As an owner of both JMason & AJones, I see Minn offensive schemes focused on JJMc’s success more than JetJ & Addison or TJ Hock. More “sure thing” plays like screens & short passes. They believe in JJMc so he is the focus for early in the season.
As things play out I can see the playbook opening more and game script scenarios.
AJones would be more between the 20’s while JMason more short yardage/GL touches. Both more RB3 range not counting injuries to 1.
They are RB3/flex play for my roster but I think Jones starts the year 60% touches but Dec will see Mason 60% to save the “now 31 yo RB” AJones if playoffs are in the picture.
I've always loved Aaron Jones and he was great value this past year. Generally he returns value when he doesn't get injured.
And he's cheap this year too. But I just remember his performance inside the 5 last year (42 carries/74 rushing yards Inside the 20) to be atrocious and I suspect a reason why Mason was brought in was to potentially help in that regard.
Jones' 255 carries/306 touches represented a career high and that was with him being pulled in two games. So counter to how he had normally produced, he was actually a fairly sneaky volume play in 2024. I suspect that won't be the case this year.
I think this is a good example of how stats without context can be misleading.
Jones was 43 carries for 87 yards inside the 20 which sounds terrible, but is actually fairly average or maybe merely a little below average. Every RB's YPC goes down inside the 20 for obvious reasons. While this is a little lower than average it was still reasonable alongside guys like KW3 (1.7ypc) and Jonathan Taylor (2.1ypc).
And of course the metric is probably not useful at all because those numbers are going to wildly vary depending on what ratio of their inside the 20 carries were inside the 5 or goaline carries.
Jones was not particularly good on those either but again, about the same as other guys that aren't seen as poor short yardage backs like Saquon, Najee Harris, Brian Robinson, KW3, Jonathan Taylor.
Historically, Aaron Jones has actually been one of the best short yardage backs in the league statistically, converting 50% of his rushes inside the 5 to TDs for his career prior to this year, which I believe slightly edges out Derrick Henry for 1st in the entire NFL over that span.
This past year was the first year he wasn't incredible inside the 5, which could be his age or could be just simple statistical variance since we're talking about sample sizes around 10-13 carries most years.