One team had the # 1,2,4,5, 7, 8 and 10 picks in Round One!
Actually pre-draft had- 1,2, 5,6,7,8,10,11,12. Then traded around.One team had the # 1,2,4,5, 7, 8 and 10 picks in Round One!
That seems really low for Montgomery and high for Brown.The latest update:
1.1 N’Keal Harry WR NE
1.2 Josh Jacobs RB OAK
1.3 Marquise Brown WR BAL
1.4 Paris Campbell WR IND
1.5 Mikes Sanders RB PHI
1.6 DK Metcalf WR SEA
1.7 AJ Brown WR TEN
1.8 Deebo Samuel WR SF
1.9 Kyler Murray QB AZ
1.10 D Henderson, RB, LAR
1.11 Noah Fant TE DEN
1.12 David Montgomery RB CHI
2.01 TJ Hockenson TE DET
Exactly what caught my eyeThat seems really low for Montgomery and high for Brown.
No Sanders yet in 0.5ppr? That’s going to be a mistake.0.5 PPR, started at 8AM today
1.01 - Josh Jacobs (RB)
1.02 - David Montgomery (RB)
1.03 - N'Keal Harry (WR)
1.04 - AJ Brown (WR)
1.05 - TJ Hockenson (TE)
1.06 - DK Metcalf (WR)
1.07 - Parris Campbell (WR)
1.08 - Marquise Brown (WR)
Will update again in a few hours.
Yeah, I picked at 1.08 and was deciding between him and Brown. I also own the 2.01 and 2.02. My logic was that, "there's a chance Sanders might still be there but there's no way that Marquise Brown will".No Sanders yet in 0.5ppr? That’s going to be a mistake.
Yeah, I picked at 1.08 and was deciding between him and Brown. I also own the 2.01 and 2.02. My logic was that, "there's a chance Sanders might still be there but there's no way that Marquise Brown will".
Also, I think it will be easier to sell Brown after he hits on a few deep bombs early on while Sanders is stuck in a timeshare.
Oh yeah, I'm definitely second guessing my judgment call here. But at the end of the day, I had to make a decision. I think they're both going to be solid pros so I'm gonna try not to stress too hard about it.I think you did that backwards. But I also dont think either will be there...
I'm not saying you're wrong. But I would have done it the other way around as well. You may end up being right, though. My thing is that it speaks to just how much variance there is going to be in these. I'm leaning more and more towards thinking I'm just going to have to take my BPA at each spot I find myself in. And that there may not be very much moving up or down for anyone. But there will be names at the top of the 2nd that will be nice to snag.Yeah, I picked at 1.08 and was deciding between him and Brown. I also own the 2.01 and 2.02. My logic was that, "there's a chance Sanders might still be there but there's no way that Marquise Brown will".
Also, I think it will be easier to sell Brown after he hits on a few deep bombs early on while Sanders is stuck in a timeshare.
Couldn’t agree moreThat seems really low for Montgomery and high for Brown.
I took him at 1.05 (in Doowain's post.)Kinda shocked how high Marquis Brown is going. Everyone hated him before the draft and then he went to the worst landing spot possible. Hope it stays that way for my drafts.
I disagree completely. The guy was a 1st Round pick, he's going to see playing time. He's probably going to lead the team in targets.Nothing about these drafts shocks me anything remotely close to the Marquise Brown picks. If his ADP was a round later he'd never be on one of my teams and I actually liked him pre-draft.
He's not a lot different then a healthy John Brown. Best of luck.I disagree completely. The guy was a 1st Round pick, he's going to see playing time. He's probably going to lead the team in targets.
His speed is in the same league as Tyreek Hill and I expect them to utilize him in a similar fashion. Deep shots, play action, jet sweeps, screens, etc.
Look at Michael Vick’s wrs over his career. It can get very ugly unlessJackson improves drastically. Just look at John Brown’s numbers before and after Jackson. He had 601 yards through 9 games with Flacco. The last 7 games with Jackson he had 114 yards on 30 targets. He went from being on pace for over 1050 yards to just over 260. And Flacco isn’t exactly a great qb for wrs himself.I disagree completely. The guy was a 1st Round pick, he's going to see playing time. He's probably going to lead the team in targets.
His speed is in the same league as Tyreek Hill and I expect them to utilize him in a similar fashion. Deep shots, play action, jet sweeps, screens, etc.
60 catches at 15 ypc puts him at 900 yards. Doesn't seem like too much of a stretch but I would say that's his ceiling Year 1.
Should be a starter right out of the gate while everyone else is waiting for RBs like Sanders and Montgomery to win their timeshare.
Appreciate the warm regards on this. A healthy John Brown was good enough for 65 / 1,003 / 7 TD in 2015. Obviously, I'm smart enough to know the QB and scheme were drastically different in Arizona that year. I did look into it and see that after Lamar Jackson took over in Week 11, John Brown only caught 8 of 30 targets thrown his way (26.67% completion percentage). So that's pretty terrible. His completion percentage on the season was 58.2%.He's not a lot different then a healthy John Brown. Best of luck.
ETA-let me try and word this better. I view him as to similar a player to John Brown to ignore the earth shattering negative that Lamar Jackson was to John Brown's stats last year.
Well yeah, if dude was 6ft, 2 and 196 lbs he'd be the unanimous first overall pick. He's barely bigger than Tavon Austin. I guess I'm just a sucker for that speed and those targets.It isn’t just Jackson. Brown is super small. Very few guys that size make a difference anyway. Combined with possibly the worst passing Qb in the league and I wouldn’t touch him until early 2nd at best
I’m the opposite. I’d much rather roll the dice on next years class, personally.Milkman said:Im a seller of 2020 1sts to get into this years top 6-7 picks. Lots of owners making clear mistakes on who they are taking in the top end of these rookie drafts.
Did the Ravens trade Lamar Jackson for Pat Mahomes?Raptors409 said:His speed is in the same league as Tyreek Hill and I expect them to utilize him in a similar fashion. Deep shots, play action, jet sweeps, screens, etc.
Agreed, im trying to sell my 2019 picks in superflex to this mindset unless I can get Jacobs or Kyler.I’m the opposite. I’d much rather roll the dice on next years class, personally.
Who do you like that is falling?
I dont agree with this strategy....2020 is much stronger at rb for sure.....im all for getting ur guy though....i think most picks after 1.03 will be cheaply had.....rookie fever is modest this yearMilkman said:Im a seller of 2020 1sts to get into this years top 6-7 picks. Lots of owners making clear mistakes on who they are taking in the top end of these rookie drafts.
For the top 5 picks, I agree with this. But the late first and early second has talent available that is just as good as any other year. The problem with this year, is that you've got guys like David Montgomery and Miles Sanders going in the 1st Round. In any other year, guys with glimpses of talent but are stuck in timeshares would be late 1st / early 2nd round picks.Looking at these drafts makes me wanna just trade my 2019 picks for 2020 picks.
Agree 100%. The late 1st/early 2nd is as good as any other year. Unfortunately those guys are pretty much equal to the early/mid 1st guys as well. Everyone’s gonna want to trade back this year with few takers unless it’s for bargain prices.For the top 5 picks, I agree with this. But the late first and early second has talent available that is just as good as any other year. The problem with this year, is that you've got guys like David Montgomery and Miles Sanders going in the 1st Round. In any other year, guys with glimpses of talent but are stuck in timeshares would be late 1st / early 2nd round picks.
There's just an abundance of players of very good players and very few great players. The "great" player talent pools drops off about midway in the 2nd round. Murray, Hardman, Butler, Henderson, etc. are as good 2nd Round Rookie picks as you're going to find in any draft class. It's the cream at the top that is lacking, imo.
Yes on Montgomery, no on Sanders. Guys like Sanders are first round picks, even early 1st, on the regular.For the top 5 picks, I agree with this. But the late first and early second has talent available that is just as good as any other year. The problem with this year, is that you've got guys like David Montgomery and Miles Sanders going in the 1st Round. In any other year, guys with glimpses of talent but are stuck in timeshares would be late 1st / early 2nd round picks.
I'm going to hold off commenting until my rookie drafts are done but there is some players I want on my team for sure that aren't universally liked it seems. I don't mind that it just means I can get them cheaper. One in particular is a possible generational talent being over looked.I’m the opposite. I’d much rather roll the dice on next years class, personally.
Who do you like that is falling?
You and everybody else... problem is there are no takers. I offered the 6 pick to multiple teams in one of my leagues for their future 1st, no one was even the slightest bit interested, even projected playoff teams.Looking at these drafts makes me wanna just trade my 2019 picks for 2020 picks.
One in particular is a possible generational talent being over looked.
Thanks for posting! Always interested in 16 team IDP, That is what I play. How many IDP Do you start? Break out DT and CB? What is the scoring like for IDP?TheBottomLine said:
I like him but the Lis Franc scares me. I drafted Kevin Jones in my first dynasty league and I remember waiting for his foot to get right and it never did.Raptors409 said:I disagree completely. The guy was a 1st Round pick, he's going to see playing time. He's probably going to lead the team in targets.
His speed is in the same league as Tyreek Hill and I expect them to utilize him in a similar fashion. Deep shots, play action, jet sweeps, screens, etc.
60 catches at 15 ypc puts him at 900 yards. Doesn't seem like too much of a stretch but I would say that's his ceiling Year 1.
Should be a starter right out of the gate while everyone else is waiting for RBs like Sanders and Montgomery to win their timeshare.
I'm warming up to him. He has an unimpeded path to being the wr1 on that offense, and I read that there are 225 or so targets unaccounted for. Yes, Jackson threw the ball only 1/3 of the plays when he took over, and his deep ball was atrocious. However, shorter routes are where Brown makes his plays; you just have to get him the ball. Boykins on the opposite side keeps defenses honest with his potential to go deep (weve covered jacksons difficulties in 2018 throwing deep)Hollywood is recovering form a lisfranc injury. I'm treating him like a rookie right end in that if I like him ill plan to buy him cheap after he disappoints in his first season or first half season..
I'm pretty cautious with injuries... I have no worries about his Lisfranc at this pointI like him but the Lis Franc scares me. I drafted Kevin Jones in my first dynasty league and I remember waiting for his foot to get right and it never did.
Not sure if the treatment has improved the odds of successful recovery and decreased the odds of future injury. I would like to know more about that before I spend a first round pick on Hollywood.
I like the point you're making. One counterpoint with Isabella is that AZ might throw 600 times.I'm warming up to him. He has an unimpeded path to being the wr1 on that offense, and I read that there are 225 or so targets unaccounted for. Yes, Jackson threw the ball only 1/3 of the plays when he took over, and his deep ball was atrocious. However, shorter routes are where Brown makes his plays; you just have to get him the ball. Boykins on the opposite side keeps defenses honest with his potential to go deep (weve covered jacksons difficulties in 2018 throwing deep)
You have a guy with ABs route running and Tyreek Hill's speed. Yes, Jackson is not the best qb, but IMO Baltimore didnt spend a 1st round pick on a WR they dont have plans to use effectively. You dont think they know of Jacmson has shortcomings in the passing game?
Browns value dropped significantly landing in Baltimore. Enough where the upside is worth it.
Compare him to a guy like Isabella who has smaller hands, more competition on his team, and body catches. Or compare him to AJ Brown who is in WR purgatory. These are guys drafted over him, although Brown has quite possibly the best path to being the wr1 on his team right out of the gate. that has some significant value imo
Doesn't it take an extra year or so before the player gets back to normal after that?I'm pretty cautious with injuries... I have no worries about his Lisfranc at this point