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QB Josh Allen, BUF (3 Viewers)

Allen looked great tonight. I think McCarron is out as starter. Peterman may still get handed the job, but Allen making a very strong case to be Week 1 starter.
And, to think that he hasn't really worked much with the #1's. I haven't watched tonight's game, yet, but I suspect the timing was off with his one miss to Benjamin. They could be a good duo in the quick passing game if they get the timing down.

 
Wonder what the odds are that Peterman beats him out?  Probably unlikely I know, but he hasn't looked terrible himself.  I wouldn't expect him to hold the job very long if he did, but I at least think it's a slight possibility.  But the draft capital alone will probably be enough to get Allen on the field.  

All I know is I'm starting the Ravens defense Week 1.

 
And, to think that he hasn't really worked much with the #1's. I haven't watched tonight's game, yet, but I suspect the timing was off with his one miss to Benjamin. They could be a good duo in the quick passing game if they get the timing down.
It was more that KB stopped and sat in a hole in the zone while Allen thought he was going to keep running across the middle. KB read it right IMO, Allen probably didn't.

Allen's one bad miss was a swing pass to Murphy that he threw behind and at his feet.

 
It was more that KB stopped and sat in a hole in the zone while Allen thought he was going to keep running across the middle. KB read it right IMO, Allen probably didn't.

Allen's one bad miss was a swing pass to Murphy that he threw behind and at his feet.
His coaches need to stop calling that. Throwing that pass early and on a line has always been a problem. It isn't going to be coached out of him during on-the-job training.

 
He was the best QB on the field last night.
Correct

I think Peterman has still done enough to start week 1 and allow the rookie, a softer entrance to the league.  But all the horror stories we heard all offseason about his accuracy are looking overblown to say the least

 
Ehhh maybe.  The TD was probably the best pass of the night by anyone.  Mostly threw tiny passes though.  Also had his #1 line vs Browns #2 D, and was aided by a phantom facemask call.

Mayfield started slow but actually throws and completes the ball down the field. 
This thread isn't about Baker Mayfield.  I think he has an excellent chance of developing into a solid QB, about as good a chance as anybody.  QB development is always a little bit of a crap-shoot.

 
Allen has surprised me. I had odds heavily against him but he’s done some nice things in preseason. I think every mainstream analyst still needs to cut the #### on the hype. His pocket feel has still been hit or miss. The TD pass was very nice but he also got slammed on the blind side earlier because he had no idea the DB was blitzing. When things get more complicated I have fear for him falling back into bad habits. I really wish the Bills wouldn’t rush him but they will and I believe it was always their intention too. All that being said, he clearly has enough to survive with his raw talent. I wouldn’t change much about my rookie rankings with that take but I would be far more apt to roster him at this point.

 
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Wonder what the odds are that Peterman beats him out?  Probably unlikely I know, but he hasn't looked terrible himself.  I wouldn't expect him to hold the job very long if he did, but I at least think it's a slight possibility.  But the draft capital alone will probably be enough to get Allen on the field.  

All I know is I'm starting the Ravens defense Week 1.
Ravens defense is the Week 1 start of the week.

 
Ehhh maybe.  The TD was probably the best pass of the night by anyone.  Mostly threw tiny passes though.  Also had his #1 line vs Browns #2 D, and was aided by a phantom facemask call.

Mayfield started slow but actually throws and completes the ball down the field.
Sure, because downfield passing is something that Allen doesn't do, lmao.

 
From Peter King's column this morning. Oh, hey Josh Allen sitting at #2 with 70% of balls on target through 2 games (just slightly below league leading Drew Brees's number from last year).

 asked Pro Football Focus, which gives me a smart chunk of this column each week, to judge the first-round rookie quarterbacks by a metric you might not know: ball location on throws by the quarterback.

The theory: Completion percentage is a good number, but it doesn’t take into account when a quarterback has two receivers with great hands, or whether his three key guys have, say, 30 drops in a season. Adjusted completion percentage is better because it accounts for drops. But ball-location (hitting the receiver in stride with an easily catchable ball) is interesting because in today’s NFL, so many throws are short passes, and how many yards a receiver makes after the catch often depends on the throw. Did the quarterback lead him properly? For the last two years, PFF has charted the ball location of every NFL throw, and also the throws of the current rookie QB crop, made.

The top three passers last year in ball-location:

Drew Brees 70.4 percent,

Tom Brady 65.8 percent,

Jimmy Garoppolo 61.9 percent.

Baker Mayfield led the draft prospects in 2017 with a ball-location accuracy of 64.9 percent. Through the fist half of the preseason, the best man of the five first-rounders in ball location is Sam Darnold of the Jets. The numbers:

Sam Darnold, Jets, 84.6 percent.

Josh Allen, Bills, 70.0 percent.

Baker Mayfield, Browns, 69.0 percent.

Josh Rosen, Cards, 58.3 percent.

Lamar Jackson, 36.0 percent.
 
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From what I've seen so-far.

It is going to take time.

  • He's a few beats off with his timing.
  • A few feet (yards) off with some throws.
  • A second or two off processing and getting the ball out.
He may or may-not make it but right now he is a work in progress and it is going to take time.

 
His O line made his day miserable yesterday.  Oof.
I saw some video with a timer on the 5 sacks. Looked like most if not all were under 3 seconds. That's tough for most QBs, but especially a rookie. Still like his talent and hope he has a chance to develop.

 
I saw some video with a timer on the 5 sacks. Looked like most if not all were under 3 seconds. That's tough for most QBs, but especially a rookie. Still like his talent and hope he has a chance to develop.
Behind that line?  I hope he has a chance to survive.

 
Behind that line?  I hope he has a chance to survive.
Buffalo should use Peterman and AJ as cannon fodder for at least the first half of the year, if not the entire year. They should be able to have their choice of OL help next year in the draft and should spend on OL in FA too.

 
Bracie Smathers said:

From what I've seen so-far.

It is going to take time.

• He's a few beats off with his timing.
• A few feet (yards) off with some throws.
• A second or two off processing and getting the ball out.
This assessment is what I would expect to see for an undrafted free agent, not a 1st round pick.

 
I saw some video with a timer on the 5 sacks. Looked like most if not all were under 3 seconds. That's tough for most QBs, but especially a rookie. Still like his talent and hope he has a chance to develop.
My unscientific hand timing had the 5 sacks at:

1.9, 2.0, 2.0, 2.3, 2.9, and 3.4 (I think I accidentally included the last hit he took in these numbers which wasn't a sack).

I calculated mine from snap until first contact. He had free rushers on several of them that essentially made it impossible to throw the ball before contact.

According to NFL.com NextGen stats, the shortest Time To Throw average in the league last year was about 2.42 seconds with most QBs looking to be around the 2.6-2.7 range.

Hard to blame the kid a whole lot. Lots of folks saying it was his fault for not processing fast enough, but that seems unrealistic and unfair.

 
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Quick summary of drives:

1st Drive: Clay drops perfectly thrown pass on 1st down. Illegal motion on Buffalo on 3rd down, but declined because Allen got hit and sacked 1.9 seconds after the snap.

2nd Drive: Allen is hit and sacked in 2.0 seconds on 2nd and 2. Miller commits false start on 3rd. Lame run on 3rd.

3rd Drive: False start on 1st down. Bills start 1st and 15. 2 yard run on 1st. Allen is flushed from pocket on 2nd and 13 and badly underthrows that should have been a TD. 3rd and 13, Allen takes a long time in pocket and throws a rocket over the head of his receiver. Receiver probably couldn't catch it, but also pulled his hands down for some reason.

4th Drive: Allen makes a few nice shorter throws. On 3rd and 4, he tries to run for the 1st down, dives, and is spotted short. Would have been overturned on review.

5th Drive: 3rd and 3 and Allen is hit and sacked in 2.0 seconds after snap.

6th Drive: Personal foul makes it 1st and 22. Allen is hit and sacked 2.3 seconds after the snap. 3rd and 29 Allen holds onto ball looking for big play for 1st down and gets hit and sacked 2.9 seconds after the snap (2 defenders pushed right back into him).

7th Drive: Benjamin drops a beautiful deep ball on 1st down. 3rd and 7, Charles Clay runs his route short of the sticks and comes up about a half yard short on a nice pass.

8th Drive: 1st down, defenders gets pressure, Allen tries to get out of pocket to make a play but gets taken down and slams his head into ground while barely getting through ball out of bounds.

I'm not sure how anyone could watch that game and blame Allen a whole lot.

He had 17 dropbacks. Out of those 17 dropbacks, he had:

2 dropped passes

5 sacks including 3 under 2.4 seconds and 4 under 3.0.

At least 1 throwaway under pressure.

11 of his 17 dropbacks the Bengals recorded a QB pressure on. That's just stupid.

 
My unscientific hand timing had the 5 sacks at:

1.9, 2.0, 2.0, 2.3, 2.9, and 3.4 (I think I accidentally included the last hit he took in these numbers which wasn't a sack).

I calculated mine from snap until first contact. He had free rushers on several of them that essentially made it impossible to throw the ball before contact.

According to NFL.com NextGen stats, the shortest Time To Throw average in the league last year was about 2.42 seconds with most QBs looking to be around the 2.6-2.7 range.

Hard to blame the kid a whole lot. Lots of folks saying it was his fault for not processing fast enough, but that seems unrealistic and unfair.
That's my take too. Getting better at pre-snap reads and adjusting plays at the LOS would help, but again, that will take time and work. 

 
My unscientific hand timing had the 5 sacks at:

1.9, 2.0, 2.0, 2.3, 2.9, and 3.4 (I think I accidentally included the last hit he took in these numbers which wasn't a sack).

I calculated mine from snap until first contact. He had free rushers on several of them that essentially made it impossible to throw the ball before contact.

According to NFL.com NextGen stats, the shortest Time To Throw average in the league last year was about 2.42 seconds with most QBs looking to be around the 2.6-2.7 range.

Hard to blame the kid a whole lot. Lots of folks saying it was his fault for not processing fast enough, but that seems unrealistic and unfair.
There were perhaps one or two plays where maybe he could have gotten rid of the ball a little faster.  But Aaron Rodgers would have looked terrible with the blocking Allen received.

 
IvanKaramazov said:
There were perhaps one or two plays where maybe he could have gotten rid of the ball a little faster.  But Aaron Rodgers would have looked terrible with the blocking Allen received.
I havent seen the tape yet and wouldnt know how to watch for this if I tried, but:

Any possibility that a vet like Rodgers would have made better protection calls or audbles that would have prevented some of the free rushers?  RG3’s Redskins career showed us that sometimes perceived OL issues can be the QB’s fault.

 
I havent seen the tape yet and wouldnt know how to watch for this if I tried, but:

Any possibility that a vet like Rodgers would have made better protection calls or audbles that would have prevented some of the free rushers?  RG3’s Redskins career showed us that sometimes perceived OL issues can be the QB’s fault.
I can't say with 100% certainty that it wouldn't have made a difference, but most of the pressure seemed to simply be linemen losing the one on one battle. The one sack Geno Atkins basically picked up Vlad Ducasse and walked him right back into Allen. John Miller just got flat beaten off the ball. Ryan Groy at center didn't get his head up in time and his man blew right by him. 

 
I havent seen the tape yet and wouldnt know how to watch for this if I tried, but:

Any possibility that a vet like Rodgers would have made better protection calls or audbles that would have prevented some of the free rushers?  RG3’s Redskins career showed us that sometimes perceived OL issues can be the QB’s fault.
I didnt watch week 3, but this happened at least twice week 2.

 
I didnt watch week 3, but this happened at least twice week 2.
The left guard repeatedly got crushed by Atkins.  It wouldn't have mattered.  The LT, Dawkins didn't suit up and they kept rotating centers on him.  McDermott wanted to pump the brakes on the rookie hype a bit and let Peterman win the competition and start a few games before Allen takes over.  

 
The left guard repeatedly got crushed by Atkins.  It wouldn't have mattered.  The LT, Dawkins didn't suit up and they kept rotating centers on him.  McDermott wanted to pump the brakes on the rookie hype a bit and let Peterman win the competition and start a few games before Allen takes over.  
If McDermott is so insecure that he needs to expose his prized, future of the franchise rookie to a merciless beatdown that included getting his head bounced off the turf in order to pump the brakes then I’d have serious doubts about his leadership. 

 
If McDermott is so insecure that he needs to expose his prized, future of the franchise rookie to a merciless beatdown that included getting his head bounced off the turf in order to pump the brakes then I’d have serious doubts about his leadership. 
He's pretty conservative.  Peterman has looked good but should have been picked off a few times this preseason on out throws.  He doesn't have the arm strength to get the ball there.  Plus it'll be better for McDermott and staff to pull Peterman once they are 1-3, than have Josh Allen go 0-1 and have to hear "Start Peterman" from about 25% of the fan base that likes the kid.

 
Bills are going to wreck this guy, right? I really like Josh, but trading AJ seems dumb. Great to get something for him, but at this point they need bodies behind that oline that aren't named Josh Allen. 

 
Bills are going to wreck this guy, right? I really like Josh, but trading AJ seems dumb. Great to get something for him, but at this point they need bodies behind that oline that aren't named Josh Allen. 
Not what one would hope for with a QB who has accuracy issues to begin with. Pederman is probably the Week 1 starter but probably not long before Allen in thrown in the fire.

 

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