smith

Foster Tate situation (never believed a timeshare)

Wrong

Peyton Manning (thought he would look like a shell of himself)

Cutler and Marshall (thought I was right after week 1)

FJax (although injury so who knows)

RG3 (thought he would struggle badly)

 
Right:

Greg Zuerlien (believer since pre season)

Roddy White

Torrey Smith

Jamaal Charles

Wrong:

DMC

Ogletree after week 1

NYJ WRs (Kerley and Holmes)

Eric Berry

 
Right:

Reggie Wayne

Alfred Morris

Cardinals Defense

Dwayne Bowe and Mike Wallace (I thought the lock-outs would help make both good values)

Wrong:

Peyton Hillis

Jacquizz Rodgers (not terrible for ppr, but he's just not that good at running the ball)

Dez Bryant (he should just be on this list yearly for people)

Doug Martin, Ahmad Bradshaw (glad I trade them both though)

 
Right:

Reggie Wayne

J.J. Watt

Daryl Washington

Martellus Bennett

VJAX

The Cardinals RB situaion (split): Knew it was going to be muck and mire

Wrong:

Brandon Marshall

Jeremy Maclin

The Cardinals RB situation (split): Thought Beanie would have a good 65/35 split...not sure if that will hold up..injuries, etc.

Push so far:

Jacob Tamme (guess you can say he IS the guy there, but clearly isn't producing as high as expected.

 
So far these were the guys I was right on:

Percy Harvin - He's really producing every game for me

AJ Green - Another WR that catches everything and he gets into the end zone

Peyton Manning - Got him in the 8th round I think

Players I was wrong about:

Chris Johnson - I thought he'd have a good year. I'm glad someone took him before I did. I'd have drafted him

DMC - I thought he was going to lead the league in yards and TD. Glad he went before my pick

 
Not throwing in the towel, but Hillis being injured in 3 of 4 games has led to a miss.

I feel like I was right about Richardson and Martin being overvalued, but Richardson has scored a few TDs to offset his lackluster 3.5 ypc.

I'm calling Lloyd a victory despite only 1 TD in 4 games.

How does everyone feel about Andre Johnson? He looks as dominant as ever, but the Texans are too dominant as a team to need to use him.

It appears as though I was wrong about Gates being back. But Olsen looks legit. So that balances out.

Ryan Mathews... can I get an extension on the deadline to make that decision?

 
Right:

Zuerlein

Manning

Charles

Greene

Wrong:

Gates, Gates, Gates :wall:

Julio

Marshall

RGIII (No way he's another Cam, right???)

Mathews

Chris Johnson (thought he would be good RB2)

 
Right:

Miles Austin

Matt Ryan

Adrian Peterson

Torrey Smith

Wrong:

Gates

Richardson (just did not believe the hype and that kid is for real).

DMC over Lynch...will kick myself about this one all year long

Few others that are undecided yet because of early injuries...Jennings and Bradshaw

 
Right;

AJ Green - Kid is a stud and looks unstoppable.

T. Richardson - his talent us rising above his situation due to touches.

V. Cruz - My projections placed him as the #2 WR and he is currently #3.

D. Bowe - My projections placed him as a top 10 WR and he is looking every bit of that.

R. Bush - My projections had him as a top 10 RB in PPR and he looks every bit of that.

Wrong;

D. McFadden - He looks explosive but the Oak O doesn't seem able to support his ranking as a top player.

C. Johnson - I didn't think he could be this bad. I was wrong.

T. Young - Was expecting growth and a break out. I was wrong.

B. Pettitgrew - Was expecting him to turn the corner but he still drops way too many balls to be an elite fantasy player.

RG3 - I've loved RG3 for a long time but never thought he could be a top 5 player this year, let alone #1 QB.

 
Right about

RG3- special player...high character guy...great leader..knew they were playing vanilla offense in preseason

Victor Cruz- Eli loves him and Eli is elite

Eric Decker- Solid wr2 ppr

49ers DST- starting to come out of funk

Wrong about

Gates :confused: - this one most perplexing. Beside rib strain no vjax mediocre wr's/running game...what gives?

CJO- final chapter not written yet though

Hillis/Charles-even without injuries thought they would use this guy

 
I was right on

Matt Ryan - thought would be elite....he is.

Mikel Leshoure - thought he would take over in DET.....he has.

CJ Spiller - injury has hurt him, but thought he would be great value as a RB3.

V Jackson - I liked him as a nice WR2 at a WR3 price.

Gore - Still looks pretty good and a great RB2, was drafted at RB3 price.

RGII - thought he would be good. And he is.

Greg Olsen - someone else has to catch the ball in CAR after S Smith.

Jimmy Graham and Rob Gronkowski - yes they are worth their 1st or 2nd round selections.

Chris Johnson - except last week, he's been bad......passed on him for Tom Brady in 2 leagues in the 1st round.

I was wrong on

Gates - losing V Jackson has hurt SD more than we can imagine. But I do think Gates is a great buy low, because I think SD passing offense gets better when Vincent Brown comes back. Drafting him in th 5th round in my big league has killed me since it cost me WR depth that many other teams have that selected Martellus Bennett late or off the WW.

Flacco - thought he would be a mediocre #2QB, and he looks like a top 12 guy.

Wayne - thought he was washed up.

Ridley - thought he would be the starter in NE, but not getting 100 and a score many weeks.

Cruz - thought his year was an abberation. He's the real deal. Passed on for Jennings in one league and paying a big price for it.

 
RIGHT (for the spots I got them in)

J Charles

RGIII

Demeryus Thomas

WRONG

Ryan Matthews (although I'm willing to still give him the benefit of the doubt)

Maclin

D Martin

 
Right – RG3 as a QB1 I could draft late, Harvin as a WR1 I could drafter later than the other WR1

Wrong – Doug Martin, Bradshaw

 
Right:

CJ2

AJ Green

Reggie Wayne

Schaub

JCharles

PHillis

Wrong:

Gates

Redman

DWilson

PThomas

but i also think it is too early to tell. CJ2 had a good week but I still think he isn't close to what he once was.

 
RIGHT - ADP, McGahee, DJax, Torrey

WRONG - Rodgers, Nelson, Welker, Gates (it's still early but all have underperformed)

 
Hit:

Ryan...he was still worth the 2-3 round bump we saw in his ADP before the season

Miss:

Harvin...I need to get over my bad attitude about this guy and his migraines

To early to really tell but somebody I think is going to have a very solid season from here on out:

Benson...I would be trying to acquire this guy if he wasn't on my team already, not sure he would cost you THAT much....San Fransisco is in the rear view mirror and GB schedule looks very nice the rest of the way....I like what I am starting to see here....

 
Right: In a good way

Reggie Wayne

Stevan Ridley

Cedric Benson

C.J. Spiller

Percy Harvin

Marshawn Lynch

Eric Decker

Dwanye Bowe

Adrian Peterson

Right: In a bad way

Jordy Nelson

Dez Bryant

Micheal Turner (for now)

Cam Newton

Josh Freman

Mike Williams

Kevin Smith

Ahmad Bradshaw

Wrong: In a good way

Matt Ryan

Danny Amendola

Reggie Bush

Brandon Lloyd

Wrong: In a bad way

Denariaus Moore

DMC

Philip Rivers

Legarrette Blount

Jacquizz Rodgers

Johnathan Dwyer

Matt Stafford

 
Right-

Spiller

Wayne

Ryan

Julio Jones (thought he was overrated as he dissappears even when he's healthy)

Jennings (too many options and have never like him in PPR leagues)

Gronk (too many options for the Pats compared to last year Lloyd and healthy Hernandez)

Rodgers (didn't think he was going to be any better than other top 3-4 QBs)

Bryant overrated

Meachem ""

T Young " "

wrong-

Brady- (Thought he might be the top QB)

Marshall- (thought he'd be a PPR monster reuniting with Cutler)

Cutler-(Was targeting him as 8-10 QB off the board in leagues,fortunately didn't get him)

Maclin-(Thought he'd be solid WR2)

Little-(Thought he was going too late-now I'm likely going to drop him)

Mal Floyd (much better than I thought he'd be )

Gates-Had him rated as the TE 3-fortunately didn't get him

 
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:thumbup:

Reggie Wayne

Cedric Benson - cheap flex with good upside every week.

:thumbdown:

Chris Johnson - who knows if week 4 is the turnaround or an anomaly.

Greg Little - wowbad

Steve Smith (STL)

Jake Locker

Jeremy Maclin - 1 catch last nite...

 
Right:

Kyle Ruldoph

Dennis Pitta

Frank Gore

Randy Moss (Do not draft list)

Titus Young(ditto)

Ryan Mathews (ditto)

Wrong;

RGIII (thought he would be avearage to good range but did not think he would be putting the team on his back so soon)

Matt Ryan (thought he would be scoring like Matt Shaub instead of top 5)

Beanie Wells (took him as RB3 - wasted pick)

Undecided:

Cedric Benson - I called him overrated. Probably a good play in a best ball league but seems slightly below average in normal leagues. IMO, Packers play better when they are not featuring him. I don't know whether his role will increase or decrease in the future.

Edited to add Beanie Wells to my wrong list

 
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I feel like I was right about Richardson and Martin being overvalued, but Richardson has scored a few TDs to offset his lackluster 3.5 ypc.
:no: Martin yes, Richardson, not even close. Most people drafting in redraft had him as a high RB2. In one league I'm in, he is tied with Frank Gore at RB11 - 1 point behind MJD. He is outperforming his ADP in many cases. And, no, sorry you can't just take away a few TDs. His usage resulting in those TDs was built into his value - and it was widely assumed that he would have a lower ypc - but that his high usage would offset that. Which it has.Which is why....Players I was right on:T. Richardson (had him as a solid RB2 with RB1 upside)M. Ryan (had him top 5)D. Thomas (this one is close - had him higher than Decker in NON-PPR - for right now he is)Justin Tucker (yep, a kicker - had him easily top 10, given his abilities and the offense he plays for)Players I was wrong on:A. Bradshaw (thought he would be a strong RB2 - no - hurt and looks slow)D. Brown (thought he'd be a solid RB3 with RB2 upside...ummm...nope)F. Davis/Finley/Fleener (thought each would be a TE1 - not even close)D. Jackson - thought he would be total bust after signing big $ - right now, he's a solid WR2 (nonPPR)
 
Right

Roddy (thought he'd be the one to benefit most from ATL having 2 great WRs)

Demarius Thomas (ditto)

Jamaal Charles (thought he'd be back, but not this soon)

Ridley (when it comes to him, I am the fan they warn players about at the rookie symposium)

Half-Right, Half-Wrong

Lloyd (thought Brady would fixate on him like he used to with Moss; didn't think he'd let balls bounce off his facemask)

Ray Rice (thought the vertical passing attack would lead to more play-action, which in turn would force the Ravens to use him more; didn't count on Cam Cameron continuing to be Cam Cameron)

Wrong

Foster (thought Tate would be more of a problem)

Gates (Oh, how wrong)

Marshall (thought he'd be spoon-feed by Cutler to the point where his drops wouldn't matter)

David Wilson (did not see Brown jumping him on the depth chart)

 
Right-

Spiller

Wayne

Ryan

Julio Jones (thought he was overrated as he dissappears even when he's healthy)

Jennings (too many options and have never like him in PPR leagues)

Gronk (too many options for the Pats compared to last year Lloyd and healthy Hernandez)

Rodgers (didn't think he was going to be any better than other top 3-4 QBs)

Bryant overrated

Meachem ""

T Young " "

wrong-

Brady- (Thought he might be the top QB)

Marshall- (thought he'd be a PPR monster reuniting with Cutler)

Cutler-(Was targeting him as 8-10 QB off the board in leagues,fortunately didn't get him)

Maclin-(Thought he'd be solid WR2)

Little-(Thought he was going too late-now I'm likely going to drop him)

Mal Floyd (much better than I thought he'd be )

Gates-Had him rated as the TE 3-fortunately didn't get him
see...I guess I'm just not sure about things like this.....(bolded).....my question would be.... if you were right on Ryan having this type of year (huge year so far/jump into elite status) then how can you really be right about Julio having a bad year.....where did you see the results of Ryan's emergence into the next level going to.....?

I guess a good question would be, if you are calling your shot here on Julio after a sub par game....what were your projections for him at the beginning of the season?....and who of White/Gonzo/Douglas/Rogers, etc was going to have a pretty drastic increase in production to account for Ryan increase in production...

and finally, I kind of take from this that you are predicting a bad year for Julio, so I ask you....right now what WR's would you rather have besides him for the rest of the year....cause my list would be very, very, very short....

 
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Right - Peyton Manning, Harvin, Lloyd Wallace, Benson

Wrong - Gates, K. Smith/Leshoure, Cutler, Collie, Freeman, Peterson

 
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Wrong

Cutler and Marshall (thought I was right after week 1)
See, it's clear that the Bears have awful pass protection. So I think Cutler will always struggle against teams with good pass rushes. But we know that Cutler force feeds the ball to Marshall. So looking ahead at Chicago's schedule, I think Marshall will have some huge weeks:Jacksonville

Detroit

Carolina

Tennessee

Houston

San Francisco

Minnesota

Seattle

Minnesota

Green Bay

Arizona

Detroit

 
Not throwing in the towel, but Hillis being injured in 3 of 4 games has led to a miss.

I feel like I was right about Richardson and Martin being overvalued, but Richardson has scored a few TDs to offset his lackluster 3.5 ypc.

I'm calling Lloyd a victory despite only 1 TD in 4 games.

How does everyone feel about Andre Johnson? He looks as dominant as ever, but the Texans are too dominant as a team to need to use him.

It appears as though I was wrong about Gates being back. But Olsen looks legit. So that balances out.

Ryan Mathews... can I get an extension on the deadline to make that decision?
Not to be a #####, but I went back and forth with you about both of these and I think you're crazy if you think you were proven right. You said Martin was overvalued because you claimed Blount was still going to be the starter. When I (and others) pointed out Martin was the more well rounded player, better pass blocker, drafted to be the starter immediately, etc. you posted articles about how Blount had really picked up the passing game, etc. and claimed he would get over half of the carries. You couldn't have been much more wrong.

With Richardson, you claimed his offense was terrible and he had almost no shot at scoring 10 TDs. You claimed there was less than a 10% chance of 10 TDs in fact. I argued that he was going to be the sole focus of that offense and was too talented not to find the end zone and that he should put up solid TD numbers with a good shot at 10. He is currently on pace for 16 TDs this season...

 
Wrong; Wilson (NYG), Wilson (NYG), Wilson (NYG)....did I mention Wilson?

Right; Ryan (ATL), Hartline and Ridley

 
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Didn't post as much here during the pre-season, but here goes:

Right:

Matt Ryan

Jay Cutler

Jake Locker

Chris Johnson

Andre Johnson

Percy Harvin

Mike Wallace

Dez Bryant

Victor Cruz

Torrey Smith

Tony Gonzalez

Fred Davis

Greg Zuerlein

Wrong:

Darren McFadden

Trent Richardson

Roy Helu/Alfred Morris

Peyton Hillis

Shane Vereen

Brandon Lloyd

A.J. Green

Antonio Gates

 
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Right

- RGIII

- Peyton

- Heath Miller

- Fred Jackson (no way he repeats 1st half of '11)

- Davone Bess (a buddy was convinced he was best late round flyer, didn't buy it)

Wrong

- MJD (thought the holdout would extend into 1st quarter of the season)

- Gates

- Scott Chandler

- Heyward Bey (although INJ may mean his grade is an incomplete)

 
Mark Ingram

I thought he would be at least a RB3 with a shot at double digit TDs this season (a potential steal from where he was being drafted). I was completely wrong on the impact losing the head coaching staff would have on the team's success and completely underestimated the impact of Pierre Thomas in the running game.

 
Every RB on my roster not named Rice isn't looking so hot right now (SJax, Bradshaw, D. Brown, K. Smith).

 

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