Both teams have been regular playoff participants over the past decade, both franchises have rings, but this is surprisingly their first playoff meeting which makes it the biggest game ever in the series between them. I think its the most interesting game in the first round.
and the loss of Welker provides Patriots fans their excuse.I'm going to say the Ravens win on an Ed Reed INT as Brady tries to force it to Moss in double coverage in the last few minutes.The weather could be a factor. If it's nasty, I like the Ray Rice factor in ths game, as the vertical game will be less of an issue.This years incarnation of the Pats are a very beatable team. This is a game Baltimore could easily take, especially with Welker out.This isn't a good matchup for the Ravens. They'll have to play mistake-free, or close to it, to win. That said, the defense is playing better as a group (though the secondary is still frightening). I don't think the Pats will run much - Brady will probably throw 50 times, so I'm setting the over/under on Ravens PI calls at 5. It's essential that Flacco play well - he really needs to win a game like this where he's the reason. He still makes too many mistakes & that ain't gonna work against the Golden Boy at home in January.
Call it what you will, but losing a guy that is the focal point of the offense doesn't bode well for any team.Edelman will step up and replace some of Welker's production. The kid can play.Both teams have been regular playoff participants over the past decade, both franchises have rings, but this is surprisingly their first playoff meeting which makes it the biggest game ever in the series between them. I think its the most interesting game in the first round.and the loss of Welker provides Patriots fans their excuse.I'm going to say the Ravens win on an Ed Reed INT as Brady tries to force it to Moss in double coverage in the last few minutes.
I'm too lazy to check (late for work really), but didn't Edelman do well in the first game against the Ravens?Edelman will step up and replace some of Welker's production. The kid can play.
I pretty much agree with this. I think the Pats win by less than a TD.The Ravens shot themselves in the foot so many times in close games this year against good teams, it is hard to not see them doing it again next week. This will probably be one of those games where you will get the sense that the Ravens outplayed the Patriots and maybe should have won, but New England will find a way to win.
Week 4 was when Welker came back (he went 6/48/0). Edelman's big week was week 2 vs. NYJ (8/98/0).Bottomfeeder Sports said:I'm too lazy to check (late for work really), but didn't Edelman do well in the first game against the Ravens?Edelman will step up and replace some of Welker's production. The kid can play.
Of their 7 losses, 5 were bascially coin flip games, as were 2 of their wins (SD and Pitt). They missed a last second FG at Minnesota that would have won the game. They threw a pick in FG range in the last 2:00 of a 2-point loss to Indy. They dropped a fourth down pass that would have given them a first down at the Patriots 5, with 40 seconds to go in a 6-point loss. Cincy beat them on a last second TD, etc. So they were 2-5 in tossup games. Maybe that shows they just don't have what it takes to win the close ones. But I think it's more of a coinflip thing, and maybe they're due to have a break go their way.Funny how the people picking the Ravens ignore the most poignant post in this thread highlighting their record against teams with a winning record. 2-7 people. The Ravens are pretenders.
One thing that has not been mentioned is NE's home record - 8 & 0Funny how the people picking the Ravens ignore the most poignant post in this thread highlighting their record against teams with a winning record. 2-7 people. The Ravens are pretenders.
they played and lost to 5 of the 8-1st place teams, giving them all a handfulI have a problem with "pretenders"...while I felt the Steelers were a better team this year over all, the Ravens certainly didn't give it up to Oak, Clev + KC---so there were a bunch of 'pretenders', as you call themin the end, they are their own worst enemy--it isn't so much that "the teams w/winning records kicked their a-$$"...generally speaking, them missing a FG or taking yet another penalty knocking them out of FG range or having several TD's called back due to penalties away from the play has been more their demisein then end, I'm pleased they are 1 of 6 teams from last years playoffs repeating, and that they did not lose 1 game "they shouldn't have"...alot teams home this weekend wish they could say the same, but took it in the shorts against someone they simply should have flat out beaten5-2 road playoff record is in our favor---our record vs NE isn't (0-6 maybe?), so something's gotta giveif the # of penalties stays under 5 1/2, they have a shot...9-115 and NE wins pulling awaykeep your head in the game fellas, and we live to see another day!Funny how the people picking the Ravens ignore the most poignant post in this thread highlighting their record against teams with a winning record. 2-7 people. The Ravens are pretenders.
You can say the same about the Pats. 5 of their 6 losses (all on the road BTW) were nail biters lost in the last minutes and were one possession games. Their record was 10-6 but they had a chance to be 15-1 if they could hold the lead in the 4th quarter.Lost @ NYJ by 7 with the ball and couldn't score after leading 9-3 at the halfLost @ DEN by 3 in OT after leading by 10 at the halfLost @ IND by 1 and the infamous 4th and 2 after leading by 17 in the 4thLost @ MIA by 1 after leading 21-10 in the 2nd halfLost @ HOU by 7 after leading by 14 in the 4thIf the Pats could simply stop turning the ball over in the 2nd half and get a defensive stop at the end of the game, the loss of Welker won't impact them as much as some people may think.The_Man said:Of their 7 losses, 5 were bascially coin flip games, as were 2 of their wins (SD and Pitt). They missed a last second FG at Minnesota that would have won the game. They threw a pick in FG range in the last 2:00 of a 2-point loss to Indy. They dropped a fourth down pass that would have given them a first down at the Patriots 5, with 40 seconds to go in a 6-point loss. Cincy beat them on a last second TD, etc. So they were 2-5 in tossup games. Maybe that shows they just don't have what it takes to win the close ones. But I think it's more of a coinflip thing, and maybe they're due to have a break go their way.zoonation said:Funny how the people picking the Ravens ignore the most poignant post in this thread highlighting their record against teams with a winning record. 2-7 people. The Ravens are pretenders.
They lost games late because their secondary sucks and they have little to no pass rush. Baltimore lost many of its close games because they made mental mistakes. I don't know if one is better or worse than the other, but the Pats problems stopping late drives are always going to be there. They simply don't have the personnel.David Yudkin said:You can say the same about the Pats. 5 of their 6 losses (all on the road BTW) were nail biters lost in the last minutes and were one possession games. Their record was 10-6 but they had a chance to be 15-1 if they could hold the lead in the 4th quarter.Lost @ NYJ by 7 with the ball and couldn't score after leading 9-3 at the halfLost @ DEN by 3 in OT after leading by 10 at the halfLost @ IND by 1 and the infamous 4th and 2 after leading by 17 in the 4thLost @ MIA by 1 after leading 21-10 in the 2nd halfLost @ HOU by 7 after leading by 14 in the 4thIf the Pats could simply stop turning the ball over in the 2nd half and get a defensive stop at the end of the game, the loss of Welker won't impact them as much as some people may think.The_Man said:Of their 7 losses, 5 were bascially coin flip games, as were 2 of their wins (SD and Pitt). They missed a last second FG at Minnesota that would have won the game. They threw a pick in FG range in the last 2:00 of a 2-point loss to Indy. They dropped a fourth down pass that would have given them a first down at the Patriots 5, with 40 seconds to go in a 6-point loss. Cincy beat them on a last second TD, etc. So they were 2-5 in tossup games. Maybe that shows they just don't have what it takes to win the close ones. But I think it's more of a coinflip thing, and maybe they're due to have a break go their way.zoonation said:Funny how the people picking the Ravens ignore the most poignant post in this thread highlighting their record against teams with a winning record. 2-7 people. The Ravens are pretenders.
While I agree that the Pats defense late in games has not been great, it's not all their fault. The Pats offense in the 4th quarter has been horrible. Many games all they needed was a short drive to take time off the clock but they could not get a first down and either 1) punted after a 3 and out, 2) gone for it on 4th down and failed to convert, or 3) turned the ball over.Here were their points scored by quarter over the course of the season: 99-176-70-75. They have not been able to do much at all on offense in the second half. They were shutout in the 4th quarter 6 times and held without a 4th quarter TD 3 other times.The defense is far from being as terrible as people make it out to be. They ranked 5th in fewest points allowed. As far as sacks go, they had one fewer sack than the Ravens did this year.What's interesting is that this year's Pats are similar to prior year's Pats for roughly 55 minutes a game. But the offense can't sustain late game drives or get any points to put games out of reach and the defense can't get off the field, gets tired, and gives up points late in the game.I don't know how difficult is for a team to get one more first down or make one defensive stop in the last few minutes a game, because if NE could have done that this year they would have had a similar record to the Colts or Chargers.They lost games late because their secondary sucks and they have little to no pass rush. Baltimore lost many of its close games because they made mental mistakes. I don't know if one is better or worse than the other, but the Pats problems stopping late drives are always going to be there. They simply don't have the personnel.David Yudkin said:You can say the same about the Pats. 5 of their 6 losses (all on the road BTW) were nail biters lost in the last minutes and were one possession games. Their record was 10-6 but they had a chance to be 15-1 if they could hold the lead in the 4th quarter.Lost @ NYJ by 7 with the ball and couldn't score after leading 9-3 at the halfLost @ DEN by 3 in OT after leading by 10 at the halfLost @ IND by 1 and the infamous 4th and 2 after leading by 17 in the 4thLost @ MIA by 1 after leading 21-10 in the 2nd halfLost @ HOU by 7 after leading by 14 in the 4thIf the Pats could simply stop turning the ball over in the 2nd half and get a defensive stop at the end of the game, the loss of Welker won't impact them as much as some people may think.The_Man said:Of their 7 losses, 5 were bascially coin flip games, as were 2 of their wins (SD and Pitt). They missed a last second FG at Minnesota that would have won the game. They threw a pick in FG range in the last 2:00 of a 2-point loss to Indy. They dropped a fourth down pass that would have given them a first down at the Patriots 5, with 40 seconds to go in a 6-point loss. Cincy beat them on a last second TD, etc. So they were 2-5 in tossup games. Maybe that shows they just don't have what it takes to win the close ones. But I think it's more of a coinflip thing, and maybe they're due to have a break go their way.zoonation said:Funny how the people picking the Ravens ignore the most poignant post in this thread highlighting their record against teams with a winning record. 2-7 people. The Ravens are pretenders.
I don't have the Ravens' points-by-quarter handy but I'd bet it's as lopsided the other way. They've had an awful time scoring early in most games.Here were their points scored by quarter over the course of the season: 99-176-70-75. They have not been able to do much at all on offense in the second half. They were shutout in the 4th quarter 6 times and held without a 4th quarter TD 3 other times.
Ravens score by quarter . . .77 81 123 107I don't have the Ravens' points-by-quarter handy but I'd bet it's as lopsided the other way. They've had an awful time scoring early in most games.Here were their points scored by quarter over the course of the season: 99-176-70-75. They have not been able to do much at all on offense in the second half. They were shutout in the 4th quarter 6 times and held without a 4th quarter TD 3 other times.
So give the points in the first half & take them in the second.Ravens score by quarter . . .77 81 123 107I don't have the Ravens' points-by-quarter handy but I'd bet it's as lopsided the other way. They've had an awful time scoring early in most games.Here were their points scored by quarter over the course of the season: 99-176-70-75. They have not been able to do much at all on offense in the second half. They were shutout in the 4th quarter 6 times and held without a 4th quarter TD 3 other times.
That alone is a good sign for the Patriots and a bad sign for the Ravens. Baltimore is at their best when they take a lead and allow their defense to pin their ears back and go after the quarterback on defense, and play keep away running the ball on offense. They get into trouble when they fall behind and play catch up.So give the points in the first half & take them in the second.Ravens score by quarter . . .77 81 123 107I don't have the Ravens' points-by-quarter handy but I'd bet it's as lopsided the other way. They've had an awful time scoring early in most games.Here were their points scored by quarter over the course of the season: 99-176-70-75. They have not been able to do much at all on offense in the second half. They were shutout in the 4th quarter 6 times and held without a 4th quarter TD 3 other times.
Maybe then he'd realize how I felt losing out on over $1,000 of prizes because he couldn't get a single one of Baltimore's 3 rushing touchdowns last week!N.E. wins 21-17, Ray Rice fumbles in last 4 minutes of the game, sealing the deal for New England.
so you offering Ravens +9 1/2, under/over 40.5?Ravens offense on the road24 31 61 45Ravens defense on the road50 61 23 32Pats offense at home44 116 39 51Pats defense at home27 28 24 24 (No quarter with more than 7 points allowed)On a per game basisRavens Offense 3 3 7 6 = 19Pats Defense 3 3 3 3 3 = 12Average 15.5 pointsPats Offense 6 14 3 7 = 30Ravens Defense 6 8 3 3 = 20Average 25 points
