I worry he goes down a similar path as Justin fields. Maybe he crushes it in fantasy for another 2-3 years, but if he doesn't show signs of being an elite passer by contract #2, the NFL may only view him as a backup QB.
Every young QB shares those concerns. Look at Mac Jones out of a job. 1st round pick. Stayed healthy, too.
I get it, but Mac Jones was never being discussed/drafted as an Elite Fantasy QB. Richardson is being talked about as a top 5 dynasty QB and he is still extremely raw in the passing game. Sure his upside is high but if he doesn't make a MASSIVE jump in passing ability, I don't know how long he's a starter in this league.
So it’s about fantasy upside related to risk rather than draft capital?
Huh. I’d always believed it was in related to where a player was drafted.
With Fields, he was a 1st round pick, so people believed he’d get a lot of leeway/time to develop as compared to someone like Howell, who as a 5th round pick might be lucky to get another chance just to start a game in SEA.
I’m not sure we’ve seen enough of ARich’s passing ability to even make the judgement that he needs to take a “massive jump in passing ability” - he looked like a really good passer from game 1. So that seems like it’s a bit off in terms of risk with ARich.
IMO it’s all about health with him. He’s already ahead of where Fields was as a passer at this stage of their careers.