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Jene Bramel

Footballguy
It's summer and I'm distracted and disorganized. There's some things I've been meaning to post and haven't. I'll try to add links when I can, but with redraft season to begin in July, here's some stuff you need to know.

The Colts will be a more aggressive defense, but there were multiple minicamp notes that suggested the primary philosophy would still be Cover-2 related. Good news for the Colts' corners and whomever wins the WLB job. Both OLB jobs are apparently still up for grabs. I've seen notes recently that suggest Freddie Keiaho is likely to be only depth at both OLB positions and that he may be strongly still in the mix at WLB.

There was a note in PFW (Whispers section) this week that suggests that it will remain Daryl Smith in the middle and Justin Durant outside this year. No confirmation anywhere else I've seen. Unless that was a bad typo, it's time to temper the hype on Durant just a little. (This report may be questionable according to Michael Wright.)

I can't remember if I posted this last month, but the Chiefs will apparently use Derrick Johnson at WILB and Zach Thomas at SILB. That's a big deal for Johnson, who may not have Karlos Dansby's range but compares favorably in most other areas. With the mess in the rest of the front seven and the likely well above-average tackle opportunity, Johnson's situation is mirroring that of Channing Crowder in a bunch of ways right now.

There are hints from league insiders that Arizona has scrapped much of its hybrid playbook in favor of a more traditional 3-4. That could be bad news for Darnell Dockett, who might not get as many high leverage DT snaps. It probably won't hurt the ILBs too much, though.

BJ Raji looks like he'll be a defensive end in the Packer 3-4 for now, with Ryan Pickett taking the nose. Raji becomes a very interesting prospect in tackle-heavy leagues at end and should get a big bump on the radar of those in DT-required leagues, especially if your league has already locked in positional designations.

 
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Jene Bramel said:
It's summer and I'm distracted and disorganized. There's some things I've been meaning to post and haven't. I'll try to add links when I can, but with redraft season to begin in July, here's some stuff you need to know.

The Colts will be a more aggressive defense, but there were multiple minicamp notes that suggested the primary philosophy would still be Cover-2 related. Good news for the Colts' corners and whomever wins the WLB job. Both OLB jobs are apparently still up for grabs. I've seen notes recently that suggest Freddie Keiaho is likely to be only depth at both OLB positions and that he may be strongly still in the mix at WLB.
I was under the impression they were moving away from cover 2 and Session was WLB, but I can't remember specifics.
 
Jene Bramel said:
It's summer and I'm distracted and disorganized. There's some things I've been meaning to post and haven't. I'll try to add links when I can, but with redraft season to begin in July, here's some stuff you need to know.

The Colts will be a more aggressive defense, but there were multiple minicamp notes that suggested the primary philosophy would still be Cover-2 related. Good news for the Colts' corners and whomever wins the WLB job. Both OLB jobs are apparently still up for grabs. I've seen notes recently that suggest Freddie Keiaho is likely to be only depth at both OLB positions and that he may be strongly still in the mix at WLB.
I was under the impression they were moving away from cover 2 and Session was WLB, but I can't remember specifics.
Here are some links from the local beat this month.Colts defense won't see wholesale changes

Quotes from Jim Caldwell June 3 presser (includes note about Session and Wheeler)

I think the correct way to read the quotes about the OLB is that Session and Wheeler are the starters, but there's room for interpretation, too.

 
It's your thread, but this was an interesting article on San Diego's LBs, mainly focused on breaking down game tape of Stephen Cooper but also speculating on the roles of the ILBs like Kevin Burnett and some lesser guys like English and Applewhite
Anything and everything is welcome and appreciated as always, Tick. :thumbup: (Can you post the link, though? :cry: )
 
That's a great blog post. Can't get enough of folks breaking down film on the defensive side. Little nervous about the claim that Stephen Cooper could be the best ILB in the league, but the blogger took a pretty objective look in his review.

I'm still very interested to see how Kevin Burnett ends up being used.

 
Speaking of the Chargers D... USC rookie SS Kevin Ellison's reported progress in the OTA's bears watching when training camps begin. From the sound of things he could be the odds on favorite to start at SS over Clinton Hart. Coming out of last season, the Chargers are sure to be looking to upgrade over Hart. If Ellison displays the ability to handle the position (especially in coverage), I've gotta think the job is his early in the season, if not by week 1.

Jene, you're the only one who has Ellison ranked among the rookie IDP's (#37). Nice work. If he wins the starting job (which looks promising), he could easily break into the top 10 rookie IDP's. Especially with his profile as a heady, in-the-box thumper.

His name has been scarcely mentioned when guys have asked for rookie IDP sleepers (likely due to his questionable speed and 6th round draft status). But who knows? He could attain DB2/DB3 status if he secures the starting SS gig.

 
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great info about Cooper and Durant, 2 guys I've been targetting quite a bit in my various drafts.

curious where you saw him mention that Cooper could be the best. He spent most of the article tearing Cooper up, citing poor zone coverage, weak blitzing ability, and lack of speed and strength.

 
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great info about Cooper and Durant, 2 guys I've been targetting quite a bit in my various drafts.curious where you saw him mention that Cooper could be the best. He spent most of the article tearing Cooper up, citing poor zone coverage, weak blitzing ability, and lack of speed and strength.
Within the summary section, he stated, "I thought Cooper was probably the best 3-4 Inside Linebacker in the league. Actually, he still may be, but he has flaws in his game."
 
Jene Bramel said:
It's summer and I'm distracted and disorganized. There's some things I've been meaning to post and haven't. I'll try to add links when I can, but with redraft season to begin in July, here's some stuff you need to know.

The Colts will be a more aggressive defense, but there were multiple minicamp notes that suggested the primary philosophy would still be Cover-2 related. Good news for the Colts' corners and whomever wins the WLB job. Both OLB jobs are apparently still up for grabs. I've seen notes recently that suggest Freddie Keiaho is likely to be only depth at both OLB positions and that he may be strongly still in the mix at WLB.
I was under the impression they were moving away from cover 2 and Session was WLB, but I can't remember specifics.
Here are some links from the local beat this month.Colts defense won't see wholesale changes

Quotes from Jim Caldwell June 3 presser (includes note about Session and Wheeler)

I think the correct way to read the quotes about the OLB is that Session and Wheeler are the starters, but there's room for interpretation, too.
Note from ESPN's NFL Blog yesterday afternoon that forecasts Session and Wheeler as the OLBs.

If things pan out the way the Colts would like, Philip Wheeler will win the strongside linebacker spot.

Wheeler got a good share of the work with the first team in minicamp back at the start of the month.

Clint Session had a 99-tackle season in 2008 on the strongside and will now move to the weakside. Will Wheeler be the next guy to make a strong showing in the Colts' never-ending cavalcade of linebackers?

"Last year I was good at certain things," Wheeler said earlier this month. "I'm trying be more well-rounded and more polished... I haven't worked on one thing more than any other. It's just trying to be well-rounded."

The move of Session and the insertion of Wheeler make sense -- Session (6-0, 235) is faster while Wheeler (6-2, 240) is a bit bigger.
 
great info about Cooper and Durant, 2 guys I've been targetting quite a bit in my various drafts.curious where you saw him mention that Cooper could be the best. He spent most of the article tearing Cooper up, citing poor zone coverage, weak blitzing ability, and lack of speed and strength.
Within the summary section, he stated, "I thought Cooper was probably the best 3-4 Inside Linebacker in the league. Actually, he still may be, but he has flaws in his game."
That was a fantastic article posted by Tick on the San Diego LB's, thanks for that. Perhaps I'm reading in between the lines too much on this but with the signing of Kevin Burnett, do you think that Cooper will still be an every down LB....or will the Chargers look to rush Cooper and drop Burnett back into coverage on passing downs?
 
great info about Cooper and Durant, 2 guys I've been targetting quite a bit in my various drafts.curious where you saw him mention that Cooper could be the best. He spent most of the article tearing Cooper up, citing poor zone coverage, weak blitzing ability, and lack of speed and strength.
Within the summary section, he stated, "I thought Cooper was probably the best 3-4 Inside Linebacker in the league. Actually, he still may be, but he has flaws in his game."
That was a fantastic article posted by Tick on the San Diego LB's, thanks for that. Perhaps I'm reading in between the lines too much on this but with the signing of Kevin Burnett, do you think that Cooper will still be an every down LB....or will the Chargers look to rush Cooper and drop Burnett back into coverage on passing downs?
I think it depends on how Merriman, Phillips and English play in the preseason. There are a lot of ways to align six in the box if all are healthy, given the versatility of those five linebackers. I think the Chargers could use a traditional nickel alignment with all three OLB on the LOS and Burnett and Cooper playing coverage/run support roles. I think Burnett will have to play really well to knock Cooper out of every subpackage, though. I think Burnett probably fits in similar to how he did in Dallas in the nickel or Foote did in Pittsburgh -- playing on specific kinds of passing downs and leaving on others.
 
Note from ESPN's NFL Blog yesterday afternoon that forecasts Session and Wheeler as the OLBs.

If things pan out the way the Colts would like, Philip Wheeler will win the strongside linebacker spot.

Wheeler got a good share of the work with the first team in minicamp back at the start of the month.

Clint Session had a 99-tackle season in 2008 on the strongside and will now move to the weakside. Will Wheeler be the next guy to make a strong showing in the Colts' never-ending cavalcade of linebackers?

"Last year I was good at certain things," Wheeler said earlier this month. "I'm trying be more well-rounded and more polished... I haven't worked on one thing more than any other. It's just trying to be well-rounded."

The move of Session and the insertion of Wheeler make sense -- Session (6-0, 235) is faster while Wheeler (6-2, 240) is a bit bigger.
so wait a second....Session popped 73/20 from the strongside, moving to the weakside could put him inline for a solid 90 solos, or am I assuming too much here?also, regarding the Cooper article, I posted before I read the whole thing...darn ADD and all... :confused:

 
sgtrobo said:
Note from ESPN's NFL Blog yesterday afternoon that forecasts Session and Wheeler as the OLBs.

If things pan out the way the Colts would like, Philip Wheeler will win the strongside linebacker spot.

Wheeler got a good share of the work with the first team in minicamp back at the start of the month.

Clint Session had a 99-tackle season in 2008 on the strongside and will now move to the weakside. Will Wheeler be the next guy to make a strong showing in the Colts' never-ending cavalcade of linebackers?

"Last year I was good at certain things," Wheeler said earlier this month. "I'm trying be more well-rounded and more polished... I haven't worked on one thing more than any other. It's just trying to be well-rounded."

The move of Session and the insertion of Wheeler make sense -- Session (6-0, 235) is faster while Wheeler (6-2, 240) is a bit bigger.
so wait a second....Session popped 73/20 from the strongside, moving to the weakside could put him inline for a solid 90 solos, or am I assuming too much here?also, regarding the Cooper article, I posted before I read the whole thing...darn ADD and all... :P
Some notes on Session's 2008 season from my RTD columns last year:Week 4 RTD:

Indianapolis (56.7 TackOpp / +2.48 sd) -- The Colts are currently tied for the league lead in Tackle Opportunity, its defenders getting nearly 57 chances to make a solo tackle per game through three weeks. … When you consider that 71.8% of the tackle opportunities the Colts have faced have been on running plays (historical average 55%) and that the team has faced the third fewest passing attempts in the league thus far, one name on the Colt defense stands out like a sore thumb: SLB Clint Session and his 20 solos. Session is a fine defensive player, but there's no way he continues on a pace for 107 solo tackles. None. He's a prime sell high candidate in redraft leagues if you can get anything more than bye week replacement value for him. Expect Freddie Keiaho's (123 solo pace) to regress as well, though not as dramatically as Session.

Week 8 RTD:

We also wrote that we expected the Colt defense to improve and that the TackOpp number should drop fairly precipitously. That didn't happen - the Colts are still at 55.3 TackOpp/Gm (+1.98 SD) - but the run-pass percentage faced, while still third highest in the league at 62.7%, has fallen off enough to knock the value of Clint Session back significantly. Session is now on a more reasonable 80 solo pace, with only five solos in his past two games. Keiaho has also regressed, down to a 91 solo pace. Expect Keiaho to hover at the 85-92 solo pace, while Session struggles to stay around 80.

Week 15 RTD:

Clint Session, rather than new MLB Buster Davis, got the call in the majority of the Colt subpackages last week. Davis was all but invisible in the box score, while Session managed only three solos. Both Session and Keiaho sat out the fourth quarter after the game got out of hand, which bodes well for Session's potential in future weeks and makes Keiaho's seven solos even more impressive. Expect plenty of nickel packages again this week against Detroit, making Keiaho the best option and again leaving Davis the odd man out.

Session played very well last year. He had 11 TFL less sacks, the third most of any defender in the league and the best of any linebacker. He proved himself capable in an every-down role during the last month of the season. Those numbers (26 solos over five games including their playoff matchup) alongside his impressive first month numbers in run support are very promising. It's very difficult to project any OLB to a 90+ solo tackle pace, but the anticipated return of the Tampa-2 in Indy along with his projected every-down WLB job certainly puts that number within reach.

I've got him ranked 41st right now, but he'll move up at least another tier once it's confirmed that he's starting.

 
I feel like a dope, but what is "TFL less sacks"?

I thought it was pretty much a lock that Session was moving to the weakside? Who else do they have that would contend? He's more talented than Keiaho, isn't he? Or am I giving him too much credit?

 
I feel like a dope, but what is "TFL less sacks"?I thought it was pretty much a lock that Session was moving to the weakside? Who else do they have that would contend? He's more talented than Keiaho, isn't he? Or am I giving him too much credit?
TFL = tackles for loss. It's just another metric I look at in context to determine what stats may be for real and which may be a mirage.I think it is pretty much a lock that Session will play on the weakside. I think there's a sliver of an opening in the quotes I've seen after Keiaho's re-signing that we could again see the lineup we did last season. Unfortunately, the Indy beat writers aren't nearly as detailed in their articles/posts as others. I'll do a little more digging today.I think you can draft Session with the assumption that he'll be an every-down WLB, but I don't feel 100% comfortable pimping him as a LB3+ yet. He was very productive last season with some favorable opportunity and made only 73 solos. He's a marginal LB3 at best if his situation doesn't change this year, which is driving the hedge in my rankings.
 
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Speaking of the Colts, what about Marlin Jackson? He was looking pretty good til he got banged up. Can he return to form?

41 solos and 8 assists in just 7 games last year.

 

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