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QB Matt Stafford, LAR (1 Viewer)

Overrated as a real life qb (not fantasy)?

  • Way overrated

    Votes: 83 14.0%
  • Slightly overrated

    Votes: 158 26.7%
  • Rated just where he should be

    Votes: 203 34.3%
  • Slightly underrated

    Votes: 109 18.4%
  • Way underrated

    Votes: 38 6.4%

  • Total voters
    591
The biggest ADP mystery to me this year is Puka top 5 WR, Adams top 15 WR and Stafford at QB 20+...and he's old and hurt. I'm not sure a healthy Stafford supports those ADPs, let alone some Jimmy G sprinkled in there.
 
The biggest ADP mystery to me this year is Puka top 5 WR, Adams top 15 WR and Stafford at QB 20+...and he's old and hurt. I'm not sure a healthy Stafford supports those ADPs, let alone some Jimmy G sprinkled in there.
You're not wrong but the Rams seem like a team on the rise and the rankings are probably taking that into account - the D is much improved and they were the only team to hang with Philly in the playoff if I recall correctly. Those ADPs might be a little high, but not ridiculously so. While there is room to quibble, Puka is still a solid WR1, Adams a WR2, etc. I wouldn't underestimate Stafford either - with the exception of his first 2 seasons, he's been durable over the course of his career and has played at a high level fairly consistently. He definitely passes the eye test when he's on the field. Assuming he's healthy, I'll happily take him as my QB2.
 
The biggest ADP mystery to me this year is Puka top 5 WR, Adams top 15 WR and Stafford at QB 20+...and he's old and hurt. I'm not sure a healthy Stafford supports those ADPs, let alone some Jimmy G sprinkled in there.
You're not wrong but the Rams seem like a team on the rise and the rankings are probably taking that into account - the D is much improved and they were the only team to hang with Philly in the playoff if I recall correctly. Those ADPs might be a little high, but not ridiculously so. While there is room to quibble, Puka is still a solid WR1, Adams a WR2, etc. I wouldn't underestimate Stafford either - with the exception of his first 2 seasons, he's been durable over the course of his career and has played at a high level fairly consistently. He definitely passes the eye test when he's on the field. Assuming he's healthy, I'll happily take him as my QB2.

Over the past 3 seasons, Stafford has:
  • 60 passing TDs in 43 games, which projects to 23.7 passing TDs over 17 games.
  • 10,714 passing yards in 43 games, which projects to 4,236 passing yards over 17 games.
That passing yardage is enough to support two top 15 WRs, but I'm skeptical 24 passing TDs is enough to do it, since they won't all go to Puka and Adams. That recent track record plus health questions means I will let others draft Puka and especially Adams at their ADPs. I'm happy to take either at the right draft position, but that is not their current ADPs for me.
 
The biggest ADP mystery to me this year is Puka top 5 WR, Adams top 15 WR and Stafford at QB 20+...and he's old and hurt. I'm not sure a healthy Stafford supports those ADPs, let alone some Jimmy G sprinkled in there.
You're not wrong but the Rams seem like a team on the rise and the rankings are probably taking that into account - the D is much improved and they were the only team to hang with Philly in the playoff if I recall correctly. Those ADPs might be a little high, but not ridiculously so. While there is room to quibble, Puka is still a solid WR1, Adams a WR2, etc. I wouldn't underestimate Stafford either - with the exception of his first 2 seasons, he's been durable over the course of his career and has played at a high level fairly consistently. He definitely passes the eye test when he's on the field. Assuming he's healthy, I'll happily take him as my QB2.

Over the past 3 seasons, Stafford has:
  • 60 passing TDs in 43 games, which projects to 23.7 passing TDs over 17 games.
  • 10,714 passing yards in 43 games, which projects to 4,236 passing yards over 17 games.
That passing yardage is enough to support two top 15 WRs, but I'm skeptical 24 passing TDs is enough to do it, since they won't all go to Puka and Adams. That recent track record plus health questions means I will let others draft Puka and especially Adams at their ADPs. I'm happy to take either at the right draft position, but that is not their current ADPs for me.
As much as McVay is considered a whiz with the passing offense, he prefers to run around the goal line. And Stafford ain’t getting those runs.
 
I think everyone is overestimating the importance of this. First his back has been an issue for at least 6 years. This doesn't sound out of the scope of his normal. Second, he isn't very good. The drop to Jimmy G isn't a big one.
 
I think everyone is overestimating the importance of this. First his back has been an issue for at least 6 years.
It's a huge deal and should be discussed more but the fact he's had the issue for 6 years is actually a little comforting, would be worse to me if it was new.

Second, he isn't very good.
For fantasy yes, he's not very good in part because they run so frequently in the red zone.

If you mean this in real life I'm thinking you got tossed off a horse recently and landed on your head. j/k

The drop to Jimmy G isn't a big one.
If Stafford had left them they would have signed Rodgers to be their starter(I wonder if part of him wishes he'd have waited this out?). Jimmy G is option 3 and in Mcvay I trust. He's a good backup but let's not get carried away.

Plus, and this is very significant to me for fantasy value of Rams, if a situation occurred where Jimmy G had to take the reigns for awhile I'd still be nervous as heck for Rams skill position players because I'd be constantly fretting Jimmy G going down. He has seemed awfully brittle lately.
 
I think everyone is overestimating the importance of this. First his back has been an issue for at least 6 years. This doesn't sound out of the scope of his normal. Second, he isn't very good. The drop to Jimmy G isn't a big one.
This is a sizzling hot take haha

Stafford's "Down year" last year is = to Jimmy G's 2nd best TD total of his career

:P
The system is a huge factor. Stafford is at this point probably around QB 25 in the NFL. Jimmy G is probably QB 40, but the fall off is pretty flat in that space.
 
I think everyone is overestimating the importance of this. First his back has been an issue for at least 6 years.
It's a huge deal and should be discussed more but the fact he's had the issue for 6 years is actually a little comforting, would be worse to me if it was new.

Second, he isn't very good.
For fantasy yes, he's not very good in part because they run so frequently in the red zone.

If you mean this in real life I'm thinking you got tossed off a horse recently and landed on your head. j/k

The drop to Jimmy G isn't a big one.
If Stafford had left them they would have signed Rodgers to be their starter(I wonder if part of him wishes he'd have waited this out?). Jimmy G is option 3 and in Mcvay I trust. He's a good backup but let's not get carried away.

Plus, and this is very significant to me for fantasy value of Rams, if a situation occurred where Jimmy G had to take the reigns for awhile I'd still be nervous as heck for Rams skill position players because I'd be constantly fretting Jimmy G going down. He has seemed awfully brittle lately.
Stafford was never an elite QB. He was at best a slightly above average NFL QB. He is now an old guy who used to be a slightly above average NFL QB
 
I think everyone is overestimating the importance of this. First his back has been an issue for at least 6 years.
It's a huge deal and should be discussed more but the fact he's had the issue for 6 years is actually a little comforting, would be worse to me if it was new.

Second, he isn't very good.
For fantasy yes, he's not very good in part because they run so frequently in the red zone.

If you mean this in real life I'm thinking you got tossed off a horse recently and landed on your head. j/k

The drop to Jimmy G isn't a big one.
If Stafford had left them they would have signed Rodgers to be their starter(I wonder if part of him wishes he'd have waited this out?). Jimmy G is option 3 and in Mcvay I trust. He's a good backup but let's not get carried away.

Plus, and this is very significant to me for fantasy value of Rams, if a situation occurred where Jimmy G had to take the reigns for awhile I'd still be nervous as heck for Rams skill position players because I'd be constantly fretting Jimmy G going down. He has seemed awfully brittle lately.
Stafford was never an elite QB. He was at best a slightly above average NFL QB. He is now an old guy who used to be a slightly above average NFL QB
He was recently listed as the 6th best QB in that ESPN poll of scouts/execs. At 37 years old.

I'm going to defer to them, McVay and my eyes on this one.
 
I think everyone is overestimating the importance of this. First his back has been an issue for at least 6 years.
It's a huge deal and should be discussed more but the fact he's had the issue for 6 years is actually a little comforting, would be worse to me if it was new.

Second, he isn't very good.
For fantasy yes, he's not very good in part because they run so frequently in the red zone.

If you mean this in real life I'm thinking you got tossed off a horse recently and landed on your head. j/k

The drop to Jimmy G isn't a big one.
If Stafford had left them they would have signed Rodgers to be their starter(I wonder if part of him wishes he'd have waited this out?). Jimmy G is option 3 and in Mcvay I trust. He's a good backup but let's not get carried away.

Plus, and this is very significant to me for fantasy value of Rams, if a situation occurred where Jimmy G had to take the reigns for awhile I'd still be nervous as heck for Rams skill position players because I'd be constantly fretting Jimmy G going down. He has seemed awfully brittle lately.
Stafford was never an elite QB. He was at best a slightly above average NFL QB. He is now an old guy who used to be a slightly above average NFL QB
He was recently listed as the 6th best QB in that ESPN poll of scouts/execs. At 37 years old.

I'm going to defer to them, McVay and my eyes on this one.
Reputation matters in NFL circles. He has been around forever, but has never been the 6th best QB in the league. He offers very little with his feet and is turnover prone.
 
I think everyone is overestimating the importance of this. First his back has been an issue for at least 6 years.
It's a huge deal and should be discussed more but the fact he's had the issue for 6 years is actually a little comforting, would be worse to me if it was new.

Second, he isn't very good.
For fantasy yes, he's not very good in part because they run so frequently in the red zone.

If you mean this in real life I'm thinking you got tossed off a horse recently and landed on your head. j/k

The drop to Jimmy G isn't a big one.
If Stafford had left them they would have signed Rodgers to be their starter(I wonder if part of him wishes he'd have waited this out?). Jimmy G is option 3 and in Mcvay I trust. He's a good backup but let's not get carried away.

Plus, and this is very significant to me for fantasy value of Rams, if a situation occurred where Jimmy G had to take the reigns for awhile I'd still be nervous as heck for Rams skill position players because I'd be constantly fretting Jimmy G going down. He has seemed awfully brittle lately.
Stafford was never an elite QB. He was at best a slightly above average NFL QB. He is now an old guy who used to be a slightly above average NFL QB
He was recently listed as the 6th best QB in that ESPN poll of scouts/execs. At 37 years old.

I'm going to defer to them, McVay and my eyes on this one.
Reputation matters in NFL circles. He has been around forever, but has never been the 6th best QB in the league. He offers very little with his feet and is turnover prone.
I think there are less than 10 QBs that have had 2 separate 40+ Touchdown Seasons.

Appreciate your opinion, and while he isn't as good as he was maybe in his prime, he is still VERY good.

Will be in Canton one day.
 
I think everyone is overestimating the importance of this. First his back has been an issue for at least 6 years.
It's a huge deal and should be discussed more but the fact he's had the issue for 6 years is actually a little comforting, would be worse to me if it was new.

Second, he isn't very good.
For fantasy yes, he's not very good in part because they run so frequently in the red zone.

If you mean this in real life I'm thinking you got tossed off a horse recently and landed on your head. j/k

The drop to Jimmy G isn't a big one.
If Stafford had left them they would have signed Rodgers to be their starter(I wonder if part of him wishes he'd have waited this out?). Jimmy G is option 3 and in Mcvay I trust. He's a good backup but let's not get carried away.

Plus, and this is very significant to me for fantasy value of Rams, if a situation occurred where Jimmy G had to take the reigns for awhile I'd still be nervous as heck for Rams skill position players because I'd be constantly fretting Jimmy G going down. He has seemed awfully brittle lately.
Stafford was never an elite QB. He was at best a slightly above average NFL QB. He is now an old guy who used to be a slightly above average NFL QB
He was recently listed as the 6th best QB in that ESPN poll of scouts/execs. At 37 years old.

I'm going to defer to them, McVay and my eyes on this one.
Reputation matters in NFL circles. He has been around forever, but has never been the 6th best QB in the league. He offers very little with his feet and is turnover prone.
I think there are less than 10 QBs that have had 2 separate 40+ Touchdown Seasons.

Appreciate your opinion, and while he isn't as good as he was maybe in his prime, he is still VERY good.

Will be in Canton one day.
Probably. He has had a long career and amassed some big stats. He has been a Pro Bowl selections twice. Matt Ryan and Phillip Rivers were way better QB's.
 
I think everyone is overestimating the importance of this. First his back has been an issue for at least 6 years.
It's a huge deal and should be discussed more but the fact he's had the issue for 6 years is actually a little comforting, would be worse to me if it was new.

Second, he isn't very good.
For fantasy yes, he's not very good in part because they run so frequently in the red zone.

If you mean this in real life I'm thinking you got tossed off a horse recently and landed on your head. j/k

The drop to Jimmy G isn't a big one.
If Stafford had left them they would have signed Rodgers to be their starter(I wonder if part of him wishes he'd have waited this out?). Jimmy G is option 3 and in Mcvay I trust. He's a good backup but let's not get carried away.

Plus, and this is very significant to me for fantasy value of Rams, if a situation occurred where Jimmy G had to take the reigns for awhile I'd still be nervous as heck for Rams skill position players because I'd be constantly fretting Jimmy G going down. He has seemed awfully brittle lately.
Stafford was never an elite QB. He was at best a slightly above average NFL QB. He is now an old guy who used to be a slightly above average NFL QB
He was recently listed as the 6th best QB in that ESPN poll of scouts/execs. At 37 years old.

I'm going to defer to them, McVay and my eyes on this one.
Reputation matters in NFL circles. He has been around forever, but has never been the 6th best QB in the league. He offers very little with his feet and is turnover prone.
Stafford is a lot like Eli Manning. The numbers don't look great, but if you're in a back alley monkey knife fight and the game is on the line, you want him on that wall. JimmyG? the exact opposite.
 
Drop off between a healthy Stafford and Garoppolo at this point in his career is pretty massive. Rams were set up for success this year and have to be wondering if their season may be slipping away before it starts. Stafford's pretty tough so maybe he can play through it.
 

Matthew Stafford walked into this Ammortal chamber. Ammortal advertises itself as a "wellness device that aims to optimize human performance and promote holistic health through a combination of non-invasive technologies."

In my next life I want to have a job where I talk like this all day. Either that or being the one who comes up with the names for models of cars or the names for all these Big Pharma drugs.
 
They got the old guy an Airstream. It might be over...

Not really. But he's currently in the QB20+ range. Which could be a nice value if he's available.
 
I think everyone is overestimating the importance of this. First his back has been an issue for at least 6 years.
It's a huge deal and should be discussed more but the fact he's had the issue for 6 years is actually a little comforting, would be worse to me if it was new.

Second, he isn't very good.
For fantasy yes, he's not very good in part because they run so frequently in the red zone.

If you mean this in real life I'm thinking you got tossed off a horse recently and landed on your head. j/k

The drop to Jimmy G isn't a big one.
If Stafford had left them they would have signed Rodgers to be their starter(I wonder if part of him wishes he'd have waited this out?). Jimmy G is option 3 and in Mcvay I trust. He's a good backup but let's not get carried away.

Plus, and this is very significant to me for fantasy value of Rams, if a situation occurred where Jimmy G had to take the reigns for awhile I'd still be nervous as heck for Rams skill position players because I'd be constantly fretting Jimmy G going down. He has seemed awfully brittle lately.
Stafford was never an elite QB. He was at best a slightly above average NFL QB. He is now an old guy who used to be a slightly above average NFL QB
He was recently listed as the 6th best QB in that ESPN poll of scouts/execs. At 37 years old.

I'm going to defer to them, McVay and my eyes on this one.
Reputation matters in NFL circles. He has been around forever, but has never been the 6th best QB in the league. He offers very little with his feet and is turnover prone.
I think there are less than 10 QBs that have had 2 separate 40+ Touchdown Seasons.

Appreciate your opinion, and while he isn't as good as he was maybe in his prime, he is still VERY good.

Will be in Canton one day.
Probably. He has had a long career and amassed some big stats. He has been a Pro Bowl selections twice. Matt Ryan and Phillip Rivers were way better QB's.
Neither ever sealed the deal and won a SB. That is Stafford's big win. Ryan has the MVP. Rivers has the most Pro Bowls but like Stafford, no All Pros either. It was tough competing in the same conference as Brady, Manning and BIg Ben. I think Rivers was the best of the 3 but also seemed to be the least clutch. Ryan and Stafford are pretty close. I would say all 3 are very very good franchise QBs but not great.
 
What Rams beat writers do Rams locals love?
I'm not a Rams local or fan but Jourdana Rodrigue might be the best beat writer* in the whole business.

*Technically she just got promoted to national writer but she still covers Rams in depth.
I had never heard of her before and then got to see her twice in the last week on either ESPN or NFLN. She's a very good reporter.
 
I get the feeling he's done. Back problems are no joke. And depending on the severity, require surgery or pain meds. He's gonna get rocked by a D-lineman or just seize up tying his laces and he's gonna miss games. In my SF leagues, I've been trying to scoop Jimmy G. :sick:
 
I get the feeling he's done. Back problems are no joke. And depending on the severity, require surgery or pain meds. He's gonna get rocked by a D-lineman or just seize up tying his laces and he's gonna miss games. In my SF leagues, I've been trying to scoop Jimmy G. :sick:
Of course there is a point where eventually the toll all adds up and he can't go but I think he's done something similar the last few offseasons.
 
I get the feeling he's done. Back problems are no joke. And depending on the severity, require surgery or pain meds. He's gonna get rocked by a D-lineman or just seize up tying his laces and he's gonna miss games. In my SF leagues, I've been trying to scoop Jimmy G. :sick:
Of course there is a point where eventually the toll all adds up and he can't go but I think he's done something similar the last few offseasons.
Until he's missing time, or announced by the team to be in danger of missing time at least, I'm not worried. Stafford is about as tough as they come. Missed 15 games in 14 seasons.
 
I get the feeling he's done. Back problems are no joke. And depending on the severity, require surgery or pain meds. He's gonna get rocked by a D-lineman or just seize up tying his laces and he's gonna miss games. In my SF leagues, I've been trying to scoop Jimmy G. :sick:
Of course there is a point where eventually the toll all adds up and he can't go but I think he's done something similar the last few offseasons.
Until he's missing time, or announced by the team to be in danger of missing time at least, I'm not worried. Stafford is about as tough as they come. Missed 15 games in 14 seasons.
And most of those were in his first two years when he broke his collarbone twice and the talk was that he was too fragile to survive the NFL
 
What concerns me is he recently had surgery. Back surgery is hit or miss. Even with technological advancements, it's not a cure all for back issues. And usually requires several throughout your life. The epidural is the same efficacy. It can make you feel great for a few days, a couple weeks, sometimes longer...but there is a reason why they'll give you up to about 3 shots before suggesting surgery. I'm on my 3rd shot and while I feel a lot better than before, my back still locks up and I still get the occasional dead/wet leg sensation. I don't have to worry about 300+ lb lineman unloading on me...just walking and doing yard work tightens up my back. I also do not have access to the top notch medical staff or machinery that Stafford has. I'm just saying, I got a bad feeling for him. I've put off surgery because I don't want hardware in my back...I can deal with the discomfort most of the time (thank goodness for edibles and alcohol). Stafford is still having issues even after recently getting surgery AND an epidural. From my experience, I just feel like he's gonna miss time due to his back. Maybe I'm wrong. Trying to be cautiously optimistic.
 
I think everyone is overestimating the importance of this. First his back has been an issue for at least 6 years.
It's a huge deal and should be discussed more but the fact he's had the issue for 6 years is actually a little comforting, would be worse to me if it was new.

Second, he isn't very good.
For fantasy yes, he's not very good in part because they run so frequently in the red zone.

If you mean this in real life I'm thinking you got tossed off a horse recently and landed on your head. j/k

The drop to Jimmy G isn't a big one.
If Stafford had left them they would have signed Rodgers to be their starter(I wonder if part of him wishes he'd have waited this out?). Jimmy G is option 3 and in Mcvay I trust. He's a good backup but let's not get carried away.

Plus, and this is very significant to me for fantasy value of Rams, if a situation occurred where Jimmy G had to take the reigns for awhile I'd still be nervous as heck for Rams skill position players because I'd be constantly fretting Jimmy G going down. He has seemed awfully brittle lately.
Stafford was never an elite QB. He was at best a slightly above average NFL QB. He is now an old guy who used to be a slightly above average NFL QB
He was recently listed as the 6th best QB in that ESPN poll of scouts/execs. At 37 years old.

I'm going to defer to them, McVay and my eyes on this one.
To add to this he was listed as the 5th overall and last tier one QB in Sando's annual QB tier article.

Article is here, behind a paywall(a super easily multi accessible one fwiw): https://www.nytimes.com/athletic/6514160/2025/08/11/nfl-qb-rankings-tiers-2025-jackson-daniels/
 
I remember a few years back where he won a game for Detroit by scrambling into the end zone, but got crunched in the lower back as he crossed the goalline. Before that I don't remember him having any back problems.
 
What concerns me is he recently had surgery
As far as I know he's only had epidural shots.
Ah. I misread an article. I thought it said he recently had surgery, but it is just an option they may have to discuss. You are correct...he's not had back surgery to this point.
All good and fwiw I did agree with everything you said in your post about pitfalls of back surgery and deal with a lot of similar sounding back issues as you do.

I've always avoided back surgery because a friend of mine, who coincidentally played in the NFL, seemed like a shell of himself after his back surgery and he had the same surgeon who did Troy Aikman's back. Just a super risky thing and hope it does not lead to that for Stafford.
 
For fantasy purpose, a guy that doesn't run, needs to have way more pass TDs than 20. I'd much rather take a shot at a guy with some upside, this guy only had downside. Pass.
 

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